Kramer's December 2013 NCAAB Thread

Hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving weekend!

YTD: 22-8-3 after a WINNER on Tennessee -4 & a PUSH on Ole Miss -3 on 11/30/13....I will try to stay laser focused and make December just as good as November if not better!!!! Thanks for all your support!!!!

Hey Houston, I don't see anything left on the board that really jumps out at me....be back tomorrow with more time for research and write-ups....I'm playing Pacific & UNC tonite super small for some Sunday evening action

YTD: 22-8-3

Monday 12/2/13

Niagara +9: I'm gonna try and let the Red Wolves prove me wrong here but these teams look fairly evenly matched to me....Niagara has an absolute scoring machine in Antoine Mason and has hung within single digits of opponents like Seton Hall & Kent St. on the road this season....they have had their down games too but Arkansas St. hasn't looked outstanding either yet this year and in a battle of two teams ranked very close together in most power rankings (including KenPom) I'll take the points with Niagara

That will probably be it from me tonite....kinda lite schedule anyway....I'm gonna throw a teaser (which I rarely play) together that includes Oklahoma, Iowa St., & one more that I can't decide....maybe UC Irvine or Florida....GL tonite everyone!

Thanks Kieffer!

las8: if you're suggesting the NBA Rockets - I see it at -7.5 over the worst team in the NBA....looks fishy low to me but I don't follow the NBA till the playoffs

cjm2008: yeah this play was the only one tonite I could find real value in....the rest are too close to call for me

Since it's REALLY early to be basing plays off of KenPom or any other power rankings I'd say this one is just a regular play for me....more of a value play I guess

YTD: 22-9-3

Tuesday 12/3/13

Colorado -2: I know it's a rivalry game & I know it's on the road....I just feel the Buffs have too much talent on the floor vs. a team that lost all 5 starters from last year's squad....since that opening nite debacle vs. Baylor the Buffs have begun to play to their expectations and are a more experienced & deeper team than their rivals here tonite....they have the statistical edge in almost every category and have played the same if not better stregnth of schedule than the Rams....I see it as Colorado by double digits

Might be back with one or two more later....GL everyone!

YTD: 22-9-3

Tuesday 12/3/13

Colorado -2: I know it's a rivalry game & I know it's on the road....I just feel the Buffs have too much talent on the floor vs. a team that lost all 5 starters from last year's squad....since that opening nite debacle vs. Baylor the Buffs have begun to play to their expectations and are a more experienced & deeper team than their rivals here tonite....they have the statistical edge in almost every category and have played the same if not better stregnth of schedule than the Rams....I see it as Colorado by double digits

Boise St. -9 (bought the hook): Both schools are 6-0 and both schools have breezed through VERY easy competition thus far....where I see a double digit difference is in two areas: Boise's home court advantage where Utah is playing their first road game and Boise (whose roster has not changed much from last year) beat #11 (at the time) Creighton & NCAA tourney team Colorado St. last year both by 13 and racked up a few other big wins there as well....second is pure talent because as I mentioned before Boise's roster has not changed changed much from last year's NCAA-bound team while Utah is improving but still close to being the least talented team in the Pac 12....while both teams are close statistically I look at FT shooting & 3 pt. shooting as being a big edge for the Broncos at home as well

That's probably it for me tonite....BOL on all your plays guys!

Quote Originally Posted by Ausdaboss:

My kids told me to tell you thank you! Lol

Hope you've done well and I hope I can keep it up throughout the season....thank you for your support!

Quote Originally Posted by cjm2008:

Gotta fade those 2 tonight but GL

I understand....I usually like your plays & I respect your judgment....can't agree on all of them right? BOL!

YTD: 23-10-3

Wednesday 12/4/13

Richmond -3.5: I wanna lock this one in early because I believe it will go up throughout the day....this is one of the heaviest public plays of today's slate so far but I see Richmond as 10-15 points better than W & M....Richmond is a much deeper team as they play 5-6 guys off the bench as opposed to W & M who plays 3-4 most times....W & M pulled off a nice win recently at Rutgers (who is in a rebuilding year BTW) but has just not looked all that impressive while Richmond has hung with UNC (talk about down year!) & Minnesota and beat Air Force on the road & Belmont at home

More to come....GL everyone!