You lose one friggin game and all of a sudden you can't handicap. Are you bashers serious?? Give me at least a month before you start bashing. Are any of you geniuses familiar with a term called "variance"?
For all of you bashers who thought I was going to never return after 1 loss, sorry to disappoint you. I will have picks for tomorrow, Saturday and many more days to come. For anyone following my picks, never and I mean NEVER bet more than 2% of your bankroll.
See you guys real soon.....
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
You lose one friggin game and all of a sudden you can't handicap. Are you bashers serious?? Give me at least a month before you start bashing. Are any of you geniuses familiar with a term called "variance"?
For all of you bashers who thought I was going to never return after 1 loss, sorry to disappoint you. I will have picks for tomorrow, Saturday and many more days to come. For anyone following my picks, never and I mean NEVER bet more than 2% of your bankroll.
Post winners and you will get your respect. Post losers, and you will get trashed. I'll give you a month. Not that I am going to tail you but I will keep and eye on you and give you your props if you win. If not, then expect to get what you deserve!!
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Post winners and you will get your respect. Post losers, and you will get trashed. I'll give you a month. Not that I am going to tail you but I will keep and eye on you and give you your props if you win. If not, then expect to get what you deserve!!
Northern Colo at their own place is almost always a play for me, especially when they are playing their conference opponents from the deep south. Did not like todays game though.
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Northern Colo at their own place is almost always a play for me, especially when they are playing their conference opponents from the deep south. Did not like todays game though.
Northern Colo at their own place is almost always a play for me, especially when they are playing their conference opponents from the deep south. Did not like todays game though.
I meant Denver University, They have the great home advantage against Conference opponents from the South.
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Quote Originally Posted by Tailer:
Northern Colo at their own place is almost always a play for me, especially when they are playing their conference opponents from the deep south. Did not like todays game though.
I meant Denver University, They have the great home advantage against Conference opponents from the South.
But yes i frown on people who bet on undefeated teams getting points.
It only causes them bad habits.
I know, but newbie betters think they are getting something over on the Bookies who offer the unbeaten team a point in it's first conference game of the year, and on the road, to boot.
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:
But yes i frown on people who bet on undefeated teams getting points.
It only causes them bad habits.
I know, but newbie betters think they are getting something over on the Bookies who offer the unbeaten team a point in it's first conference game of the year, and on the road, to boot.
Taking a 7-0 team to win by only 1 bucket over a 2-3 team.
I could care less about the record of these two teams. I don't care about the record of a pitcher in baseball either. I am looking at statistics that I consider to be important in handicapping a basketball game.
My only concern with this game is the SOS of N. Colo vs. Montana State. MS has played a far more difficult schedule this year and the numbers can be skewed when considering SOS.
One stat that is of particular importance to me is PPP or points per possesion. N. Colo is vastly superior to Montana State in this category with NCO averaging 1.025 PPP offensively and giving up .944 PPP defensively. MS is averaging .949 PPP offensively and is giving up 1.008 PPP on the defensive sided of the ball.
Another thing I like to see is a team that gets to the FT line far more than their opponent and that is certainly the case here. NCO scores 29% of their points from the FT line while Montana scores 10% of theirs from the FT line. This stat tells me that regardless of competition, NCO is looking to attack the basket while MS is not. I like aggressive teams that attack the basket and can finish at the FT line. NCO also shoots a much better % from the FT line than MS which has nothing to do with SOS, but the fundamentals of shooting.
I also like to see who the returning players are for this game. NCO swept the season series last year with MS in pretty decisive fashion. Not only did they sweep them, but the same players from last year are involved in this game.
NCO 77-50 at home
NCO 65-55 on road
I have so many other angles and statistics that I use to handicap a game, but these are some basic things I look at when evaluating whether to put my money on a play. I could very well lose this game, but I am convinced I am on the right side.
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:
WOW !!!!
Taking a 7-0 team to win by only 1 bucket over a 2-3 team.
I could care less about the record of these two teams. I don't care about the record of a pitcher in baseball either. I am looking at statistics that I consider to be important in handicapping a basketball game.
My only concern with this game is the SOS of N. Colo vs. Montana State. MS has played a far more difficult schedule this year and the numbers can be skewed when considering SOS.
One stat that is of particular importance to me is PPP or points per possesion. N. Colo is vastly superior to Montana State in this category with NCO averaging 1.025 PPP offensively and giving up .944 PPP defensively. MS is averaging .949 PPP offensively and is giving up 1.008 PPP on the defensive sided of the ball.
Another thing I like to see is a team that gets to the FT line far more than their opponent and that is certainly the case here. NCO scores 29% of their points from the FT line while Montana scores 10% of theirs from the FT line. This stat tells me that regardless of competition, NCO is looking to attack the basket while MS is not. I like aggressive teams that attack the basket and can finish at the FT line. NCO also shoots a much better % from the FT line than MS which has nothing to do with SOS, but the fundamentals of shooting.
I also like to see who the returning players are for this game. NCO swept the season series last year with MS in pretty decisive fashion. Not only did they sweep them, but the same players from last year are involved in this game.
NCO 77-50 at home
NCO 65-55 on road
I have so many other angles and statistics that I use to handicap a game, but these are some basic things I look at when evaluating whether to put my money on a play. I could very well lose this game, but I am convinced I am on the right side.
it has nothing really to do with the bashers to be honest...it has to do with the way you introduced yourself with a poor "LOCK" with a shit Princeton team and it never really even had a chance if you come in quietly, make winning picks, people respect, thats why i get no respect because i dont make winning picks
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it has nothing really to do with the bashers to be honest...it has to do with the way you introduced yourself with a poor "LOCK" with a shit Princeton team and it never really even had a chance if you come in quietly, make winning picks, people respect, thats why i get no respect because i dont make winning picks
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if you come in quietly, make winning picks, people respect, thats why i get no respect because i dont make winning picks
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