October Stock Talk #6
I dont see a circuit breaker today, they arent testing the lows or knifing down with heavy volume spikes.
To me and I could be wrong but this market is more the function of a lack of participants than anything else. They are taking the market down in minutes that usually takes weeks, in days that takes months to years.
Until there are participants these massive swings continue and the VIX means pretty much nothing.
I dont see a circuit breaker today, they arent testing the lows or knifing down with heavy volume spikes.
To me and I could be wrong but this market is more the function of a lack of participants than anything else. They are taking the market down in minutes that usually takes weeks, in days that takes months to years.
Until there are participants these massive swings continue and the VIX means pretty much nothing.
I saw the head of some insurance compnay offering up the specious idea that "the smartest people in the world are working on this and will solve the problem." I would take comfort in that idea but the supposedly smartest people in the world caused it.
And speaking of people once thought smart, I took great delight in Alan Greenspan actually deigning to admit he might be "partially" at fault for creating this shit.What an empty suit he is and was.he should have stuck to the saxophone.
I saw the head of some insurance compnay offering up the specious idea that "the smartest people in the world are working on this and will solve the problem." I would take comfort in that idea but the supposedly smartest people in the world caused it.
And speaking of people once thought smart, I took great delight in Alan Greenspan actually deigning to admit he might be "partially" at fault for creating this shit.What an empty suit he is and was.he should have stuck to the saxophone.
I dont consider that fascist, we have curbs in the market and program trading has limits on both sides.
Short sellers dont have an uptick rule anymore and unless you are a retail guppy there is little regulation.
I just want equal action on both sides, uptick rule and regulation of short selling.
At some point taking drastic action might be needed because the market is not RATIONAL right now and in an irrational market you might need irrational rules to stop people from taking advantage of currrent market conditions.
I dont consider that fascist, we have curbs in the market and program trading has limits on both sides.
Short sellers dont have an uptick rule anymore and unless you are a retail guppy there is little regulation.
I just want equal action on both sides, uptick rule and regulation of short selling.
At some point taking drastic action might be needed because the market is not RATIONAL right now and in an irrational market you might need irrational rules to stop people from taking advantage of currrent market conditions.
When shorts and funds can break the rules it isnt "free markets" and when regulation doesnt exist and rules are changed, modified, dropped it makes for an inefficient and unfair market.
We both know the markets are unfair and when these tactics effect innocent people at times I think it is ok to modify them in the short term.
Hell, before the great depression the little guy was able to margin at MONSTER levels, that was modified, we modify things all the time and it shouldnt be viewed as fascist to modify things if the markets are acting irrational.
When shorts and funds can break the rules it isnt "free markets" and when regulation doesnt exist and rules are changed, modified, dropped it makes for an inefficient and unfair market.
We both know the markets are unfair and when these tactics effect innocent people at times I think it is ok to modify them in the short term.
Hell, before the great depression the little guy was able to margin at MONSTER levels, that was modified, we modify things all the time and it shouldnt be viewed as fascist to modify things if the markets are acting irrational.
This market isnt trading on reality or normalicy.
Hat, I think it spiked way down the first 3 minutes of the day, like most stocks.
They were down 400 like 30 min ago, now down 100
This market isnt trading on reality or normalicy.
Hat, I think it spiked way down the first 3 minutes of the day, like most stocks.
They were down 400 like 30 min ago, now down 100
I got this and do not agree with the logic:
"We're not in the 1980s or 1990s anymore, when market declines were typically brief and bottoms sometimes formed within a few days. A more reasonable template for what's happening now is the 1970s or 1930s, when the bear lingered, stretching out the bottoming process."
Why should that be true? Everything, in every sphere of life, happens faster, not slower. What the hell???
I got this and do not agree with the logic:
"We're not in the 1980s or 1990s anymore, when market declines were typically brief and bottoms sometimes formed within a few days. A more reasonable template for what's happening now is the 1970s or 1930s, when the bear lingered, stretching out the bottoming process."
Why should that be true? Everything, in every sphere of life, happens faster, not slower. What the hell???
By the way, serious question here, does everyone think we are going into a serious deflation, or a hyperinflation?
Damn good question.
In 2009, there'll be little change to any prices of anything that you see right now. No way businesses can charge higher prices on things and move product in this hideous economy where unemployment is about to skyrocket to deep space 9. Now, prices won't come down, either, cause businesses never really had time to pass the extra fuel costs on to the consumer back in spring when oil went through the roof-----but they've caught up now----just go to your local grocer-----ain't nothing's come down with oil tanking------fuuukkers. Gas/Diesel will go up seasonally next year, and then probably stabilize around 3.50 a gallon from April through end of year.
OK, now the bad news and reality of all these stupid bailout packages that got rammed down our throats so "Wall Street fat cats" could all be saved from missing their "yearly European vacation" and 10000 square foot addition on their gd mansions. In 2010, as the bill for the bailout packages falls due, you will see commodity hyperinflation that will make "Jimmy Rogers" walk around with a hard on 24 hours a day. The inflation of 2010 will make what we saw in 2008 look like a damn joke.
Vermeer, I predict that inflation will be so horrible, that you will see Dow 20,000 by end of 2014, and in terms of today's worthless dollar, 20,000 then will be like 8,000 today (which is where we are now).
We got 5-6 years basically of going nowhere with the hideous and horrible leadership from the US gov't.
Move to Brazil, man. And buy some gold bullion while you're at it.
The days of the USA as an economic power are caput------regardless of what that old man in Omaha is touting (for his own purpsoses, only).
CHEERS![]()
By the way, serious question here, does everyone think we are going into a serious deflation, or a hyperinflation?
Damn good question.
In 2009, there'll be little change to any prices of anything that you see right now. No way businesses can charge higher prices on things and move product in this hideous economy where unemployment is about to skyrocket to deep space 9. Now, prices won't come down, either, cause businesses never really had time to pass the extra fuel costs on to the consumer back in spring when oil went through the roof-----but they've caught up now----just go to your local grocer-----ain't nothing's come down with oil tanking------fuuukkers. Gas/Diesel will go up seasonally next year, and then probably stabilize around 3.50 a gallon from April through end of year.
OK, now the bad news and reality of all these stupid bailout packages that got rammed down our throats so "Wall Street fat cats" could all be saved from missing their "yearly European vacation" and 10000 square foot addition on their gd mansions. In 2010, as the bill for the bailout packages falls due, you will see commodity hyperinflation that will make "Jimmy Rogers" walk around with a hard on 24 hours a day. The inflation of 2010 will make what we saw in 2008 look like a damn joke.
Vermeer, I predict that inflation will be so horrible, that you will see Dow 20,000 by end of 2014, and in terms of today's worthless dollar, 20,000 then will be like 8,000 today (which is where we are now).
We got 5-6 years basically of going nowhere with the hideous and horrible leadership from the US gov't.
Move to Brazil, man. And buy some gold bullion while you're at it.
The days of the USA as an economic power are caput------regardless of what that old man in Omaha is touting (for his own purpsoses, only).
CHEERS![]()
The manager of the world's biggest bond fund said on Friday that forced liquidations, based on margin calls, are driving stocks lower, and not fear.
Bill Gross, chief investment officer of Pacific Investment Management Co. or Pimco, said on CNBC television that margin calls were driving the selling that has resulted in a long-term deleveraging of assets not seen since the 1930s.
The sell-off of positions in riskier assets will carry implications for corporate profits, Gross said, adding that he favored securities of companies that are receiving financial support from the U.S. government.
"You want to partner up with Uncle Sam," Gross said.
The manager of the world's biggest bond fund said on Friday that forced liquidations, based on margin calls, are driving stocks lower, and not fear.
Bill Gross, chief investment officer of Pacific Investment Management Co. or Pimco, said on CNBC television that margin calls were driving the selling that has resulted in a long-term deleveraging of assets not seen since the 1930s.
The sell-off of positions in riskier assets will carry implications for corporate profits, Gross said, adding that he favored securities of companies that are receiving financial support from the U.S. government.
"You want to partner up with Uncle Sam," Gross said.
My Scottrade market mover was going so fast on the day lows I couldnt even see the ticker symbols.
Hedge funds are liquidating and selling everything, but especially commodity and higher beta stocks.
With the right horizon there is money to be made..catch the bargains that the fundies are selling.
My Scottrade market mover was going so fast on the day lows I couldnt even see the ticker symbols.
Hedge funds are liquidating and selling everything, but especially commodity and higher beta stocks.
With the right horizon there is money to be made..catch the bargains that the fundies are selling.
What is all this talk of their heavy debt load? Why am I just hearing it now? did anything change or is it just scare tactics? stock is taking a beating.
oh well . . . off to downtown Philly to hopefully party the night away . . . go Phils!
What is all this talk of their heavy debt load? Why am I just hearing it now? did anything change or is it just scare tactics? stock is taking a beating.
oh well . . . off to downtown Philly to hopefully party the night away . . . go Phils!
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