I think you are doing such a great job..I don't know of anyone else who would do the work that you do just to be able to give picks to everyone and not charging a cent..Keep up the great work..
I will continue to follow you..
Screw the idiots who talk trash.. You notice that the people who are making the negative comments are hear each week waiting for your picks..
Thanks buddy. MysticRich is my biggest fanboy, what can I do?
No, I try to completely ignore the trolls.
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Quote Originally Posted by obsessed:
Suuma,
I think you are doing such a great job..I don't know of anyone else who would do the work that you do just to be able to give picks to everyone and not charging a cent..Keep up the great work..
I will continue to follow you..
Screw the idiots who talk trash.. You notice that the people who are making the negative comments are hear each week waiting for your picks..
Thanks buddy. MysticRich is my biggest fanboy, what can I do?
These were some of the picks that stood out to me at first look as well. Here's my reasoning.
Seahawks Saints. Seattles offense has been bad and their offensive line is worse. If you can't win in the trenches you can't win in the NFL. On top of the saints have been quietly playing good football this year, winNing and covering on the road as well as in the Dome. Saints offense wins this battle and I would be suprised if they don't win outright. Wrong team favored here and the line will keep dropping.
Cardinals Panthers.
Wow has this team changed since last year. Same could be said for Carolina I guess. But I trust Cam more than Palmer right now. Palmer is on the verge of death with every sack he is terrible. The only thing working for the cards right now is david johnson. Coaching sucks and so does their offense. Panthers off a bye smelling blood in the water. Not saying they make the playoffs but Carolina ain't no losing this game at home.
Packers Falcons
What a spot one team over achieving and one team under. The last time I remember Rogers in this dome he was dropping 50 on Matty ice then going on to win the super bowl. Atlanta has zero defense so teams with good qb's give them fits. (See Phil Rivs) Rogers +3 . Now here's where I differ. I'm not sure gb is playing well enough to cover this spread. I actually think the value is on the Birds here since they just lost to the bolts and the week before to the Seahawks. I think Atlanta is the better team and they're a team home. They won't let this game slip away.
Atlanta and over
Great stuff man, keep them coming!
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Quote Originally Posted by Damaged99:
These were some of the picks that stood out to me at first look as well. Here's my reasoning.
Seahawks Saints. Seattles offense has been bad and their offensive line is worse. If you can't win in the trenches you can't win in the NFL. On top of the saints have been quietly playing good football this year, winNing and covering on the road as well as in the Dome. Saints offense wins this battle and I would be suprised if they don't win outright. Wrong team favored here and the line will keep dropping.
Cardinals Panthers.
Wow has this team changed since last year. Same could be said for Carolina I guess. But I trust Cam more than Palmer right now. Palmer is on the verge of death with every sack he is terrible. The only thing working for the cards right now is david johnson. Coaching sucks and so does their offense. Panthers off a bye smelling blood in the water. Not saying they make the playoffs but Carolina ain't no losing this game at home.
Packers Falcons
What a spot one team over achieving and one team under. The last time I remember Rogers in this dome he was dropping 50 on Matty ice then going on to win the super bowl. Atlanta has zero defense so teams with good qb's give them fits. (See Phil Rivs) Rogers +3 . Now here's where I differ. I'm not sure gb is playing well enough to cover this spread. I actually think the value is on the Birds here since they just lost to the bolts and the week before to the Seahawks. I think Atlanta is the better team and they're a team home. They won't let this game slip away.
GREAT WORK as always! Forget that clown (who lives in his mom's basement) Mister Shrimp Scampi.
I enjoy reading your post every week. I don't wager on games anymore but do play in high stakes survival and an ATS pool. LOVED the SD pick last week and MIAMI week before.
KEEP IT UP!
Let's keep them coming!
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Quote Originally Posted by richwins81:
Suuma -
GREAT WORK as always! Forget that clown (who lives in his mom's basement) Mister Shrimp Scampi.
I enjoy reading your post every week. I don't wager on games anymore but do play in high stakes survival and an ATS pool. LOVED the SD pick last week and MIAMI week before.
ari vs car, what about panthers terrible o-line against cards pass rush of Campbell and jones? Cardinals defense was hardly on the field sunday night, they will be fresh. Panthers have needed the last few games and they failed to win. Panthers secondary could get torched here. Cards need the game just as bad as panthers. Revenge factor is huge here. Couldn't believe this line, seems like people don't wanna believe the panthers have lost the magic from last year.
The other games anaylsis is spot on. Think you are off on this one.
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ari vs car, what about panthers terrible o-line against cards pass rush of Campbell and jones? Cardinals defense was hardly on the field sunday night, they will be fresh. Panthers have needed the last few games and they failed to win. Panthers secondary could get torched here. Cards need the game just as bad as panthers. Revenge factor is huge here. Couldn't believe this line, seems like people don't wanna believe the panthers have lost the magic from last year.
The other games anaylsis is spot on. Think you are off on this one.
Not sure how much situational value there really is on the Saints. The line was 5.5 prior to last weeks games and shifted to open at 3.5. Now it's at 3 and looks to be tipping towards 2.5.
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Not sure how much situational value there really is on the Saints. The line was 5.5 prior to last weeks games and shifted to open at 3.5. Now it's at 3 and looks to be tipping towards 2.5.
Suuma, as always great research and leg work. That's commendable because you actually DO the leg work involved to get your stats and information. I just want to personally say thanks for sharing your work and time with all of us, even the haters on here giving you a hard time for something they don't put a quarter of the effort you do into it... weither I agree/disagree with your picks, I always appreciate the write ups and follow ups you regularly do.... Great information, to take as you wish
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Suuma, as always great research and leg work. That's commendable because you actually DO the leg work involved to get your stats and information. I just want to personally say thanks for sharing your work and time with all of us, even the haters on here giving you a hard time for something they don't put a quarter of the effort you do into it... weither I agree/disagree with your picks, I always appreciate the write ups and follow ups you regularly do.... Great information, to take as you wish
What do you think about SD +6 at Denver. Do you think SD +6 is an easy one. Do you think the line should probably be Denver - 3 at best. SD has the personnel to give Denver fits, especially SD's TE's vs. Denver linebackers. Plus giving Rivers almost a TD and history of AFC West divisional road underdogs covering road divisional games at a very high clip.
Do you see this spread going down to 4 by Sunday via sharps pounding the road dog or do you see Denver getting revenge. SD is looking like a stock to stay on for a while. Please advise.
I love the Chargers as a Football team and they are going to finish 10-6 ATS or better, but this is a classic buy low / sell high spot for them.
In the first game two weeks ago, SD was an automatic play at +3.5 at home. Let's recap the situation then:
-Kubiak wasn't coaching the team all week and didn't make the trip to San Diego -Denver had to travel on a short week -Trevor Siemian was suffering from his shoulder injury -Hunter Henry had a good game
This time:
-Kubiak is with the team -Denver stays at home -San Diego are traveling b2b off an overtime comeback win from being down by 17 at some point -Siemian is healthy -Hunter Henry probably won't play
Last time the line indicated the Broncos would be -10 at home. That was garbage. Now they are laying only 4.5. Broncos have an HFA or 4 points in my opinion, so it's basically PK on a neutral. Leaning the Broncos in this spot.
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Quote Originally Posted by jasondemz:
Suuma,
What do you think about SD +6 at Denver. Do you think SD +6 is an easy one. Do you think the line should probably be Denver - 3 at best. SD has the personnel to give Denver fits, especially SD's TE's vs. Denver linebackers. Plus giving Rivers almost a TD and history of AFC West divisional road underdogs covering road divisional games at a very high clip.
Do you see this spread going down to 4 by Sunday via sharps pounding the road dog or do you see Denver getting revenge. SD is looking like a stock to stay on for a while. Please advise.
I love the Chargers as a Football team and they are going to finish 10-6 ATS or better, but this is a classic buy low / sell high spot for them.
In the first game two weeks ago, SD was an automatic play at +3.5 at home. Let's recap the situation then:
-Kubiak wasn't coaching the team all week and didn't make the trip to San Diego -Denver had to travel on a short week -Trevor Siemian was suffering from his shoulder injury -Hunter Henry had a good game
This time:
-Kubiak is with the team -Denver stays at home -San Diego are traveling b2b off an overtime comeback win from being down by 17 at some point -Siemian is healthy -Hunter Henry probably won't play
Last time the line indicated the Broncos would be -10 at home. That was garbage. Now they are laying only 4.5. Broncos have an HFA or 4 points in my opinion, so it's basically PK on a neutral. Leaning the Broncos in this spot.
Panthers secondary vs. Cards WRs is a mismatch, but it's Carson Palmer
throwing to them under pressure. Palmer has regressed this year, he
doesn't make the throws he made last year. The Cardinals offense
ranks 25th in pass DVOA. It isn't that you take an offense that is able to
really expose a bad secondary. They will have a hard time running on
Carolina, so the passing downs won't get easier. Cardinals will see a lot of 3 & outs. Palmer struggled against each team that got pressure on him: LA, SEA, BUF. Jets have a terrible pass D this season and Palmer missed a lot of throws. The Panthers don't have the greatest edge rush but those Arizona tackles are complete trash and Lotulelei & Short gonna shred through the Cards interior.
Panthers offense vs. Cardinals defense:
The Panthers OL sucks because of their tackles. Mike Remmers and Michael Oher are garbage when it comes to pass protection. Chandler Jones is in absolute beastmode and Markus Golden is getting better every week. BUT, the Panthers still have a very good interior OL and a fluid running game (Michael Oher is much better in run-blocking). They rank #8 in adj line yards, 5th in power success and 1st in stuffed rate. All this DESPITE Jonathan Stewart being out for almost five games. The Panthers are a run-first team. They need to get their run game going to not being force to come from behind. The big reason for their offensive success last season was playing with a lead when they were able to dictate the game by keeping opposing teams off-balance. Cardinals played only two road games thus far and in both road games their run defense was below average against dual-threat QBs. McCoy and Taylor ran wild on them, Gabbert (who is a much better scrambler than passer) & Hyde combined for 4.6 YPC. Bills also was an early road start for them.
My conclusion: I don't see the Cardinals offense doing much in this game against a strong Panthers front seven and with a QB who lost atleast three steps. Panthers will have a gameplan with so much time to prepare, they will get their running game going and mix in designed runs for Newton to torch Cards here and there with passes to Olsen and Benjamin. Cardinals are in a huge revenge spot, but they aren't the same offense from last season. Personally I believe the spot is still better for the Panthers: desperate home team off a bye vs a "west coast" team off five full quarters in an early road start. The technical trend support is much more significant for the Panthers than for the Cards. In fact, the playoff revenge spot is irrelevant:
Teams on playoff revenge from the year before during the regular season: 53-60 SU; 54-56 ATS
Road teams on playoff revenge from the year before during the regular season: 22-34 SU; 23-31 ATS
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Cardinals offense vs. Panthers defense:
Panthers secondary vs. Cards WRs is a mismatch, but it's Carson Palmer
throwing to them under pressure. Palmer has regressed this year, he
doesn't make the throws he made last year. The Cardinals offense
ranks 25th in pass DVOA. It isn't that you take an offense that is able to
really expose a bad secondary. They will have a hard time running on
Carolina, so the passing downs won't get easier. Cardinals will see a lot of 3 & outs. Palmer struggled against each team that got pressure on him: LA, SEA, BUF. Jets have a terrible pass D this season and Palmer missed a lot of throws. The Panthers don't have the greatest edge rush but those Arizona tackles are complete trash and Lotulelei & Short gonna shred through the Cards interior.
Panthers offense vs. Cardinals defense:
The Panthers OL sucks because of their tackles. Mike Remmers and Michael Oher are garbage when it comes to pass protection. Chandler Jones is in absolute beastmode and Markus Golden is getting better every week. BUT, the Panthers still have a very good interior OL and a fluid running game (Michael Oher is much better in run-blocking). They rank #8 in adj line yards, 5th in power success and 1st in stuffed rate. All this DESPITE Jonathan Stewart being out for almost five games. The Panthers are a run-first team. They need to get their run game going to not being force to come from behind. The big reason for their offensive success last season was playing with a lead when they were able to dictate the game by keeping opposing teams off-balance. Cardinals played only two road games thus far and in both road games their run defense was below average against dual-threat QBs. McCoy and Taylor ran wild on them, Gabbert (who is a much better scrambler than passer) & Hyde combined for 4.6 YPC. Bills also was an early road start for them.
My conclusion: I don't see the Cardinals offense doing much in this game against a strong Panthers front seven and with a QB who lost atleast three steps. Panthers will have a gameplan with so much time to prepare, they will get their running game going and mix in designed runs for Newton to torch Cards here and there with passes to Olsen and Benjamin. Cardinals are in a huge revenge spot, but they aren't the same offense from last season. Personally I believe the spot is still better for the Panthers: desperate home team off a bye vs a "west coast" team off five full quarters in an early road start. The technical trend support is much more significant for the Panthers than for the Cards. In fact, the playoff revenge spot is irrelevant:
Teams on playoff revenge from the year before during the regular season: 53-60 SU; 54-56 ATS
Road teams on playoff revenge from the year before during the regular season: 22-34 SU; 23-31 ATS
Not sure how much situational value there really is on the Saints. The line was 5.5 prior to last weeks games and shifted to open at 3.5. Now it's at 3 and looks to be tipping towards 2.5.
I got it at 3.5 so I am fine. The shift from 5.5 towards 3.5 is much more significant than from 3.5 to 2.5.
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Quote Originally Posted by JerryWrasse:
Not sure how much situational value there really is on the Saints. The line was 5.5 prior to last weeks games and shifted to open at 3.5. Now it's at 3 and looks to be tipping towards 2.5.
I got it at 3.5 so I am fine. The shift from 5.5 towards 3.5 is much more significant than from 3.5 to 2.5.
Suuma, as always great research and leg work. That's commendable because you actually DO the leg work involved to get your stats and information. I just want to personally say thanks for sharing your work and time with all of us, even the haters on here giving you a hard time for something they don't put a quarter of the effort you do into it... weither I agree/disagree with your picks, I always appreciate the write ups and follow ups you regularly do.... Great information, to take as you wish
Thanks man, appreciate it a lot! Good luck this week!
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Quote Originally Posted by CantCapALid716:
Suuma, as always great research and leg work. That's commendable because you actually DO the leg work involved to get your stats and information. I just want to personally say thanks for sharing your work and time with all of us, even the haters on here giving you a hard time for something they don't put a quarter of the effort you do into it... weither I agree/disagree with your picks, I always appreciate the write ups and follow ups you regularly do.... Great information, to take as you wish
Thanks man, appreciate it a lot! Good luck this week!
Another outstanding effort on your part..appreciate the stats, trends, and situations; brought to the forefront of discussion, giving supreme value to both sides of the coin..enjoy your NFL weekend...may the 'winning edge' be with you my brother.
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suuma,
Another outstanding effort on your part..appreciate the stats, trends, and situations; brought to the forefront of discussion, giving supreme value to both sides of the coin..enjoy your NFL weekend...may the 'winning edge' be with you my brother.
just went through MrScampy replies in a lot of threads, totally negative outlook on just about everything and everybody, he just joined Covers this month, I guess he has a lot of issues and is taking it out, by degrading others and their opinions.
Stop the NEGATIVE waves dude, remember what Mom said "if don't have anything nice to say, don't say anything",
Like the write ups suuma, keep it going
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just went through MrScampy replies in a lot of threads, totally negative outlook on just about everything and everybody, he just joined Covers this month, I guess he has a lot of issues and is taking it out, by degrading others and their opinions.
Stop the NEGATIVE waves dude, remember what Mom said "if don't have anything nice to say, don't say anything",
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let's cash
, he just joined Covers this month, I guess he has a lot of issues and is taking it out, by degrading others and their opinions.
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