Like the analysis on the Monty Under. See last yr they were 4-1 below this total on the road.
Bridge,
You're a valuable asset to this forum.
Honest, intellectual, and generous with your time in sharing thoughts and opinions with others.
As always - good luck to you this season.
Bridge,
You're a valuable asset to this forum.
Honest, intellectual, and generous with your time in sharing thoughts and opinions with others.
As always - good luck to you this season.
@VeritasAlways
Good to seeeeya again buddy hope all is good ... might be the only person on earth who really misses that covid FCS spring season lol .. sighhhhhh .. anyway im limited on my FCS action ever since can't get a beat on everyone but almost wondering what coulda been if I stuck w it .. I got a few other FCS/FBS'ers mind for the opener but not too many .. Duck and TD21 will have a few opinions too they're more in tune with them .. Best of luck this year buddy!
@UNIMAN
Yeah I think anyone could imagine how this game goes gangbusters for one thing Monty State is a football machine and think they could really rip some big plays if NM isin't all that well put together .. Mellot is a legit gamer and unlike Chambers last year I think he's much better throwing the ball .. its possible NM is just trying to get some experience checkin their depth and taking more of a development game and doesn't care about a final score .. obvi Bronco would love to turn the tables in yr 1 and make a bowl and gotta beat yer FCS opponent to do that almost certainly .. but he's not a coach w a 1 year vision 10 years BYU first year was his worst .. UVA yr 1 went 2-10 then things took off had a couple great years .. Tough to lay over a TD on an FCS team but I could absolutely see this be like that Idaho/Nevada game I went Potatoes -6 in that one big easy win .. we'll see ..
@VeritasAlways
Good to seeeeya again buddy hope all is good ... might be the only person on earth who really misses that covid FCS spring season lol .. sighhhhhh .. anyway im limited on my FCS action ever since can't get a beat on everyone but almost wondering what coulda been if I stuck w it .. I got a few other FCS/FBS'ers mind for the opener but not too many .. Duck and TD21 will have a few opinions too they're more in tune with them .. Best of luck this year buddy!
@UNIMAN
Yeah I think anyone could imagine how this game goes gangbusters for one thing Monty State is a football machine and think they could really rip some big plays if NM isin't all that well put together .. Mellot is a legit gamer and unlike Chambers last year I think he's much better throwing the ball .. its possible NM is just trying to get some experience checkin their depth and taking more of a development game and doesn't care about a final score .. obvi Bronco would love to turn the tables in yr 1 and make a bowl and gotta beat yer FCS opponent to do that almost certainly .. but he's not a coach w a 1 year vision 10 years BYU first year was his worst .. UVA yr 1 went 2-10 then things took off had a couple great years .. Tough to lay over a TD on an FCS team but I could absolutely see this be like that Idaho/Nevada game I went Potatoes -6 in that one big easy win .. we'll see ..
SMALLER
CAL / UC DAVIS +23.5
CAL / UC DAVIS OVER 53.5
FUN BETS
CAL / UC DAVIS +23.5/O53.5 ... 3.14-1 .. PI-1
CAL / UC DAVIS ML/O54.5 ... 29.3-1
UC Davis has a decent offense back this year and been very competitive in their FBS matchups .. they're looking good at QB, have an AA RB and a dynamic WR who is a top all purpose KR/PR .. I also really like that Phil put their kicker on his pre-ssn first team all cons list .. Kicker's can really save the day for us on these big lines .. Offense too .. Tougher to get a beat on their D they do have a couple DL's and a star DB per Phil and feels like he's got them rated a bit lower in his conf order due to a tougher schedule this year ..
I do think Cal is likely a bit underrated hence the play on the over 5.5 ssn wins .. can't wait to see what Rogers can do in the P5 .. and you see Jayden Ott and a realllly deep RB room and a WR group to get excited about I think they are def scoring some pts here .. I really like hitting Cal vs their BIG non-con opponents their record in those goes back years the program gears itself to schedule big non cons and show up to them .. BUT .. what we see in games surrounding their BIG non cons is more/less lackluster results 14 pt win vs Idaho St last yr, in '22 we have 21 pt win vs UC-D but teams both at 400 yards in that one shoulda been much closer .. then a TD win vs UNLV that was a real lucky win .. '21 lost to Nevada and 12 pt win vs Sac St .. in '19 have a 2TD win vs UC Davis, 6 pt win vs N.Tex .. these all surround realllly great efforts vs their big noncon games .. and here we are this year vs UC Davis layin a big number and MASSIVE REVENGE trip to Auburn on deck ..
So yeah just browsing what UC-Davis has back says to me that they can score some points here .. the history in this spot and the quality of opponent for both teams says this could be more competitive than expected .. I think the risk is that I'm much more confident in Cal's offense this year, maybe they run things up and if we lose this one think it probably comes by way of a big blowout / over the total I actually feel decently good w the total in this one and getting a good number and worth a play .. Would take anything 21 or better and total implies 38-16 final I think UC Davis can potentially drive this over with 21 to 24 points .. that actually creates a real risk of loss if Cal fools around in this game and/or just doesn't really show up ..
SMALLER
CAL / UC DAVIS +23.5
CAL / UC DAVIS OVER 53.5
FUN BETS
CAL / UC DAVIS +23.5/O53.5 ... 3.14-1 .. PI-1
CAL / UC DAVIS ML/O54.5 ... 29.3-1
UC Davis has a decent offense back this year and been very competitive in their FBS matchups .. they're looking good at QB, have an AA RB and a dynamic WR who is a top all purpose KR/PR .. I also really like that Phil put their kicker on his pre-ssn first team all cons list .. Kicker's can really save the day for us on these big lines .. Offense too .. Tougher to get a beat on their D they do have a couple DL's and a star DB per Phil and feels like he's got them rated a bit lower in his conf order due to a tougher schedule this year ..
I do think Cal is likely a bit underrated hence the play on the over 5.5 ssn wins .. can't wait to see what Rogers can do in the P5 .. and you see Jayden Ott and a realllly deep RB room and a WR group to get excited about I think they are def scoring some pts here .. I really like hitting Cal vs their BIG non-con opponents their record in those goes back years the program gears itself to schedule big non cons and show up to them .. BUT .. what we see in games surrounding their BIG non cons is more/less lackluster results 14 pt win vs Idaho St last yr, in '22 we have 21 pt win vs UC-D but teams both at 400 yards in that one shoulda been much closer .. then a TD win vs UNLV that was a real lucky win .. '21 lost to Nevada and 12 pt win vs Sac St .. in '19 have a 2TD win vs UC Davis, 6 pt win vs N.Tex .. these all surround realllly great efforts vs their big noncon games .. and here we are this year vs UC Davis layin a big number and MASSIVE REVENGE trip to Auburn on deck ..
So yeah just browsing what UC-Davis has back says to me that they can score some points here .. the history in this spot and the quality of opponent for both teams says this could be more competitive than expected .. I think the risk is that I'm much more confident in Cal's offense this year, maybe they run things up and if we lose this one think it probably comes by way of a big blowout / over the total I actually feel decently good w the total in this one and getting a good number and worth a play .. Would take anything 21 or better and total implies 38-16 final I think UC Davis can potentially drive this over with 21 to 24 points .. that actually creates a real risk of loss if Cal fools around in this game and/or just doesn't really show up ..
^^^
CAL / UC DAVIS Cont'd ..
Those were all at FAN btw and limits super small on FCS openers, at least for me they are w couple hundo .. not sure who/where else we'll see FCS'ers drop till its closer to game time at least beyond the week zero stuff .. But I think this eventually dips below 21 maybe 18-20 by kickoff so can't wait on it gotta take what's given to us ...
Going forward though think we could get a nice set up week 2 with Cal .. if we're right on this one, game is closer / more competitive than expected then maybe we turn around and catch 11-14 @ Auburn... Will probably play Cal anything over 8 just because Cal's been sooo good in the BIG non-cons, but I start thinking bigger play as the line moves >10 pts and think we could def see 11-13.5 .. if things look really rough vs UC Davis and we catch 14 then will be laying down a real smash on it .. - Good luck!
^^^
CAL / UC DAVIS Cont'd ..
Those were all at FAN btw and limits super small on FCS openers, at least for me they are w couple hundo .. not sure who/where else we'll see FCS'ers drop till its closer to game time at least beyond the week zero stuff .. But I think this eventually dips below 21 maybe 18-20 by kickoff so can't wait on it gotta take what's given to us ...
Going forward though think we could get a nice set up week 2 with Cal .. if we're right on this one, game is closer / more competitive than expected then maybe we turn around and catch 11-14 @ Auburn... Will probably play Cal anything over 8 just because Cal's been sooo good in the BIG non-cons, but I start thinking bigger play as the line moves >10 pts and think we could def see 11-13.5 .. if things look really rough vs UC Davis and we catch 14 then will be laying down a real smash on it .. - Good luck!
SMALLER
RICE / SAM HOUSTON +11.5
RICE / SAM HOUSTON OVER 48.5
FUN BET
RICE / SAM HOO ML/O48.5 7.55-1
I like offense to potentially turn around for both teams various reasons for that certainly with Rice getting a legit QB in EJ Warner .. Kurt's kid .. also like Sam Hoo's QB Hunter Hudson they got from the JUCO ranks, took his team to the champ game and while im no QB expert he was putting the ball on a dime and very dynamic QB willing to pick up tough yards .. I like their WR and RB situation ALOT more this year too .. Recall LY the horrific offense they had especially early on and really all the way thru the season .. 2 of their top WR's got hurt one in fall camp another very early on .. RB situation was so ugly down to basically their last RB at one point just couldn't run the ball .. two of my favorite offensive turnarounds ..
Hard to BP either one of these plays on their own .. just gunna stick to my gut both offenses better than expected and we exceed the total and Sam Hooey keeps it close .. consider em half a unit each .. There is a risk with the total we know Rice plays pro style fairly slow and their WR situation actually doesn't inspire much confidence in my view .. they also have a decently good sounding defense something to like in each unit .. we know both coaches can call and offensive grinder .. might see that early and things open up .. we'll see ..
Picked up SAM HOO +11.5 at ESPN seeing some spots down to 10.5 so good time to make a move .. FAN got it 12.5 -115 .. meh .. yeah unlikely that matters but its an extra point for an extra 5 cents so .. up to you! .. good luck!
SMALLER
RICE / SAM HOUSTON +11.5
RICE / SAM HOUSTON OVER 48.5
FUN BET
RICE / SAM HOO ML/O48.5 7.55-1
I like offense to potentially turn around for both teams various reasons for that certainly with Rice getting a legit QB in EJ Warner .. Kurt's kid .. also like Sam Hoo's QB Hunter Hudson they got from the JUCO ranks, took his team to the champ game and while im no QB expert he was putting the ball on a dime and very dynamic QB willing to pick up tough yards .. I like their WR and RB situation ALOT more this year too .. Recall LY the horrific offense they had especially early on and really all the way thru the season .. 2 of their top WR's got hurt one in fall camp another very early on .. RB situation was so ugly down to basically their last RB at one point just couldn't run the ball .. two of my favorite offensive turnarounds ..
Hard to BP either one of these plays on their own .. just gunna stick to my gut both offenses better than expected and we exceed the total and Sam Hooey keeps it close .. consider em half a unit each .. There is a risk with the total we know Rice plays pro style fairly slow and their WR situation actually doesn't inspire much confidence in my view .. they also have a decently good sounding defense something to like in each unit .. we know both coaches can call and offensive grinder .. might see that early and things open up .. we'll see ..
Picked up SAM HOO +11.5 at ESPN seeing some spots down to 10.5 so good time to make a move .. FAN got it 12.5 -115 .. meh .. yeah unlikely that matters but its an extra point for an extra 5 cents so .. up to you! .. good luck!
BRIDGE PRE-SSN ROUNDUP
BRIDGE PLAYS
CLEM / UGA UNDER 48.5
SMALLER
CAL / UC DAVIS +23.5
CAL / UC DAVIS OVER 53.5
RICE / SAM HOUSTON +11.5
RICE / SAM HOUSTON OVER 48.5
NEW MEX / MONT ST UNDER 55.5
N.CAR @ MINNESOTA -1.5
PENN ST @ W.VIRGINIA +10.5
OLD DOM @ S.CAROLINA -17.5
VA TECH @ VANDY UNDER 55.5
NC ST +10 @ CLEM WK 4
N.CAR -3 @ DUKE WK 5
NC ST - PK @ UNC WK 14
FUN BETS
UC DAVIS +23.5/O53.5 ... 3.14-1
UC DAVIS ML/O54.5 ... 29.3-1
SAM HOO ML/O48.5 .. 7.55-1
SSN WINS:
UCLA UNDER 5.5 +120
LSU UNDER 9.5 -110
CAL OVER 5.5 -135
VANDY OVER 2.5 -120
INDIANA OVER 5.5 +125
S.CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -120
E. CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -150
MINNESOTA OVER 5.5 +115
GA SOUTHERN OVER 5 -115
GA SOUTHERN OVER 4.5 -175
CONF:
CAL 50-1
SMU 22-1
NC STATE 12-1
IOWA STATE 12-1
E. CAROLINA 16-1
W.MICHIGAN 10-1
GA SOUTHERN 25-1
ARIZONA STATE 100-1
MAKE PLAYOFF
TEXAS STATE 17-1
E.CAROLINA 130-1
HEISMAN:
TRAVIS HUNTER 75-1
AVERY JOHNSON 40-1
GRAYSON MCCALL 100-1
BEHREN MORTON 200-1
NATTY:
SMU 500-1
BRIDGE PRE-SSN ROUNDUP
BRIDGE PLAYS
CLEM / UGA UNDER 48.5
SMALLER
CAL / UC DAVIS +23.5
CAL / UC DAVIS OVER 53.5
RICE / SAM HOUSTON +11.5
RICE / SAM HOUSTON OVER 48.5
NEW MEX / MONT ST UNDER 55.5
N.CAR @ MINNESOTA -1.5
PENN ST @ W.VIRGINIA +10.5
OLD DOM @ S.CAROLINA -17.5
VA TECH @ VANDY UNDER 55.5
NC ST +10 @ CLEM WK 4
N.CAR -3 @ DUKE WK 5
NC ST - PK @ UNC WK 14
FUN BETS
UC DAVIS +23.5/O53.5 ... 3.14-1
UC DAVIS ML/O54.5 ... 29.3-1
SAM HOO ML/O48.5 .. 7.55-1
SSN WINS:
UCLA UNDER 5.5 +120
LSU UNDER 9.5 -110
CAL OVER 5.5 -135
VANDY OVER 2.5 -120
INDIANA OVER 5.5 +125
S.CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -120
E. CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -150
MINNESOTA OVER 5.5 +115
GA SOUTHERN OVER 5 -115
GA SOUTHERN OVER 4.5 -175
CONF:
CAL 50-1
SMU 22-1
NC STATE 12-1
IOWA STATE 12-1
E. CAROLINA 16-1
W.MICHIGAN 10-1
GA SOUTHERN 25-1
ARIZONA STATE 100-1
MAKE PLAYOFF
TEXAS STATE 17-1
E.CAROLINA 130-1
HEISMAN:
TRAVIS HUNTER 75-1
AVERY JOHNSON 40-1
GRAYSON MCCALL 100-1
BEHREN MORTON 200-1
NATTY:
SMU 500-1
BRIDGE PLAY
GEORGIA STATE +21 @ G.TECH (CZR)
Not a giant one but since its bigger than the smaller batch might as well elevate the status of this one .. G.State appeared to have a big meltdown year coming with massive production leaving and the real kicker with the HC taking a job w S.Carolina .. TE's Coach .. and that hammer dropped start of spring ball .. eesh .. they actually made some moves in the portal and kept some guys on the roster including a good WR who was in the portal and decided to boomarang .. can't say what exactly they'll be but my read is they at least have the makings of a serviceable squad .. the downside with them is there could be some units that are in rough shape and easy to exploit .. G-Tech might be able to do that here but maaaaan what an incredibly ugly spot .. you got a BIG MAX EFFORT opener w their trip to Ireland and that'll make for more/less a real short week with a screwy schedule getting themselves into a mode to play G-State I'd imagine .. and Panthers are in state and 100% showing up for this game whether they're ready or not .. and Tech then w BIG conf roadie to Cuse on deck .. Lotta distractions surround this one I'll take 3 free TD's with a team that we can at least trust to show up vs team that might just give us the win because they don't .. We saw Nebraska in a similar ugly spot a few years back playing N.Dakota and they landed a late TD to get the win but scrappy FCS team reallllly made them work for it ..
Possible for G-ST to just get murdered but think decent chance they'll show up for a fight and hang tough and certainly if G-Tech is up big late I'd def expect to see their backups make their way into this one and otherwise any players dinged up in the opener .. could be a couple of those .. like why in the world usher them back out for this game when you got cuse on deck .. just too many iffy things for GT here and even if GT is up big hard to imagine they're not just trying to get a win and get outta there .. maybe it does leave the backdoor open for us .. after seeing GT in a bad spot vs Bowling Green last year I think we know that this team is capable of flopping also.. not much would really surprise me here if ya know what I mean .. SP line on this says 13 or so, we obvi can't trust that but 8 points of value vs SP+ and catching G-Tech in this ugly spot well okay sign me up .. I got mostly 20.5's out there Caesars was the only 21 I found .. kinda doubt 21's will be around much longer, I mighta zapped the last one available .. I woulda got around to taking it 20.5 and maybe adjust the bet amount down a little if that's what you get I'd feel good taking it .. Good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
GEORGIA STATE +21 @ G.TECH (CZR)
Not a giant one but since its bigger than the smaller batch might as well elevate the status of this one .. G.State appeared to have a big meltdown year coming with massive production leaving and the real kicker with the HC taking a job w S.Carolina .. TE's Coach .. and that hammer dropped start of spring ball .. eesh .. they actually made some moves in the portal and kept some guys on the roster including a good WR who was in the portal and decided to boomarang .. can't say what exactly they'll be but my read is they at least have the makings of a serviceable squad .. the downside with them is there could be some units that are in rough shape and easy to exploit .. G-Tech might be able to do that here but maaaaan what an incredibly ugly spot .. you got a BIG MAX EFFORT opener w their trip to Ireland and that'll make for more/less a real short week with a screwy schedule getting themselves into a mode to play G-State I'd imagine .. and Panthers are in state and 100% showing up for this game whether they're ready or not .. and Tech then w BIG conf roadie to Cuse on deck .. Lotta distractions surround this one I'll take 3 free TD's with a team that we can at least trust to show up vs team that might just give us the win because they don't .. We saw Nebraska in a similar ugly spot a few years back playing N.Dakota and they landed a late TD to get the win but scrappy FCS team reallllly made them work for it ..
Possible for G-ST to just get murdered but think decent chance they'll show up for a fight and hang tough and certainly if G-Tech is up big late I'd def expect to see their backups make their way into this one and otherwise any players dinged up in the opener .. could be a couple of those .. like why in the world usher them back out for this game when you got cuse on deck .. just too many iffy things for GT here and even if GT is up big hard to imagine they're not just trying to get a win and get outta there .. maybe it does leave the backdoor open for us .. after seeing GT in a bad spot vs Bowling Green last year I think we know that this team is capable of flopping also.. not much would really surprise me here if ya know what I mean .. SP line on this says 13 or so, we obvi can't trust that but 8 points of value vs SP+ and catching G-Tech in this ugly spot well okay sign me up .. I got mostly 20.5's out there Caesars was the only 21 I found .. kinda doubt 21's will be around much longer, I mighta zapped the last one available .. I woulda got around to taking it 20.5 and maybe adjust the bet amount down a little if that's what you get I'd feel good taking it .. Good luck!
ALL SMALLER
DUKE / ELON +24.5 (FAN)
Duke is my fade special this year and I don't have to browse Elon's preview for long before I get the sense they could hang around in this game ... I'd expect Duke to dig into their roster and see what they even have, recall 5 OL's for the entire spring game .. this was upped with a few xfers since then but there's problems all over the roster and I'm not really sold on how good the QB sitch is even w Malik Murphy .. we'll see but big line I can take a stab on it right away and not feel bad .. would play over 21 .. good luck!
TEXAS / OKLAHOMA +8.5 WK7 (MGM)
Picked this up 8.5 and 9.5 but not seeing that anymore .. I did this same thing last year we got OU catching 6 points in this game pre ssn and a few other big rivalry games frankly its just too many points and with all due respect to Texas I think Oklahoma's roster looks very capable of competing (once again) .. there's all kinda added significance to this one this year and think its another one score game .. 8.5 implies that texas not only wins by a full score but what are the odds they win by 2 scores .. OU 18-11-1 SU last 30 years .. dogs of a TD or more are 10-6 ATS .. Taking this pre-ssn because I don't think we'll see this move any higher by game week think decent enough chance it'll be under 7 .. good luck!
IOWA / IOWA ST +3 WK2 (CZR)
My rule for this game .. if yer gettin 3 I'm playing it .. CY-HAWK has been a 3 point game in 6 outta the last 12 and not seeing much of a reason to look at these teams and expect a difference .. Iowa last 13 at home is 7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS and been a fav in all but one of those games .. I like the Clones outlook this year, recall last yr both teams had the the gambling situation but Clones really got hit much harder with 5 starters out including Hunter Dekkars .. theyve since found 2 good QB's the receiving targets haven't looked this good as a group pre-ssn in .. maybe ever .. and highest ret pro Heacock might not have a ton of proven super stars yet but there's a few and ton of guys with experience .. its smaller at 3 and I'd maybe pump it again if we see 3.5 ..
ALL SMALLER
DUKE / ELON +24.5 (FAN)
Duke is my fade special this year and I don't have to browse Elon's preview for long before I get the sense they could hang around in this game ... I'd expect Duke to dig into their roster and see what they even have, recall 5 OL's for the entire spring game .. this was upped with a few xfers since then but there's problems all over the roster and I'm not really sold on how good the QB sitch is even w Malik Murphy .. we'll see but big line I can take a stab on it right away and not feel bad .. would play over 21 .. good luck!
TEXAS / OKLAHOMA +8.5 WK7 (MGM)
Picked this up 8.5 and 9.5 but not seeing that anymore .. I did this same thing last year we got OU catching 6 points in this game pre ssn and a few other big rivalry games frankly its just too many points and with all due respect to Texas I think Oklahoma's roster looks very capable of competing (once again) .. there's all kinda added significance to this one this year and think its another one score game .. 8.5 implies that texas not only wins by a full score but what are the odds they win by 2 scores .. OU 18-11-1 SU last 30 years .. dogs of a TD or more are 10-6 ATS .. Taking this pre-ssn because I don't think we'll see this move any higher by game week think decent enough chance it'll be under 7 .. good luck!
IOWA / IOWA ST +3 WK2 (CZR)
My rule for this game .. if yer gettin 3 I'm playing it .. CY-HAWK has been a 3 point game in 6 outta the last 12 and not seeing much of a reason to look at these teams and expect a difference .. Iowa last 13 at home is 7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS and been a fav in all but one of those games .. I like the Clones outlook this year, recall last yr both teams had the the gambling situation but Clones really got hit much harder with 5 starters out including Hunter Dekkars .. theyve since found 2 good QB's the receiving targets haven't looked this good as a group pre-ssn in .. maybe ever .. and highest ret pro Heacock might not have a ton of proven super stars yet but there's a few and ton of guys with experience .. its smaller at 3 and I'd maybe pump it again if we see 3.5 ..
I like the Oklahoma play Bridge. Texas is getting A LOT of hype this season, but they still lost a bunch of production to the NFL. I think the media is underselling the pieces they lost....Having said that, I'm not touching the 7.5 wins Vegas has set for OU. With a new OL, QB & new conference, things could go south in a hurry if the Sooners aren't able to establish dominance against the Vols in their first SEC home game. Then they have to travel to Auburn the next week. That will be a tough one to win early in the season with the renewed energy for the Tigers under Freeze. I also pounded the hell out of the Texas under 10.5 wins. I don't believe in that Horns defense, AT ALL.
I like the Oklahoma play Bridge. Texas is getting A LOT of hype this season, but they still lost a bunch of production to the NFL. I think the media is underselling the pieces they lost....Having said that, I'm not touching the 7.5 wins Vegas has set for OU. With a new OL, QB & new conference, things could go south in a hurry if the Sooners aren't able to establish dominance against the Vols in their first SEC home game. Then they have to travel to Auburn the next week. That will be a tough one to win early in the season with the renewed energy for the Tigers under Freeze. I also pounded the hell out of the Texas under 10.5 wins. I don't believe in that Horns defense, AT ALL.
@DrStrangelove
Yeah I got that 9.5 and 8.5 for OU .. There's a few GOYs posted every year and I'm grabbin either OU or UT at +4.5 and either Iowa team at +3 and a few other auto plays .. there's a limit to these rules but if SP+ says to play it and no weird circumstances (like 5 starters out for the clones LY) then its set it and forget it .. SP+ has UT about a 10 pt fav on a neut field .. Agree I mean I hit UT 30-1 for the natty last year knowing they'd have to step their game up and there they were elite WR's, elite run D giving up like 1 yard / carry and somehow find themselves often in a dog fight over and over and lost to OU last second and fumble it away vs Wash .. and even handed a miracle shot at the end still blow it .. and now elite rating w the WR's and NFL DL's gone .. I get they got some WR's in the door but maaaaan what happens if a team can run on them just a little bit now .. we'll see .. the amazing part is UT with every recruiting, resource, branding, funding, coaching and home field advantage just never found a way to get their act together in the B12 for like a generation almost .. OU had their great run but never shoulda been room for teams like Baylor, TCU, K-State, OK.State or Iowa St to have a chance late in the year or sneak into the champ game let alone win any .. yeah we'll see how it goes but massive step up in schedule and an RSW as high as its ever been .. Mich, OU and then UGA the next week?... and finish the year UF, @Ark, UK, .. @TAMU .. I'd say the finale is the most intense rivalry game on the whole CFB schedule .. SP+ sayin UK+20 in that MASSIVE look ahead spot lol ok just gimme that one now I'll take the points and the ML ..
@DrStrangelove
Yeah I got that 9.5 and 8.5 for OU .. There's a few GOYs posted every year and I'm grabbin either OU or UT at +4.5 and either Iowa team at +3 and a few other auto plays .. there's a limit to these rules but if SP+ says to play it and no weird circumstances (like 5 starters out for the clones LY) then its set it and forget it .. SP+ has UT about a 10 pt fav on a neut field .. Agree I mean I hit UT 30-1 for the natty last year knowing they'd have to step their game up and there they were elite WR's, elite run D giving up like 1 yard / carry and somehow find themselves often in a dog fight over and over and lost to OU last second and fumble it away vs Wash .. and even handed a miracle shot at the end still blow it .. and now elite rating w the WR's and NFL DL's gone .. I get they got some WR's in the door but maaaaan what happens if a team can run on them just a little bit now .. we'll see .. the amazing part is UT with every recruiting, resource, branding, funding, coaching and home field advantage just never found a way to get their act together in the B12 for like a generation almost .. OU had their great run but never shoulda been room for teams like Baylor, TCU, K-State, OK.State or Iowa St to have a chance late in the year or sneak into the champ game let alone win any .. yeah we'll see how it goes but massive step up in schedule and an RSW as high as its ever been .. Mich, OU and then UGA the next week?... and finish the year UF, @Ark, UK, .. @TAMU .. I'd say the finale is the most intense rivalry game on the whole CFB schedule .. SP+ sayin UK+20 in that MASSIVE look ahead spot lol ok just gimme that one now I'll take the points and the ML ..
SEASON WINS
SAM HOUSTON OVER 4.5 -130 (MGM)
One of my favorite potential big turnaround teams this year. We saw Sammy struggle in year one of the FBS and they showed up not smelling particularly good from their final year in FCS lotta losing big and they projected to not be great last year .. but one thing their great HC was up to was stashing away a ton of his good players doing a RS year so they'd have the extra year in FBS action .. and while some things about the D weren't bad they really lacked a QB or a good sized OL and got dinged with injuries to RB and WR realllly bad starting in fall camp w 2 starters injured and were down to 1 RB at one pt in the season .. all that made the offense just inept for the first few games and took a good while to find any rhythm and still struggled in winning time .. but this team fought hard every game one score diff coulda nearly flipped their 3-9 record with 5 one score losses including near monster upset of LIB on the road and 2 score losses that just a little offense coulda turned into real games vs BYU, AF and NMSU .. only one big loss on the year vs Houston, total big brother spankin ..
While you'd think Keeler woulda loved a splash landing last year this feels like the boomerang year .. QB is in such better shape going from basically a dud to 3 capable ones with Jace Bauer, Grant Gunnell and Hunter Watson maybe the surprise JUCO champ QB I checked his games and realllly looked like he's got the tools and if he's not the guy I know they'll have 1-2 solids depending on if either backup xfers .. there is a reason Keeler went from nothing to flush w QB's this year his are real productive .. RB cupboard is restocked the WR room is solid the guys hurt last year are legit solid and OL is showing up much bigger this time with 7 over 310LBs and another gaggle 300+ .. TE is the only mystery on offense .. D looks good too they lost a couple studs but also retained a few and ton of their starters and depth are back no unit is really a concern and everyone with a real decent PFF grade speaks to the coaching on this team and just not as worried about them having the next stud when a rotation in the units function real well, gunna be new and existing guys stepping up and very well could be a step up from last yr .. unsure at punter or returner but they have a solid kicker and that along w backup QB's are "go" signals when playin RSW's ..
Schedule is great too think we can call @UCF a loss but the only lock loss on the schedule IMO .. 5 very winnable games NMSU, @UTEP, @FIU, LA-Tech, @Kennesaw .. we have another 6 they'll be a dog pre-ssn but none of which are outside the realm.. @Rice, Hawaii, Texas St, WKY, @J-Ville, Liberty .. I think they matchup very well with Rice in the opener and might have better offensive weapons, Rice layin 11 seems rich .. texas state at home noncon in week 5 with troy on deck is an awkward spot .. J-Ville is a big rivalry both joining fbs same time, etc .. we know these guys won't stop punching and wouldn't surprise if they are mixing it up w the CUSA elite late in the year for a conf champ game spot ..
SEASON WINS
SAM HOUSTON OVER 4.5 -130 (MGM)
One of my favorite potential big turnaround teams this year. We saw Sammy struggle in year one of the FBS and they showed up not smelling particularly good from their final year in FCS lotta losing big and they projected to not be great last year .. but one thing their great HC was up to was stashing away a ton of his good players doing a RS year so they'd have the extra year in FBS action .. and while some things about the D weren't bad they really lacked a QB or a good sized OL and got dinged with injuries to RB and WR realllly bad starting in fall camp w 2 starters injured and were down to 1 RB at one pt in the season .. all that made the offense just inept for the first few games and took a good while to find any rhythm and still struggled in winning time .. but this team fought hard every game one score diff coulda nearly flipped their 3-9 record with 5 one score losses including near monster upset of LIB on the road and 2 score losses that just a little offense coulda turned into real games vs BYU, AF and NMSU .. only one big loss on the year vs Houston, total big brother spankin ..
While you'd think Keeler woulda loved a splash landing last year this feels like the boomerang year .. QB is in such better shape going from basically a dud to 3 capable ones with Jace Bauer, Grant Gunnell and Hunter Watson maybe the surprise JUCO champ QB I checked his games and realllly looked like he's got the tools and if he's not the guy I know they'll have 1-2 solids depending on if either backup xfers .. there is a reason Keeler went from nothing to flush w QB's this year his are real productive .. RB cupboard is restocked the WR room is solid the guys hurt last year are legit solid and OL is showing up much bigger this time with 7 over 310LBs and another gaggle 300+ .. TE is the only mystery on offense .. D looks good too they lost a couple studs but also retained a few and ton of their starters and depth are back no unit is really a concern and everyone with a real decent PFF grade speaks to the coaching on this team and just not as worried about them having the next stud when a rotation in the units function real well, gunna be new and existing guys stepping up and very well could be a step up from last yr .. unsure at punter or returner but they have a solid kicker and that along w backup QB's are "go" signals when playin RSW's ..
Schedule is great too think we can call @UCF a loss but the only lock loss on the schedule IMO .. 5 very winnable games NMSU, @UTEP, @FIU, LA-Tech, @Kennesaw .. we have another 6 they'll be a dog pre-ssn but none of which are outside the realm.. @Rice, Hawaii, Texas St, WKY, @J-Ville, Liberty .. I think they matchup very well with Rice in the opener and might have better offensive weapons, Rice layin 11 seems rich .. texas state at home noncon in week 5 with troy on deck is an awkward spot .. J-Ville is a big rivalry both joining fbs same time, etc .. we know these guys won't stop punching and wouldn't surprise if they are mixing it up w the CUSA elite late in the year for a conf champ game spot ..
OK, got a gaggle of em for ya .. in order of 'like' ..
BRIDGE PLAYS
FLORIDA ST / SMU +9 WK5
Don't love the spot for the ponies after super rival TCU but they'll be a week off a bye after a couple easy games and true its a massive home game vs the Frogs but win or lose I think they'll still be dialed up and in for a MASSIVE first ACC conf game at home .. FSU kinda thru the ringer already by week 5 they'll have scrappy enough foes in GT, gotta pay back BC at home, you know Memphis is coming for their playoff resume builder and no way Norvell ignores his old team, then Cal may not be the best team but dangerous weapons can't ignore them actually love to grab Cal catching a 3TD number here if it shows up ... But Noles on that real long roadie to Ireland week zero and no break to this point on the schedule and month removed from the road .. first true road game to SMU .. oh and Clemson on deck .. horror show spot wouldn't count out a Pony win.. think the spot is noticed and we're maybe +4 by kickoff over a TD forget it FSU would have to cream everyone up to this pt ..
LSU / S.CAROLINA +10 WK3
Think its a cock surprise great HFA and LSU already will put themselves on tape in a big way vs USC already, S.Car off a tune up vs ODU .. we clocked that at 17.5 and I tapped it a little more at 20 didn't realize it would move so quick thought I could get back to it .. but yeah like a bounce back for S.Car like the home spot we should be gettin more points but funny feeling Reilly can expose some of LSU's likely defensive problems in Vegas and yeah I think we're at or under a TD by the time this one rolls around .. not sure at all why USC is 6 and this is 10 but ohhh well .. taking now for that reason could be a TD or less by kickoff
K-STATE / ARIZONA +9 WK3
Arizona doesn't look half bad really like the secondary and while they lose the OC/HC and Babers isin't everyone's idea of a big time OC there's more than enough firepower to keep them hanging in this one like the skill spots and OL looks fine even with an injury remains fairly in tact .. Cats have a great secondary returning with 1 and maybe 2 elite CB's which can make real trouble if Avery is forced to pass he can make plays yeah but AZ Cats won't make it easy for him .. I also got comfortable with some of the D Line losses, some concern with smaller guys up front now but kept one of their BIGS and added UC Davis all con who had to lose 30lbs just to be a 350LB WALRUS at NG and sounds like he's in the shape they need him to be and they've made room for him on that line for him .. LB has a total killer back and former 5-star Justin Flowe got displaced to a rotating backup and they added a legit dude xfer from Tulane surprise Fall camp add .. that unit looks much stronger with another dude in there .. DC returns and has a good group to work with .. K-State is on my list of likely overrated teams Avery and the good RB will wow us in some games, the HFA is for real in manhattan but despite AZ being potentially down a notch this aint a team you hand a over a TD to like they're suddenly back to being a pushover think this could be +7 or 6 by kickoff ..
OK, got a gaggle of em for ya .. in order of 'like' ..
BRIDGE PLAYS
FLORIDA ST / SMU +9 WK5
Don't love the spot for the ponies after super rival TCU but they'll be a week off a bye after a couple easy games and true its a massive home game vs the Frogs but win or lose I think they'll still be dialed up and in for a MASSIVE first ACC conf game at home .. FSU kinda thru the ringer already by week 5 they'll have scrappy enough foes in GT, gotta pay back BC at home, you know Memphis is coming for their playoff resume builder and no way Norvell ignores his old team, then Cal may not be the best team but dangerous weapons can't ignore them actually love to grab Cal catching a 3TD number here if it shows up ... But Noles on that real long roadie to Ireland week zero and no break to this point on the schedule and month removed from the road .. first true road game to SMU .. oh and Clemson on deck .. horror show spot wouldn't count out a Pony win.. think the spot is noticed and we're maybe +4 by kickoff over a TD forget it FSU would have to cream everyone up to this pt ..
LSU / S.CAROLINA +10 WK3
Think its a cock surprise great HFA and LSU already will put themselves on tape in a big way vs USC already, S.Car off a tune up vs ODU .. we clocked that at 17.5 and I tapped it a little more at 20 didn't realize it would move so quick thought I could get back to it .. but yeah like a bounce back for S.Car like the home spot we should be gettin more points but funny feeling Reilly can expose some of LSU's likely defensive problems in Vegas and yeah I think we're at or under a TD by the time this one rolls around .. not sure at all why USC is 6 and this is 10 but ohhh well .. taking now for that reason could be a TD or less by kickoff
K-STATE / ARIZONA +9 WK3
Arizona doesn't look half bad really like the secondary and while they lose the OC/HC and Babers isin't everyone's idea of a big time OC there's more than enough firepower to keep them hanging in this one like the skill spots and OL looks fine even with an injury remains fairly in tact .. Cats have a great secondary returning with 1 and maybe 2 elite CB's which can make real trouble if Avery is forced to pass he can make plays yeah but AZ Cats won't make it easy for him .. I also got comfortable with some of the D Line losses, some concern with smaller guys up front now but kept one of their BIGS and added UC Davis all con who had to lose 30lbs just to be a 350LB WALRUS at NG and sounds like he's in the shape they need him to be and they've made room for him on that line for him .. LB has a total killer back and former 5-star Justin Flowe got displaced to a rotating backup and they added a legit dude xfer from Tulane surprise Fall camp add .. that unit looks much stronger with another dude in there .. DC returns and has a good group to work with .. K-State is on my list of likely overrated teams Avery and the good RB will wow us in some games, the HFA is for real in manhattan but despite AZ being potentially down a notch this aint a team you hand a over a TD to like they're suddenly back to being a pushover think this could be +7 or 6 by kickoff ..
GOY's here and above from Circa sanz UGA/Ole Miss at CZRs .. chrono order think they're all not bad .. LSU sucks!.. good luck!
SMALLER
LSU / OLE MISS +3 WK7
LSU / TEXAS A&M -1 WK9
FLORIDA ST / MIAMI +2 WK9
GEORGIA / OLE MISS +7.5 WK11
CLEMSON / S.CAROLINA +13 WK14
HEISMAN
LANORRIS SELLERS 500-1 .. ok just having fun now .. maybe big fun later?!..
GOY's here and above from Circa sanz UGA/Ole Miss at CZRs .. chrono order think they're all not bad .. LSU sucks!.. good luck!
SMALLER
LSU / OLE MISS +3 WK7
LSU / TEXAS A&M -1 WK9
FLORIDA ST / MIAMI +2 WK9
GEORGIA / OLE MISS +7.5 WK11
CLEMSON / S.CAROLINA +13 WK14
HEISMAN
LANORRIS SELLERS 500-1 .. ok just having fun now .. maybe big fun later?!..
BRIDGE PLAY
SAM HOUSTON +10.5
Posted enough about sammy hoo already and just in this matchup I can imagine lotta Housters showin up to this game effectively not making it as much of an HFA I don't think anyone really knows what Rice's HFA is anyway but its in town and Sam's Club will be crashing the party ... besides that I don't really know that Rice has the better offensive weapons I know they got a solid RB but WR is a real mystery .. we do know that EJ Warner can make Temple WR's look good so t'was a surprise they weren't as attractive adding anyone else in the portal .. the main WR add was Thai Chaki-Bowman from Florida who I see on the roster but I didn't hear anything about in spring and can't find him in the headlines for Rice as of yet .. maybe he's in idk, maybe needs to retake his SAT's first .. either way Sammy on my list of big bounce improvers and line crept from 12.5 to 10.5 and we hit it smaller in between there and had a little fun w the total and Points, ML with the total .. might as well round this out and make it official .. Huge in town game for Sammy a team that's been thinking about all those close losses last year .. I got em w likely better offensive weaponry maybe not as strong a QB but have 3 good options and Keeler will have one that stands out .. maybe not quite as stout on D but could be close there too and better ST's last year with the good kicker returning and besides that we just never reallllly see Rice lay a 2 score win on many teams, could happen here but I like our chances to cover, upset wouldn't surprise me .. and idk if we can Holmgren a sure thing great college coach, seems like Rice has been about to have their breakout year for the last 3 years now .. we certainly can call Keeler great even if the FBS debut wasn't .. It's a BRIDGE PLAY ALL THE WAY! ..
BRIDGE PLAY
SAM HOUSTON +10.5
Posted enough about sammy hoo already and just in this matchup I can imagine lotta Housters showin up to this game effectively not making it as much of an HFA I don't think anyone really knows what Rice's HFA is anyway but its in town and Sam's Club will be crashing the party ... besides that I don't really know that Rice has the better offensive weapons I know they got a solid RB but WR is a real mystery .. we do know that EJ Warner can make Temple WR's look good so t'was a surprise they weren't as attractive adding anyone else in the portal .. the main WR add was Thai Chaki-Bowman from Florida who I see on the roster but I didn't hear anything about in spring and can't find him in the headlines for Rice as of yet .. maybe he's in idk, maybe needs to retake his SAT's first .. either way Sammy on my list of big bounce improvers and line crept from 12.5 to 10.5 and we hit it smaller in between there and had a little fun w the total and Points, ML with the total .. might as well round this out and make it official .. Huge in town game for Sammy a team that's been thinking about all those close losses last year .. I got em w likely better offensive weaponry maybe not as strong a QB but have 3 good options and Keeler will have one that stands out .. maybe not quite as stout on D but could be close there too and better ST's last year with the good kicker returning and besides that we just never reallllly see Rice lay a 2 score win on many teams, could happen here but I like our chances to cover, upset wouldn't surprise me .. and idk if we can Holmgren a sure thing great college coach, seems like Rice has been about to have their breakout year for the last 3 years now .. we certainly can call Keeler great even if the FBS debut wasn't .. It's a BRIDGE PLAY ALL THE WAY! ..
BRIDGE PLAY
VANDY / V-TECH UNDER 54
Already hit this one in the smaller division but like what I've been hearing outta Vandy camp in terms of the aim to control the clock, running the ball and questionable WR play .. Coach Lea is taking over at DC and just a guess here but between NMSU OC coming in and Jerry Kill on the staff as an advisor I'd expect we're gunna get a similar game plan here to what they did when overmatched vs Auburn .. turns out they weren't overmatched at all in the motivation department but that's not the case here .. Just predicting a slower moving offense that struggles to consistently air it out deep .. we also know that Vandy's RB room has a few questions and wouldn't surprise me to see Diego do what he can to take over and that's led to more hit and miss offense .. Not much intel from VT they absolutely profile like a team ready to take a big jump and clobbered many weaker teams offensively last year .. very possible this gets away from the Dores but I like the prospects of better defense w Lea taking over and they have a few DB's to like and a little more promise with their pass rush and we'll see if VT is ready to rock on the road week 1 they might help us out making mistakes too ..
Playing Vandy +14 did cross my mind but still like the total under prospects with just a totally diff Vandy style on offense this yr and gotta be better on D .. not adding a giant bet here at 54 since we've already got a bit on it but total hasnt moved significantly down and gunna top play off and more for the record books lets elevate it up to a BP status along w the smaller play too think there's a few things working for us to keep the total down .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
VANDY / V-TECH UNDER 54
Already hit this one in the smaller division but like what I've been hearing outta Vandy camp in terms of the aim to control the clock, running the ball and questionable WR play .. Coach Lea is taking over at DC and just a guess here but between NMSU OC coming in and Jerry Kill on the staff as an advisor I'd expect we're gunna get a similar game plan here to what they did when overmatched vs Auburn .. turns out they weren't overmatched at all in the motivation department but that's not the case here .. Just predicting a slower moving offense that struggles to consistently air it out deep .. we also know that Vandy's RB room has a few questions and wouldn't surprise me to see Diego do what he can to take over and that's led to more hit and miss offense .. Not much intel from VT they absolutely profile like a team ready to take a big jump and clobbered many weaker teams offensively last year .. very possible this gets away from the Dores but I like the prospects of better defense w Lea taking over and they have a few DB's to like and a little more promise with their pass rush and we'll see if VT is ready to rock on the road week 1 they might help us out making mistakes too ..
Playing Vandy +14 did cross my mind but still like the total under prospects with just a totally diff Vandy style on offense this yr and gotta be better on D .. not adding a giant bet here at 54 since we've already got a bit on it but total hasnt moved significantly down and gunna top play off and more for the record books lets elevate it up to a BP status along w the smaller play too think there's a few things working for us to keep the total down .. good luck!
SMALLER
GEORGIA / ALABAMA +5 WK5 (BOL)
Not gunna break this down piece by piece but its the biggest game on the SEC schedule its bama at home Dawgs with a major revenge plot coming in .. but its also Deboer catching 5 points at home and I think this is likely to even out a bit before kickoff Bama has a tough roadie into Camp Randall and that could go a few ways I think Deboer's offense will find a way past their secondary .. realllly not sure if Wisco solved their offensive issues esp at WR .. UGA comes into this one putting ALOT on tape for the Tide to digest they'll have the big opener vs Clemson and Kentucky on the road before both teams enter a bye before this one and seems like Bama would have more of an edge in terms of showing less heading into this one .. Bama's big questions seems to be more around their WR power but count on Deboer he's already found a young legit stud in Ryan Williams and count on them to get the talent out of what they have now .. Bama and UGA both boast elite OL's and top to bottom very good on D.. Losing Caleb Downs was the big headline but recall Saban bagged like 10 5 star players a year ago, most of em on D and it feels like Kane Wommack will have all he needs on that side .. Bama also with very possibly the top FG Kicker and Punter in CFB this year, a very sneaky edge .. all in all this line is saying UGA is -10 or so on a neutral field.. final SP+ has this under 7 on a neutral so with HFA this should be under a FG / tossup territory .. taking now because I think this one shrinks to that FG-Ish area by kickoff and in reality this does seem a little closer to a tossup, at the very least we won't be underwater taking this one early .. good luck!
SMALLER
GEORGIA / ALABAMA +5 WK5 (BOL)
Not gunna break this down piece by piece but its the biggest game on the SEC schedule its bama at home Dawgs with a major revenge plot coming in .. but its also Deboer catching 5 points at home and I think this is likely to even out a bit before kickoff Bama has a tough roadie into Camp Randall and that could go a few ways I think Deboer's offense will find a way past their secondary .. realllly not sure if Wisco solved their offensive issues esp at WR .. UGA comes into this one putting ALOT on tape for the Tide to digest they'll have the big opener vs Clemson and Kentucky on the road before both teams enter a bye before this one and seems like Bama would have more of an edge in terms of showing less heading into this one .. Bama's big questions seems to be more around their WR power but count on Deboer he's already found a young legit stud in Ryan Williams and count on them to get the talent out of what they have now .. Bama and UGA both boast elite OL's and top to bottom very good on D.. Losing Caleb Downs was the big headline but recall Saban bagged like 10 5 star players a year ago, most of em on D and it feels like Kane Wommack will have all he needs on that side .. Bama also with very possibly the top FG Kicker and Punter in CFB this year, a very sneaky edge .. all in all this line is saying UGA is -10 or so on a neutral field.. final SP+ has this under 7 on a neutral so with HFA this should be under a FG / tossup territory .. taking now because I think this one shrinks to that FG-Ish area by kickoff and in reality this does seem a little closer to a tossup, at the very least we won't be underwater taking this one early .. good luck!
BRIDGE PRE-SSN ROUNDUP
BRIDGE PLAYS
GT / G.STATE +21
RICE / SAM HOUSTON +10.5
CLEM / UGA UNDER 48.5
VANDY / V-TECH UNDER 54
K-ST / ARIZONA +9 WK 3
LSU / S.CAROLINA +10 WK 3
FL.ST / SMU +9 WK 5
SMALLER
DUKE / ELON +24.5
CAL / UC DAVIS +23.5
RICE / SAM HOUSTON +11.5
N.CAR / MINNESOTA -1.5
PENN ST / W.VIRGINIA +10.5
OLD DOM / S.CAROLINA -17.5
CAL / UC DAVIS OVER 53.5
NEW MEX / MONT ST UNDER 55.5
RICE / SAM HOUSTON OVER 48.5
VA TECH / VANDY UNDER 55.5
IOWA / IOWA ST +3 WK 2
CLEM / NC ST +10 WK 4
DUKE / UNC -3 WK 5
UGA / ALABAMA +5 WK 5
TEXAS / OKLA +8.5 WK 7
LSU / OLE MISS +3 WK 7
LSU / TEXAS A&M -1 WK 9
FSU / MIAMI +2 WK 9
UGA / OLE MISS +7.5 WK 11
UNC / NC.ST - PK.EM WK 14
CLEM / S.CAROLINA +13 WK 14
FUN BETS
UC DAVIS +23.5/O53.5 ... 3.14-1
UC DAVIS ML/O54.5 ... 29.3-1
SAM HOO ML/O48.5 .. 7.55-1
SSN WINS:
UCLA UNDER 5.5 +120
LSU UNDER 9.5 -110
CAL OVER 5.5 -135
VANDY OVER 2.5 -120
INDIANA OVER 5.5 +125
S.CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -120
E. CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -150
MINNESOTA OVER 5.5 +115
GA SOUTHERN OVER 5 -115
GA SOUTHERN OVER 4.5 -175
SAM HOUSTON OVER 4.5 -130
CONF:
CAL 50-1
SMU 22-1
NC STATE 12-1
IOWA STATE 12-1
E. CAROLINA 16-1
W.MICHIGAN 10-1
GA SOUTHERN 25-1
ARIZONA STATE 100-1
MAKE PLAYOFF
TEXAS STATE 17-1
E.CAROLINA 130-1
HEISMAN:
TRAVIS HUNTER 75-1
AVERY JOHNSON 40-1
GRAYSON MCCALL 100-1
BEHREN MORTON 200-1
LANORRIS SELLERS 500-1
NATTY:
SMU 500-1
BRIDGE PRE-SSN ROUNDUP
BRIDGE PLAYS
GT / G.STATE +21
RICE / SAM HOUSTON +10.5
CLEM / UGA UNDER 48.5
VANDY / V-TECH UNDER 54
K-ST / ARIZONA +9 WK 3
LSU / S.CAROLINA +10 WK 3
FL.ST / SMU +9 WK 5
SMALLER
DUKE / ELON +24.5
CAL / UC DAVIS +23.5
RICE / SAM HOUSTON +11.5
N.CAR / MINNESOTA -1.5
PENN ST / W.VIRGINIA +10.5
OLD DOM / S.CAROLINA -17.5
CAL / UC DAVIS OVER 53.5
NEW MEX / MONT ST UNDER 55.5
RICE / SAM HOUSTON OVER 48.5
VA TECH / VANDY UNDER 55.5
IOWA / IOWA ST +3 WK 2
CLEM / NC ST +10 WK 4
DUKE / UNC -3 WK 5
UGA / ALABAMA +5 WK 5
TEXAS / OKLA +8.5 WK 7
LSU / OLE MISS +3 WK 7
LSU / TEXAS A&M -1 WK 9
FSU / MIAMI +2 WK 9
UGA / OLE MISS +7.5 WK 11
UNC / NC.ST - PK.EM WK 14
CLEM / S.CAROLINA +13 WK 14
FUN BETS
UC DAVIS +23.5/O53.5 ... 3.14-1
UC DAVIS ML/O54.5 ... 29.3-1
SAM HOO ML/O48.5 .. 7.55-1
SSN WINS:
UCLA UNDER 5.5 +120
LSU UNDER 9.5 -110
CAL OVER 5.5 -135
VANDY OVER 2.5 -120
INDIANA OVER 5.5 +125
S.CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -120
E. CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -150
MINNESOTA OVER 5.5 +115
GA SOUTHERN OVER 5 -115
GA SOUTHERN OVER 4.5 -175
SAM HOUSTON OVER 4.5 -130
CONF:
CAL 50-1
SMU 22-1
NC STATE 12-1
IOWA STATE 12-1
E. CAROLINA 16-1
W.MICHIGAN 10-1
GA SOUTHERN 25-1
ARIZONA STATE 100-1
MAKE PLAYOFF
TEXAS STATE 17-1
E.CAROLINA 130-1
HEISMAN:
TRAVIS HUNTER 75-1
AVERY JOHNSON 40-1
GRAYSON MCCALL 100-1
BEHREN MORTON 200-1
LANORRIS SELLERS 500-1
NATTY:
SMU 500-1
@Bridge1
like SH here too - one of the few decent numbers left on the board.....
>> more P5 transfers than it appears from Steele mag - about 8/9 on D alone - usually really tough on road, stayed within 5 of Liberty and WKU LY, played BYU and AF tough despite a historically bad O. Only 75 miles apart, Bearcats (with a beating at UCF on deck) should stay close here. Owls are -27 in TO the last 2 years.....
@Bridge1
like SH here too - one of the few decent numbers left on the board.....
>> more P5 transfers than it appears from Steele mag - about 8/9 on D alone - usually really tough on road, stayed within 5 of Liberty and WKU LY, played BYU and AF tough despite a historically bad O. Only 75 miles apart, Bearcats (with a beating at UCF on deck) should stay close here. Owls are -27 in TO the last 2 years.....
@bookieassassin
Yeah dude i played it earlier and just kept growin on me .. Sammy HOOOO let's go!! ..
SMALLER
ASU / WYOMING UNDER 47.5
News from Wyoming that Harrison Waylee their stud RB is gunna be hurt for a few weeks and I already had my eye on this total under anyway .. ASU got picked apart in the portal this off season we know they'll run the ball quite a bit w Skattebo and have a couple decent RB's this year .. we knew the QB sitch was up in the air already with what's his name dude off to UGA to be their 3rd string QB instead of the starter in Tempe lol sheeeesh guys, another future heisman out the door maybe .. then Elijah Badger hometown dude leaves to Florida sounds like he's maintaining his dude status with them .. the point is lotta guys left and it wasn't for lack of a starting spot ASU can't keep guys around competing with NIL or any level of prestige .. they do have a QB to put on the radar Sam Levitt can actually play but my guess is that he's still a year away from being a solid QB thus far he's an accomplished scrambler and probably burns a bit of clock putting a scoring drive together .. Wyoming needing to rely on the arm of their the QB they retained is not a recipe for points and I don't think they'll take too many risky shots here seeing this is a big P4 game they can potentially win .. there's also almost no attractiveness for a legit skilled WR or TE receiving target to play on the pokes it'll take years to change the perception and new HC probably not trying to do that anyway.. so yeah the potential for a splash dude we don't know about for the Pokes is minimal .. I don't know as much about Wyoming's D this year we know they're always competitive I'd expect them to possibly be down a little maybe .. but ASU when healthy wasn't bad last year and should take another step forward .. Word from ASU camp is ton of injuries and Jeff Simms is still a turnover machine and none of the other QB's look good hitting down field .. saw a message board at Rivals that sounds pretty pessimistic they get things turned around w the injuries and just the offense struggling all the way so far .. this one feels alot like a slug fest and less likely for things to go gangbusters outside of huuuuge QB runs, or turnovers or special teams whoppers .. feels like 5-6 scores in this one and in a close game good chance we see some FG kickers, Wyoming keeps their good one in Hoyland and have a 2x AA FCS punter from VMI both of those pieces should incentivize lower scoring .. Maybe come back to this one and hit Wyoming, def check the boards for ASU injuries it sounds pretty nasty as of when they left camp and what they had in their scrimmage .. yiiiikes ..
@bookieassassin
Yeah dude i played it earlier and just kept growin on me .. Sammy HOOOO let's go!! ..
SMALLER
ASU / WYOMING UNDER 47.5
News from Wyoming that Harrison Waylee their stud RB is gunna be hurt for a few weeks and I already had my eye on this total under anyway .. ASU got picked apart in the portal this off season we know they'll run the ball quite a bit w Skattebo and have a couple decent RB's this year .. we knew the QB sitch was up in the air already with what's his name dude off to UGA to be their 3rd string QB instead of the starter in Tempe lol sheeeesh guys, another future heisman out the door maybe .. then Elijah Badger hometown dude leaves to Florida sounds like he's maintaining his dude status with them .. the point is lotta guys left and it wasn't for lack of a starting spot ASU can't keep guys around competing with NIL or any level of prestige .. they do have a QB to put on the radar Sam Levitt can actually play but my guess is that he's still a year away from being a solid QB thus far he's an accomplished scrambler and probably burns a bit of clock putting a scoring drive together .. Wyoming needing to rely on the arm of their the QB they retained is not a recipe for points and I don't think they'll take too many risky shots here seeing this is a big P4 game they can potentially win .. there's also almost no attractiveness for a legit skilled WR or TE receiving target to play on the pokes it'll take years to change the perception and new HC probably not trying to do that anyway.. so yeah the potential for a splash dude we don't know about for the Pokes is minimal .. I don't know as much about Wyoming's D this year we know they're always competitive I'd expect them to possibly be down a little maybe .. but ASU when healthy wasn't bad last year and should take another step forward .. Word from ASU camp is ton of injuries and Jeff Simms is still a turnover machine and none of the other QB's look good hitting down field .. saw a message board at Rivals that sounds pretty pessimistic they get things turned around w the injuries and just the offense struggling all the way so far .. this one feels alot like a slug fest and less likely for things to go gangbusters outside of huuuuge QB runs, or turnovers or special teams whoppers .. feels like 5-6 scores in this one and in a close game good chance we see some FG kickers, Wyoming keeps their good one in Hoyland and have a 2x AA FCS punter from VMI both of those pieces should incentivize lower scoring .. Maybe come back to this one and hit Wyoming, def check the boards for ASU injuries it sounds pretty nasty as of when they left camp and what they had in their scrimmage .. yiiiikes ..
@MaddoxsPopPop
Yessir I keep my records by Bridge Plays and Smaller stuff .. as a primer I'd say BP is a unit and smaller is half unit but in reality I have varying amounts on each and sometimes i'll hint that in my write ups if I like a particular one more than another and FCS stuff I can't get down THAT much anyway so those are typically smaller of 'smallers' .. also pre-ssn plays are nothing to break the bank over anyway since I make quite a few plays all summer and sure we're gunna lose some but hope end of the weekend we come out ahead .. on that note of the BP's right now Sammy Hoo is one I'm really liking over 10 pts, for Games of the year I really like SMU getting 9 vs FSU that spot is such a killer .. good luck
@MaddoxsPopPop
Yessir I keep my records by Bridge Plays and Smaller stuff .. as a primer I'd say BP is a unit and smaller is half unit but in reality I have varying amounts on each and sometimes i'll hint that in my write ups if I like a particular one more than another and FCS stuff I can't get down THAT much anyway so those are typically smaller of 'smallers' .. also pre-ssn plays are nothing to break the bank over anyway since I make quite a few plays all summer and sure we're gunna lose some but hope end of the weekend we come out ahead .. on that note of the BP's right now Sammy Hoo is one I'm really liking over 10 pts, for Games of the year I really like SMU getting 9 vs FSU that spot is such a killer .. good luck
@Bridge1
Well Bridge, next Saturday we'll be in the action for another CFB season.
Blessings and success to you this year .
@Bridge1
Well Bridge, next Saturday we'll be in the action for another CFB season.
Blessings and success to you this year .
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