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NBA PLAYOFFS......................................................2019

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Posted: #26
MY LINES..................................................GAME 2'S

Celtics -4.84 over Pacers
Bucks -16.63 over Pistons
Rockets -1.59 over Jazz
 
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Posted: #27
Pacers +7.5 over Celtics --- 2.2 units to win 2 units

Pacers/C's OVER 203 --- 2.2 units

We'll likely be on other plays , will post more later.
 
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Posted: #28
Claw from your line isn't there a best value for Utah???
Or your line can be bit off due to the injuries as per previous  post??

Thanks for all your work...
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by midnightprowl:

Claw from your line isn't there a best value for Utah???
Or your line can be bit off due to the injuries as per previous  post??

Thanks for all your work...


The injuries for Rockets are huge, they are much lower rated then they should be based on onjuries.

But I wouldn't count the Jazz out, the method works many times even with injuries. But I wouldn't have S much confidence .


All that said I will likely be on the Jazz tonight with a small play. Bthey should get a cover either this game or game 3 and maybe both 
 
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Posted: #30
Game 3's...........................................

series tied 1-1 we don't use my lines.

thursday night................
Warriors -8.5 (-115)over Clippers --- 4.6 units to win 4 units

friday night..........................
Raptors -4 (-115) over Magic --- 4.6 units to win 4 units


Both lines are moving will get down on these numbers now.

Very good spot game 3 with tied series and both road teams the far better teams.

Not very likely we go 0-2 ATS, we should go at least 1-1 ATS with a good shot at 2-0 ATS, I love these type spots, not much downside risk.
 
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Posted: #31
Game 2.......................................largest mismatch team

Bucks -14.5 over Pistons --- 1.1 unit


don't like coming on teama off big blow-out wins but our largest mismatch teams can cover after and powerhouse teams like the Bucks do cover after such wins, Bucks a different animal.

2 ATS wins combined with a blowout win then we likely pass.
 
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Posted: #32
More to come tonight..............................


 
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Posted: #33
Celtics played better then our ratings once again in game 1  after doing so last year, still think Celtics are not that good.

I trust the ratings at the end of the day, tonight will be big as well see if they do it again.

iF THEY DO IT AGAIN win AND GO UP 2-0 my line for game 3 back in Indy will be Pacers -7.16

Pacers a very good spot.

Well, they might win SU tonight  but I don't think they cover  . Possible SU Pacers win.
 
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Posted: #34
Bucks/Pistons OVER 215.5 --- 2.2 un its
 
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Posted: #35
Jazz +7 (-115) over Rockets --- 1.15 units to win 1 unit
 
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Posted: #36
games 1-2 ATS, lost 2.35 units
totals 1-1, lost .2

playoffs ..................................

games --- 2-2 ATS, lost .35 units
totals 1-2, lost 2.4 units
parlays --- 1-0, won 2.02 units


brutal loss by Pacers, very brutal. we should of finished with a winning record for the night

have to give Celtics alot of credit, their defense was very strong in the waning moments.

Bucks keep rolling, another big-time impressive win  and great play by the Freak.

I would look for both Pacers and Jazz to bounce back in game 3's.
 
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Posted: #37
Game 3's.........................................................

we don't use my lines with series tied 1-1, all 3 games tonight tied 1-1


76ers -2.5 over Nets --- 1.1 units
Spurs -3.5 (-117) over Nuggets --- 1.17 units

pending...............
Warriors -8.5 (-115) over Clips ---  4.6 units to win 4 units


 
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Posted: #38
3-0 ATS, won 6 units

2 of our 4 dogs to win series have taken control of the series with Spurs up 2-1 and Blazers up 2-0.
 
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Posted: #39
Game 3's.................................................my lines

teams down 2-0 recieve 4 additional desperation bonus pts.
teams tied 1-1 we don't use my lines

Pacers -7.16 over Celtics
Thunder -5.51 over Blazers





 
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Posted: #40
Pacers -3 (-105) over Celtics --- 2.1 units to win 2 units

pending .............Raps -4 (-115) over Magic --- 4.6 units to win 4 units




Jazz -3 (-105) over Rockets --- 1.05 units 

my line...............Jazz -10.41 over Rockets 

not likely all Rockets injuries are worth that many points.


we'll pass on Blazers/Thunder game line is about right based on Blazers player injury.
 
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Posted: #41
Like the Indiana and Utah 
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by midnightprowl:

Like the Indiana and Utah 


.............Jazz should get it done today.
 
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Posted: #43
1-1 ATS, won 2.95 units

Both of our stronger plays won with Raps last night and Warriors game 3.
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

1-1 ATS, won 2.95 units

Both of our stronger plays won with Raps last night and Warriors game 3.

OPPS............erase this post, my bad. was looking at jazz units played


1-1 ATS, won 1.9 units
 
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Posted: #45
MY LINES............................sat


Nets -.11 over 76ers
Spurs -3.64 over Nuggets
Bucks -4.63 over Pistons
Jazz - 10.41 over Rockets

Spurs line about right on the line. Spurs need to win this game to really take control of this series, Nuggets only need a split to gain-back home court.

We'll pass

Nets should have a very good shot to get it done today.

Bucks a largest mismatch team which over-rules my lines. We back the Bucks in every game to get a winning ATS record. But Bucks are off a big blowout win and another big win and cover.

Not the best of spots to back the Bucks but I would not fade them here, powerhouse teams can over-come this but another big win And cover I'd be looking to fade the Bucks game 4 with a possible SU win on what might be a very good ML.

we'll pass on the Bucks game 3.

Jazz are definately the play today, Rockets off a big blowout win and another very big win and cover, bad, bad spot for Rockets.

We'll add to our pending play.



Jazz -2.5 (-106)over Rockets ---2.12 units to win 2 units

pending play........Jazz -3 (-105)  over Rockets --- 1.05 units



LEAN..............Nets +2 over 76ers


we'll maybe have a couple of totals plays but will wait out the line movement.  
 
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Posted: #46
Celtics got it done, played very well on the road. 

There was talk of Celtics poor road record under Stevens in Boston area, I'm quite sure the players were aware of the talk and record and likely really came prepared to get that monkey off their backs.

But now because of it a huge line adjustment in game 4, we always fade these. If it remains great spot to back the Pacers, hopefully we can get 1 ATS win out of the Pacers.

Celtics playing better then our ratings give them credit for, but that can happen but in the end I still believe our ratings will prove correct on Celtics.

Worst case for us would be Bucks winning and covering games 3 and 4 with ANOTHER  big blowout win, Bucks would move into serious  regression mode and we'd back the Celtics in games 1 and 2 ATS with Celtics likely winning 1 OF 2 games SU.

Hopefully this does not happen  But could set-up some really great value on Bucks in later games of series after they regress.


 
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Posted: #47
0-1 ATS, lost 3.17 units
 
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Posted: #48
MY LINES............................SUN

Pacers -3.16 over Celtics
Warriors -2.21 over Clips
Raptors -1.72 over Magic
OKC -1.51 over Blazers


Pacers +3 over Celtics --- 3.3 units

LEANS...............................
 Clips +9.5 OVER wARRIORS
Magic +5.5 over Raps
Blazers +5.5 over OKC
 
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Posted: #49
3 TEAM ML PARLAY............................(.5) to win 18.24 units

Pacers
Pistons
Jazz


Great spot for all 3 teams, a half a unit might prove well, well worth the play. 
 
 
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Posted: #50
0-1 ATS, lost 3.3 units

leans --- 2-1

parlay --- 0-1 , lost .5 unit
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