Last2Thirst - Conf Play Picks

Play #1 - UNC Greensboro -12.5 x 2U   boo yah!!!

Also:

Play #2 Stanford -3 x 1U

Play #3 - TCU - 1.5 x 1U

Play #4 -Boston College +14 x HALF U  

YES GUY!!! TCU boo yah....Conference Play data is bearing fruit now.....don't make shit plays on minimal data....NOT GOOD ENOUGH and now I can follow high % data and tune out the rest. Let's see if Stanford can bring it home too

Play #1 - UNC Greensboro -12.5 x 2U   boo yah!!!

Also:

Play #2 Stanford -3 x 1U

Play #3 - TCU - 1.5 x 1U  

Play #4 -Boston College +14 x HALF U  

Stanford cannot hit shots ....East coast teams tend to have rough first games on the west coast after first landing ....nothing wrong with Wake's shooting tonight!

Thursday Double correlations and strong ATS biases:

NCAT+T +17.5 x HALF U now 

waiting on Elon - Campbell just before start...whomever is Fave, going with that side -1 to -2 x HALFU 

Bryant-Albany OVER 158.5 x HALF U now....when spread is strong for favorite but ranking zones are not, I tend to go OVER and assume my data senses a good offensive battle, with the dog pushing the favorite at home ...Bryant is fully capable of scoring 85-90 pts on Albany who gave up 87 vs Maine and Fordham and Bryant has a stronger offense than both those in my opinion....first game between got 158 pts

Delaware +5 x HALF U now

W. Kentucky +2.5 x 1U now > very adverse rank combo for favorite in my charts and fade of spread (double correlation)

Jacksonville -10 x  HALF U now and fishing for -9.5 for another HALF U> very strong ATS correlation with these ranks and greenlight on the spread 

SE Missouri St +3.5 x HALF U > double fade vs Morehead

Jacksonville St -1.5 x HALF U > going to wait until close to 7 pm ...strong correlation for them vs opponents rank but if the line flips, I don't want to be on MTSU

Florida Gulf  -6 x HALF U > good double correlation here ....it line drops, spread not good stats

Will have some more plays once I compare the 8pm games and later ones...getting these in now unless stated watching and might play closer to 7pm ....I am doing horses tonight too so I have to be careful and remember

Some updates on Bet spreads achieved before 7pm or others that changed when I laid them:

Delaware +5.5 is what I got

Elon -1 instead of the other way 

Temple +2.5 

Jacksonville St. -2

other half of Jacksonville bet @ Stetson got -8.5 

All the above were half U bets

UC San Diego -11.5 x HALF U

Oregon St BEAVERS!! -5.5 x 1U ....fave home team to bet and I like the OVER here too x HALFU OVER 145

NCAT+T +17.5 x HALF U 

waiting on Elon - Campbell just before start... x HALFU  > Elon -1  

Bryant-Albany OVER 158.5 x HALF U 

Delaware +5.5 x HALF U 

W. Kentucky +2.5 x 1U  

Jacksonville -10 x  HALF U now  and another HALF U -8.5 

SE Missouri St +3.5 x HALF U 

Jacksonville St -2 x HALF U 

Florida Gulf  -6 x HALF U  

UC San Diego -11.5 x HALF U  

 Oregon St BEAVERS!! -5.5 x 1U  x HALFU OVER 145  

7 - 6  + HALF U .... still not zinging for high % but positive cash.... and Kings has had 5 winning percentage days in a row after a nasty 2 week drop

Saturday plays:

Appalachian St. +5 x HALF U

Cornell Over 158 x HALF U

Parlay Half U:  Columbia ML with Coastal Carolina +5 with Grand Canyon ML > returns over +200

Teaser $30 each > pay +$33 profit return (5 pt change): Cornell +9 with Little Rock Under 134 with:

1. UIC +6

2. UIC Over 147

3. Kansas +1.5

4. Louisville -13

5. Northern Kentucky +3.5

6. Akron -2

HALF U > Yale +1 with Toledo +6.5 with UNDER 134 Little Rock with Kansas +1.5 > PAYS +1 U profit

Lines are tight early.....I forgot to post(send) late last night my 3 fave early plays:

Holy Cross +1

Under W.Mich 149.5 

Kentucky -10.5 

I have capped the whole slate but am watching lines.....and will post as the day goes on. Snowstorm about to start soon 

HALF U TEASERS 5 PT

Akron -2 with Arkansas St +6 with:

Clemson +10.5 

Duke - 0.5 

Grand Canyon -1

Charlotte -1 x HALF U....coming up ...good double correlation

Missouri -4 x 1U ....very good double correlation

Under Villanova 141.5 x 1 U

Under South Flor  147 x 1U