As MLB gets closer, we stay the course and try to keep afloat in honor of Semper and Shady. Thanks to EVERYONE who has posted, viewed and as always keeping the thread positive. You guys are the greatest!
Will check back in after 12:30 pm central.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
As MLB gets closer, we stay the course and try to keep afloat in honor of Semper and Shady. Thanks to EVERYONE who has posted, viewed and as always keeping the thread positive. You guys are the greatest!
Hey Semper, Michael Bourne to your Cleveland Indians! Nice lead-off guy and base stealer. Loved him with the Astros. They were re-building and had to trade him.
Your team is definitely looking up!
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Hey Semper, Michael Bourne to your Cleveland Indians! Nice lead-off guy and base stealer. Loved him with the Astros. They were re-building and had to trade him.
CBS NCAAB computer predictions (nice to use when they pick dog to win and you get points) Site has updated ML records several years back and they have hit high percentage overall picking winners on the ML.
CBS NCAAB computer predictions (nice to use when they pick dog to win and you get points) Site has updated ML records several years back and they have hit high percentage overall picking winners on the ML.
2 games for teams coming home from atleast 4 game road trips.
Lakers played in Miami on Sunday, now host Phoenix. Last time these 2 teams played, if I recall, Lakers were leading most of the way, then collapsed at the end. I think the PUBLIC will be all over the LOOKERS. Finally home and payback. BUT 9 points is too many! These roadie fades coming home tend to go Under. So a small parlay there. The Lakers were on the road for 14 days (?). They call it the Grammy trip.
GSW played Dallas on 2/9. Now home to Houston. Not really that long of a plane ride and 3 days home. Not sure I'm betting HOU, but definetly not taking the Warriors.
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ANGLE, nice job!
2 games for teams coming home from atleast 4 game road trips.
Lakers played in Miami on Sunday, now host Phoenix. Last time these 2 teams played, if I recall, Lakers were leading most of the way, then collapsed at the end. I think the PUBLIC will be all over the LOOKERS. Finally home and payback. BUT 9 points is too many! These roadie fades coming home tend to go Under. So a small parlay there. The Lakers were on the road for 14 days (?). They call it the Grammy trip.
GSW played Dallas on 2/9. Now home to Houston. Not really that long of a plane ride and 3 days home. Not sure I'm betting HOU, but definetly not taking the Warriors.
Nice info so far guys. I've got an NHL chase that starts today. This team is a NASTY DOG and should be a dog all three games if it goes that far.
*NHL CHASE PLAY*
Flyers ML GM1 of 3 (vs Winnipeg)
(2% or 2 unit profit play) The system says wager to win 2% or 2 units, not risk them. If you want plus money and want to take the chance and risk the 2% or 2 units that's up to you.
They are having a bad year and should be able to win one of the next 3 games. The next 2 games after today are against the Devils and Montreal.
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*NO NBA CHASE PLAYS FOR TUESDAY*
Nice info so far guys. I've got an NHL chase that starts today. This team is a NASTY DOG and should be a dog all three games if it goes that far.
*NHL CHASE PLAY*
Flyers ML GM1 of 3 (vs Winnipeg)
(2% or 2 unit profit play) The system says wager to win 2% or 2 units, not risk them. If you want plus money and want to take the chance and risk the 2% or 2 units that's up to you.
They are having a bad year and should be able to win one of the next 3 games. The next 2 games after today are against the Devils and Montreal.
From the guy who is now 22-6 after winner on Atl Hawks yesterday...
Play On: Detroit U (currently at -15)
Detroit has played well recently, winning 14 of its last 19 games to
put the Titans within a game and a half of the Horizon League lead. Among those
five losses were two nail-biters and a 12-point defeat against Cleveland State
as 8-point favorites on the road. The Titans came away from that affair
red-faced and have had this game circled on their schedule for nearly a
month.
Besides, Detroit has played like collection of lions, tigers, and bears at
home this season, bringing down foes by an average score of 82-58 en route to
their 12-2 record at Calihan Hall. On the other side, the Vikings have played
like a team that misplaced their swords before hitting the road, going just 2-10
SUATS this year. This matchup is also a meaty revenge sandwich for Cleveland
State, sitting between a triple revenger against Valparaiso (Vikings are 1-4-1
ATS after the Crusaders) and a double revenger against Wisconsin-Green Bay (0-8
against the number before playing the Phoenix). Hence, with the Titans off a
9-point upset loss on Saturday, there will be no ‘mercy’ shown by Detroit here
tonight.
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From the guy who is now 22-6 after winner on Atl Hawks yesterday...
Play On: Detroit U (currently at -15)
Detroit has played well recently, winning 14 of its last 19 games to
put the Titans within a game and a half of the Horizon League lead. Among those
five losses were two nail-biters and a 12-point defeat against Cleveland State
as 8-point favorites on the road. The Titans came away from that affair
red-faced and have had this game circled on their schedule for nearly a
month.
Besides, Detroit has played like collection of lions, tigers, and bears at
home this season, bringing down foes by an average score of 82-58 en route to
their 12-2 record at Calihan Hall. On the other side, the Vikings have played
like a team that misplaced their swords before hitting the road, going just 2-10
SUATS this year. This matchup is also a meaty revenge sandwich for Cleveland
State, sitting between a triple revenger against Valparaiso (Vikings are 1-4-1
ATS after the Crusaders) and a double revenger against Wisconsin-Green Bay (0-8
against the number before playing the Phoenix). Hence, with the Titans off a
9-point upset loss on Saturday, there will be no ‘mercy’ shown by Detroit here
tonight.
The Grizzlies appear to have gotten over the Rudy happy trade and accepted
their new roster. Memphis is coming off a couple of big home wins over
the Warriors and Timberwolves and should have no trouble finishing off
their homestand with a big win over the Kings. This is a huge game for
the Grizzlies. This will be their final game before the All-Star break
and the last thing they want to do is go into a long layoff off a loss
at home to Sacramento. Considering how well the Grizzlies have played against the Kings in
recent meetings, I don't think they will have any trouble winning this
game by double-digits. In the two games this season, Memphis has won
113-81 at Sacramento and 85-69 at home. They are a perfect 5-0 at home
against the Kings over the last 3 seasons. Each of the last three have
come by 15+ points. The Grizzlies are a great team to back off a blowout win. They are
12-3 ATS coming off a 15+ point victory over the last 2 seasons. Memphis
beat the Timberwolves 105-88 on Sunday.
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Here's another one I like...
The Grizzlies appear to have gotten over the Rudy happy trade and accepted
their new roster. Memphis is coming off a couple of big home wins over
the Warriors and Timberwolves and should have no trouble finishing off
their homestand with a big win over the Kings. This is a huge game for
the Grizzlies. This will be their final game before the All-Star break
and the last thing they want to do is go into a long layoff off a loss
at home to Sacramento. Considering how well the Grizzlies have played against the Kings in
recent meetings, I don't think they will have any trouble winning this
game by double-digits. In the two games this season, Memphis has won
113-81 at Sacramento and 85-69 at home. They are a perfect 5-0 at home
against the Kings over the last 3 seasons. Each of the last three have
come by 15+ points. The Grizzlies are a great team to back off a blowout win. They are
12-3 ATS coming off a 15+ point victory over the last 2 seasons. Memphis
beat the Timberwolves 105-88 on Sunday.
Here are a couple of NHL plays from a source who is 20-9 and they are dogs so all we have to win is one of them...
Carolina ML+ over NEW JERSEY OT included. The Devils lead the East with 19 points after reeling
off five consecutive wins. A dozen games in, New Jersey has just one
loss in regulation time. It’s all well-deserved too as they continue to
play a methodical, 60-minute game with each skater playing its role to
near perfection. However, the Devils stock is a little too high and that
affords us an opportunity. They’re coming off back-to-back wins over
the Penguins this past weekend. Six of New Jersey’s last seven games
have seen them play its biggest rivals. They have another rival up next
in the Flyers. The Devils are feeling great but they’re not unbeatable.
Enter the Hurricanes fresh off a 6-4 win last night on the Island.
Carolina will play its third game in four days here but it’s not that
tough a trip as all three cities (Philly, Long Island, and New Jersey)
are in close proximity. The ‘Canes are heating up and it’s much easier
to play three in four when you’re winning. Carolina has picked up points
in four straight and seven of its past nine. They’ve scored three goals
or more in five straight. Eric Staal is playing the best hockey of his
career on a line with Alexander Semin and Jiri Tlusty and the second
line that features Jeff Skinner and Jordan Staal might just be the best
second line in the NHL. It’s all about playing value and the Hurricanes
at prices like this one are too dangerous to not consider.
Washington ML+ over FLORIDA OT included. The Capitals may be turning a corner. Prior to
defeating these same Panthers on Saturday night, Washington had dropped
five of six but three of those games (all 3-2 defeats) could have just
as easily ended in their favor. The Caps have really cut down on scoring
chances allowed and there were plenty more positive signs in that
convincing win on Saturday. Four different Capitals scored goals in the
win and 10 players tallied at least one point. Alex Ovechkin scored his
fourth goal of the season and now has five points in his last four
games. The Caps scored a power-play goal for the fourth consecutive game
and are now 5 for 11 (45.5%) in their last five games. Early in the
year, when expectations were high, the Caps were overvalued. With the
worst record in the NHL, they are now undervalued and that’s presents a
‘buy’ opportunity.
The Panthers return home from a four-game trip and their biggest
issue remains goaltending. Jose Theodore has been wildly inconsistent
with a 3.41 GAA and an intolerable .896 save percentage. He now sits in
favor of Scott Clemmenson and Clemmenson’s numbers are worse (3.77 GAA
.853 save %). Of the Panthers four wins, two have been worthy. Of the
Panthers six losses, five of them have been by three goals or more and
four of those have been by four goals or more. No team in the NHL is
getting beat as badly as these Panthers and that makes them prime fade
material.
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Here are a couple of NHL plays from a source who is 20-9 and they are dogs so all we have to win is one of them...
Carolina ML+ over NEW JERSEY OT included. The Devils lead the East with 19 points after reeling
off five consecutive wins. A dozen games in, New Jersey has just one
loss in regulation time. It’s all well-deserved too as they continue to
play a methodical, 60-minute game with each skater playing its role to
near perfection. However, the Devils stock is a little too high and that
affords us an opportunity. They’re coming off back-to-back wins over
the Penguins this past weekend. Six of New Jersey’s last seven games
have seen them play its biggest rivals. They have another rival up next
in the Flyers. The Devils are feeling great but they’re not unbeatable.
Enter the Hurricanes fresh off a 6-4 win last night on the Island.
Carolina will play its third game in four days here but it’s not that
tough a trip as all three cities (Philly, Long Island, and New Jersey)
are in close proximity. The ‘Canes are heating up and it’s much easier
to play three in four when you’re winning. Carolina has picked up points
in four straight and seven of its past nine. They’ve scored three goals
or more in five straight. Eric Staal is playing the best hockey of his
career on a line with Alexander Semin and Jiri Tlusty and the second
line that features Jeff Skinner and Jordan Staal might just be the best
second line in the NHL. It’s all about playing value and the Hurricanes
at prices like this one are too dangerous to not consider.
Washington ML+ over FLORIDA OT included. The Capitals may be turning a corner. Prior to
defeating these same Panthers on Saturday night, Washington had dropped
five of six but three of those games (all 3-2 defeats) could have just
as easily ended in their favor. The Caps have really cut down on scoring
chances allowed and there were plenty more positive signs in that
convincing win on Saturday. Four different Capitals scored goals in the
win and 10 players tallied at least one point. Alex Ovechkin scored his
fourth goal of the season and now has five points in his last four
games. The Caps scored a power-play goal for the fourth consecutive game
and are now 5 for 11 (45.5%) in their last five games. Early in the
year, when expectations were high, the Caps were overvalued. With the
worst record in the NHL, they are now undervalued and that’s presents a
‘buy’ opportunity.
The Panthers return home from a four-game trip and their biggest
issue remains goaltending. Jose Theodore has been wildly inconsistent
with a 3.41 GAA and an intolerable .896 save percentage. He now sits in
favor of Scott Clemmenson and Clemmenson’s numbers are worse (3.77 GAA
.853 save %). Of the Panthers four wins, two have been worthy. Of the
Panthers six losses, five of them have been by three goals or more and
four of those have been by four goals or more. No team in the NHL is
getting beat as badly as these Panthers and that makes them prime fade
material.
I like to fade Miami when playing lesser teams as double-digit faves...
The Miami Heat needed a late surge to overcome the Los Angeles Lakers in
their last game. It is most difficult for a team that won a
championship the prior year to become motivated enough to overcome the
huge lines they have to face the following year. Miami is 34-14 on the
season and certainly is an elite team, but they have found themselves
often coming up short against big numbers as they are just 3-7 ATS in
their last 10 when laying -10 or more. Portland finds themselves often a
player short, but remains a highly competitive team. They seem to play
just well enough to lose. They are 9-11 over their last 20 games, but
have been beaten by 10 or more just two times in the 20 games, so they
have shown the ability to hang tough every time on the floor. Take the
points and go with Portland.
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I like to fade Miami when playing lesser teams as double-digit faves...
The Miami Heat needed a late surge to overcome the Los Angeles Lakers in
their last game. It is most difficult for a team that won a
championship the prior year to become motivated enough to overcome the
huge lines they have to face the following year. Miami is 34-14 on the
season and certainly is an elite team, but they have found themselves
often coming up short against big numbers as they are just 3-7 ATS in
their last 10 when laying -10 or more. Portland finds themselves often a
player short, but remains a highly competitive team. They seem to play
just well enough to lose. They are 9-11 over their last 20 games, but
have been beaten by 10 or more just two times in the 20 games, so they
have shown the ability to hang tough every time on the floor. Take the
points and go with Portland.
Remember when the Rockets beat GS 140 -109? Revenge time!
The Warriors have lost 4 in a row (3 of those were ugly) but all 4 were
on the road and were played in a 5 day span. They have had 2 days to
regroup and will be lacking no motivation as an embarrassing 140-109
loss at Houston started their skid. Golden State is 22-11 ATS after 2 or
more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. It is also on a 42-24
ATS run in home games when out for revenge for a road blowout loss of 20
points or more to an opponent. The Rockets check in off a 117-111 loss
at Sacramento, which is a concern considering they are 3-13 ATS in road
games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. It is an even bigger
concern that they have given up triple digits in each of their last four
games as they are 0-8 ATS this season in road games after allowing 100
points or more in 2 straight games. They have lost by an average of 12.3
points in this spot. Lay the points.
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Remember when the Rockets beat GS 140 -109? Revenge time!
The Warriors have lost 4 in a row (3 of those were ugly) but all 4 were
on the road and were played in a 5 day span. They have had 2 days to
regroup and will be lacking no motivation as an embarrassing 140-109
loss at Houston started their skid. Golden State is 22-11 ATS after 2 or
more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. It is also on a 42-24
ATS run in home games when out for revenge for a road blowout loss of 20
points or more to an opponent. The Rockets check in off a 117-111 loss
at Sacramento, which is a concern considering they are 3-13 ATS in road
games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. It is an even bigger
concern that they have given up triple digits in each of their last four
games as they are 0-8 ATS this season in road games after allowing 100
points or more in 2 straight games. They have lost by an average of 12.3
points in this spot. Lay the points.
The Utah Jazz +6 are showing value, once again getting points on their home court. Oklahoma City checks into this contest way overvalued after dominating the lowly Suns in a home-and-home series, by a combined score of 224-165. The Thunder have now won 5 of their last 6. But it's worth noting that 4 of those 5 wins were at home. They should not be so heavily favored in this match-up on the road. The Jazz are coming off of back-to-back losses. But they will be playing on two full days off to rest, and they've been tough at home this year. Plus they should be welcoming back Gordon Hayword tonight, who practiced with the team on Monday. Note that the Jazz are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games when hosting a team with a winning road record. They're also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double digits loss. Oklahoma City has the Miami Heat on deck, and they'll be seeking revenge in that game for the nationally televised Christmas-Day loss. That leaves them vulnerable to overlooking the Jazz in this spot, who they beat by 8 points in their last meeting. The Thunder have been a profitable wager of late, but they're overpriced tonight. And they're just 1-3-1 ATS the last 5 times they visited a team with a home winning percentage of .600 or better. We'll gladly take the points and the home team tonight at EnergySolutions Arena.
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The Utah Jazz +6 are showing value, once again getting points on their home court. Oklahoma City checks into this contest way overvalued after dominating the lowly Suns in a home-and-home series, by a combined score of 224-165. The Thunder have now won 5 of their last 6. But it's worth noting that 4 of those 5 wins were at home. They should not be so heavily favored in this match-up on the road. The Jazz are coming off of back-to-back losses. But they will be playing on two full days off to rest, and they've been tough at home this year. Plus they should be welcoming back Gordon Hayword tonight, who practiced with the team on Monday. Note that the Jazz are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games when hosting a team with a winning road record. They're also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double digits loss. Oklahoma City has the Miami Heat on deck, and they'll be seeking revenge in that game for the nationally televised Christmas-Day loss. That leaves them vulnerable to overlooking the Jazz in this spot, who they beat by 8 points in their last meeting. The Thunder have been a profitable wager of late, but they're overpriced tonight. And they're just 1-3-1 ATS the last 5 times they visited a team with a home winning percentage of .600 or better. We'll gladly take the points and the home team tonight at EnergySolutions Arena.
GL Angle . I am on the Flyers and Grizzlies . You were smart to play the Bobcats last night . If the Celtics would have played anyone but them I would have bet against them too . We missed out winning Game 3 chase .
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GL Angle . I am on the Flyers and Grizzlies . You were smart to play the Bobcats last night . If the Celtics would have played anyone but them I would have bet against them too . We missed out winning Game 3 chase .
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