2022 College Football Bowl Season (SUPER PICKS INSIDE-All Games)

I have a feeling we’re going to be hearing from chillinghardon a lot tonight 

@TheReelPhilD

 You obviously put in a lot of  time & effort in posting your writeups for the forum members.

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Alamo Bowl

Texas Longhorns -3 ($3300 to win $3000)

This is a big one. The Longhorns are another one of those programs that feels they are on the verge of being "Back" and they had a tremendous season and they are playing in Texas. The stage is set for a huge performance and tone setting win for next season. This spread was almost designed for everyone to take Washington. The Horns will be missing superstar RB Bijan Robison as well as some key players on defense. Not ideal that's for sure but next man up. You know I love taking teams that come into the Bowl season hot and Texas have won three of their last four games. Washington also comes in super hot winning six straight games to make it here and the QB battle of Quinn Ewers (Texas) vs. Michael Pennix Jr (Washington) is a tremendous one. Both are playing really well and both have been mentioned in 2023 Heisman conversation. This is the first Bowl Game since Chris Petersen left in 2019 for Washington while Texas comes in having won four straight Bowl Games with their last loss coming in 2014. Questioning how Texas does in the Alamo Bowl? They beat a really good Utah team 38-10 in 2019 and destroyed Colorado 55-23 in 2020.

We already know how bad defenses are for the most part in the PAC 12 (although much better than they used to be) and Washington ranks dead last in efficiency allowing 368.8 total yards per game and ranking #90 against the pass while allowing 241.8 passing yards per game. Not good. Quinn Ewers has a statement to make and I'm sure he's sick and tired of hearing about Pennix Jr  on the other side. Sure losing Bijan Robinson hurts but Texas scored 28 touchdowns on the ground this season and 10 were from other players not named Bijan Robinson. They can do this. Now can they stop the #1 ranked passing attack of Washington is the real question people are asking and I think they can. Not completely but they can make some plays. Nobody is expected to stop these two offenses but in a battle of star quarterbacks I like Ewers who like I just mentioned is probably sick of hearing about his counterpart and comments like "The 2023 Heisman campaign begins tonight for Michael Pennix Jr". 

Texas comes into this game 4-0 ATS in their last four Bowl Games and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus PAC 12 Conference opponents. That's significant because their last two appearances in this Bowl Game they've absolutely destroyed their PAC 12 opponents. The Horns are also 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games versus non-conference opponents and are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games played on a neutral site. Washington is 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games versus Big 12 Conference opponents and have struggled on grass surfaces going 1-5 ATS in their last six. Something about Texas playing in Texas and playing in the Alamo Bowl. They've been tremendous and tonight should be no different as new stars should emerge in the run game. I'm going BIG on Texas.

Damn both 3k plays gonna lose 

All of these defense’s stink!

@SportyTrojan

 Jumping the gun a little on the Texas game. It’s still the first quarter and you’re already calling it a loser. How about you actually watch the game and quit trying to predict the results after the first 10 minutes 

@Coondog23

 Still confident in the play but they still all stink!

@1Gamer

 I agree. But calling a loser after 10 minutes when it’s a one score game doesn’t help anyone. We need positive stuff on here. These guys who put the work in and handicap these games don’t need to be ridiculed when the games go the wrong way. We all just need to be grateful that they take the time to do the write ups and look into all the ins and outs of these matchups. They aren’t throwing darts and we all need to understand the time they put in. We’re all lucky to have some people willing to help out. 

i think this guy sucks goes against his own rules after he said he shouldnt have done it after he lost yesterday then he does it anyway on florida state and guess what lost just like an idiot and texas you dont know anything yes a 10-2 team has no defense well looks like texas has no defense just stop embarrassing yourself with these picks only plays you did good is mac

Same thing happened in the soccer forum. He was on fire for the first round of world cup then upped his bets, lost a bunch, then disappeared. Hopefully the same thing doesn't happen here.

You had a great run. Im fading

did same thing at rx, would be down then chase with a 50-unit play, then lose that and chase again with a 100-unit play of the week or some shit, then lost that and disappeared

It's  easy to  tell everyone they suck  isnt it.  show some class.   

correct me if wrong but reelphil is still hitting 68% not including texas, which is a great record so far!

Trolls went after Alien1 then wahoo .. now they come here lol 

@tony402

 Instead of telling us how much you don't like his plays, why don't you post your plays up so we can see how good you are, you know..."put up or shut up"!

C'mon, boy, man up!

Best thing you can do during a cold stretch is take a day off and clear the mind. 

Hot start to bowl games, but regression is kicking in and sounds like your forcing plays based on your writings of switching back and forth on your approach. You dont take DD favs but u did twice and both dogs covered with ease. 

I mean 1 4th down lucky backdoor SU TD away from 6 Ls in a row. 

Not the time to increase wager amounts, take tomorrow off come back sat focused. 

Good Luck snapping back to the winning side 

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Friday, December 30

Duke's Mayo Bowl

Maryland Terrapins +1 ($1100 to win $1000)

I'm not sure people have done their research for this Bowl Game. Those who did will have an advantage here because NC State is going to be missing a lot for this one. Maryland could be too. We don't even know who is going to play quarterback for North Carolina State (Ben Finley or MJ Morris?). What I think should also be considered is that this was supposed to be a huge year for NC State where they play for an ACC Conference Championship and win at least 10 games but neither of those two things is going to happen and they've already had their big game against North Carolina in the regular season finale. This could be a mini letdown spot. This group of Terps broke a three Bowl losing streak last year with a thumping of the Virginia Tech Hokies and I'm sure they'll want another taste of that.

More on NC State in this one. Their offensive coordinator is gone to Coastal Carolina and they already come into this game ranked #103 in the Nation in total yards per game and have had a ton of problems running the ball in 2022. Maryland will be missing quite a few receivers for this game but WR Jeshaun Jones is playing in this one and should have an impact against an NC State defense who's weakness is against the pass. Maryland's defense is a lot better than they get credit for and with both teams likely struggling on offense they could play a big part in this game. The QB situation at NC State is a mess right now. Word is QB MJ Morris won't be able to go but NC State refuses to say it. If QB Ben Finley gets the call, which is likely to happen, this team is in trouble. Sure he was great in the win over UNC but Maryland has the #49 ranked points scored defense in the Country and have been solid enough to make stops and force turnovers. Maryland QB Taulia Tagovailoa is easily the best QB in this game and he had a really solid year. He also has his top WR. In a messy game I like the Terps.

This could be an ugly one. A lot of NC State games are ugly. Maryland comes into this game 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus ACC Conference opponents and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games verus non-conference opponents. NC State have been great in Bowl Games when it comes to covering spreads but they come into this game off a disappointing season where they finished the year 2-7 ATS in their last nine games and I really think the win over UNC was their big "moral victory" for this season and this Bowl Game likely won't matter as much with huge question marks at QB and their OC gone to Coastal.

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Sun Bowl

UCLA Bruins -8 ($1100 to win $1000)

I really have to start respecting my own rules for the Bowl Season, something that has led me to 2-3 losses in the last few days. In my pre-Bowl season notes I had this game as a double digt game where UCLA would be favored by double digits but the oddsmakers didn't see it that way so I'm comfortable taking them even at such a high numbers. Pittsburgh is missing basically everyone for this game. I so badly wanted to back them because they won their last four games to make it here and looked really good late in the season but they have way too many players missing for my liking. The Panthers have only 2 wins in their last 9 Bowl Games and those wins came against MAC Conference teams. Exciting times for UCLA however. Sure they're disappointed at blowing a great chance to carve a path to the PAC 12 Championship Game but this is their first Bowl Game since 2017 and would be their first Bowl Game win since 2015.

There are no major opt outs for UCLA in this game and it's all hands on deck. Pittsburgh on the other hand won't be recognizable. QB Keldon Slovis is gone. In comes backup QB Nick Patti and trust me even if he's been around for a while it will be tough sledding. RB Izzy Abinakanda is also sitting this out so there goes a first team ALL-ACC player with his 1431 rushing yards in 2022 and although the running game is still solid the Panthers also lose two of their top offensive linemen for this game. Brutal. Physicality was always going to be a problem for Pitt in this game and now that they are missing their toughness up front and playing with a backup QB this is going to be a problem. Chip Kelly is not the type of coach to hold back. He'll score and keep scoring with the #3 total yards per game offense in the Country and the #4 run game in the Nation. This is a veteran team with little to no major opt outs in this one. Bruins should roll.

Pittsburgh comes into this game as one of the worst Bowl Teams of the last decade and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six Bowl Games. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a winning record on the season 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus non-conference opponents. Now the big names have bailed on them for this Bowl Game. This is the first Bowl Game for UCLA in a long time (2017) and we don't really know what to expect under Chip Kelly but this is a great chance to finish the year with 10 wins by blowing out a helpless opponent and head into a huge 2023 season. I think they get it done.

Gotta love the people who just lurk on a thread until there’s some losses, so they can complain and talk shit. Pretty sad that’s how they fill there day.

If you don’t like someone’s pick or betting amounts, it’s pretty easy to not view the thread. 

so many people hating when we’re all on the same team. 

@alexjdoty

 The losers who talk shit when a loss happens, are the ones who cant afford to gamble anyway.  These guys need their jaws broken for talking wreckless, maybe that would teach them a lesson. Internet tough guys who sit in front of their computers and beat their little peckers till it spits dust. 

Win or lose- gambling is a skill. If it was easy everyone would do it and WIN!!! apparently these bums dont understand and expect to be 100% but the smart people know that is not reality. Heres to a profitable friday

PhilD.  Really appreciate all the work you put into your picks.  Thanks for posting!!!!!  

@TheReelPhilD

 I read that Morris is likely to be the starter. Does that change your opinion of the nc st /maryland game?

@TheReelPhilD

 Good luck 

@CuSe_Nation

Spot on, couldn’t agree more! Crazy how many fake tough guys the internet has created. No consequences as they sit behind a screen.

Good luck today! 

The far majority of us really appreciate the research and picks, Phil!