CFB Week 5

RE: Grow up son.

haha grow up? All I was saying is your making a mistake by betting VT and yes I know we are all trying to make money.  I saw all the posts that i knew to be wrong about clemson so i stepped in and told everyone what would happen from a clemson fan and a bettor.  Just betting against clemson because of off of 2 big wins isn't a good strategy.  I tried to tell everyone Clemson, when they lose, loses by a very small margin so betting VT -7 was not a smart bet.  No matter what team I pull for its obvious Clemson is a different team than they have been before, meaning the result in blacksburg would be different this time.  Instead of looking at emotional factor, look at the better team.  VT hasn't looked that great all season and just werent going to randomly stomp Clemson who has been impressive.  If it was VT by 3 points then I would have not said a word.  I am not biased toward clemson i bet gaainst them all the time but I am just saying a fan of a team knows that team better than anyone else does.  Ive been a little over 50% so far but have won about 75% of the bets ive made regarding clemson.  Every week i bet 4 or 5 prop bets with Clemson, the spread and total.  Honestly, haha your right it really doesn't matter its one single bet but I was trying to help. 

If you would like to know what I look for with my Clemson bets ill explain.  For example, Sammy Watkins had 2 huge games against Auburn and FSU.  So i bet the under receiving yards against VT knowing they would cover him tight and bet the over on Dwayne Allen recptions and yards and Deandre Hopkins over on receptions.  I won allen bets easily but lost hopkins unfortunately but still good bets.  I bet Clemson over 22.5 points because otheir offense has averaged 38. Easy enough (even though barely got tht one).  So what I am saying is I use emotional factors for props such as these but just because Clemson was bound to lose and drop off I wouldnt use that for the line.  Only times I use emotional are win a team is bound to win ----> TEXAS A&M this week!

THIS WEEK, I will be betting the under.  Think Clemson scores in the 30's again but BC defense is not that bad and has ACC best linebacker.  Past two years its been 25-7 i think and 16-10.  Always low scoring.  CU offense is much improved though so I expect their points to improve from years past and BC's to stay in same range.  BC also last in ACC in total yards.  BC won't let us get 40 i doubt because I think they prepare well and wnt be as suceptible to 60 yard td's to watkins.  Still, at home, we wil put up 28-38 points.  BC scoring in away games makes me laugh so im confident they won't pass 20, probably not 17.  CLEMSON 34-13 

in 2nd paragraph, meant WHEN not win haha