Tyler. Leaning mtsu but need to check out tomorrow
Flex it. Really like Buffalo. Not sure about Cal only because they surely are due for a letdown off so many barn burners. I understand the Cal argument tho
0
Tyler. Leaning mtsu but need to check out tomorrow
Flex it. Really like Buffalo. Not sure about Cal only because they surely are due for a letdown off so many barn burners. I understand the Cal argument tho
Call me crazy, but with so many injuries and a massive look-ahead to Notre Dame, I think Syracuse is one of the best plays of the week...
Shark !!! Sharp dude guys.
Ok let me try this again. I LEAN Cuse. Not playing. Reasons to not play fla St. As per my original write up.
1. Cuse QB. Hunt was baaaaaaad. Do u know the new guy? I don't.
2. Did you check fla St injuries ? Leading rusher and receiver prob out and lots of def guys.
3. ND next. I can't argue if u think this is irrelevant.
4. Power ratings. Pre injuries SAG 15 not incl Home F. We have 18.
5. Fla St d is not ND or Louisville. It goes beyond final scores.
6. Honestly. U don't think fla St can be run on? At least to shorten game? They got 350ish vs Maryland. With injuries to Fla St???
Fla St rationale.
1. They are awesome. So awesome.
2. Syracuse sucks
Now you can pick apart any individual part of this but my goal is to make people think about both sides. If you still wanna lay 24ish given 1-5 as a group of factors go crazy I wish you luck.
At 23.5 I think it's 50/50 and Florida st could easily win by 40. Gun to the head would take points. But fla St blowout can happen. Hence no play.
Thx guys keep comments coming.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Shark_Attack:
Call me crazy, but with so many injuries and a massive look-ahead to Notre Dame, I think Syracuse is one of the best plays of the week...
Shark !!! Sharp dude guys.
Ok let me try this again. I LEAN Cuse. Not playing. Reasons to not play fla St. As per my original write up.
1. Cuse QB. Hunt was baaaaaaad. Do u know the new guy? I don't.
2. Did you check fla St injuries ? Leading rusher and receiver prob out and lots of def guys.
3. ND next. I can't argue if u think this is irrelevant.
4. Power ratings. Pre injuries SAG 15 not incl Home F. We have 18.
5. Fla St d is not ND or Louisville. It goes beyond final scores.
6. Honestly. U don't think fla St can be run on? At least to shorten game? They got 350ish vs Maryland. With injuries to Fla St???
Fla St rationale.
1. They are awesome. So awesome.
2. Syracuse sucks
Now you can pick apart any individual part of this but my goal is to make people think about both sides. If you still wanna lay 24ish given 1-5 as a group of factors go crazy I wish you luck.
At 23.5 I think it's 50/50 and Florida st could easily win by 40. Gun to the head would take points. But fla St blowout can happen. Hence no play.
Flex - we said the same thing with FSU and ECU last weekend. FSU was only up 13-3 at half but luckily covered the game while ECU was nowhere near covering the large spread. All lines hold value, just need to find it
0
Flex - we said the same thing with FSU and ECU last weekend. FSU was only up 13-3 at half but luckily covered the game while ECU was nowhere near covering the large spread. All lines hold value, just need to find it
Love how you cap both sides look for reasons why either side could cover then compare. Sounds obvious but most people decide on a winner then filter the facts to use only the one that support the bet they want to make!
0
Love how you cap both sides look for reasons why either side could cover then compare. Sounds obvious but most people decide on a winner then filter the facts to use only the one that support the bet they want to make!
Love how you cap both sides look for reasons why either side could cover then compare. Sounds obvious but most people decide on a winner then filter the facts to use only the one that support the bet they want to make!
0
Quote Originally Posted by Julespussy:
Love how you cap both sides look for reasons why either side could cover then compare. Sounds obvious but most people decide on a winner then filter the facts to use only the one that support the bet they want to make!
Ok let me try this again. I LEAN Cuse. Not playing. Reasons to not play fla St. As per my original write up.
1. Cuse QB. Hunt was baaaaaaad. Do u know the new guy? I don't.
2. Did you check fla St injuries ? Leading rusher and receiver prob out and lots of def guys.
3. ND next. I can't argue if u think this is irrelevant.
4. Power ratings. Pre injuries SAG 15 not incl Home F. We have 18.
5. Fla St d is not ND or Louisville. It goes beyond final scores.
6. Honestly. U don't think fla St can be run on? At least to shorten game? They got 350ish vs Maryland. With injuries to Fla St???
Fla St rationale.
1. They are awesome. So awesome.
2. Syracuse sucks
Now you can pick apart any individual part of this but my goal is to make people think about both sides. If you still wanna lay 24ish given 1-5 as a group of factors go crazy I wish you luck.
At 23.5 I think it's 50/50 and Florida st could easily win by 40. Gun to the head would take points. But fla St blowout can happen. Hence no play.
Thx guys keep comments coming.
You forgot to mention the crowd will be rockin' the Carrier Dome
0
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
Shark !!! Sharp dude guys.
Ok let me try this again. I LEAN Cuse. Not playing. Reasons to not play fla St. As per my original write up.
1. Cuse QB. Hunt was baaaaaaad. Do u know the new guy? I don't.
2. Did you check fla St injuries ? Leading rusher and receiver prob out and lots of def guys.
3. ND next. I can't argue if u think this is irrelevant.
4. Power ratings. Pre injuries SAG 15 not incl Home F. We have 18.
5. Fla St d is not ND or Louisville. It goes beyond final scores.
6. Honestly. U don't think fla St can be run on? At least to shorten game? They got 350ish vs Maryland. With injuries to Fla St???
Fla St rationale.
1. They are awesome. So awesome.
2. Syracuse sucks
Now you can pick apart any individual part of this but my goal is to make people think about both sides. If you still wanna lay 24ish given 1-5 as a group of factors go crazy I wish you luck.
At 23.5 I think it's 50/50 and Florida st could easily win by 40. Gun to the head would take points. But fla St blowout can happen. Hence no play.
Thx guys keep comments coming.
You forgot to mention the crowd will be rockin' the Carrier Dome
thx a lot guys ! appreciate it. Glad you go the meaning of my fla st / syr posts - its not to say fla st is a bad play - just trying to point out what you should worry about. just a tough game GL guys
train Crowd Will Be Rocking Guy is everywhere
Marshall 24.5 MTSU (73.5)
We have the fair line closer to 17/18.....Lean to MTSU at this point - but as seems to be the case in every game we look at this wk - sorry guys - there is a enough to worry about.....Yes Marshall has played a weak schedule - Miamioh Rhode ohio akron ODU - but they are really scary for 2 reasons 1) D is very good - schedule notwithstanding - ranked #22 and get this - their RUSHING game is ranked #9 and pass #9 for a total of #1.....you guys that follow them closely know that but it was a bit of a revelation for us to see how great they are running the ball and playing good D.....so its not like fading a pass happy team with no d - which we love to do......MTSU just finished getting fried thru the air v S Miss (whaaaaaat?) over 400Y - D is just bad - #100.....got rolled up pretty well at memphis - got down 28-0 early at minny.....If there was a backdoor game on the schedule this wk this one is probably it - might revisit - but pass for now
0
thx a lot guys ! appreciate it. Glad you go the meaning of my fla st / syr posts - its not to say fla st is a bad play - just trying to point out what you should worry about. just a tough game GL guys
train Crowd Will Be Rocking Guy is everywhere
Marshall 24.5 MTSU (73.5)
We have the fair line closer to 17/18.....Lean to MTSU at this point - but as seems to be the case in every game we look at this wk - sorry guys - there is a enough to worry about.....Yes Marshall has played a weak schedule - Miamioh Rhode ohio akron ODU - but they are really scary for 2 reasons 1) D is very good - schedule notwithstanding - ranked #22 and get this - their RUSHING game is ranked #9 and pass #9 for a total of #1.....you guys that follow them closely know that but it was a bit of a revelation for us to see how great they are running the ball and playing good D.....so its not like fading a pass happy team with no d - which we love to do......MTSU just finished getting fried thru the air v S Miss (whaaaaaat?) over 400Y - D is just bad - #100.....got rolled up pretty well at memphis - got down 28-0 early at minny.....If there was a backdoor game on the schedule this wk this one is probably it - might revisit - but pass for now
Strong lean to Buff in this one - seems like a good spot for a blowout at first glance with a bye on deck - buff has scored 38 39 36 35 35 in non-baylor games but D has been pretty horrid also - ranked 88 and 116 in pass eff D......were thinking about the eMichigan TT under around 22 - have only scored 0 3 14 6 vs fbs teams so far - but 2 of those games vs florida and mich st - Bolden at QB last wk looked at least better than a dead person at qb which was what they were getting before - not sure how Akron did not win by a bigger margin last wk maybe weather not sure did not check it out but e mich outgained 552-279.....Buffalo rolling on offense Veal Licata solid at QB 66% 15 td 5 int - get this RB A Taylor back to back JACKS - 200 yds last 2 games - 219 and 222......hmmmm this one has a good shot at making the card just need to check out some last second intel during the day....gonna see if we can grab a 13.5 but we may have missed the boat on this one - it happens GL guys - this one in a holding pattern if you like this one might grab 14 now cant see this line going down
0
Buffalo 14 E Michigan (58.5)
Strong lean to Buff in this one - seems like a good spot for a blowout at first glance with a bye on deck - buff has scored 38 39 36 35 35 in non-baylor games but D has been pretty horrid also - ranked 88 and 116 in pass eff D......were thinking about the eMichigan TT under around 22 - have only scored 0 3 14 6 vs fbs teams so far - but 2 of those games vs florida and mich st - Bolden at QB last wk looked at least better than a dead person at qb which was what they were getting before - not sure how Akron did not win by a bigger margin last wk maybe weather not sure did not check it out but e mich outgained 552-279.....Buffalo rolling on offense Veal Licata solid at QB 66% 15 td 5 int - get this RB A Taylor back to back JACKS - 200 yds last 2 games - 219 and 222......hmmmm this one has a good shot at making the card just need to check out some last second intel during the day....gonna see if we can grab a 13.5 but we may have missed the boat on this one - it happens GL guys - this one in a holding pattern if you like this one might grab 14 now cant see this line going down
Love how you cap both sides look for reasons why either side could cover then compare. Sounds obvious but most people decide on a winner then filter the facts to use only the one that support the bet they want to make!
thanks man ! doing best to try and help guys out we learned a lot thru mistakes over the yrs and still make them again and again slowly getting better - GL !
0
Quote Originally Posted by Julespussy:
Love how you cap both sides look for reasons why either side could cover then compare. Sounds obvious but most people decide on a winner then filter the facts to use only the one that support the bet they want to make!
thanks man ! doing best to try and help guys out we learned a lot thru mistakes over the yrs and still make them again and again slowly getting better - GL !
ok guys gotta get ready for the day - know i owe a couple guys a game or two to look at will squeeze those in at some point during the day at a minimum another chunk of games tonight - so far only c mich and texas arrrrgh tough card for us !
0
ok guys gotta get ready for the day - know i owe a couple guys a game or two to look at will squeeze those in at some point during the day at a minimum another chunk of games tonight - so far only c mich and texas arrrrgh tough card for us !
Hey Mega, I enjoy reading your writeups, thank you for them. I haven't had a chance to read the entire thread, but i was curious on what you think for tonights game with BYU/UCF. I'm almost leaning towards BYU. Seems everyone is thinking UCF is gonna take it since Hill is out, and I like to fade the public in these situations. What do you think?
Sorry if this was already discussed.
0
Hey Mega, I enjoy reading your writeups, thank you for them. I haven't had a chance to read the entire thread, but i was curious on what you think for tonights game with BYU/UCF. I'm almost leaning towards BYU. Seems everyone is thinking UCF is gonna take it since Hill is out, and I like to fade the public in these situations. What do you think?
Hey Mega, I enjoy reading your writeups, thank you for them. I haven't had a chance to read the entire thread, but i was curious on what you think for tonights game with BYU/UCF. I'm almost leaning towards BYU. Seems everyone is thinking UCF is gonna take it since Hill is out, and I like to fade the public in these situations. What do you think?
Sorry if this was already discussed.
some thoughts on page 1 buddy not playing that game sorry buddy - thx for the note - GL
tyler - coming up
octane love good natured smack talk ! you might be right - GL
Michigan 1 Penn St (41)
Wow. 41. Are they playing 3Q? Against our religion to play under 41 in NCAA....Yes starting RB out for Mich but other than their 2 easiest games they have given up one way or another 31 26 30 26....Penn is one dimensional tho - can MATRICULATE in the passing game.....Penn also off bye and bye next this game gets their full atttention....Mich gets the #2 run D and your pal Gardner prob in the saddle this wk.....Just no idea what to make of Michigan gonna pass on this one - lean penn st - slight lean over - no ML play Penn not worth it at that price - GL
0
Quote Originally Posted by TigahFan4Life:
Hey Mega, I enjoy reading your writeups, thank you for them. I haven't had a chance to read the entire thread, but i was curious on what you think for tonights game with BYU/UCF. I'm almost leaning towards BYU. Seems everyone is thinking UCF is gonna take it since Hill is out, and I like to fade the public in these situations. What do you think?
Sorry if this was already discussed.
some thoughts on page 1 buddy not playing that game sorry buddy - thx for the note - GL
tyler - coming up
octane love good natured smack talk ! you might be right - GL
Michigan 1 Penn St (41)
Wow. 41. Are they playing 3Q? Against our religion to play under 41 in NCAA....Yes starting RB out for Mich but other than their 2 easiest games they have given up one way or another 31 26 30 26....Penn is one dimensional tho - can MATRICULATE in the passing game.....Penn also off bye and bye next this game gets their full atttention....Mich gets the #2 run D and your pal Gardner prob in the saddle this wk.....Just no idea what to make of Michigan gonna pass on this one - lean penn st - slight lean over - no ML play Penn not worth it at that price - GL
write-up later - enjoying a couple retail stocks getting crushedAs a thank you to JCP i will go there and buy a 3 pack of underwear.
Wont have time for more picks until tonight.
Clemson -9.5
Right now right or wrong we have Clemson in our top 8 teams on paper - wont go into more detail than that in case we start a Covers riot but with D Watson at QB and a D clicking on all cylinders they are one scary team......may have to ride them like a big boy when the opportunity presents itself....Watson is hitting at 69% with 12 TD and 1 INT at 11.1 yds/attempt sweetmotherjesusmaryandjoseph....Last wk their D held budding juggernaut QB for NC St to 4/18 passing cant even believe that may have to recheck in a 41-0 smokeshow.....Clemson pass offense clicking and D ranked #10 - 24 vs run and 23 in pass eff D....Crowd Will be Rocking Guy can feel ok with clemson at home Dabo near 60% since getting there as home fav....Clemson ranked 15 in penalty yds allowed and QB takes care of ball.....Two losses to Fla St and Georgia who knows what would have happened if current QB was there all yr we are no clemson expert just saying......Now Louisville D is impressive for sure - ranked #1....and get back WR Parker this wk - starting QB back....but only a soph with little experience....on the road so far - only 282 Y vs VA and 352 vs Syr - one thing we have noticed besides too many penalties is the ball security by the QB and playing at clemson we just do not see how they are gonna consistently move the ball or MATRICULATE in the passing game....offense ranked 85 avg run and avg pass....Tipping point was taking a gamble on L strength of schedule and moving up big in class on the road - played a bunch of creampuffs and nobody that can field weapons like clemson - think Louisville is a yr away from being really good - and hey - can still make noise this yr - just do not know if they are ready for this one.....What could go wrong? Well if Louis D is THAT good - we are toast. Simple. If this game turns into a meat grinder it could be a close game and bye bye cashola
GL freaks mega
0
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
next play
Clemson -9.5
write-up later - enjoying a couple retail stocks getting crushedAs a thank you to JCP i will go there and buy a 3 pack of underwear.
Wont have time for more picks until tonight.
Clemson -9.5
Right now right or wrong we have Clemson in our top 8 teams on paper - wont go into more detail than that in case we start a Covers riot but with D Watson at QB and a D clicking on all cylinders they are one scary team......may have to ride them like a big boy when the opportunity presents itself....Watson is hitting at 69% with 12 TD and 1 INT at 11.1 yds/attempt sweetmotherjesusmaryandjoseph....Last wk their D held budding juggernaut QB for NC St to 4/18 passing cant even believe that may have to recheck in a 41-0 smokeshow.....Clemson pass offense clicking and D ranked #10 - 24 vs run and 23 in pass eff D....Crowd Will be Rocking Guy can feel ok with clemson at home Dabo near 60% since getting there as home fav....Clemson ranked 15 in penalty yds allowed and QB takes care of ball.....Two losses to Fla St and Georgia who knows what would have happened if current QB was there all yr we are no clemson expert just saying......Now Louisville D is impressive for sure - ranked #1....and get back WR Parker this wk - starting QB back....but only a soph with little experience....on the road so far - only 282 Y vs VA and 352 vs Syr - one thing we have noticed besides too many penalties is the ball security by the QB and playing at clemson we just do not see how they are gonna consistently move the ball or MATRICULATE in the passing game....offense ranked 85 avg run and avg pass....Tipping point was taking a gamble on L strength of schedule and moving up big in class on the road - played a bunch of creampuffs and nobody that can field weapons like clemson - think Louisville is a yr away from being really good - and hey - can still make noise this yr - just do not know if they are ready for this one.....What could go wrong? Well if Louis D is THAT good - we are toast. Simple. If this game turns into a meat grinder it could be a close game and bye bye cashola
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.