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Bodio's MLB Wed 08/24

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Posted: #76
sounds good look forward to seeing how you cap football. thanks again!
 
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Posted: #77

You are a fucking GOD!!

I have decided to only follow you and stop trying to cap myself.  Following you is way more profitable.  Thank you for everything you do!!!  YOU ARE THE MAN!!!

 
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Posted: #78
Think you will have any plays for the night games tonight bodio?
 
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Posted: #79
only 55% for +16.27 Units?
 
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Posted: #80
Good Job Man! hope you have ATL on a play for tonight because i'd parlayed with M's!... ¡Rock & Roll!
 
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Posted: #81
good job this week bodio, not too high on wandy for the stros. If houston wins it will be because they outscore colorado not because wandy throws a good game
 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

Yeah absolutely.  MIL/PIT already started.  Here are the CIN/FLA ones:

==========================================

Cincinnati Reds 63-65 (49%) @ Florida Marlins 57-71 (45%)

H. Bailey, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 4.22 (#128 in MLB), xFIP of 4.1 (#117 in MLB), and tERA of 4.56 (#135 in MLB), with a BABIP of .288, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.59, with a WHIP of 1.3, and opponent BA of .262. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 42% for a 0.95 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

J. Vazquez, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 4.17 (#123 in MLB), xFIP of 4.21 (#138 in MLB), and tERA of 4.55 (#134 in MLB), with a BABIP of .296, LOB% of 65%, and E-F of 0.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.48, with a WHIP of 1.36, and opponent BA of .262. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 47% for a 0.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.

Cincinnati Reds have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 29-35 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

Florida Marlins have the #9 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 24-40 (38%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 6 in a row.



Odds: CIN -107 (52%) FLA +101 (50%) O/U = 8

Lean: none
=======================================

Cincinnati Reds 63-65 (49%) @ Florida Marlins 57-71 (45%)

B. Arroyo, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 5.57 (#214 in MLB), xFIP of 4.34 (#149 in MLB), and tERA of 5.93 (#207 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.29. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.28, with a WHIP of 1.4, and opponent BA of .284. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 16%.

C. Volstad, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 4.68 (#171 in MLB), xFIP of 3.7 (#66 in MLB), and tERA of 5.37 (#184 in MLB), with a BABIP of .319, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.92. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.25, with a WHIP of 1.51, and opponent BA of .293. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 28% for a 1.81 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 17%.

Cincinnati Reds have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 29-35 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

Florida Marlins have the #9 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 24-40 (38%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 6 in a row.



Odds: CIN -118 (54%) FLA +111 (47%) O/U = 9

Lean: Marlins
=======================================


How do you get your stats so quickly?  Do you use a personal database?  Or is it simple like a spreadsheet?
 
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Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by DENISS08:

only 55% for +16.27 Units?


So over almost 300 bets (all flat at 1 unit) he hits at 55%, shows a profit, and does so with with an avg juice of -112 (correct me if I am wrong Bodio, but thats my math on the losing bets at least) ......in MLB

Not sure what you are scratching your head at.  Solid capper, very disciplined, and his unit size is large from what I hear...I guess if you don't like money this might perplex you.

Continue your great work and contributions to the forum Bodio. GL.
 
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Posted: #84
Bodio, Thanks for all of your hard work..Continued sucess..BOL!
 
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Posted: #85

QUOTE Originally Posted by DENISS08:

only 55% for +16.27 Units?

He is up $16000 in baseball, can you say the same ?

He has also been hot as of late so he has helped a lot of people recently.  Like to see you do the same dumbass.

Great work Bodio and your hard work in these forums is much appreciated.

 

 
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Posted: #86
Always funny to see the hatred post some dumb comments...ANYONE following covers knows that Bodio is a machine....always providing helpful info and by far the best capper here (no offense to anyone else but Bodio consistently shares his data with all)...Keep up the great work and being humble...a hard combo to find
 
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Posted: #87
wassup bodio wanted to see what u have to say about this play ... Kc Bj's under? hoch held them down the last time they played the bj's and i believe jays is a pitchers park if im not mistaken 

tryin to parlay LAA,NYY,SF and maybe that under 
 
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Posted: #88
Bodio I want to be best friends.  But only when you win.  

When you lose we don't know eachother.
 
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Posted: #89
Just wanted to throw some love your way Bod.  Great props.  Win or lose, the time and effort are much appreciated.
 
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Posted: #90

Quote Originally Posted by kRaZeEpLaYa:

Always funny to see the hatred post some dumb comments...ANYONE following covers knows that Bodio is a machine....always providing helpful info and by far the best capper here (no offense to anyone else but Bodio consistently shares his data with all)...Keep up the great work and being humble...a hard combo to find

bodio also responds to the number questions from peeps about games that he doesn't even have leans on!  so, it's clear the man is here to help others beat the books!! 

 

 
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Posted: #91
Bodio you are the man!

I've tailed you the last two days and its nothing but green.  If you are ever in NYC PM me.  I owe you a fantastic meal.  Peter Luger, Per Se anything you got it. I tailed your SEA pick for a cool 2k.  
 
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Posted: #92
Quote Originally Posted by Fishscale:

Bodio I want to be best friends.  But only when you win.  

When you lose we don't know eachother.


Yea.  Me too.   

 
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Posted: #93

Quote Originally Posted by penzfan17:

Think you will have any plays for the night games tonight bodio?

Yeah...posted right now

 
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Posted: #94
Bodio, I need your help to decide for the rest of the games...

TB Rays, ATL, ARI, BAL ?
 
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Posted: #95

Quote Originally Posted by sztide103:

good job this week bodio, not too high on wandy for the stros. If houston wins it will be because they outscore colorado not because wandy throws a good game

 

Yup, you're right.  should have played the OVER  :)

 
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Posted: #96

Quote Originally Posted by RedFlagCapper:



How do you get your stats so quickly?  Do you use a personal database?  Or is it simple like a spreadsheet?

I've reprogrammed my model to spit it out for you guys.  It was my project in the middle of the MLB season. 

 
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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by TrustMyG:

wassup bodio wanted to see what u have to say about this play ... Kc Bj's under? hoch held them down the last time they played the bj's and i believe jays is a pitchers park if im not mistaken 

tryin to parlay LAA,NYY,SF and maybe that under 

I have that KC/Jays game at 9.3 total runs.  I wouldn't play the under there.

 

Parlay NYY + SF

 
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Posted: #98
Quote Originally Posted by Fishscale:

Bodio I want to be best friends.  But only when you win.  

When you lose we don't know eachother.

 

hehe... no problemo

I know that's the 'name of the game'  :)

 
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Posted: #99

Quote Originally Posted by ionutt79:

Bodio, I need your help to decide for the rest of the games...

TB Rays, ATL, ARI, BAL ?

hate the Rays...DET was almost a play

don't like BALT

ATL + ARI were my leans....so I'd say go with those

 
 
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Posted: #100
#2: Parlay:
New York Yankees ML / San Francisco Giants ML +115

Let me start out first by saying that I'm 0-4 this year betting these kinds of parlays. Regression to 50% is in my favor right? hehe... All kidding aside, if not for these 4 parlay plays, we'd be up 4 more units on the season or 25% more profitable than we are now. But then again, if a couple of them go our way, then the profits would be even higher. With that being said, I love this parlay tonight and fully expect my 'parlay' record to go to 1-4 this year.

Yankees own the A's winning 21 of the last 26 games between the 2 teams. The 'Bombers' don't lose twice in a row that often and I expect them to be very successful against Cahill who is 0-4 with a 13.5 ERA against them.

Stauffer has given up 9 HR"s in the past 3 games and even though he's a decent pitcher, this is the most innings he's pitched in his career, more than in the past 2 seasons combined. I"d say he's slowing down a bit. Giants got tons of lefties in their lineup and Stauffer has a career xFIP of 4.26 against left-handers. With Timmy on the mound, I see a comfortable Giants win.

Good luck fellas!
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