Flat betting in Baseball....

No, he realized it wasn't false and stated it in the post directly after that he misread my point.

Also, you say "there are many others this doesn't work for either".  That's not true.  There are very few bettors who are hitting underdogs at an 18% higher rate than they should be.  Most hit at about exactly the rate the odds dictate.  In the long run, I assure you that your percentage will drop, and it will approach the percentage that the odds dictate.  You may still be up a few percentages, but 18 percent is ridiculous.  Honestly, even you are probably better off flat betting starting now, as you can't keep up a 16-10 pace on underdogs.  If you think you can, then don't take my advice.  But when the numbers settle down, you'll be greatful you started flat betting.

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

You know - I am now officially confused.

 

I went from commenting on the way I proposed to flat bet in the first post, to commenting on Lans way of betting later in the thread and after digesting it I think I have misspoke.

 

The bottom line is exactly what Lunchbox states - and my original point is this:

 

1.  If you define flat betting as having the same risk/reward for every bet, then my original post is how to do it.

 

If Lan makes him more money, or some other way makes someone else more money - great - Im not trying to persuade anyone differently. 

 

I am simply stating that most who stake 1 unit per bet regardless of line think they are flat betting, when they are actually not flat betting and probably havent done the analysis that Lan has done to show that his way is better for him.

 

So I withdraw my disagreements because I think they were based on my way of flat betting instead of understanding it under the context of what Lan and Law were saying - but I still hold to my original post in this thread - if you want to flat bet that is the way to do it - and if you are doing it differently I think you should know why you are doing it that way.

 

I have been following this post with interest, as I play 1 (rarely 2) unit per game, normally on underdogs- unless I have completely missed the point here, VanZack is not trying to persuade anyone to bet "his" way, just to use the term "flat bet" accurately- please correct me if I am wrong here-

In the end no matter how you do it, you still have to handicap properly- no wagering / money management system described can overcome poor picks.

Just my 2 cents.

Thank you. 

You said what I was unable to say in 250 posts and 2 days.

Word for word I agree.

Quote Originally Posted by nccashman:

I love you, you love me, we're a happy family....

The only thing that is unanimously clear from this thread is that you are younger than 16 years old.

I get the ML average, and the system you well described above. If I was wagering on 6 games in a day, would it then be beneficial to us the ML avg. on those six in the above system, or would it negate the fav / dog individual MLs?

Quote Originally Posted by gamblingsnob:



I am actually confused at what pertinence my Covers Born on Date has anything to do with my comment.

because this is a very informative thread, regardless its location, and you being new to this site, it's a bit much you telling everyone where it should be located ....

it's all good

You are a total douchebag.  I guess you would rather have 1000 pick threads or lock threads on the first page.

I totally get it that you DONT GET IT, but stop embarassing yourself.

I would say out of all of the threads I have been involved with, this one has had the most impact recently, and people genuinely are interested so if you arent, just buzz off.

And while you are at it, just kill yourself.