Peel's Picks 22-23

DET

Florida 

Let it ride!

GL tonight Peel

10/22

BOS -115
NJ -1 (-128)
OTT -1.5 (+102)
TB -128

YTD
12-11
-0.99u

Full card. I fully expect the LA line to improve but have to leave for the day. Can't believe I'm playing Philly, but it's a system play. I really don't like any of these plays to be quite honest, except for maybe NJ. But a system is a system, will roll with it for now. BOL to all.

PS- can admin please tell me why the editor/posting is so janky? Formatting is always so weird, copy and pasting into a post is a nightmare, and never consistent. Spacing, double spacing is all over the place. The forums underlying platform feels like it's from 2001, can we get an upgrade one of these days?

BOS -115
NJ -1 (-128)
OTT -1.5 (+102)
TB -128
LA +116
PHI +190
COL +110

BOL today Peel. On the B’s with you but can’t bring myself to wager on the Devils they are my Kryptonite. Avs and Flyers (TT) are on my radar as possible plays as well. I’m still not a believer in the Flyers but it’s hard to pass up that TT against a bad preds team. 

@Kmoore307

 Thanks bud BOL to you. Devils have the highest edge today and I really like what I saw from them on Thursday vs the Isles. They are one of the fastest teams in the league right now IMO. How that translates to a game vs SJ at 1pm.. no clue. 

YTD
17-12
+4.03u

10/23

Going to be an interesting day with line movement. PHI, FLA, ANA, SEA all sit at 2 or 3% edge right now. With positive movement there will be some +ev opportunity. CBJ is a play right now at 5% / +240. I don't necessarily think this is a smart play by any means but will wait for hopefully a better price.

How bout the Sabres sweeping the western canadian swing with a combined score 15-6? They play in Seattle on Monday to try and make it 4 in a row.

Well done!

@peelpub94

 I was looking at Cbus also but don’t like the spot for them. Considered maybe the TT at -130 in case they lose 4-3 or 5-3. They play well in NY for some reason but I just don’t see them winning this one. 

Also liking the Sharks tonight the more I look at it. What’s your thoughts on that game?

@peelpub94

 Yes it’s hard to want to back a team that’s not great offensively I agree lol

@peelpub94

 Funny to look at everyone and how they think and bet. I never would have thought the Flyers yesterday but it hit your system play. Some bettors are analytical only. Some situational. Some are numbers/history and some of us just suck at it but enjoy the thrill. 

See, you say the BJ's are the play right now. I look at it and say, "huh". They are a definite home type team that can steal one but on the road, they are a different team. Two road games this year, they have scored a total of 3 goals while giving up 9. Then you are probably going to see Tarasov and his 0.86 save %. On the flip side, the Rangers played a crappy game vs the Sharks and should have a bad taste in their mouths. 

Playing against Flyers for one reason only. Even though it is early, their week has been full of travel and play. And, like you I believe, I still don't believe in them at this time. 

Like I said, find the way people think and bet interesting. 

@GASportsDoc

I agree - I'm fascinated by everyone's differing strategies too. At the end of the day, you have to take what's presented to you. That Flyers bet, you only needed them to win 3.8 games out of 10. With the way Hart is playing, and the Flyers seemingly finding some puck luck while otherwise getting obliterated, it was definitely the right play in hindsight against a struggling Preds team. It was probably closer to 55/45. 

Good day Peel , yea yesterday was a good day for the system .

Today though as you have said it's tough to pull the trigger on the Jackets, might wait to get confirmation on Shesterkin, if he plays I might put some on Rags Reg.

Panthers too sitting at 0% but if Bob goes I like the Cats at home. 

Best of luck with what you decide, sometimes like you've said it's tough to make a play you don't like (philly last night) but it pays off!

System is a great start and with help from the knowledgeable people on this board it could be 

BOL Peel 

Thanks rustie. Appreciate the kind words. Hopefully we remain steady!

Panthers reg, Rangers reg may be plays we'll see.

Hey Peel,

Looks like somebody just sharpened their skates...nice picking, buddy  

@DB51daBEARS

 Good luck today! 

 ,nice work yesterday!

Good luck today 

gl today

@peelpub94

 Best of it Peel 

Hey Peel,

No picks yesterday or today (or a while now lol).  For sure I would be posting if I was picking.

Just kinda laying low...not in a funk...just gonna keep track of stuff for down the road.

Plenty of NFL action right now.

Cheers bud  

@dubz4dummyz @outlaw96 @DB51daBEARS


Cheers guys, hope all went well tonight!!

10/24
PIT +100

@peelpub94

 I was just looking at this game as well. Your system has a big edge in this one. I’ll likely be on it with you. 

Just saw the Oilers are dead last in team shooting % at 3.59%. That won't be lasting long.