2022 College Football Bowl Season (SUPER PICKS INSIDE-All Games)

@PerfectStorm

 You’re not bein mean at all. It wouldn’t let me start a thread cause it was my first day as a member 

Wow! Epic run. Good work Phil!! 

Bowl Season Recap

Miami-Ohio +10.5

Troy +1

Louisville -2

Oregon State -8.5

Fresno State -4

Southern Miss -6.5

Southern Methodist -4

North Texas +10.5

Marshall -12

Eastern Michigan +3.5

Toledo -3.5

9-2 ATS (+$6800) this Bowl Season!

@TheReelPhilD

@TheReelPhilD

 Solid capping 

Adding More:

Wednesday, December 21

New Orleans Bowl

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +3.5 ($1100 to win $1000)

The Underdogs had a nice little 2-0 ATS run yesterday and I think it continues today with Western Kentucky. What a matchup. South Alabama is a great team and Western Kentucky is an exciting team. The Jaguars went 10-2 SU this season and should have had a perfect season but close losses to UCLA and Troy ruined that. Western Kentucky lost their star QB Austin Reed to the transfer portal, he then decided to come back with WKU boosters offering money comparable to what he was being offered elsewhere and here we are. The Country's #2 passing yards QB is playing in an indoor Bowl Game. How quickly bettors forget WKU knocking the socks off Appalachian State last year in the Boca Raton Bowl and have won 5 of their 8 Bowl Games played. This is the third ever Bowl Game for South Alabama but they come in with a Bowl Game rookie coach. I will however say the Sun Belt Conference has won four straight New Orleans Bowls but with Reed returning this should be a good game and even if down by a lot, Western Kentucky can come back and win.

Make no mistake about it, the South Alabama defense is the real deal and they have the #5 ranked run defense in the Nation and #12 ranked total yards per game defense in the Country but Western Kentucky won't care. They have the #2 ranked passing attack in the Nation at 339.2 passing yards per game and they have the #10 ranked total yards per game offense. On top of having a good passing attack the Hilltoppers can mix in some surprise runs and their defense is always up to the task taking away more balls than anyone else in the Country this season. Yes that's right. The Western Kentucky defense tied for #1 in the Nation in takeaways with 30 (13 Fumble Recoveries and 17 interceptions) while South Alabam turned the ball over 14 times this season which is not bad at all but which will play a factor in this game considering WKU is 7-0 this season when they forced 2+ turnovers in a game.

It's hard to tell sometimes with teams like these two because they haven't really played many good teams all year but Western Kentucky comes into this game 5-0 ATS in their last five games versus teams with a winning record on the year and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played on Field Turf. Over the course of the last two seasons the Hilltoppers have also covered the spread in 14 of their last 20 games. Both teams come into this Bowl Game hot but for me the return of Austin Reed combined with the inexperience of South Alabama in Bowl Games with this current group and coaching says take the Hilltoppers and the points. What a lot of people don't know is WKU, as a former member of the Sun Belt Conference, have been trying to get into this Bowl Game for years but it hasn't worked. They're coming here to play.

@TheReelPhilD

 Austin Reed over 277.5 passing yards worth a look?

@TheReelPhilD

Covers should change your prospect tag as your write ups are very in depth and enjoyable to read no matter what side I'm on . BOL on your bowl run ! 

He won't post any quicker because you guys continually ask...just be patient and wait for picks to be posted...

pretty please would probably get a better response 

gl

This is absolute 

@SubParScrub

 You found him... congrats!!

@joesmo18

 I sure did - made a nice wager :)

@TheReelPhilD

 dj khaled voice " another 1" ahhhahhahahahah

10-2

nice work 

 Stay Hot man nice goin

Adding More:

Thursday, December 22

Armed Forces Bowl

Air Force Falcons +3.5 ($1100 to win $1000)

When you look at the grand scheme of things Baylor had a bit of a disappointing season. Sure they made the Big 12 Championship Game but they also lost that Big 12 Championship Game and lost to TCU and Kansas State the two games before that. This one here all depends on their attitude and approach. Air Force we know will be up for this one. It is called the Armed Forces Bowl afterall. Year in and year out people forget how good and effetive Air Force can be. They finished the season on a four game win streak and had the #1 rushing offense in the Nation as well as the #1 ranked time of possession team in the Nation. Air Force is a trusworthy team in the Bowl Season ever since Troy Calhoun took over as they've won three straight Bowl Games and have a chance at their fifth 10 win season since 2014 under Calhoun with a win here. The Armed Forces Bowl has a rich history of close and enteraining games with the last two both decided by 2 points and three of the last six decided by 3 or less poits.

The reason Air Force won't run away with this game and will have to put in work right up until the final whistle is because Baylor can run the ball and control the clock too. They're really good at it. Having said that, because Air Force hold onto the ball so much themlseves they have the #1 ranked total yards defense in the Country, they have the #1 pass defense in the Country and have the #3 ranked points allowed per game defense. Air Force is a perfect 8-0 this season when allowing less than 115 rushing yards in a game and Baylor was held to less than 115 rushing yards three times. What kind of teams have given Baylor problems this year? Teams that can run the ball. Have a look at all their losses and they couldn't stop the run. Now they have to deal with the #1 rushing offense in the Nation who can also throw the ball on occasion and averaged 67.3 passing yards per game. This won't be easy for Baylor.

Do I think this game will be close and thrilling and stressful for bettors? Yes. Absolutely. Baylor is a good team, they've been good in Bowl Games, they've been good in non-conference, they've been good against winning teams and they've been good in December. Having said that Air Force have been good too and are 4-1 ATS in their last five Bowl Games under Calhoun and they are finally healthy coming into this game. The rough stretcht they had this season was all because of injuries. Air Force have also been really good in non-conference games under Calhoun covering the spread in 20 of their last 28 non-conference games. This should be a really good game. We might even see a backdoor cover. Having said that, if Baylor really doesn't care this won't be close but I have a feeling they want to end their season with a W and will give it their best shot but so will Air Force to get to 10 wins and win this Bowl for the first time since 2009. Air Force covers the number.

You should do NFL too.. I've been tailing you and super happy so far. Thanks! 

The fact that we are getting these picks and in depth analyses for free is a very generous Christmas gift. Thank you. 

@TheReelPhilD

 Great info and predictions on the games, so far. 

AFA has played a very, very weak schedule, a ranking of 119, whereas Baylor played a schedule ranked at 15. If numbers mean anything in handicapping, these should be weighed heavily. But numbers aren't everything.

Man.. I love the write up.. it is so much info n in depth analysis that no one in the forums offer.. thanks reelphilD!!

So why isn't Baylor favored by a TD or more then?