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2015 NFL playoff thread...

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Veteran
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Posted: #76
Indy. GL Van 
 
All-Star
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Posted: #77

Yes sir....make that money brother!

 

 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #78
My local just moved Denver to -10.  I wasnt gonna get involved, but at +10 im in now.  Good luck today Van!
 
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Posted: #79
Keep 'er rollin' Vanzack!
 
Captain
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Posted: #80
What about these overs?  It's such a rookie play but the best defenses played yesterday.  I think the overs continue.  How you going to stop Luck, Manning, Rogers and Romo?
Make today great!
 
Legend
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Posted: #81

Been getting my fair share of 3rd down TD's...

All of Seattles TD's yesterday were on 3rd and long, and the Pack first one on 3rd.

That's how you cover spreads.

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Captain
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Posted: #82
Wilson was lights out on 3rd downs yesterday and screwed under bettors everywhere.

Are you going to have another nibble at the Colts now they're +10?
 
Legend
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Posted: #83

Quote Originally Posted by Syddigs:

Wilson was lights out on 3rd downs yesterday and screwed under bettors everywhere.

Are you going to have another nibble at the Colts now they're +10?

Nah.  I have enough already.  If it gets to 10.5 I will have to add.

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Posted: #84
other side of both.

Dallas came to play.


I think the line move is indicative of the inevitable. Colts have terrible defense, especially on the road. the Burger dropped 6 TDs on them. Ouch. That Cincy team was weak and they fooled everyone when they beat Denver in that bad spot. Denver knew they could come home and demolish the Raiders. Just like Carolina fooled everyone putting up record numbers against a terrible Cardinal offense. Cincy's wasn't much better. Throw in Hue Jackson calling 1st down bombs and they had no chance without their top two targets. 

Denver is healthy and will win by DD.


 
Captain
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Posted: #85
And then they snap the ball when Rogers is not ready...I actually think it was Rogers fault, he clapped to get a WR's attention which I think is also his signal to snap the call when the clock is running down.

Wow! 
Make today great!
 
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Posted: #86
gl on the colts as well
 
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Posted: #87
Indy ML?
 
Legend
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Posted: #88

Couldve had a miracle there, but didn't deserve it in all honesty...

Razor thin once again.

And the Dez Bryant thing was clearly not a catch.  You can hate on the rule, but that is the rule.

On to the Colts.

 

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Legend
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Posted: #89

Good start Colts.

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Legend
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Posted: #90

Both games today 14-10 at HT for the road team.

Both road teams missed makeable first half FGs.

 

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Legend
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Posted: #91

Andrew Lucks interceptions so far have been really smart interceptions.

Both on 3rd down, and both for like 40 yards so same as a punt.

No impact.

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Legend
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Posted: #92
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Lots of reasons point me to the Colts.  I use a lot of adjusted stats - and I can make a decent argument that their rushing stats are not that bad.  They are never going to win a game on the ground - but I don't think they need to here.  The pick is mostly that Denvers offense wont score over 21 in this game.  This total shift in philosophy - and Manning not being able to really throw the ball - has me very skeptical.  The Bengals game was a great example of it. 

7 points is a lot in the NFL and a playoff game.  Just have lots of stats that I can make a case with - and my gut is screaming Colts.

I don't normally bet totals - but I did make one of the few (I think 4 total this year) bets on the Colts / Broncos under.  I couldn't argue with your analysis of Pats / Ravens - should be high scoring - unless Flacco is sitting on his behind all day because he is getting pressured.  That is the key to this one I feel.  Could see the Pack / Cowboys going under, and something tells me Seattle is going to put up a big number on Carolina.

Anyway - no total betting for me except for a small play on Colts Broncos under.  Very small.

Hate to repost this and pat myself on the back....

But I rarely get so much right in a single post. 

That's crystal ball material.

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Captain
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Posted: #93
 
Captain
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Posted: #94
 
Captain
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Posted: #95
no, sorry, this Colts defense never even remotely reminded me of the Seahawks, the Cardinals most of the year, the Dolphins in the middle of the season, etc...all respect to you but sorry...and last year you were convinced the Chargers had no chance in Cinncy...
 
Legend
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Posted: #96

Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

no, sorry, this Colts defense never even remotely reminded me of the Seahawks, the Cardinals most of the year, the Dolphins in the middle of the season, etc...all respect to you but sorry...and last year you were convinced the Chargers had no chance in Cinncy...

What?

Who said they were the Seahawks?

And "last year I was convinced the Chargers had no chance in Cincy"????     What does that even mean?

Don't be a sore loser dude.  Sometimes you get them right, and sometimes you don't.  Today I got the Colts right.  Why come in my thread and tell me about a loss from a year ago I don't even remember, or that even though I said I thought the Broncos wouldn't score 21 - that they weren't as good as the seahawks?!??

WTF?

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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

2-2, up 1.275 units

Finally back from family vaca.  The best days of family vaca are the day you get there, and the day you leave.

Picks for this weekend.  All current bettable lines.

1.  Balt +6.5 +105 (1.5 units)
2.  Sea -11 -102 (3 units)
3.  Packers -5.5 -105 (2 units)
4.  Colts +7 -108 (3 units)

I am here to discuss, and should be around for the weekend.

Peace.

Alright...

2-0 yesterday, 1-1 today even though by gametime there was lots of GB-5 and even some -4.5 out there...     But I will mark it as a loss here.

So overall 5-3 in playoffs, up 6.725 units (including juice)

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Posted: #98
Indy ml 
 
Legend
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Posted: #99

Quote Originally Posted by mafia13:

Indy ml 

Nice hit. 

Had some myself.  Great day today.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
 
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Posted: #100
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Nice hit. 

Had some myself.  Great day today.

 


Van, what are your thoughts for tomorrow's big game?
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