Posted:
#101
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Favorite to win Super Bowl..................................................The Pats..................
Favorite to win Super Bowl..................................................The Pats..................
My favorites to win a sport in the 4 sports I track, NFL ,NBA ,Arena Football and WNBA has won 9 of last 15 times.
And have made the championship game in their sport 13 of 15 times.
The one down-side to Pats is they come in playing on a unsustainable level of play, they have entered the "regression zone" as I like to call it.
They may have to pull out a game in which the struggle and catch some bad breaks and this might hurt our chances with the Pats.
Pats come in the hottest team winning 7 straight along with Steelers 7 straight wins but Pats have covered 5 straight, not good indicators ATS going forward.
However we can look at regression has not worked very well this season , the bounce factor had it's worse season ever but we still need to respect this very powerful method.
When we add everything up the Pats are still the cream of the crop, they'll get a easy opp in their first game and then will need to beat either Steelers or KC at home.
I'd give Falcons a very good shot to win the NFC , will say they will be the best value team to back this postseason.
Value with futures and ATS in their games.
Of their 5 losses 4 are 1 score close losses that could go either way and are more random events and not likely as repeatable as blowout 14 point wins which Falcons are 6-0 in those, best in the league .
Cowboys are 7-2 in 1 score close wins =+5
I'll side with Falcons to pull out a close win over Cowboys in the NFC championship game as close wins will once again prove to be random events.
Well guys, our fav took the long hard road to get there but they did it.
That's now 10 times of 16 tries our fav has gone on to win the title past 4 1/2 years.
And that was what I was afraid of coming in, Pats getting to many lucky plays would have a regrression and boy oh boy did they.
Everything went wrong for them, dropped passes, blown coverages, pick 6, fumble, you name it and it went wrong.
Pats somehow were able to overcome it and then get a few lucky plays themselves to complete the comeback.
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