Kramer's December 2013 NCAAB Thread

YTD: 37-23-4

Thursday 12/19/13

Iona +8: Public seems to be on Dayton here yet the line is down 2 full points since this morning....statistics & metrics about even for these 2 teams....Dayton is having a terrific start to their season but I feel they lack the home run hitters so to speak....Iona has the best player on the floor tonite in Sean Armand and I feel he puts the Gaels on his shoulders as Iona keeps it close or maybe even pulls off the road win

Still looking at another one or two....

YTD: 37-23-4

Thursday 12/19/13

Iona +8: Public seems to be on Dayton here yet the line is down 2 full points since this morning....statistics & metrics are about even for these 2 teams....Dayton is having a terrific start to their season but I feel they lack the home run hitters so to speak....Iona has the best player on the floor tonite in Sean Armand and I feel he puts the Gaels on his shoulders as Iona keeps it close or maybe even pulls off the road win

Utah St. -13: The Aggies are hosting this holiday tournament in a building they do very well in & they hold a HEAVY statistical advantage in almost every category here tonite vs. Western Illinois....just looking at FG%, FT%, & 3-pt% they dominate the Leathernecks here in this contest....Western has played a very weak schedule and are still under .500....this is also a very heavy public play but I feel it's the right side as the Aggies will take this one by 20+

That's it for now....possibly adding another one later....GL everyone!

I JUST read that about 10 minutes after I posted the pick....he is a BIG part of this team's production as he leads them in scoring, rebounding, & blocks....that being said I still like this pick as a regular play....Medlin & Butterfield are not far behind him in productivity and they have some depth at PF/C in Ben Clifford and others....plus Western's woeful shooting alone should keep them out of this game....WIU has lost to SE Louisiana, Pacific, & Nebraska on the road this season all by double digits and to Alabama St. (KenPom #310 out of 351) by 7 so I'm confident Utah St. still gets the cover

Quote Originally Posted by cjm2008:

GL tonight Kramer. Gotta take the Flyers ( -7.5) at home against the Gaels.

From what I looked at I feel Iona can keep up with Dayton with their pace & scoring....I think they have the 3 best scorers on that court tonite and they keep it close....GL to you too!

Thursday nite recap:

Iona +8 ....even though they lost by 12 they were never in this one....bad read there

Utah St. -13

YTD: 38-24-4

I have my eye on one or two for tonite....be back later in the day!

YTD: 38-24-4

Friday 12/20/13

Wyoming -2: Just too much value here with the home team....SMU is better in some of the power rankings I've seen but a deeper look at their previous games reveals they haven't really beaten anyone as good as Wyoming away from home this season....many metrics/stats are the same....I like a home team that shoots significantly better from the FT line - in a tight game that will be HUGE....Cowboys win this one by around 10

I was looking at a couple others but as I researched I found none worth any value....I really like Utah St. again tonite but something is weird with that line....should be about 2-3 points higher and that scares me....BOL gentlemen!

gl tonight Kramer 

Minny scares me because they are weak. What I mean by that is that I have watched about half of their games and in doing so have noticed that they lack the 'killer instinct'. That is the desire to 'put away their opponent' on a consistent basis . Quite often they will get up by 12, 15, 18 points and then that is it. They cannot or will not give that extra push in the last 5 minutes or so of the game to close out the cover. The frustrating part (for me at least) is that I believe they have the talent to do so.

YTD: 42-33-4

Sunday 12/29/13

Drexel -7.5: Taking the home team Dragons in this one as they should take this one by double digits....the stats are about even - Buffalo is a little better on offense & Drexel a little better on defense and rebounding....turnovers may play the big difference here as Drexel is in the top 5 in D-I in turnovers per game while Buffalo is in the bottom 35 - Buffalo nearly turns the ball over TWICE as much as Drexel....Buffalo has also been pretty bad away from home (0-4 in road & neutral games) against some underwhelming opponents like Niagara & Canisius

May have another one later in the day....GL everyone!

YTD: 42-33-4

Sunday 12/29/13

Drexel -7.5: Taking the home team Dragons in this one as they should take this one by double digits....the stats are about even - Buffalo is a little better on offense & Drexel a little better on defense and rebounding....turnovers may play the big difference here as Drexel is in the top 5 in D-I in turnovers per game while Buffalo is in the bottom 35 - Buffalo nearly turns the ball over TWICE as much as Drexel....Buffalo has also been pretty bad away from home (0-4 in road & neutral games) against some underwhelming opponents like Niagara & Canisius

Oregon -24: All the metrics point to this one getting ugly real fast & staying that way all game long for Morgan State....Oregon not only has an edge but outright dominates almost every statistical category....2 in particular are FT shooting & 3-Pt shooting as Morgan St. is AWFUL in both aspects....I see the Ducks by 30 + in this one

That's it from me today....GL guys!