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week 7

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Posted: #101

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

p:F and p:line <= -3 and p:L and rank<24 and line > -25 and line<=-11 and o:ats streak!= 1 and t:losses = 1 and 13>week>4 and o:wins<7 and o:PRSW>4 and pp:F and o:streak>-2   4-17 ATS FADES: ALA TENN

 

2-0 ats 

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Posted: #102

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

11>week>6 and p:ats margin < -18 and p:D and AD and ats streak != -2 and t:wins < 4 and n:site = home and PRSW<7 and line<25 and o:PRSW>1 and ou streak>-3 and 3>t:wins>0   22-6 ATS Play on : Purdue

 

1-0 ats 

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Posted: #103

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

p:F and p:dps > 20 and 10 > PRSW > 7 and rank = None and 12 > week > 3 and site = home 3-17 ATS Fade: J'Ville St   add this  and line<=-3 1-16 ATS

 

0-1 ats

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Posted: #104

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

8>week>5 and ats streak>3 and AF and PRSW<7 and line>=-7 2-15 ATS Fade: Marsh   Also this so its double support, but similar query.  11>week>5 and ats streak>3 and AF and PRSW<7 and line>=-7 and p:line>-7 4-23 ATS

 

1-0 dependent on the line

 

 

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Posted: #105

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

p:DW and pp:DW and F and PRSW>0 and 19>p:line>13    3-15 ATS fade : MONROE

 

0-1

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Posted: #106

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

pp:ats margin < -18 and pp:ats margin < -18 and D and p:D and pp:D and season > 2015 and 9 > week > 3 and line>=6 and total<54   37-14 ATS    PLAY ON : SMISS

 

0-1

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Posted: #107

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

p:line <= -13 and p:L and 15 > week > 6 and streak != -2 and HF and PRSW > 7 and rank = None and line > -24 and n:A 6-23 ATS Fade : J.Mad

 

0-1

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Posted: #108

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

9>week>6 and 5 > ou streak > 2 and AF and t:wins>3 and o:losses>2 and o:ats streak<-1   Fade: N. Texas

 

1-0

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Posted: #109

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

10>week>5 and line<8 and HD and season>2019 and 6>t:wins>1 and 0>ats streak>-3 and o:losses>0 and n:A   take: FL ATL FRES C. MICH

 

2-1

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Posted: #110

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

Arizona  Coastal Carolina  Oklahoma  LSU Vandy NC St   everyone of these teams has been a favorite they qualify in my searches they have all won games and all of them qualify in medium to low consensus this week      I have other plays but no one likes to lose on bad teams.  It’s not worth posting those.

 

3-3

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Posted: #111

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

week = 7 and F and day != Saturday and line < -7 and ats streak > -2 and site = away 5-20 ATS  fade is UNLV

 

1-0

 

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Posted: #112

@JJWoods

 an_cheers

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Posted: #113

@DogbiteWilliams

 I have thought about tracking Army and Navy rushing yards and lines and such.  I just find lumping Army, Navy in with other teams with balance offensive attacks is not congruent.  Same with Colorado with passing.  These teams are outside the norm.  

 

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Posted: #114

@spottie2935

 

 Thanks for your response.  I'll check for number of rushes.

 
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Posted: #115

@DogbiteWilliams

 Cool thanks. 

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Posted: #116

Hi, spottie.  Sorry for the delay, but i am absorbed with politics right now.

Using the query from Comment #91, teams that rush a lot seem to do well even though their opponents know it:

275 < p:RY < 340 and not 275 < pp:RY < 340 and line < -22.2 and wins > o:wins + 2.5 and p:rushes > 50.5

ATS:  22-6-0 (2.9, 78.6%)

The small sample size provides few opportunities - no QRs for the 2023 and 2024 seasons.

 

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