Quote Originally Posted by Dsn150:
Take this as you will, but I think only a damned fool would believe they can make a living "sports betting".
Consider:
For starters, what yearly income do you desire / need?
If you "need" 100K, then you need to clear 1000 "units" a year using $100 as a unit. Adjust for your own situations / ambitions.
Show me a "capper" here that clears 1000 units a year.
What about the guy who plays $1000 a unit ? The number of "units" needed are less, but the proficiency needed is the same, if not better.
If you hit 60% ( which would be extraordinary ), you would only clear 16% ( 60-40-4% juice) ( baseball is a bit different, but for purposes of this, assume you play dogs and favs- I think the #s are still arguably applicable).
Now calculate the $ that must be in play to make 100K clearing 16 / 100$ wagered- close to $600,000 I think.
Now figure out what kind of bankroll you would need to "safely" commit to this as a "career"-
I think by now you should have figured out that if you have that kind of bankroll, sports betting is probably not where you will / have made your money, but will be a great place to lose it.
I am sure there are exceptions, but for almost everyone (professionals excluded), this should be entertainment, the money is generally made on the "other side".
Some may disagree- but in about 20 years of doing this, the above is what I have seen / learned.
This takes the cake for dumbest, most uneducated post of the year.
With sports betting, it is the exception that prove the rule, not vice versa.
Do most bettors lose money long term? Absolutely. Are there bettors who have developed sophisticated spread sheets to create their own spread/money line and who make money long term? Absolutely.
To say that only a damned fool would believe he or she could make a living in sports betting is asserting that there is not one professional sports gambler who lives off such earnings. If there is even one person who succeeds, then your premise is false. Would you try to suggest these individuals do not exist? To say this would make you the damn fool.
I agree that betting spreads is difficult and it is definitely not for me. But I do know bettors who make a living off spreads.
As for me, I bet baseball and I more than double my bankroll every year. Yeah, scary. Yeah, true. You know where to find me in the baseball forum and I want to see you on October 2 when I have netted over 100 units.
So, if I can double my bankroll in baseball, I am certainly not the only one. In which case, it all boils down to the bankroll. To make $100,000 is considered a very nice and above average income in most places. So to use this as your measuring stick is unfair. Also, to suggest that the average unit of a high rolling gambler is $100 is laughable. Also, if one has a high, consistent rate of success gambling, he or she would be idiotic not to wager 2-3 units per game instead of the 1 you suggested. So suddenly we're talking about much larger potential incomes than you discussed.
I could go on and on but it is unnecessary. Just because you are a miserable square who can't beat the system after 2 decades of failure doesn't change the reality outside of your plastic bubble. Open your eyes and deal with it.