NCAA wk 5

best of luck this weekend buddy

keep up the great insight/sense of humor man,.......... love it

Cinderella story. Outta nowhere. A former groundskeeper, now, about to become the Masters Champion. It looks like a mirac.......It's in the hole !! It's in the hole !!

chopped

Metallica  GL this wk buddy

puffkit

SST enjoy the game - very jealous ! stay safe if it weather gets horrible

KSU - yes purdue looks like a decent one - good to see u around GL

JTLV

Jaime

Rio

Alien GL buddy - you need to post more games

VITS - Georgia / Alabama should be fun; Lots of reasons to take both teams. GL !

Bmansell - yes my 3 plays are NIU / Tenn under / ALA....may have one more.....gonna do a couple more Big12 write-ups.....My apologies for being misled - I was discussing the Temple game with a bunch of guys that DID have big money on it - we had a little in game wager but nothing to go nuts about - I was just happy that it turned around for those guys after looking bad early !! BOL this weekend !!

Plays

NIU -2.5

Tennessee / Arkansas under 56

Alabama +1.5

Table of contents for Write-Ups. This will add to your viewing pleasure

NIU / C Michigan

Thursday / Friday games

SEC games

UCLA / Arizona St

Arkansas / Tennessee TOTAL

Big 10

Utah St / Colorado St

App St / Wyoming

Idaho / Ark St

S Miss / N Texas

UP NEXT - gonna try to write up some of my Big 12 notes....Also 90 % sure we will have another play on one of the late games

TCU 14 Texas (73.5)

Megalocks line 14

Sagarin 17

Seems like a tough one to bet....If you wanna play TCU - have to believe their offense will score a boatload of points - and since the first game have put up 70 56 55....Texas D should not provide much resistance....But TCU pretty thin with injuries, etc....Seems like there are better favs on the card to play....And Texas? D so bad - QB has promise but inconsistent - and D is just not good....they ARE playing very hard but after the last 2 games both being heartbreakers (anyone know a good kicker?) how could you blame them if they did not play a good game?

Summary - no leanage.

mega

Quote Originally Posted by HenneGivnSunday:

MEGA....I got Tenn/Ark total at 52....which way do i go?

TY for your work!!

 thx man

That is a tough call bro - We have the game at 50/51 so took the 56 earlier in the week - Now IF you like the under - I would only go 1/2 size of your normal wager because a good chunk of the value is gone......Another option is to do some intel on the weather - we assumed no weather issues - but if things look bad I would consider a full size wager assuming the line does not drop much more which I do not think it will. Sorry not sure that helps - but cannot honestly recommend that one fully once it has dropped so far. BOL mega

Baylor 17 Tex Tech (89)

Megalocks line - 13

Sagarin - 13

After going toe to toe with TCU last wk and almost living to tell about it - T Tech gets Baylor  at a neutral site...Pretty amazing that TCU/TT put up over 1300 yds last wk and neither team had a turnover.....That is efficiency....of course combined with horrid tackling but we digress....The big issue in this one to us is that while we see some perceived line value with Tex Tech - the questionable injury status of TT QB Mahomes is not something that can be taken lightly - yes it is a "system" - but against Baylor is not the time you want to change it up because they are more than likely gonna get 50+ pts......Baylor is not a team we really wanna fade at this point it looks - although we cannot be sure yet - that their D is a notch above TCU and certainly TT so it makes them really tough to bet against without supreme value on your side.

We did not do any additional research on this one since Wednesday so maybe some local T Tech guys have updated injury info.

Per Steele mag - teams have avg 95 pts/game over the last 5 meetings which is quite incredible really.

Summary - lean Baylor TT over. Another option? Wait for an in game wager. We are probably gonna see 1-2 drives for TT and IF things look good for the QB may try TT in-game wager even at a reduced price from -17.

mega

Henne

Head - Yes we tend to think Alabama is gonna be able to work the Georgia front 7 with the run game BUT we cannot be sure until the game starts ! Just an educated guess - GA is gonna give em a war.

Hoyasaxa -  yes we were quite pleased to see that line movement it usually but not always means good things - Last wk it did not help our Florida under  but it took an unlikely ending to stick it in our HOO HOO......I would still lean 52.5 under but like I said only at half size....I know it sound strange - but the less perceived value we get this lower % of the bankroll we put in play. GL !!

Storm  GL buddy !

Iowa St 17.5 Kansas (59.5)

Megalocks line 17

Sagarin 18.5

Iowa St healthy and off a bye - not sure that helps this coach - 3 wins in 11 tries SU in that situation - but they gave iowa a good game - and maybe deserved to beat a very good Toledo team on the road - outgained them significantly and had excellent offensive balance - RB M Warren emerged after having 9 carries for 28 y in the first 2 games he was 21-126....QB is decent but inaccurate at times.....KU stomped on Iowa St last yr so maybe this is payback time??? Kansas has a good qB/RB combo - but nobody with more than 6 receptions - played a decent enough road game at Rutgers but on paper we have serious questions about them....their secondary is suspect and probably does not help the stench factor when Fish Smithson is back there defending.

Summary. Smells like a trucking....but we cannot get our heads around laying 17+ with Iowa St even though it is probably the way to go....If you know the teams well and think it is a slaughter - go for it - we just do not know these teams well enough yet. No play for us.

mega

Pickmywhat  thanks man appreciate the intel !

The line certainly suggested something was amiss - thanks for verifying. Love when you guys help out with local intel we all benefit.

GL

Summary - lean Baylor TT over. Another option? Wait for an in game wager. We are probably gonna see 1-2 drives for TT and IF things look good for the QB may try TT in-game wager even at a reduced price from -17.

mega

Mega

I really like Southern Miss -16 at home over North Texas

North Texas is  0-3 really BAD!!!

I'll be on it. Good Luck

Lantz54

Area

Lantz  cannot disagree with that one ! in fact - like it GL this wk bro

Two more Big 12 games - will not have time for detailed write-ups BUT do have one more pick for a 7pm game that I will be posting soon not meant to be a d=bag teaser just saying we will be adding usually somebody asks.

Oklahoma game - will be using WVU in our underdog ML degenerate parlays.....Okla St was one of our favs when it opened =- missed it - and now cannot lay 7 should have grabbed it lower when we had a chance.

mega

Plays

NIU -2.5

Tennessee / Arkansas under 56

Alabama +1.5

(one more add - 7pm game when I get a chance to post)

Table of contents for Write-Ups. This will add to your viewing pleasure

NIU / C Michigan

Thursday / Friday games

SEC games

UCLA / Arizona St

Arkansas / Tennessee TOTAL

Big 10

Utah St / Colorado St

App St / Wyoming

Idaho / Ark St

S Miss / N Texas

Big 12

thx appreciate it ! GL