Looking at UOP vs agga. Kind of hard to cover back to back 25+ spreads...not a play yet but considering Pacific
Click on Gonzaga.....click on past results.....and have a gander at what Zags are doing to teams that they play way lower rated than them. They cannot slip up in their conference if they want a top seed with this team.....one of them or STM or BYU do not get to go to the big dance so most years so they are full on go mode every game until the Conference tourney
Zags were beating a lot of good teams with their lineup in the non-conference sched and sometime by a lot.....now when they play a 150-250 rank team, they beat them by 30-40 pts...
I like this line but I am watching instead
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Quote Originally Posted by nieldellacroce:
Looking at UOP vs agga. Kind of hard to cover back to back 25+ spreads...not a play yet but considering Pacific
Click on Gonzaga.....click on past results.....and have a gander at what Zags are doing to teams that they play way lower rated than them. They cannot slip up in their conference if they want a top seed with this team.....one of them or STM or BYU do not get to go to the big dance so most years so they are full on go mode every game until the Conference tourney
Zags were beating a lot of good teams with their lineup in the non-conference sched and sometime by a lot.....now when they play a 150-250 rank team, they beat them by 30-40 pts...
I went 8-3 +10.7*. Top 4 plays all came in. Took another bad beat on Tulsa-Cincy Under in ot. It was good by 18 in regulation. Went over by 1 real late.That's 3 bad beats in 2 nights. I should be on SVP.
If you can't close you can't cover.
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I went 8-3 +10.7*. Top 4 plays all came in. Took another bad beat on Tulsa-Cincy Under in ot. It was good by 18 in regulation. Went over by 1 real late.That's 3 bad beats in 2 nights. I should be on SVP.
Whoever is moving these totals and driving them up or down 5-10 points, even 11 points on a few, is really dialed in. I played against a couple of them and got burnt, I figured the BM couldn't be that far off at this point and respected the original impost and I lost. Some of them I was originally liking the same way they did but was waiting, hoping to get a better #. Next thing I know they have moved a bunch the wrong way for my play. So if you stay with your play you get the worst end of the price and are now playing a fracked (pc) #.
I've got some of them wrote down somewhere. I can't remember them all off the top of my head but a few come to mind. Texas-Ok St Tuesday went from 137 to 127 and ended up 61-58. Buffalo-Toledo went from 153 to 159 and it sailed over. Wyoming-SD St went from 146 to 135 and ended up 84-54. Temple-Houston went from 139 to 148.5, Bandit was watching the line move, sent me a message to play it under, it went over. StL-UMass went from 138 to 132, ended up 62-65, etc, etc.
Whoever these cats are they are sharper than a serpents tooth. They either have an acute understanding of the styles in the matchup and whose going to get their tempo or they have an algorithm from hello, or both.
I was checking Wiscy's total tonight fairly regularly hoping it might get played up a bit with Purdue backers.Soon as it dropped to 137 I fired. It was dropping like a rock right after that. All I know is these cats are hitting at a high %.
1* Wiscy-Purdue under 137
There are several technical trends for both teams that point to an under. I believe the style and physical matchups on the floor will support these trends.
Ttyl
If you can't close you can't cover.
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Thirsty
Whoever is moving these totals and driving them up or down 5-10 points, even 11 points on a few, is really dialed in. I played against a couple of them and got burnt, I figured the BM couldn't be that far off at this point and respected the original impost and I lost. Some of them I was originally liking the same way they did but was waiting, hoping to get a better #. Next thing I know they have moved a bunch the wrong way for my play. So if you stay with your play you get the worst end of the price and are now playing a fracked (pc) #.
I've got some of them wrote down somewhere. I can't remember them all off the top of my head but a few come to mind. Texas-Ok St Tuesday went from 137 to 127 and ended up 61-58. Buffalo-Toledo went from 153 to 159 and it sailed over. Wyoming-SD St went from 146 to 135 and ended up 84-54. Temple-Houston went from 139 to 148.5, Bandit was watching the line move, sent me a message to play it under, it went over. StL-UMass went from 138 to 132, ended up 62-65, etc, etc.
Whoever these cats are they are sharper than a serpents tooth. They either have an acute understanding of the styles in the matchup and whose going to get their tempo or they have an algorithm from hello, or both.
I was checking Wiscy's total tonight fairly regularly hoping it might get played up a bit with Purdue backers.Soon as it dropped to 137 I fired. It was dropping like a rock right after that. All I know is these cats are hitting at a high %.
1* Wiscy-Purdue under 137
There are several technical trends for both teams that point to an under. I believe the style and physical matchups on the floor will support these trends.
Showing 132.5 at youwager...looks like you are on to something. Time of year lends itself well to expertise. Conference play kicking off, out of the break.
Somebody knows something.
Never Make A Winner A Loser. Never.
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Showing 132.5 at youwager...looks like you are on to something. Time of year lends itself well to expertise. Conference play kicking off, out of the break.
Shhhhhhh!!!!! Don't let everyone know about my Broncos up in Santa Clara....Herb Sendek is imo a very good coach (he was savvy enough to pull James Harden out of So Cal to ASU) and gets some nice players to stay near home. It also doesn't hurt that Santa Clara is consistently in the Top 5 in the rankings of the hottest coeds on campus.
Nice little cover last night against the Waves!
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Shhhhhhh!!!!! Don't let everyone know about my Broncos up in Santa Clara....Herb Sendek is imo a very good coach (he was savvy enough to pull James Harden out of So Cal to ASU) and gets some nice players to stay near home. It also doesn't hurt that Santa Clara is consistently in the Top 5 in the rankings of the hottest coeds on campus.
Ol' Herbie did pretty good in Raleigh for the Wolfpack too. Had a lot of success there. Took them to the Big Dance regularly, won a Conference Tourney, was ACC coach of the year once.
He recruited ACC POY Julius Hodge.
They ran him out of town because he couldn't win much at all on Tobacco Road against Duke and UNC and couldn't deliver an ACC Title. Imagine that. Talk about expectations. That ACC is, has been, and always will be a rough grind.
If you can't close you can't cover.
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Irish7878
Ol' Herbie did pretty good in Raleigh for the Wolfpack too. Had a lot of success there. Took them to the Big Dance regularly, won a Conference Tourney, was ACC coach of the year once.
He recruited ACC POY Julius Hodge.
They ran him out of town because he couldn't win much at all on Tobacco Road against Duke and UNC and couldn't deliver an ACC Title. Imagine that. Talk about expectations. That ACC is, has been, and always will be a rough grind.
I've been plugging your thread in mine and a few others threads. Telling them it is an interesting and informative read that they will enjoy and can use to their benefit.
If you can't close you can't cover.
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Thirsty
I've been plugging your thread in mine and a few others threads. Telling them it is an interesting and informative read that they will enjoy and can use to their benefit.
Shhhhhhh!!!!! Don't let everyone know about my Broncos up in Santa Clara....Herb Sendek is imo a very good coach (he was savvy enough to pull James Harden out of So Cal to ASU) and gets some nice players to stay near home. It also doesn't hurt that Santa Clara is consistently in the Top 5 in the rankings of the hottest coeds on campus.
Nice little cover last night against the Waves!
Thanks Irish....nice to see you here
I got schooled this year in NCAAF....stats analysis did not matter much there.....but here, stats lend themselves to college ball plus a working knowledge of tendencies of home teams and what happens when Vegas posts a fresh line.
On football, I believe Clemson was playing possum all year long....looked OK....whenever I watched them and Bama looked like they could have another gear if they wanted to....but nope.
Santa Clara had cost me money for 2 yrs straight starting about 5 yrs ago....I learned....play them at home. Wife lived in Santa Clara for a while and everyone thought she was Julia Roberts...haha....but now she is older and Julia is looking younger!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Quote Originally Posted by Irish7878:
Shhhhhhh!!!!! Don't let everyone know about my Broncos up in Santa Clara....Herb Sendek is imo a very good coach (he was savvy enough to pull James Harden out of So Cal to ASU) and gets some nice players to stay near home. It also doesn't hurt that Santa Clara is consistently in the Top 5 in the rankings of the hottest coeds on campus.
Nice little cover last night against the Waves!
Thanks Irish....nice to see you here
I got schooled this year in NCAAF....stats analysis did not matter much there.....but here, stats lend themselves to college ball plus a working knowledge of tendencies of home teams and what happens when Vegas posts a fresh line.
On football, I believe Clemson was playing possum all year long....looked OK....whenever I watched them and Bama looked like they could have another gear if they wanted to....but nope.
Santa Clara had cost me money for 2 yrs straight starting about 5 yrs ago....I learned....play them at home. Wife lived in Santa Clara for a while and everyone thought she was Julia Roberts...haha....but now she is older and Julia is looking younger!
I've been plugging your thread in mine and a few others threads. Telling them it is an interesting and informative read that they will enjoy and can use to their benefit.
No problem..... but Funk I will tell you that I am 3 yrs from finishing my professional job and during two points of the year, I get swamped and that time is now.....so its great having you here and I will be on the Conference play like a fat kid on a Hershey Bar come Feb.....just updating my rankings and surfing for some juicy plays.
I won't even make a play tonight because you found the gems! I expect I will be capping like mad tonight over a few double scotches or bourbons so expect to see me visible tomorrow.
As always, much appreciated you are here.....its great having one of the best in the business sharing the thread
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Quote Originally Posted by FunKyRufus:
Thirsty
I've been plugging your thread in mine and a few others threads. Telling them it is an interesting and informative read that they will enjoy and can use to their benefit.
No problem..... but Funk I will tell you that I am 3 yrs from finishing my professional job and during two points of the year, I get swamped and that time is now.....so its great having you here and I will be on the Conference play like a fat kid on a Hershey Bar come Feb.....just updating my rankings and surfing for some juicy plays.
I won't even make a play tonight because you found the gems! I expect I will be capping like mad tonight over a few double scotches or bourbons so expect to see me visible tomorrow.
As always, much appreciated you are here.....its great having one of the best in the business sharing the thread
Play #1 Virginia -5.5 (3 Units)....my initial gut was, this line should be -7.5 on first glance or higher.....Sagarin and Eigenvector confirm it should likely be even higher than this....putting the capping pressure on myself early....love it ......next one has to be 6 U on the double
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Saturday: Double UP Day!
Play #1 Virginia -5.5 (3 Units)....my initial gut was, this line should be -7.5 on first glance or higher.....Sagarin and Eigenvector confirm it should likely be even higher than this....putting the capping pressure on myself early....love it ......next one has to be 6 U on the double
Play #3 Minnesota -9 (1x)...key player out for Rutgers and they don't score a lot....he is worth almost 15 pts per game....Minny can be a very tough home court. This could be close if Rutgers is effective defensively but I am thinking more this is going to be a blowout close by 12-18 pts
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Play #3 Minnesota -9 (1x)...key player out for Rutgers and they don't score a lot....he is worth almost 15 pts per game....Minny can be a very tough home court. This could be close if Rutgers is effective defensively but I am thinking more this is going to be a blowout close by 12-18 pts
Play #3 Minnesota -9 (1x)...key player out for Rutgers and they don't score a lot....he is worth almost 15 pts per game....Minny can be a very tough home court. This could be close if Rutgers is effective defensively but I am thinking more this is going to be a blowout close by 12-18 pts
I just put in my noon plays - 1 unit on UVA -5.5 and 1.5 on Minnesota -9.
It feels like good karma for the next page I opened to be yours with these same two plays.
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Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Play #3 Minnesota -9 (1x)...key player out for Rutgers and they don't score a lot....he is worth almost 15 pts per game....Minny can be a very tough home court. This could be close if Rutgers is effective defensively but I am thinking more this is going to be a blowout close by 12-18 pts
I just put in my noon plays - 1 unit on UVA -5.5 and 1.5 on Minnesota -9.
It feels like good karma for the next page I opened to be yours with these same two plays.
My mistake. KENT ST did go into VU and hung the only home loss on the Commodores this year before OLE MISS this past week. Ive go to get glasses. Sorry
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My mistake. KENT ST did go into VU and hung the only home loss on the Commodores this year before OLE MISS this past week. Ive go to get glasses. Sorry
My mistake. KENT ST did go into VU and hung the only home loss on the Commodores this year before OLE MISS this past week. Ive go to get glasses. Sorry
All good ....critical analysis is necessary sometimes....I can make mistakes too
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Quote Originally Posted by GBARK:
My mistake. KENT ST did go into VU and hung the only home loss on the Commodores this year before OLE MISS this past week. Ive go to get glasses. Sorry
All good ....critical analysis is necessary sometimes....I can make mistakes too
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I expect I will be capping like mad tonight over a few double scotches or bourbons so expect to see me visible tomorrow.
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