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Presidential Election

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Captain
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Posted: #226
A majority of Republicans are unhappy with Trump:

https://politicalwire.com/2016/06/27/majority-of-republicans-unhappy-with-trump/
 
Captain
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Posted: #227
https://wonkwire.com/2016/06/23/trumps-immigration-policies-may-cause-trouble-among-independents-poll-shows/

Trump's scapegoating and xenophobia may cause trouble with independent voters.
 
Captain
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Posted: #228
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

https://wonkwire.com/2016/06/23/trumps-immigration-policies-may-cause-trouble-among-independents-poll-shows/

Trump's scapegoating and xenophobia may cause trouble with independent voters.
“Mexico is such an important problem. Mexican government's policies are pushing migration north.
There isn't any sensible approach except to do what we need to do simultaneously. You know secure our borders with technology, personnel, and physical barriers. If necessary in some places and we need to have tougher employer sanctions and we need to product incentivize Mexico to do more if they've committed transgressions of whatever kind they should be obviously deported.” - Hillary Clinton


 
Captain
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Posted: #229
https://politicalwire.com/2016/06/28/suddenly-trump-isnt-listening-to-the-polls/

Trump is now ignoring the polls since he's tanked.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #230
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

https://politicalwire.com/2016/06/28/suddenly-trump-isnt-listening-to-the-polls/

Trump is now ignoring the polls since he's tanked.

Polls are meaningless...

unless they're in your favor
Gotta go pee!
 
Captain
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Posted: #231
Today Nate Silver puts odds of Clinton win at 80% today. that makes -320 a relative bargain (but the opportunity cost of the money until November 8.)

He is very clear, however, that Trump does have a chance. Sort of like a visiting team winning a baseball game down a run in the 8th inning. Same odds.
 
Captain
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Posted: #232
https://politicalwire.com/2016/06/30/clinton-has-major-advantage-in-tv-ad-war/

HRC has a strong edge in the TV ad war.  This may partly explain his declining poll numbers.

Again, if Trump were really worth $10 billion, he would have no trouble matching or exceeding the HRC campaign expenditures.
 
Captain
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Posted: #233
https://politicalwire.com/2016/06/30/trump-trailing-badly-in-key-battlegrounds/

Trump is trailing badly in important swing states.  Despite her very high negatives, HRC is outperforming BHO by 10 points in FL, 13 points in NC, and 4 points in AZ.

That is a D poll, so feel free to take it with a truckload of salt.
 
Captain
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Posted: #234
June was a brutal month for Trump:

https://politicalwire.com/2016/06/30/a-brutal-month-for-trump/

Much of the damage was self-inflicted because Trump is a miserable human being who seems to have no verbal filter.  That displays poor judgment and values, not exactly what voters are looking for in a President.
 
Captain
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Posted: #235
Two more Trump campaign staffers have quit, underscoring how chaotic his campaign has been.

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/02/us/politics/donald-trump-campaign.html?_r=0

Trump can't even run a smooth campaign.  He certainly is not qualified to lead a nation.
 
Captain
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Posted: #236
What happens if Trump decides he can't win?

“The more intriguing question concerns what happens if Mr. Trump decides he can’t win and no longer is willing to throw good money after bad. Unless they were born on a turnip truck yesterday, campaign vendors will be the first to figure it out. Look for them quickly to cut off services rather than get stiffed in the inevitable Trump campaign bankruptcy filing.”

“Mr. Trump’s harsher Republican critics are kidding themselves to think Mr. Trump is crazy or unstable and will suffer a breakdown. More likely, he will simply and coldbloodedly toss the ball to the GOP, saying, in effect, ‘If you want to pay for some events or TV, I’m available. Otherwise I’m done.’ The GOP would then have to shoulder the dual burden of propping up a minimally respectable Trump campaign while also distancing its down-ballot candidates from Mr. Trump so they might survive.”

“And that’s the optimistic scenario. Mr. Trump has learned the value of audacity. He might well decide to cover his retreat and preserve his amour propre with a flurry of lawsuits and conspiracy theories about a ‘rigged’ election.”

https://politicalwire.com/2016/07/02/what-if-trump-decides-he-cant-win/

Best of luck, Trump bettors.  You're gonna need it.

 
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Posted: #237
So considering the price is sky rocketing on trump odds... At what point is it time to pull the trigger on trump?
 
Captain
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Posted: #238
Quote Originally Posted by dl36:

So considering the price is sky rocketing on trump odds... At what point is it time to pull the trigger on trump?

I think they'll go higher. If the polls continue this way, +400 is the number that would make sense now. I think the odds on trump are quite low considering.
 
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Posted: #239
What are reasonable odds that Trump suspends his campaign? I am guessing about +3500. I am looking for this prop bet. Please advise if anyone has seen this bet being offered.
 
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Posted: #240
1101Hillary Clinton    -500
1102Donald Trump    +300
 
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Posted: #241
Christopher Hitchens was right about the Clintons and especially Hillary: They think about themselves first; she takes in money from odd donors from around the globe. This was NEVER ok as Sec of State, but Obama was under pressure to give her some kind of high position. She accomplished nothing as Sec of State, and under her tenure ISIS has grown out of proportion, in Libya Egypt and Syria. She did nothing and has expressed no remorse over what happened in Benghazi, Libya. She truly is CROOKED. Her husband was impeached. She lied about getting shot at in Bosnia. Yet they are in line to spend nearly 1 billion dollars to get elected, because Trump is "racist" (the misuse of the term racist is unprecendted) and because he makes fatuous remarks that are easily taken out of context. A Clinton presidency will put Bill back in the WH to sell out the USA to every other country, open the borders to hordes of muslims and Mexicans that will be unvetted and given aid and healthcare. Muslims will be glad to see attacks on the female led USA. 
 
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Posted: #242
 An extremist Muslim will chop your infidel head off; 
 a moderate Muslim will never condemn extremists, and is glad that the extremist did so.
 
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Posted: #243
 
Captain
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Posted: #244
Republicans have a growing voting registration problem:

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/republicans-sound-the-alarm-on-voter-registration/article/2595527

The GOP has done well in FL, but the latest RealClear Politics poll average puts HRC up by 3.7 points:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html
 
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Posted: #245
I love this thread.  Most of you are too young to remember what information was bbefore the internet.  Most of you are so unwillingly stupid.

You pay attention to the information that suits your opinion.... while ignoring the other.  Stupid

Trump is the hands down winner here... it's just a matter of time before you are scratching your silly heads


 
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Posted: #246
Quote Originally Posted by SportsFan9698:

I love this thread.  Most of you are too young to remember what information was bbefore the internet.  Most of you are so unwillingly stupid.

You pay attention to the information that suits your opinion.... while ignoring the other.  Stupid

Trump is the hands down winner here... it's just a matter of time before you are scratching your silly heads



Just like you did when you posted the Rasmussen poll stating that Trump was ahead when every other poll had him well behind?

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=87&sub=102292621


Do you know what the definition of 'irony' is?   

It's unreal that you say this stuff and actually believe it....   This has to be a troll job.   You can't possibly be this idiotic.  
 
Captain
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Posted: #247
ElectionProjection has HRC up by 6% and ahead by 160 electoral votes.  The Democrats are running significantly ahead of 2012.

https://www.electionprojection.com/presidential-elections.php
 
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Posted: #248
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:


Just like you did when you posted the Rasmussen poll stating that Trump was ahead when every other poll had him well behind?

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=87&sub=102292621


Do you know what the definition of 'irony' is?   

It's unreal that you say this stuff and actually believe it....   This has to be a troll job.   You can't possibly be this idiotic.  

You like to type ALOT

Please point out how I have been wrong in the direction of this race on trajectory.... I have been right and you have been wrong.

You just like to take silly lil points to make arguments.

TRUMP is the candidate.  I said it would happen, and you denied this for a year.

TRUMP will be the next POTUS, and you have mocked this assertion like it was unimaginable.  WRONG AGAIN

You have been wrong while I have been right.

Now make more silly comments.....
 
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Posted: #249
BWS

You are really struggling to find any credibility on this argument... 

I can understand your desperation.  It is OKAY... relax.

It will all be over soon... at that point you can be a man or choose to be an idiot.  Choose wisely
 
 
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Posted: #250
I maintain that TRUMP 2016 will win in a landslide!!!  Not even close.  likely 350 electoral votes.  I have no crystal ball... I just know that when good people get into the voting booth they will not elect a proven dishonest person.  It is that simple.  Polls are for fools... watch and learn
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