NIT : Oklahoma St -1.5

@Wizerguy

 Yes analytics show Okla St will win this comfortably. Best I cash out and take the small loss. 

@Coloneljim

 Its close now..I believe Oki St will pull away 2h. BOL moving forward Colonel

@Coloneljim

 That's a good idea. They did not come to play. Better games all week

Hahahahha as always the march madness is a Craziness

@PayDayMx

 It is..expect the unexpected

All that write up and reasoning and books set the line at -1.5 lol. If Cowboys are so dominant at home why on earth was spread only 1.5. And yes i took NT

@YELAWOLF

 Win some..lose some... a little late with your prediction and I didnt see you post it.. but you read it perfectly and won. Congrats, you're on your way to 10k

@Wizerguy

For me...North Texas was the two seed and Okie State was the four seed. The line also was minus 1 for Oklahoma St even though they were the home team. Not only did the tournament view N. Texas as the better team, but so did the odds makers. Throw in the line did not move all day even though Okie was getting most of the bets and it made for a perfect contrarian play (go against public).

Defense is defense. It travels and it does not care what league one plays in. N. Texas plays defense as good as anybody in the country. Throw in the fact that North Texas was 26-8 and Okie St had a losing record (regardless of schedule), and their Kenpom ranking was #69 compared to #96 for Okie State...there was only one way to bet for me.   

See you at the next battle...

@River_fish

 Thats the mistake I made brother. When I went back over how I lost, Oklahoma St's B12 recent home opponents ..not one of them played any defense. NT was the best defense  they faced. 

Good thing when I seen what was actually happening ie Oklahoma not even had a lead at anytime of the game. I bet ML on NT  a little bit but still lost some coin

Nice Job brother

@River_fish

 I just learned something from you today..i missed a few key elements of yours. Thanks , this will help me moving forward with this CBB stuff, which Im still trying to get a bead on..

we should get our money back for having to endure that game.  it was fucking brutal....Ok State is a terrible team.  The amount of rushed shots, bad shots....missed free throws, stupid fouls....it was garbage basketball all around

@CubsWoo

    I dont want my money back, because to me. The information  learned from @River_fish is worth a million dollars moving forward and when another situation like this arises and it will for us students of the CBB game, this informatiom is vital.  Even the simplest element that he mentions ie > N.Texas Kenpom Rating of #69 vs Oklahoma Sts #96 should not have been overlooked.

    You will learn more by not asking for your lost money back, but by going back on the capping and asking yourself how you lost the game.

     The one simple element I neglected to look at, which I normally do, Is where N.Texas was on the Kenpom chart. However,  because of my impatience and not looking further into details, I lost 1100, when in all reality..I should have won 1100 I took my model for granted that because Oki St  tougher sched at home scoring 80 and giving up 68. I failed to further my capping on the defenses that Okl st played in that 4 game home series in order to achieve that 80 ppg.  When I went back, it clearly showed that regardless of schedule and the margin of victory. Okl St never played a caliber of defense in that recent form home game series that N.Texas brought into the arena and it was  being played out right in front of my eyes from the tip. 

     I asked myself..did I make a mistake. The clear answer was ..Yes. Thats why live wagering is a very valuable tool, and I took full advantage of it to at least lesson the loss. 

     Thats why this forum is valuable because of members like @River_fish

Not a problem and I appreciate the compliments, but let’s not forget this was still a close game and could have went the other way. I was on the right side this time. 

I just wanted to share my angle and reasoning! Best of luck to everyone! 

I really want to fire on Loyola-Chico today. I don’t see them losing. Maybe parlay ML with Nuggets today.

@River_fish

 You were definetly on the right side GL moving forward

Terrible FT shooting. NT was good all night up until end of the game then started to miss and let OSU get close. But 56% from the FT line at home?! Bad 

this line last night at Hardrock moved to N Texas -1.5   and all others stayed at +1   HMMM  I was on N Texas     wondering if other books moved it before game time 

Missed free throws killed this ok state win. I ended up getting them live at +2.5 in addition to my 2.5 unit original bet so almost broke even….was at work and blindly hit Cavs live -6.5 and made up the rest. 
good luck to everyone this is going to be a great week. This is where we make our money guys.

@River_fish

 Defense travel ... I like that.  Thank you.

Crushed the Loyola and Nuggets parlay last night for huge cash...

Nice hit 

Thanks 

Oklahoma State was one of the worst bets ever - Who ever said they were good, is grossly uniformed. That was one of the toughest watches, ever... the UNC Girls looked better. If you're not sure - don't claim ya are. State sucks, and anyone who follows this woulda known that.