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Bodio's MLB Tue 06/14

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Posted: #51
Don't think Masterson can handle Verlander...GL
 
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Posted: #52
Bodio Florida first 5 what u think ... i like to take florida when they go against leftys
 
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Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by VLR:

You should be an agent for some of the fired hitting coaches from this year Bodio

haha...don't even get me started on that!  IMO MLB teams do NOT need hitting coaches.  You're not going to improve your ability to hit as a player once you reach the majors.  At that point, you're as good as your'e going to get.  Hitting coaches are only there to throw balls in batting-practice and to get rookies acclimated to the major league. In terms of improving someone's batting-average -- it's way too late for that and hitting coaches are incorrectly used as scapegoats, when in reality the general manager should be the one to get blamed for acquiring a bunch of hitters that can't hit for shit!   
 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:


i wasn't saying that streaks are MORE important in capping just that your statements above are wrong imo.

i'm on the rays today, so obviously i don't use streaks.  

hehe...Nice!  go Rays! Huge pitching discrepancy in that one, that's for sure.  

As to my statements being wrong?  Curious to hear your response to my questions...
 
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Posted: #55
go picks Bo!  Thanks for a good NBA season!  Lets get some loot on MLB until the good stuff at the end of the summer!
All it takes is one bad day to reduce the sanest man alive to lunacy
 
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Posted: #56

Quote Originally Posted by ghostfaceripper:

go picks Bo!  Thanks for a good NBA season!  Lets get some loot on MLB until the good stuff at the end of the summer!

opps, I meant good

All it takes is one bad day to reduce the sanest man alive to lunacy
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by TrustMyG:

Bodio Florida first 5 what u think ... i like to take florida when they go against leftys

Volstad's numbers are just horrendous.  If they were mediocre I might say why not?  but his FIP and tERA are some of the WORST in the league

GL
 
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Posted: #58
Bodio,

Which is a better pick in your opinion:

STL
MIL
TOR?


 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


Let's say you're on a 'streak' and your psyche is really high.  How do you explain going 0-4 against a mediocre pitcher in your next outing?  Are you all of a sudden going 'cold'?  Why does that happen?  How can you predict when a player (or a team) goes hot or cold?  I used to look at short-term streaks/performance in the past, but I'm beginning to realize that it just 'complicates' things and is not really a factor.  To me, it's simpler, and more efficient, to evaluate each team's 'true' ability and ignore the 'current' streak.  Streaks come and go, and usually are too complex to explain (pitchers, weather, ballparks, luck, etc.), but when you have a decent sample size of data (like we do now at this point of the season) it's pretty easy to compare one teams' offense vs another, and vice versa.

Anyone have thoughts on this?

- no way to predict when a streak starts or ends.

- you WILL go 0-4 at some point when you are on a streak.  doesn't mean you are less confident or less likely to get a hit than "normal".

- agree with the bolded statments.

- still maintain that one is a better hitter than normal when their confidence is higher.  (see hunter pence)  
 
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Posted: #60
bods,

why do you think the cards and brewers lines have gone down or not moved with both being public plays?  the cards line is especially weird, is it not?
 
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Posted: #61
not playing any of them. that cardinals game smells like a ROTTING FISH AT THE PIER.  good luck today bodio.  with your plays. 
 
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Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by afgking4life:

Bodio,

Which is a better pick in your opinion:

STL
MIL
TOR?



Not TOR since that's not in my top 3  :)

Either STL or MIL
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:

bods,

why do you think the cards and brewers lines have gone down or not moved with both being public plays?  the cards line is especially weird, is it not?

Hmmm not sure...  The books knew both of those would be public plays so 'no movement' is not that important as I'm sure that factor is already included in the odds.  The drop in ST Louis is interesting.  Not sure why...
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by jlt9889:

not playing any of them. that cardinals game smells like a ROTTING FISH AT THE PIER.  good luck today bodio.  with your plays. 

I love the smell of ROTTING FISH AT THE PIER!  
 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


haha...don't even get me started on that!  IMO MLB teams do NOT need hitting coaches.  You're not going to improve your ability to hit as a player once you reach the majors.  At that point, you're as good as your'e going to get.  Hitting coaches are only there to throw balls in batting-practice and to get rookies acclimated to the major league. In terms of improving someone's batting-average -- it's way too late for that and hitting coaches are incorrectly used as scapegoats, when in reality the general manager should be the one to get blamed for acquiring a bunch of hitters that can't hit for shit!   


Obviously a rarity, but I'd say Bautista benefited from a swing change. That being said, hitting coaches are often scapegoated.
 
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Posted: #66
BOL today go CLEVELAND LARGE/..................
 
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Posted: #67
BOL

 
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Posted: #69
Good Luck Buddy 
 
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St Louis Cardinals -139    2-0 1st Come on Baby
 
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Maya,, is going to get ROCKED,,,
 
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Posted: #72
Bodio, i had to come out of my normal "non-cluttering" mode (some call it "lurking", lol) to tell you that following along your daily MLB threads is an education as well as a nice little financial boost.

May you continue along your skill-driven bumpy climb that's been averaging over 6% gains monthly (for flat "1%of Bank" players such as myself).  This MLB season, the average result of each one of your plays is about +0.1% and you place about 60 of 'em each month. 

Mega-appreciate you "steady as a rock" performance and thread-management.

Have you ever considered putting/keeping all your MLB picks together in a single season-long thread, rather than a fresh one each day?

...hmmm, think i know why you choose the shortnsweet daily thread...cuz the season-long threads often (USUALLY) turn into "circuses" where bitchnmoaning cherry-pickers and garden-variety jealous assholes propogate...damn you even got that angle to this game figured out!!!

I'm with you buddy, thru thick n thin/faves n dogs.
 
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Posted: #73
RED BIRDS,,,

 
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Let's go Red Birds!!!
I'd rather be playing D&D.
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