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suuma's NFL Week Eleven

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by usikbasterd:

suuma, you pay for premium on sports insights? is it worth it? 

Yep, sharing the costs with a few guys. It's worth it.
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by richwins81:


SUUMA - do you feel more comfortable about the giants winning straight up or the colts winning straight up (for survival?).  THANKS!  AND GOOD LUCK!

Indy.
 
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Posted: #53

Suuma,

What are your thoughts on the Oak/Hou line?  The line seems a little high to me. 5.5 to 6, adjust to 8.5 to 9 if Oak is at home vs. a neutral field. 

 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:


Indy.

Thanks!  How about detroit home vs jacksonville?  Or pitt on road vs browns?  Still Indy?
 
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Posted: #55
My west coast book now has Saints+3.5 -140 Car-3.5 +120

HMMMMM. What to do what to do?

Love Car-3 buying the hook at a cheapo number. But not sure yet after the screw job I took last week VS KC and week before vs Rams. Pushes back to back betting the same team at -3. Not sure what to think.
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by jroc1247:

My west coast book now has Saints+3.5 -140 Car-3.5 +120

HMMMMM. What to do what to do?

Love Car-3 buying the hook at a cheapo number. But not sure yet after the screw job I took last week VS KC and week before vs Rams. Pushes back to back betting the same team at -3. Not sure what to think.

If you had Carolina -3 last week against KC...you lost sir 
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

Other leans:

Panthers -3 or better and over: This line was CAR -3 in the first game AT New Orleans which made it -9 at home. The game was very close. Now -3 is a 6pt-swing in a divisional revenge spot at home on TNF. Kalil comes back which is huge and helps the CAR rushing attack vs. a weak NO defense. Seeing a shootout with the winner coming from Charlotte.

Ravens +7 or better: Don't wanna get in front of the Boys train, but the Ravens can stop the run and the Cowboys are sandwiched between that big win at Pittsburgh and a Thanksgiving game vs. Washington.

Eagles +7 or better: Eagles don't get blown out with that defense. Seahawks will be forced to punt a lot because the Eagles DL is a terrible mismatch. Seeing a close Hawks win.

What's up. Love you post. Great reads. Do you have a take on the o/u currently 53 with my book. ?
 
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Posted: #58
Yes. My bad. It was such I bad beat I still thought I won or pushed.
 
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Posted: #59
Any way. My book has it as a total Saints line at +3.5 at +140 WTF 
 
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Posted: #60
Good stuff as always, suuma! BOL, do you happen to know off the top of your head which way the money is flowing for TEN/IND? 


 
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Posted: #61
Played TNF Over 52 -110. BOL guys!
 
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Posted: #62
Summa, you definiltely gonna play Cinci?  Lines down below 3...  thought you said you'd play it once the line fell below 3.  I am kinda leaning to Buff and may play them if I can find +3, but if you're def on Cinci it'll prob keep me off the game.  Thanks
 
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Posted: #63
Weather could be an issue in Cinci...  would favor the running team
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Baseball:

Summa, you definiltely gonna play Cinci?  Lines down below 3...  thought you said you'd play it once the line fell below 3.  I am kinda leaning to Buff and may play them if I can find +3, but if you're def on Cinci it'll prob keep me off the game.  Thanks


The juice for -2.5 is currently -117/-115 on my books. I was sleeping when it was -110. Going to wait now. With that heavy pro action on BUF, it might go down again.
 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Baseball:

Weather could be an issue in Cinci...  would favor the running team


Weather report says 8-16 mph winds, no rain. No problem with that. Slight winds favors the team with the better receiving corps.
 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

Played TNF Over 52 -110. BOL guys!


LOSE.

Red zone efficiency was terrible by both teams.
 
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Posted: #67
Updated card:

CAR O52 -110 L

IND -3 -110 (2u)
MIN pk -105
DET O47 -110

LA pk +105
 
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Posted: #68
 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

Updated card:

CAR O52 -110 L

IND -3 -110 (2u)
MIN pk -105
CIN -2.5 +100 (1.5u)
DET O47 -110

LA pk +105
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

Updated card:

CAR O52 -110 L

IND -3 -110 (2u)
MIN pk -105
DET O47 -110

LA pk +105

Best of luck, suuma.
 
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Posted: #71

   GL Heff-Dog

I would strongly consider a Tease with Pitt and Dallas...

I can see them winning big.  IMO

. Deacon-Dog

 
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Posted: #72
GL this week suuma. 
 
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Posted: #73
Opposite on a few. Keep up the good work and Good luck
 
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Posted: #74
Suuma...., With you on Indy and Det/over.....am leaning on the Eagles, Ravens, Giants and the Browns.....any thoughts appreciated...
 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

Suuma...., With you on Indy and Det/over.....am leaning on the Eagles, Ravens, Giants and the Browns.....any thoughts appreciated...

I like Eagles and Ravens, wouldn't touch Giants and Browns on the spread personally.
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