HEAVY HOME FAVS regression/carnage continues...
HHFs LOST "bigly" on Sunday...
X Phillies -250; X Mets -200; and X Reds -185
HHF so far, for July: 21 - 20 -17.23u
*4 of those 21 wins were by only one run!....so, 17 - 24 betting the RL
HEAVY HOME FAVS regression/carnage continues...
HHFs LOST "bigly" on Sunday...
X Phillies -250; X Mets -200; and X Reds -185
HHF so far, for July: 21 - 20 -17.23u
*4 of those 21 wins were by only one run!....so, 17 - 24 betting the RL
HEAVY HOME FAVS regression/carnage continues...
HHFs LOST "bigly" on Sunday...
X Phillies -250; X Mets -200; and X Reds -185
HHF so far, for July: 21 - 20 -17.23u
*4 of those 21 wins were by only one run!....so, 17 - 24 betting the RL
WARNING! Streaker Alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
KIRBY, Mariners
WARNING! Streaker Alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
KIRBY, Mariners
Then he began a streak of 5 consecutive BAD outings....and NYY lost all 5
RODON starts another game, and the NYY lose....
He was yanked after just 4 ip, though not pitching horrible...and not GOOD either.
7 K is GOOD over 4 ip!
But 7 baserunners is WEAK.
2 ER is mediocre after 4 innings so he gets the benefit of the doubt...
Then he began a streak of 5 consecutive BAD outings....and NYY lost all 5
RODON starts another game, and the NYY lose....
He was yanked after just 4 ip, though not pitching horrible...and not GOOD either.
7 K is GOOD over 4 ip!
But 7 baserunners is WEAK.
2 ER is mediocre after 4 innings so he gets the benefit of the doubt...
Interesting stats...
BRADY SINGER, Royals, has started 18 games...
14 of those were only 2 runs allowed or less (most were just 1 ER!)
On the road, 6 of his 8 games were 2 ER or less
Brady Singer's 5-consecutive game HOT STREAK is over.
He got roughed up Sunday allowing 9 baserunners and 4 ER in only 2.2 ip
That's an average of almost 4 on base per ip!!!!
Interesting stats...
BRADY SINGER, Royals, has started 18 games...
14 of those were only 2 runs allowed or less (most were just 1 ER!)
On the road, 6 of his 8 games were 2 ER or less
Brady Singer's 5-consecutive game HOT STREAK is over.
He got roughed up Sunday allowing 9 baserunners and 4 ER in only 2.2 ip
That's an average of almost 4 on base per ip!!!!
Interesting stats...
In his 19 starts, JAKE IRVIN (Nats)
has allowed more than 3 earned runs only 5 times
Nats lost all those 5.
But IRVIN got "mauled" Sunday...
Before getting yanked after 4 ip, he allowed 12 on base, 2 homers and 6 earned runs!!
Interesting stats...
In his 19 starts, JAKE IRVIN (Nats)
has allowed more than 3 earned runs only 5 times
Nats lost all those 5.
But IRVIN got "mauled" Sunday...
Before getting yanked after 4 ip, he allowed 12 on base, 2 homers and 6 earned runs!!
In a very close call by my stats,
TAILLON (Cubbies) just barely extends his streak of games without a truly BAD outing,
to 7 consecutive, and will be on the bust-bubble for his next start...
In a very close call by my stats,
TAILLON (Cubbies) just barely extends his streak of games without a truly BAD outing,
to 7 consecutive, and will be on the bust-bubble for his next start...
Oakland A's have now scored 390 runs in 98 games = 3.98 rpg average.
But 3 huge games of 20, 19, and today, 18 runs...
But outside of those 3 one-offs,
just 333 runs in 95 games = 3.5 rpg average
Oakland A's have now scored 390 runs in 98 games = 3.98 rpg average.
But 3 huge games of 20, 19, and today, 18 runs...
But outside of those 3 one-offs,
just 333 runs in 95 games = 3.5 rpg average
@TDHCentral
THANK YOU! Kind of you to say! BoL to you with all bets after the break!
@TDHCentral
THANK YOU! Kind of you to say! BoL to you with all bets after the break!
skewing
A lot if not most cappers overlook this in making assessments, but it is a KEY part of my capping methodology.
skewing
A lot if not most cappers overlook this in making assessments, but it is a KEY part of my capping methodology.
gl everyone
gl everyone
Possible bets Tuesday? Not at this time.....
Still skittish about regression
Possible bets Tuesday? Not at this time.....
Still skittish about regression
@daneault23
I am giving that some careful thought, sure,
but so far since late June, my private bets (unposted) at just a fraction of a unit, are mediocre, not much better than 50/50. This is repeating pattern for me year after year after year, for all bets after June when I have staked a nice profit.....I am perplexed why....but it seems to be a constant.
@daneault23
I am giving that some careful thought, sure,
but so far since late June, my private bets (unposted) at just a fraction of a unit, are mediocre, not much better than 50/50. This is repeating pattern for me year after year after year, for all bets after June when I have staked a nice profit.....I am perplexed why....but it seems to be a constant.
No I am not saying that.
No I am not saying that.
@daneault23
I DO bet the rest of the season....but very miniscule fractions of my usual unit because tracking several seasons of past performance post June I am more or less break-even (same this year) in failed attempts to continue from my successful first half......so obviously there's no point in posting such mediocre picks, since they are no longer helpful.
@daneault23
I DO bet the rest of the season....but very miniscule fractions of my usual unit because tracking several seasons of past performance post June I am more or less break-even (same this year) in failed attempts to continue from my successful first half......so obviously there's no point in posting such mediocre picks, since they are no longer helpful.
@fubah2
This shows up in the standard deviation of runs scored/allowed per game. High standard deviation in this case means you can't have a lot of confidence in the number.
Once nice method in the context of baseball is to cap the runs scored for a given game at say 8. Works better than simply removing or ignoring the outliers.
Good luck second half.
@fubah2
This shows up in the standard deviation of runs scored/allowed per game. High standard deviation in this case means you can't have a lot of confidence in the number.
Once nice method in the context of baseball is to cap the runs scored for a given game at say 8. Works better than simply removing or ignoring the outliers.
Good luck second half.
@MrECapps
YES! Excellent point. We do the same thing that way, although I use 10+ as the outliers and I cap the numbers at 9 runs max. I keep a separate sheet with all teams listed for both HOME and AWAY, and note each time they score 10+........then I score all those games at just 9 runs and subtractr the difference from the gross totals listed on MLB.com stats page, then calculate a "best RPG" estimate (without the excess runs above 9)
I take it you do something very similar....
@MrECapps
YES! Excellent point. We do the same thing that way, although I use 10+ as the outliers and I cap the numbers at 9 runs max. I keep a separate sheet with all teams listed for both HOME and AWAY, and note each time they score 10+........then I score all those games at just 9 runs and subtractr the difference from the gross totals listed on MLB.com stats page, then calculate a "best RPG" estimate (without the excess runs above 9)
I take it you do something very similar....
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