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Week 1 Line Guesses---DEGEN Specal

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Posted: #76
Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

Utah St 'decent' LY against bigger schools losing by 18, 18, 8 and 31 to #19 Utah, #20 BYU, A&M and #6 Boise St, still yes of course mismatch and probably 50-17 type into 4th and could come down to back door

anyway moving along what might next year's games where masses pile on one side such as Minny and Illinois last year 

Cincinnati -5 to 7 over Fresno St....can the Bulldogs return to old days when they can pull an upset, defense would need to do better than giving up 35 and 52 to Wyoming and Illinois, if number is short Cincy could see a lot of action

Arizona -13 to 14 over Toledo...Rockets used to be dangerous in the glass bowl however have been on decline with defense mostly getting lit up, could be 38-30 type game or just as easily 45-20 and get the rolaids out for Toledo backers

Wisconsin -14 to 17 over UNLV...some cheeseheads will probably make that trip, UNLV probably gives decent effort maybe holding Badgers to 30 or less, can they generate enough offense to make it a game, have given bigger teams games recently (21-23 loss to Ore St last year and 23-20 upset at Ariz St couple years ago), then again got blasted by BYU and TCU at home so tough call

Guessing Most people will be on

South Carolina laying 13.5 or less vs S. MIss.... thinking S. Miss has a decent chance to win outright

agree Arizona being the only Friday night game makes sense....

Agree Cincinnati should be a short Fav .... nothing would suprise in the outcome at Fresno St...

Alabama should be the heaviest bet Fav laying over 30.... Backdoor open ???

Agree with the Wisky Cheeseheads hording out to Vegas to lose ATS if laying 20+

Both Sunday games will have heavily Bet Favs (ECU and T Tech)

 

 

 

 

 

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #77

Updated Line Guesses...

Colored/Underlined  Schools are Early Leans

Thursday Sept 2nd

Ohio St.  27.5  Marshall

SC   13.5  S. Miss

Iowa St  8.5  Northern Illinois

USC  26.5  *Hawaii

PITT  +2.5   *Utah

Minnesota 5.5   *MD TN St.

Friday Sept 3rd

Arizona 13.5  *Toledo

Saturday Sept 4th

Colorado  8.5  Colorado St  (Denver)

LSU   6.5    UNC   (Atlanta)

Notre Dame 9.5  Purdue

Syracuse  8.5   Akron

Army  4    *EMU

Clemson  35.5  North Texas

Auburn 26.5  Arkansas St

Troy   12.5  Bowling Green    

Michigan  7.5 UConn

Missouri   8.5  Illinois    (St. Louis)

UAB    5.5   FAU

Kentucky  1.5  *Louisville

Georgia  31.5   Lou-La

Mississippi St  15.5  Memphis

Florida   43.5   Miami Ohio

Oregon  29.5   New Mexico

Vanderbilt  3.5   Northwestern

Alabama  37.5   SJ St

Kansas St  4.5   UCLA

Washington 1   *BYU

Oklahoma St  21  Washington St

Nebraska  38.5  WKU

Michigan St.  19.5  WMU

Wisconsin  22.5  *UNLV

Oklahoma 35.5  Utah St

Cincinnati  3.5  *Fresno St.

Sunday Sept. 5th

ECU   3.5  Tulsa

Texas Tech 16.5  SMU  

Monday Sept 6th

Maryland  1.5  Navy  (Baltimore)

Virginia Tech 3.5  Boise St.

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Updated Line Guesses...

Colored/Underlined  Schools are Early Leans

PITT  +2.5   *Utah

What stands out about Pitt this year?  From the small bits I've read, they only return like 12 starters total.. Dion Lewis is a beast, but losing Stull might hurt??  Utah seems to have decent amount back from LY as well...

 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by BBallday10:

What stands out about Pitt this year?  From the small bits I've read, they only return like 12 starters total.. Dion Lewis is a beast, but losing Stull might hurt??  Utah seems to have decent amount back from LY as well...

Monster Baldwin back at WR... Over 20+ Yards per catch

Roemus should be one of the Best DE's in the Country

Wanny usually fields a good O-Line

only 3 BE road games

 

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Posted: #80
pitt returns 5/6 starters + 2/5 OL + great players on both sides of the ball....new QB but either Sunseri or Bostick (9 starts) ok
utes 7/4....+ QB + 4/5 OL.....lose top 5 tacklers on D ......

* pitt clearly the more talented team .....utes big coaching advantage ?..........
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Posted: #81

Texas Tech 16.5  SMU  

liking SMU more and more.. would take anything over 2 TD's... think loss of McRuffin will hurt more than people think..

 
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Posted: #82
DU4L , you and bookie assasin have to be the hardest working cappers this forum has ever seen- cant wait to slay the dragon--holla
 
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Posted: #83

Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

pitt returns 5/6 starters + 2/5 OL + great players on both sides of the ball....new QB but either Sunseri or Bostick (9 starts) ok
utes 7/4....+ QB + 4/5 OL.....lose top 5 tacklers on D ......

* pitt clearly the more talented team .....utes big coaching advantage ?..........

I watched The STACHE Look Clueless vs the The Bills + Other Teams in the NFL for Years...

Wanny is a Much better coach NOW ... Building a Very Nice Program and resume at PITT... 

So. RB Ray Graham(5.7 YPC Last year) could be Part of the Best 1-2 Punch in the Nation...

Love the D Line

Hoping Bostick gets some Burn at QB.... Does anyone remember when he Left School bc he was Home Sick...

QB play should/Might  cost them atleast 2+ Games right Bookie ?

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #84

Quote Originally Posted by nc1capper:

DU4L , you and bookie assasin have to be the hardest working cappers this forum has ever seen- cant wait to slay the dragon--holla

No not really .....Not Working .

.. Just reading The Schools Spring Prospectus....

The Info is out there ....

BOL in 2010Brother

 

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Posted: #85
Quote Originally Posted by nc1capper:

DU4L , you and bookie assasin have to be the hardest working cappers this forum has ever seen- cant wait to slay the dragon--holla


Just because they work hard doesn't mean they are good

Just messing with you guys.  I work hard just not yet.  I don't like to overwhelm myself with information this early in the season.  I have begun working but mostly on just the bigger conferences and of course..
 
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Posted: #86
Mississippi St will beat Memphis by more than 20... Memphis is rebuilding while State is much improved.  Memphis has NO defense...

Stay away from Bama... They have Penn St. on deck so it's hard to say where their head's will be... It's either Bama or nothing and Bama is a lot of chalk...


Do like Georgia, Kentucky, Washington, K-State, Auburn, UNC, Northwestern 
 
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Posted: #87

True everyone has their own methods or timing, personally lean towards not getting too overwhelmed like whodey says particularly for things that will shake out in Steele or other mags later. Like to use May looking at incoming frosh and JC trans video here and there and spring notes to start getting some feel some teams before the magazines are out or just to get football fix. Familiarity with players or teams alone does not necessarily translate into handicapping success (if it did there would be a lot more degenerates/cappers rolling in the cash), however without it you've got no shot at all. Remember watching Ryan Williams in h.s. a couple yrs ago and he turned out 'decent' (1655, 5.6)

corley - tend to agree on Bama, no interest in running up that score, could be similar to FIU last year or Tulane year before, both easy covers for dog. Need to check the Bulldogs, haven't looked at them yet, probably some QB and RB battles coming up

 
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Posted: #88

Very good conversation Fellas. The sleepless nights are right around the corner.

 

 
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Posted: #89

Quote Originally Posted by Whodeysb09:



Just because they work hard doesn't mean they are good

Just messing with you guys.  I work hard just not yet.  I don't like to overwhelm myself with information this early in the season.  I have begun working but mostly on just the bigger conferences and of course..

Sometimes the More you know about any given sport can Cost you Large sums of Money....

 

 

 

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by Corley1011:

Mississippi St will beat Memphis by more than 20... Memphis is rebuilding while State is much improved.  Memphis has NO defense...

Stay away from Bama... They have Penn St. on deck so it's hard to say where their head's will be... It's either Bama or nothing and Bama is a lot of chalk...


Do like Georgia, Kentucky, Washington, K-State, Auburn, UNC, Northwestern 

 

Might be Fading(ATS)    Bama more than Backing them in 2010....

Should be Laying too Many points in some Spots....

Game 2 vs Penn St .... Would take Nittany Lions , but only with Double Digits...

Game 4 at Arkansas..... Any Chance the Hogs are catching more than a TD at Home ???  Tide have Florida on deck

Game 5 vs Florida .....

Game 6 at South Carolina  Might have a Hangover after the Gators game and could be Laying too many

Game 7 vs Ole Miss.... All bets are off on the Rebels...for now

Game 8 at Tennessee...   Might be Vols Bowl Game

Game 9 at LSU  .....Tricky Back to Back road Games....

Game 10 vs Mississippi St..... Out of Gas (ATS)

Game 12 vs Auburn.... Tigers should/could be Much better this year

As much as Alabama Returns I find it hard to see how they don't Lose 2+ of these Outright and Maybe 56%+ ATS

 

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #91
 
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Sometimes the More you think you know about any given sport can Cost you Large sums of Money....

 

 

 

 



Fixed it for you. 
 
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Posted: #92
Agree on Bama.  They have 4 or 5 very difficult games, starting with Arkansas the week before Florida. 
 
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Posted: #93
nostra - Losing Anthony Dixon is a big loss for the Bulldogs. but they have 5 or 6 backs that will see the field this year... very deep at RB... plus the addition of Vick Ballard (JC) will help the young RB's... Relf has improved drastically at QB and will get the majority of the playing time at first until Russell gets his rhythm together
 
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Posted: #94

Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:



Fixed it for you. 

 never Shocks me how much Hockey or Baseball GUY loses Gambling....

Soccer Guy usually gets crushed in the World Cup right ?? say atleast 78%+ of them

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #95

Quote Originally Posted by Corley1011:

nostra - Losing Anthony Dixon is a big loss for the Bulldogs. but they have 5 or 6 backs that will see the field this year... very deep at RB... plus the addition of Vick Ballard (JC) will help the young RB's... Relf has improved drastically at QB and will get the majority of the playing time at first until Russell gets his rhythm together

Nice Pieces to the Puzzle building for Mullen... But the Schedule is Brutal in the SEC....

I will be rooting for your Boys for the Next few seasons

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #96
Quote Originally Posted by Corley1011:

Mississippi St will beat Memphis by more than 20... Memphis is rebuilding while State is much improved.  Memphis has NO defense...

Stay away from Bama... They have Penn St. on deck so it's hard to say where their head's will be... It's either Bama or nothing and Bama is a lot of chalk...


Do like Georgia, Kentucky, Washington, K-State, Auburn, UNC, Northwestern 

Be careful with that week 1 Mississippi St vs Memphis Game if the Line is High....The Bulldogs play Auburn only 5 Days Later on a National Thursday night Game

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

True everyone has their own methods or timing, personally lean towards not getting too overwhelmed like whodey says particularly for things that will shake out in Steele or other mags later. Like to use May looking at incoming frosh and JC trans video here and there and spring notes to start getting some feel some teams before the magazines are out or just to get football fix. Familiarity with players or teams alone does not necessarily translate into handicapping success (if it did there would be a lot more degenerates/cappers rolling in the cash), however without it you've got no shot at all. Remember watching Ryan Williams in h.s. a couple yrs ago and he turned out 'decent' (1655, 5.6)

corley - tend to agree on Bama, no interest in running up that score, could be similar to FIU last year or Tulane year before, both easy covers for dog. Need to check the Bulldogs, haven't looked at them yet, probably some QB and RB battles coming up

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #98
DU4L - I read on Lindy's that the MSU/Aub game is one of the "trap" games they have picked out... and it's a trap game for Auburn
 
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Posted: #99
Quote Originally Posted by Corley1011:

DU4L - I read on Lindy's that the MSU/Aub game is one of the "trap" games they have picked out... and it's a trap game for Auburn


pretty good article......

https://www.lindyssports.com/article.php?cn=1761
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
 
 
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Posted: #100

Quote Originally Posted by Corley1011:

DU4L - I read on Lindy's that the MSU/Aub game is one of the "trap" games they have picked out... and it's a trap game for Auburn

Sort of a Trap I Guess.......being Both teams First SEC Game I am not sure either team would get caught looking ahead,,....

Auburn will be coming in 5 Days after playing Arkansas St.,Tigers have Clemson at home the following Saturday...

Mississippi St will be coming in 5 Days after playing Memphis.. The Bulldogs have at LSU on deck...

 

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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