week 7

week=7 and ats streak>4 and H

6-16 ATS

3-10 OVERS if the total is more than 46

BYU

EMCH

ARMY

week = 7 and ats streak > -6 and ats streak < -3 and D and site = home

24-10 ATS 

UNC

Kent St

we drop Kent St because they have a lower line than what needs to qualified under the best circumstances:

week = 7 and ats streak > -6 and ats streak < -3 and D and site = home and line < 8 and t:wins = 0

These are 0-3 from the above 24-10 which makes UNC 24-7 situation much more valuable than Kent St. 

week = 7 and ats streak = -3 and D and line <= 17 and o:ats streak!= 1

18-39 ATS and the fade is:

Rice 

ats streak<-3 and D and season>2009 and o:wins>2 and 11>week>5

132-78 ats 63%

also if the week is =7 

29-8 ATS

Play on :

NC St.

Purdue

UNC

N Westrn

11>week>6 and p:ats margin < -18 and p:D and AD and ats streak != -2 and t:wins < 4 and n:site = home and PRSW<7 and line<25 and o:PRSW>1 and ou streak>-3 and 3>t:wins>0

22-6 ATS

Play on :

Purdue

p:F and p:line <= -3 and p:L and rank<24 and line > -25 and line<=-11 and o:ats streak!= 1 and t:losses = 1 and 13>week>4 and o:wins<7 and o:PRSW>4 and pp:F and o:streak>-2

4-17 ATS

FADES:

ALA

TENN

remember dont play on after a strong team shows weakness.  Schedules and lines catch up.

Keep the data voodoo coming bro....and I use the word 'voodoo' with respect because, those that know how to use it can get results that they desire.

Awesome stuff 

p:DW and pp:DW and F and PRSW>0 and 19>p:line>13

 3-15 ATS

fade :

MONROE

@Last2thirst

pp:ats margin < -18 and pp:ats margin < -18 and D and p:D and pp:D and season > 2015 and 9 > week > 3 and line>=6 and total<54

37-14 ATS 

PLAY ON :

SMISS

p:line <= -13 and p:L and 15 > week > 6 and streak != -2 and HF and PRSW > 7 and rank = None and line > -24 and n:A

6-23 ATS

Fade :

J.Mad

9>week>6 and 5 > ou streak > 2 and AF and t:wins>3 and o:losses>2 and o:ats streak<-1

Fade:

N. Texas 

p:F and p:dps > 20 and 10 > PRSW > 7 and rank = None and 12 > week > 3 and site = home

3-17 ATS

Fade:

J'Ville St

add this 

and line<=-3

1-16 ATS 

8>week>5 and ats streak>3 and AF and PRSW<7 and line>=-7

2-15 ATS

Fade:

Marsh

Also this so its double support, but similar query. 

11>week>5 and ats streak>3 and AF and PRSW<7 and line>=-7 and p:line>-7

4-23 ATS

10>week>5 and line<8 and HD and season>2019 and 6>t:wins>1 and 0>ats streak>-3 and o:losses>0 and n:A

take:

FL ATL

FRES

C. MICH

Good luck this week Spottie.  

This is a big contributor why I have not been hitting over 55% this season 

ats streak>1 and p:points>40 and pp:points>40 and rank=None and p:dps>15 and 8>week>5

this is at 5-27-1 since the 1990’s yet there are 3 qualified fades  this week! 

that’s astounding. 

anyway here are the fades.

Army

N Tex

Jax St

It’s real difficult to fade Army for the 3rd time this season but the books keep adding to the lines.  I’d rather take UAB +26.5 than any other game I have attempted to try to see them regress.  6 covers to start the season is extremely difficult.  The way they play is extremely different than past seasons.  It takes this type of team to get me beat and only a few teams a season can do it.

The last time I lost 3 bets on a team was BYU a few seasons ago.  All the other teams that I can remember have regressed before week 7. After this game I will have to wait for the lines to break Army’s winning season .  Once it does they will come back from the heavens. 

2024 high flying Ranked preseason teams after week 3 :

MIA FL 3-0, 1-2 ATS

Texas 2-0, 1-1 ATS

Clemson 2-0, 1-1 

Miss  2-1, 2-1

Tenn 1-1, 1-1

MIZU after opening the season 2-0 ATS after beating the 1st 2 opponents 89-0 now have a 3 game ATS losing streak. 

Georgia is 0-4 ATS last 4.

@D-Town

Excited to see your final list bro..... and matchups are key in SOME INSTANCES like Texas AM vs Mizzou last week who were getting Weigman back and on a roll since their first tough loss, plus, Missouri did not match up well with their offense vs TexAM defense strengths and the 12th man homefield inspiring them.

Combining your incredible ATS findings in your data with some checks of matchup and injury info would be deadly for you to sift and come up with a refined set.....

I think I might do that with your list this week for some additional plays. I am up to 4 solid plays + some teasers....

I am not having a great season (11-13 -0.5 Units) BUT am ready to push into overdrive like I can most years + bowl season when this does not happen. When I lose, I lose late in most instances so maybe half the battle is the ATS edge that you are finding here 

Arizona 

Coastal Carolina 

Oklahoma 

LSU

Vandy

NC St

everyone of these teams has been a favorite they qualify in my searches they have all won games and all of them qualify in medium to low consensus this week 

I have other plays but no one likes to lose on bad teams.  It’s not worth posting those. 

Bad teams that extra points are continually added points to this season and or their opponents have extra points too. 

UAB both teams added points should be added.  This is a great contrarian play. 

Purdue

wake forest

air force

Fla Atlantic

Miami Ohio because of Eastern Mich success

S. Flor

Fresno

N Carolina 

I don’t look to fade Vandy here.  The line does not indicate regression even off that massive win.  When Vandy is a favorite against a nobody that will be the signal.  Still lots of motivation and no bye week to drain momentum.  Last year they were so bad, it’s just not time to avoid them as a dog. 

strong team getting points and not playing another top 10 team.  I actually can make a case for Kenty being in regression as a favorite.  They are a strong dog team in most cases.