Postseason Plays

Howard ML -160 vs Wagner

4.8 Units to win 3

Narrow winning overall records for both, but Howard's SoS is about 30 spots higher. One common opponent is Coppin St, who Howard beat comfortably twice while Wagner trailed Coppin St for 37 minutes, at times by double digits, before mounting comeback for a one possession win. The other common opponent is BU, who Howard significantly outrebounded in double digit win, while Wagner was blown out @ home and outrebounded by BU 40-26. Along w/ Howard's stark size/rebounding edge, Bison are also top 150 nationally in fg %, while Wagner is bottom 5 in nation. That's bottom 5 overall, not bottom 5%, making Wagner the worst shooting team to ever make the tourney. There are just too many paths to victory for Howard here, while Wagner demands close to a perfect game to pull off the perceived slight upset. @bookie_crushers

Good luck BC.  

ParLock:

Ohio St ML -600 vs Cornell
Utah ML -300 vs UC Irvine

5.4 Units to win 3

Cornell regressed badly to end szn. In fact, their off/def efficiency metrics in Feb/March dropped more than 50 spots. Meanwhile, Buckeyes are arguably the most talented + motivated team in the tournament given how they ended szn and promoting interim coach (opposite of Cornell). All 9 of Irvine's losses are on road and they fully expected to be playing in NCAA tourney. Now Irvine goes on road vs Utah team that had most drastic home/road splits in Pac 12, in favor of their home court advantage, and they've been prepping for NIT since last Thursday. Irvine just went through their pain less than 72 hours ago.

    hope you have a winning tourney....thanks for posting...

Does Ohio St wanna be there? Biggest favorite in NIT tends not to cover. Wouldn't be surprised if they lose.

Boston College +4 vs Providence (-115)

3 Units

Off/Def efficiency ratings for both teams average out similarly. This was a disappointing szn for Friars who were projected a tourney team preszn and then a top 5 seed till Hopkins went down. Contrastingly, BC making any postseason play is a big accomplishment for their program and they ended the season with more momentum than Providence. Back the more motivated team getting 2 possessions.

@smellybunty

Absolutely. With Diebler just getting promoted. Winning the NIT might be more valuable to them than any other program so everyone in program feels right choice was made, transfers stay, etc.

Wagner with better rated defense. Howard is in the bottom 10 at turnovers per possession, turning the ball over 20.8 % of the time. That would scare me, especially playing on a neutral floor.

Kansas St vs Iowa OVER 156 (-115)

3 Units

Total is being deflated by Iowa's worst shooting gm of szn last wk and KSU's last 3 gms vs top 3 conf defense in UT and playing best defense in nation twice (not Houston). Iowa is favored at home, so their crappy D and high octane offense is much more likely to dictate game flow. @bookie_crushers

@RebelTell2

Fair. You won't dissuade me, but the more info for everyone the better. 

South Florida vs UCF OVER 139 (-115)

3 Units

UCF's only opponent since start of February who was a conf top 5 pace/off efficiency opponent was BYU who UCF combined for 160 and 178 against. USF is top 90 nationally in ppg and opponents' ppg and I expect some DGAF defense with both teams freerolling in unexpected NIT spots. @bookie_crushers

my lines were off 1/2 point on 3 games so i did each as 2tp with bulls ml ...... so its bc +3- (+150)..kansas state and iowa  over 156-  (+120)...south fla vs ucf over 139-   (+121) ...worse line but at least better juice

@Bookie_Crushers

@PUSSYGALORE333

Good luck! I just post the line when I get it off the site with the best # and am also copy and pasting twitter posts for earlier so sometimes it will be hard to find so just go with the closest.

Montana St ML -165 vs Grambling

4.95 Units to win 3

Colorado vs Boise St UNDER 141 (-115)

3 Units

Appalachian St +8 vs Wake Forest (-115)

3 Units

VCU +7 vs Villanova (-115)

3 Units

ParLock:

Indiana St ML -290 vs SMU
Austin Peay ML -1000 vs Alabama A&M

6.2 Units to win 3

Indiana St 1ST HALF ML -200 vs SMU

4 Units to win 2

thru post #11   (4-1)  +720 ...(100x=unit).....VERY NICE START....   thx 4 posting here

How TF are Grambling in the 68?

Their Kenpom is around 270!!!

@Ramanujan

 Yup. Ride the bobcats.

@PUSSYGALORE333

 ty. Let's keep it rolling for the next 3 weeks.

Creighton -12 vs Akron (-115)

4 Units

Huge prep edge for Creighton off disappointing early BE exit. Akron's major statistical strengths are defensive (vs weaker comp) and significantly outranked by Creighton's offensive strengths. The great equalizing 3 ptr shouldn't be a concern as Akron ranks bottom 20% nationally. Akron is top 10 nationally in Luck rating in last 5 gms, including wild comeback vs pedestrian Ohio and miracle foul by 8 seed Kent St in conf ship. Akron will be drained emotionally in this early tourney spot, while Creighton's fumes have turned into a forest fire over past wk. @bookie_crushers