Vegas vs KenPom System

Great work beaverfan! I did this a few weeks back and reintroduced it yesterday, then just noticed this thread. Great minds think alike eh. I've been doing the totals as well. They have been working quite a bit. I started up a thread with the plays that I have, however on the spreads very similar to yours. I also like how you use the larger differences the higher the spread.

Keep up the Great Work!!

Maybe I read this wrong the first time. You're saying that the team with the Higher AdjD number (the worse defensive team) covers the spread? In your Vandy example, Vandy at 61 would be the play over Tenn at 48 (a better defense)

beaverfan23 and all others on this board, your system is flawed and unproven. i have been a kenpom fanatic for 3 years, watching the website like a hawk. The way to bet and win with kenpom is to do the exact opposite of your system.

examples

last week kenpom had george mason winning by 3 vs virginia commonwealth. well virginia comm was -1.5...this tells me there is a 4 point diff in the spread to take george mason. Who wins? George mason blows the arms off vcomm.

The very next night Indiana state plays @ southern illinois. kenpom has indiana state winning by 3 and southern illinois is 1 point favorite. the play is indiana state +1 and wouldnt you know it Indiana state wins outright.

saturday kenpom had vandy beating auburn by 15 the line was 11 so the play would be vandy -11 and wouldnt ya know vandy wins.

also on saturday kenpom had george mason beating northern iowa by 3 and northern iowa was a 1 point fav and george mason wins bt 6

also on saturday kenpom had byu winning by 20 or 21 cant really remember, the line was 15 or 16 so you play byu and imagine this, byu destroys tcu.

also on saturday kenpom had cincy beating providence by 3 or 4, when the line came out it was a pick so with the system u should have taken cincy, and although it went into overtme cincy wins and covers.

kenpom did have one loser on saturday and that was ole miss vs miss st, he had ole miss winning  and ofcourse they didnt win, i do not remember the exact spread numbers but it did fit the 4 point difference.

on sunday kenpom had cal beating ucla by 2, when i bet the game ucla was fav by 2 so thats a 4 point difference and we all know cal won the hame striaght up.

If kenpom has a line 4 points or more off of what vegas does, go with kenpom. if the kenpom line is 6 or 7 points off in a game where the line is less than 10 points. bet ur house on what kenpom says.

Do not listen to this fool, that has an untested system. i have been doing this for years and making a killing.

Tonight xavier is a play -14 and vandy if the line for some odd reason goes to 5.

please note on some high spreads above 20 a 7 point difference is a good bet because of the better team taking out thier good players towards the end of a blowout.

This system is the only proven one to work year in and out.

Please do not be fooled by any man that shaves his beaver!

Would Michigan State be a play?

Vegas has them at +2.5 and Ken Po has at +4?

For the last 3 or 4 weeks it is at 62% with sides and totals. Just saying...

That being said, I do not play the games that cross over ZERO. If KP has one side and Vegas has the other I have thrown those games out as they were losing when fading KP...Maybe MWM has a point, on those.)