My lines,.,..................game 7
Suns -8.43 over Mavs
Celtics -8.05 over Bucks
Suns -6 (-115) over Mavs --- 2.3 units
Line is moving , if you like the Suns might want to get them before goes to 7
Line moving with Celtics as well, since I have futures to win series no point laying pts. Grab them now.
1-0 ATS, won 2 units
playoffs to date --- 9-6 ATS, won 6.3 units
Celtics deliver big-time, this team has matured and is ready for the next step, today they should take that next step beating the defending CHAMPS after having 2 close games go against them at the end.
Tatum was shooting terrible at 30% on 3's coming into game 6, only a matter of time before he gets back to his ave, which when he does will be shooting above his ave. Even with that 30% Celtics could of been ahead in the series. The Freak was incredible playing above his ave in FT's, 14 of 15 and 2 of 3 on 3's, I don't see the Freak doing this again but do see Tatum doing closer to this then the Freak.
Great day today with 2 game 7's, can't beat that, should be a very good day for NBA Fans and sports bettors..................................
Celtics off 1 ATS win, but Celtics off 1-2 ATS at home and my lines strong favorite over the books line, based on this a Very good spot to back the Celtics today.
Suns off 1 ATS loss but in a 2cd close-out game and clearly the better team in both PR's and with the common denominators of past champs VS a opp without those common denominators, very good spot for the Suns.
Suns off 3 ATS wins at home but clearly the better team according to my lines, had my lines been on the Mavs then it'd be a very good spot for the Mavs. But here the Suns way to good to play a close game .
Wow, Suns came-out flat as a pancake. Mavs were the aggressive team right out of the blocks and the Suns couldn't match their intensity.
Crazy, but these big blowouts are the result of the best teams this year are not as good as teams with the best records in past years.
The only thing historical about the Suns is the way they got beat-down in a elimination game.
Likely the biggest blowout for the team with the best record in history . Certainly one of biggest
Begs the question, how good are the Mavs ?
They don't rate out all that Strong. I think a big part was Suns for whatever reason didn't match Mavs intensity.
“Whatever reason” is right. What a mystery. Did someone sleep with someone’s wife? Did they hear something was coming down in the pending investigation regarding their owner? Was Paul hurt and they knew they were not going far anyway? 
MY LINES...........................................game 1's
Heat -1.23 over Celtics
Warriors -7.8 over Mavs
Celtics off 2 ATS wins with a big blowout win , not the best of spots, Heat off 2 ATS wins with a big blowout win then a ATS win, not a good spot. Based on both PR's Celtics the better team they should get a split in the 1st 2 road games be it game 1 or game 2. Celtics as the best team in PR's coming off a series they fell behind not once, not twice but 3 times, very unlikely the Celtics will want to fall behind again and need to dig their way out. Best team in my PR's rarely lose game 1 in back to back series, when these teams get behind in a series they come out very motivated the next series.
We can make a very good case for passing game 1 and backing the SU & ATS loser game 2 with both teams off 2 ATS wins and a big blowout win, high probability play there in game 2. But with Celtics trailing three times in last series top teams in PR's respond game 1.
Warriors off 1 ATS win, Mavs off 2 ATS big blowout wins, bad spot for Mavs and with Warriors clearly the right side based on my line, Warriors roll game 1.
Celtics +2 over Heat --- 1.1 units
Warriors -5 over Mavs --- 2.2 units
Celtics to win series over Heat -170 --- 1.7 units to win 1 unit
Teams off a 7 game series VS a team not off 7 game series if the team off 7 game series is not the better team according to the PR's poor spot for that team. Suggests fading the Mavs.
Another possible situation is teams off 7 game series like Mavs after winning a closer hard fought game would seem to be better fades as that situation may be more draining.
The Mavs cruising easily and big may be energizing for them.
Don't have any history on this spot but just trying to read between the lines a bit.
Hopefully dog can get some querries on similar spots
Considering DAL's entire season, they are 24-23-1 O/U away and 12-31-4 O/U home. DAL's average home total was 214.9. It will be interesting to see the game #3 total vs. the GS sharpshooters.
DAL is off two stellar DEF performances, but I couldn't find a query with any edge for the DAL-GS game #1.
Good luck everybody.
Sorry for the delay. I don't know how to compost that query.
*compost LOL - S/B compose, although most queries need to be trashed because most of them are too close to 50/50 and are worthless.
This query favors GS (the Home team) in game #1:
PO = 1 and H and series game = 1 and rest > o:rest and (op:dps > 14.2 or op:dpa < -14.2)
In SDQL "delta points" refers to points scored vs. expected points (the team total). DAL scored over 14 more than expected and allowed less than 14 fewer than expected in the previous game.
SU: 24-2 (14.15, 92.3%)
ATS: 19-7-0 (6.88, 73.1%)
I hate laying this much chalk, but I took GS ML -230 for one-half unit.
Good luck everybody.
Away dogs in rounds 2 or 3 off a win versus a top four seeded team have been 9-6 ATS (+1.25), 5-11 straight up (-5.06) and 13-3 o/u (+12.75) with 2 or 3 days rest.
po:seed<4 and AD and playoffs=1 and series game=1 and 4>round>1 and 4>rest>1
If they won a 7 game series in this scenario they've been 2-2 SUATS and 3-1 OVER.
They have been 5-3-1 ATS and 7-2 OVER if they beat a top two seed.
1-1 ATS, won .9 units
Celtics were shooting lights-out 1st half, 69% with a minute or 2 or 3 left in 1st half. Celtics being off 2 ATS wins with a blowout win and then off a huge half at 69%, sometimes teams do regress after a big half like Celtics had. I thought the Heat would come out after halftime and win the 3rd quarter but Celtics could hang around enough to still have chance at the end.
That explains what happened 2cd half with Celtics regressing at halftime off that huge 1st half and they didn't even have a very big lead at the half to be playing at such a high level.
Warriors rolled the Mavs who were off a very bad spot.
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