@Bridge1
I've been eyeing up UCLA, this is good inspiration. I was worried about all the stars they're losing on offense but ultimately sometimes I think DTR and Charbonnet tried to do too much. Kelly teams excel with good system fits, need Garbers to be legit. And yes the defense can't be worse, good lord.
@JozKnows
Yeah the losses on O look rough and that's kinda the only solid intel so far .. beat reporters seem to confirm Kelly is keeping things quiet won't know the QB until the season starts .. idk if he always did that but is this year .. im optimistic they have a roster that could make an interesting run looking at my stuff, I don't see a sure thing weak unit in terms of talent or numbers or ret pro at least other than QB .. if we get a so-so QB and the D is uncoordinated again then it'll be easy to stink .. I could say that about every team though ..
RSW
CAL OVER 4.5 -140
Had to piece this together at BOL and FAN and that's about the avg odds layed down .. DK has it at -140 so dial them up if yer likin this one .. Caesars at 5 -115 and not saying don't take the cheaper deal I might pad my bet with that but think decent enough chance they end with 5 just because of the strength of schedule they're facing / number of potential targets etc.
First thing to know is that Cal finally making a change on O .. Long time NFL OC Bill Musgrave came in 3 yrs ago and while Im no scheme expert it looked tricky complicate slow and inexplosive not the right fit for a middling PAC team .. think we can look at the Great Stanford Slide over the last decade losing the stars and the roster talent and the size and quality assistant coaches to run that kinda offense and became a total bust even a dude like Tanner McKee doesn't solve anything.. think that sums up what Cal has been dealing with even when they finally they have a few stars like RB Ott the 2 WR's Hunter and Sturdivant and Plummer was good enough the O just fails badly .. OL maybe was a nightmare sure but that shouldn't shut the whole show down the way it did .. In comes Spavital a legit college OC and maybe easy to doubt because we didn't see it as HC at Tex State we know he can draw it up and with the right dudes it works real well.. but he brings w him not just a good OL coach but Mike Bloesch was a legit OC for UNT the last few years .. and TE's coach is Tim Plough was Boise's OC last few years .. LOT of offensive minds should be very creative and flexible to handle shortcomings .. Big question at QB with Plummer leaving but TCU xfer Sam Jackson looks very much the part in the spring and total gamer with blazing speed much better getting outta trouble than Plum .. Some worry if the OL still isin't super sound maybe its a bit like our dude LY Cam Ward just scrambling and doing dumb things trying to make plays.. Cam's gamin ability beat the RSW for us easy but it can be frustrating watching Maverick crash n burn when you really just need him to be Ice Man and get 3 yds for a 1st down.. not go backward 15 .. but yeah at 4.5 we have alot of games were big dogs in and Jackson is a total X factor.
If we can count on Jackson I'd say were in good shape w legit stars returning at RB and WR, both units should be be awesome with the guys back and additions including Dorch from Miss St who just came over .. why would such a stud prospect like him go to Cal after LY .. maybe he stinks?!... I think he sees what Im seeing the O is goin from super dull to epic fun .. questions remain at OL but the unit stays fairly in tact and have reinforcements portaling in still so no way its not better all around .. OC's should be able to game around the probs unlike LY's more rigid system .. Beyond all that no units look like trouble the entire DL unit is back the top DE's return added David Reese from UF and he was busy in the spring game causin havoc. LB unit has a sure thing dude in Sirmon lose 1 LB only decent unit back .. same for DB's just 1 gone all the CB's return some were pretty solid, Woodson is a good safety, McMorris from SDSU is a stud .. whole roster looks very well built to be competitive.
CAL Cont'd ..
Note on the schedule .. Idaho was a solid FCS team LY and ironically gave our surprise PAC team Wazzoo fits in the opener but I think we'll be fine .. week 1 @UNT is a little worrysome I actually like them a bit this year w Rodgers at QB but if we can't win that one think its fair to say we never had a chance lol .. good shots home vs ASU and @Stan maybe the rivalry but they look to be in deep trouble this year .. Wazzoo at home seems like a toss up .. so 5 games before we get into upset territory is why I think 4.5 is alot better than 5 .. that said Cal has a long history of winning those big non cons and nearly did it again @ND last year .. I think very good chance they beat Auburn at home .. Oreg State at home is sandwiched between Utah and UCLA .. USC sounds impossible but its in maybe the biggest trap spot on the whole CFB schedule and the last game vs UCLA has the Bruins off USC and unless they need a win to make the champ game (which woud be great!) that game likely doesn't matter and is a sure thing down spot for the Bru Crew.. Cal will absolutely show up either needing 1 for a bowl bid or just to punch em in the face as a B10 sendoff .. Just ALOT of good spots and I think 2-3 games as big underdogs will be very competitive and def lean for Cal to make a bowl this year..
SSN WINS
OREGON STATE UNDER 8.5 -142 (FAN)
Again had to grab the ugly odds but that hook means the Beavs gotta win every game as a fav plus the tossups plus pull a decent upset to hit 9 .. I was hoping to find a way to play on these guys but clearly the books were seeing them grow up as a team from surprise dog to a real killer and blowing UF to smithereens pure icing on the cake no way we were gunna get a deal on them this year ..
The team does look solid but that schedule takes them on the road to a number of potential surprise teams capable of pulling an upset .. @CAL, @UA and @WAZZO .. jury won't be in on CU for some time and yeah I'd call @CU in november an easy 2 TD win for the beaves at least here in May when nobody will remember what I said lol... But if that's an easy conf road win I think its the only one they'll get .. also Civil war in Eugene think Ducks exact some real nasty revenge on em .. love the home field angle for the Beavs, no gambler couldn't, and I totally respect this team, very well deserved to be in the contender convo this year .. but UCLA, Wash, Utes coming to town, won't catch me laying points against them but this is a decent step up from the groups that came to Beavallis last year and in '21 .. and weave all those together the schedule doesn't quit with tough games and tough spots .. will be hats off to them if they can pull down 9.
SSN WINS
WASHINGTON UNDER 9.5 -134 (FAN)
Last of the PAC plays .. Don't think I'm out on a limb thinking the USC and Oregon are some order of magnitude better this year and think trip to LA is a loss and while its not easy to call for wins in Seattle I think the Ducks get it done too .. simpler way to look at it is whether Wash can knuckle up and go 10 for 10 vs their remaining schedule?.... easy to forget LY because of the great passing and huge record and big bowl win but they lost to ASU's backup QB, UCLA really kicked their ass.. beat Cal, Oreg State and Oregon, all were within 1 score.. unlike some other upper crust PAC teams I don't see them as a sure thing to be improved either.. Even if Wash bags Oregon they still have a real rough super sandwich spot up in corvallis which comes after Utah and before the apple cup .. they also get my 2 favorite surprise teams in UA and Cal .. Wazzoo obvi showing up for that game .. ASU has a freaky series record vs Wash 14-4 SU back to 2000 15-2-1 ATS and we saw the ML hit again LY as 14 pt dogs .. can't call for ASU to win but they always show up and will again this yr .. cant call for Boise or a trip to Spartyville to be a shocker either but those don't strike me as the easiest 'freebies' in history .. Tulsa maybe is .. can't call for Stan to pull a 30 pt upset but it will be another game they're gunna get someone's best punch .. schedule is just a gauntlet and I think good chance they finish with 8 or 9 wins, lot more often than 10..
Never root for an Injury but we can't ignore Pennix's history.. I can't think of many other teams where 1 injury drops their power ratings as much as the Huskies would .. FSU, Clem, USC, Mich would suffer a big hit but they all have very strong run games and we'll see with USC but others have defenses they can rely on and could survive a QB injury at least in the short term.. I played Wisco over 8.5 in part because one of the backups in the spring looks good enough to step in .. Cal and UA are low win totals so less worry w them but still liked what I saw from both their backups and won't be totally dead in the water if either QB1's got injured .. Seems like if Pennix were out even 1 game or even half a game it could kill the win total .. so yeah taking over 9.5 sounds pretty insane to me .. I think books will wise up to the big risk and this drops to 9 before long .. if Phil happens to view UA and Cal as having potential like I do then think we def see a drop to 9 and maybe juicin that under .. good luck!
Bridge! Win totals out for G5 on Sugarhouse, BetRivers and separately on BetMGM.
Their schedule is no picnic but I hammered Wyoming over 6 -120, -125. Curious to your thoughts, but in summary, returning production plus Peasley year 2 in the system and Bohl having a veteran team... That team almost won their side of the MW without a QB against Boise... We look at games like AFA and Boise as probable losses but they know how to defend each team, stymied AF last year.
Need to further investigate but Southern Miss over 5 +money also catching my eye. I think some of the usual winners could be good under targets in MW and SBC.
@JozKnows
Yeah learned my lesson betting against Bohl with really low ret pro last year so don't hate playin Bohl when he's got some guys back .. first glance seems like they gotta win all the ones they should plus 1 more and have 4 shots on goal to do that that feels pretty good .. from that perspective yeah like it .. peep'd the roster the other day, nothing to dislike but I'm not enthused that were going in w the same QB's again .. I'd actually really love to hear about a FR qb showing up and winning the job ..
My read is its a narrower path than it looks I think Boise is real good this year, LY was a dead spot champ game locked in in laramie with a bunch of guys injured and in boise this year so wouldn't count on that .. AF on the road maybe a chance if the QB stinks I'd look into how they are sounding .. books have em 8.5 wins lol sheesh .. My problem is Wyoming can drop an unexpected game and Co.State is a big rivalry nearly lost LY.. UNLV is in my mental notes to check before assuming they're a loser .. I'd like Wyo if I could assume 1 loss to either of them and still like my chances .. but if nixing off Boise, Texas and T-Tech then we have I think limited options ..
you called it on Cuse last year so play it if ya like and there is a bit to like there cowboys proved they can pull upsets .. def wouldn't bet the other way .. good luck!
Hit these all smaller from BOL .... can't really call them plays but there's a couple I like and will try to hit again .. would say for at least half of em Im just playing on a whim liked the number goin w the gut.... proceed w caution ...
HAWAII OVER 3.5
CHARLOTTE OVER 2.5
E.CAROLINA UNDER 5.5
APP STATE UNDER 6.5
KENT ST UNDER 2.5
BOISE UNDER 8.5
GA.ST UNDER 5.5
UAB UNDER 5
SEASON WINS
EAST CAROLINA UNDER 6.5 -134 (FAN)
Wanted to trust Mike Houston to stay strong after the big year and still kinda do but the losses are massive and had quite a few xfers out to decent programs .. heard some of the ECU podcasters talk about the spring game and it was tough to sound optimistic with a number of units low on capable players etc .. think the number might be way off, game and a half or so if things are really not in a good spot for them this year ..
REG SSN WINS
NORTH TEXAS UNDER 7.5 -130 (FAN)
Full game over what BOL came out with and not too much juicier .. really like UNT this year but I thought BOL's 6.5 was a bit much and just not sure 8 wins is likely .. offense looks great and like the new QB rogers to be solid but whole new coaching crew and the DC changing em to 3-man front and sounded like they didn't really have the big DL personnel so that may be a real challenge this year ..
UAB UNDER 5.5 -110 (FAN)
Too many things to dislike about the situation for UAB to list out but didn't like the roster, coaching change to Dilfer is one of my least favorite and didn't really attract much in the portal and bringing his high school DC with him .. im not saying they won't click at all this year or eventually but first year in the AAC looks like a rough one esp with some of the other teams coming in looking ready for a decent year..
SEASON WINS
KENT STATE UNDER 2.5 -118 (FAN)
Planned to take down anything north of 2 and while I'd really love to hit it at 3 with 4 wins seemingly impossible i'll take my chances .. I suppose anything is possible in the MAC and wouldn't suggest laying exorbant odds for anything better if it appears .. there are a couple winnable targets namely the FCS matchup, Akron and Bowling Green, maybe Ball State and N.Ill is a little hard to judge .. we'll see if they win their FCS game and Akron is a huge rivalry maybe they find a way but man o man the roster looks beyond ugly with Sean Lewis leaving to colorado anything decent they had scattered to the wind sans maybe 1 or 2 guys and very thin units, OL had barely a starting unit over 300LB's and drops off considerably after that .. quite a few units well beyond the danger zone in numbers .. SP+ model usually doesn't tell us who the huge outliers are but they did for this team putting them a full TD behind Umass ... woof! .. again wouldn't reach on the odds but anything reasonably at 2.5 seems worth a play.
We made it .. First roundup of 2023 .. 
BRIDGE PLAYS:
OSU @ NOTRE DAME +8.5
ARKANSAS @ BAMA -18
FLA STATE / LSU -1
BAMA / LSU +8.5
COLO @ TCU -20
SMALLER:
OHIO STATE / PENN ST +10.5
MICH / OHIO STATE +3.5
MICH ST / WASH -10.5
IOWA @ PENN ST -10
PENN ST / MICH -1.5
CLEMSON / FSU +3
BAMA / TENN +8.5
MINNY / NEB +8
USC / WASH +7
USC @ OREG -2
REG SSN WINS:
CAL OVER 4.5 -140
ARIZONA OVER 4.5 -122
WISCONSIN OVER 8.5 -110
GEORGIA TECH OVER 4.5 +120
WASHINGTON UNDER 9.5 -134
OREG. STATE UNDER 8.5 -142
E.CAROLINA UNDER 6.5 -134
CINCINNATI UNDER 5.5 -150
KENT STATE UNDER 2.5 -118
LOUISVILLE UNDER 8.5 -140
N.TEXAS UNDER 7.5 -130
UAB UNDER 5.5 -110
CONF FUTURES
UTAH PAC 6-1
TCU B12 16-1
UCLA PAC 16-1
MIAMI ACC 20-1
DUKE ACC 50-1
ARIZONA PAC 100-1
GEORGIA TECH ACC 200-1
HEISMAN
CARSON BECK 40-1
GRAYSON MCCALL 250-1
TANNER MORDECHAI 125-1
NATTY
OHIO STATE 8.5-1
TEXAS 30-1
FUN PARLAYS:
CONF CHAMPS: UGA, CLEM, WISCO 43-1
BAMA GOY FADE: TEX +7.5, @A&M+8.5, TENN+8.5, LSU+8.5 12-1
Startin to wonder if I pushed too soon against colorado .. paid wayyyy too much for that Cincy under, cheaper out there number didn't move .. and paid way more in juice than I wanted on the RSW's in general but ended up with a few that were a hook or even a full game better than some other shops .. just hopin its worth it.. good luck!
@DrStrangelove
Yeah doc I took it for a few bucks too small to really call a play.. just landed W.VA's running back Mathis he and Donaldson were great LY .. tough schedule but not grueling with travel .. can't trust holgersen to bag us a big number but think they can finagle a few wins this year. good luck bud!
Looking forward to breaking these down Bridge!! Thanks for the diligent work every season Buddy. 
CAL & Wiscy are two intriguing overs I’ll deep dive. Cheers
SEASON WINS
KENT STATE UNDER 3 -125 (CZR)
Don't usually post another play for the same team but I did play it twice and Caesars didn't move the number or odds as of the time im posting this so think its fair to call it 2 plays ..
The roster was really geared up for last year before a ton of grads and then Sean Lewis left and pretty much everyone else proven scattered and some landed on some pretty good rosters.. there's a few guys left on D but the offense got totally throttled and its looking like a real tough year .. Think we can call Central Conn State a win and with 1 locked up on the schedule I kinda get why pretty much any MAC team would be assumed to win at least 3 in a year but this team looks in bad shape to me ... The non con schedule is real nasty @UCF, @ARK, @FRES .. I think the read here is whether there's anyone in the MAC schedule who might also take a tumble into ineptitude this year and I have questions on a couple but nobody's situation looks that dire .. MAC kicks off Miami OH, @Ohio, @EMU, Buff ... idk if any of them will compete with Toledo this year but that's the entire 2nd tier of the MAC and looks like slaughter city ..
Back end of the schedule is the only place I see to maybe bag a few wins, I'd never say never when an Old Wagon Wheel is at stake but Akron could leap into at least semi-decency this year and the Zips get that game at home.. and Kent has lit em up 4 times in a row, think Akron dishes out some serious revenge in that game .. end of the line is BG, @Ball, N.ILL .. Can't say with certainty none of those teams will take a tumble this year but I like my chances .. all the MAC opponents at least have their HC returning and all have had some success recently in the conference... Kent almost assured to be out of bowl contention but a few others will prob see the golden flashes as a must win at that point .. hate going under a low total but this is one of the few I think is worth taking a shot at .. good luck!
REG SSN WINS
APP STATE UNDER 7 -115 (CZR)
Not gunna see 7 there anymore but think its a good number to hit if we see again .. I took a smaller hit on 6.5 already .. I wouldn't say the roster is in very bad shape but there are a lot of questions namely at QB losing Chase Brice who I thought way overperformed for them and the team had another year of solid ret pro, plus total miracle start nearly toppling UNC, then beating A&M on the road!! .. then Miracle hail mary to beat Troy with gameday in attendance!!! .. 2-1 start LY looks like a possible NY6 party crasher .. so what the F happened they finish the season 4-5 ... and since 2 of those wins were vs FCS teams they fell short of bowl eligibility .. hard to imagine they'd go out like that last year ..
I think we've seen App State on a slide the last few years since the new coaches came in but we haven't seen them meltdown yet since they've enjoyed some decent QB's and solid players returning some very high ret pro for years now and to be fair they do produce quality players at a pretty high clip .. that said this could be a pay the piper kinda year with much stiffer competition in the SUN than we've been used to and more questions on the roster than I can ever remember having w them .. those questions start at QB and maybe outside WR every other unit will need to find some very good players to replace what they lose and think the D could actually drop to just kinda average or so losing their 2 very good pass rushers and almost the entire LB unit being wiped out ..
Roster concerns is one part but the real issue is the schedule looks pretty rough.. the FCS game is week 1 and there's no real bye week after they get a split bye 10 and 11 days off mid year and maybe some relief but the schedule has NO QUIT .. week 2 @UNC then ECU may not be very good this year but in state rivals gunna bring their best punch .. then a trip to Wyoming and coming from Boone its one of the more horrific road trips on the CFB schedule .. ULM sounds easy but its B2B roadies w the Warhawks off a bye, then Coastal then @Old Dom Monarchs off a bye, then S.Miss has extra time off then Marshall then @G.State, B2B roadies @JMU and big rivalry with G.So to end the year .. there's plenty of beatable teams but no easy spot and they really pile up on each other after that trip to Laramie which looks like pure horror .. its conceivable they hit 7 but between the roster questions and rough schedule think they're lucky to make a bowl .. good luck!
SSN WINS
UCONN OVER 4.5 -130 (CZR)
This came out at 5 Caesars and 5.5 at BOL which were outta my comfort zone but someone knocked it down and I feel pretty good at 4.5 for the huskies in year 2 of the Jim Mora Era .. pretty strong case for some coach of the year lists considering the EPIC turnaround from perennial super duper dud that left the AAC to try to win more games and even that didn't work till last year .. The models predict some regression and think handicappers prob see them as a fade because of 2nd order, or lucky, wins LY .. fair enough they did have a couple of those .. what's to like is I don't see this team actually being in any worse shape the ret pro is huge and they were an excellent run team .. the various publicly available models are split on the D w SP+ putting them as solid with others more skeptical.. after getting throttled by Cuse, Michigan and NC State early on nobody had a good day passing on these guys and Huskies run game steam rolled beatable teams ..
The roster brings back ~80% ret pro and don't see a real problem with any unit .. the thing the models and faders might forget is Uconn overcame all sorts of bad circumstances LY and still made it work .. they lost the pass game on literally the first drive when 4 star PSU xfer Ta'Quan Roberson went down .. true FR Zion Turner ultimately won the job and wasn't effective passing and supplemental but fairly ineffective pass game never getting over 200 yds and throwing 10 picks to 9 TD's .. the pass woes were worsened losing 3 receivers in fall camp and early in the season .. Mora's OC Nick Charleton had some very good passing teams at FCS Maine and my read is going heavy run LY was just a matter of playing the hand they were dealt and thought they played it real well .. Roberson is on the roster but out for spring but I'd expect a much more well rounded and effective O this year with a few QB's competing including the OC's dude from Maine who knows the O real well ..
The D also had bad luck with DC lou spanos exiting the program last spring and HC Mora took over for him .. he will again this year which isin't exciting news but yet another terrible situation they found a way to survive LY .. squeezed alot of lemons LY and now bringing in a few xfers on both sides of the ball plus alot of starters back and big change in the attitude after a real dream season run to a bowl game .. think we have more than a few things that either help or don't hurt the team this year which are easy for cappers to ignore and stuff models can't compute ..
There's also plenty of winnable targets starting w FIU and FCS Sacred Heart, UMass maybe gets a good crowd over thanksgiving in fenway but might be a few conn fans there too .. think good shot at 3 wins there .. Utah State, @G-State and both their rosters got throttled im not seeing the light of improvement for either of them maybe quite strongly the opposite ... S.Fla is a bit of a mystery but bookies don't think so w 3.5 season wins .. @Rice maybe better competition but there's a solid 7 winnable targets.. trips to BC and JMU seem like a stretch but JMU is a huge trap sammich between conf opponents w App State on deck .. BC should have this game circled after losing last year but another conf sammich between G-Tech and Cuse .. Duke between NU and Notre Dame .. tough to count UConn completely out of any game besides Tenn or NC State .. no coach will have the huskies as a high priority win and they were a nasty rest stop for alot of teams LY especially at home .. think very strong case for 5 wins and decent shot at a bowl ..
BRIDGE PLAY
LOUISVILLE @ GA TECH +9.5 (CZR)
I put down part of the play at 9.5 and let's see if others come out at the SP+ suggested retail value which is +10 .. I think we could say LY's team would be a legitimate maybe 14 pt fav in the Benz Dome but keep in mind GT had injuries out the wazoo LY and Ville had maybe the best year of the Satterfield era .. Sat's off to Cincy now and maybe Brohm can light a fire on offense, I'm really not convinced the defense will be as strong and and LY's team was reallll a defensive led team winning multiple games by holding opponents to lower totals... Models are really split on where to put Ville Louisville seeing 30's to 50's which makes sense new coach lot going on and hangin 9.5 is def the most optimistic view on Ville and also don't think it lends GT enough credit for their likely progression this year .. idk if its a true neutral in terms of ticket allotment but I'd bank on a strong fan edge for GT in Atlanta .. its possible Ville beats even their biggest expectations this year and we see it off the bat here but this is a huge number to lay on week 1 and GT is definitely showing up ready to play and I think will have an offense that at a min can keep this within a score .. Good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
UTAH ST/ IOWA -17.5 (CZR)
Sent that one north but I think anything under 21 is where I'd try to get it .. there's always a concern with Iowa but they get their hooks into a little team and they dominate them big time and think its no different here and I don't see much to like about Utah State looking at their roster got throttled in the portal w couple good defenders leaving and I don't see the reinforcements coming in .. Iowa adds Macnamera at QB this year, will have 2 very strong TE's if Hall is ready to go but Hawkeye insiders say there's a 3rd guy whose lookin good .. they also add a pretty sought after receiver from OSU who was just not gunna crack the lineup this year with so many guys but I heard the Bucks podcasters I like really not thrilled about losing him and expected him to compete next year for playing time .. Even with the losses on D to the NFL we can count on them to be real tough again and just fine vs the Aggies ..
The Iowa gambling scandal does loom and we'll see what happens there, sounds like 26 athletes involved from 5 different sports and we don't know who .. however my read is its gunna take benching alot of starters for Iowa to not handle this team and all the books know its getting looked into and none took Iowa off the boards so far no adjustments at all .. and really can't imagine its got much to do with the new xfers but making a pick and might as well say yeah there is some potential added risk out there ..
The thing to like though is OC Brian Ferentz has an amendment to his contract this year requiring him to score 26 ppg and Iowa get 6 wins and that the AD could use that to fire him.. I've heard differing accounts of what the consequences are actually likely to be if he doesn't get there but the problem for Brian is were already way beyond pitchforks and torches time that fan base has had enough of this offense sucking donkey ballz in conference and squandering away legit shots at a conf championship because they just can't score any points .. I doubt Brian is interested in giving the mob any more ammo to call for him to be canned and the good news is there's a few games early on where they can run up the score and maybe avoid sweating the 26ppg metric later on and fully expect Utah State and W.Michigan to be full on blowouts .. I'd expect his HC Dad to be on board with a game plan to put up a 50 burger if they can swing it .. can't say they will but the career motivation is there and fans are demanding it, think we see a big number.. even w out the motivation this line seems a little slim I was thinking 21-24 without the added point scoring motivation and think this line jumps up pretty big before kickoff..
SMALLER
E.CAROLINA @ MICHIGAN -35.5
Think its go time for Michigan this year and ECU got hit real hard with grads and got ripped by the portal .. the offense has questions all over and maybe just a few things to like about the defense .. really like Mike Houston and would expect they find a way to out perform this year but the expectations need to come down maybe a little to play them it sounds like they are reallllly unsure at QB and OL and just too many big questions in too many units right now .. Harbaugh at home loves to lay that lumber so think we'll def see that here .. all that said, its a huge number and we don't have the cool situation of last year with the mcnamara as the backup QB and both throwing heat all game .. at some point you gotta sit JJ and its alot less clear what the garbage time situation will be .. but yeah think UM puts a big number up ..
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