All trends aside...it seems like defense and running the ball is the magic formula so far. We all know what Balt. brings as an defensive unit. #2 with 261.1 ypg. MIA finished #15 with 329 ypg. EDGE to BALT.
As for running the rock, MIA has Ricky and Ronnie, BALT has "What cha talking about Willis" McGahee and McClain (the Mc brothers). BALT averaged 148.5 rypg, MIA 118.6. I like the BALT. duo here, solely because BALT is so tough against the run.
EDGE to BALT.
Now to the field generals...the QB's. Rookie Flacco vs. Chad "Ty" Pennington. Flacco has been impressive in his first year. But as we saw with Ryan and ATL, hard for rookie QB's to win in the playoffs. It's hard why you ask? I say it's experience! The playoffs are a different ballgame. Guys are pumped, the game is a little faster, and the stakes are higher. Porter will be in Flaccos face all day as MIA stacks the box and forces BALT to throw. Gotta give the EDGE TO MIA. Chad has been around the block, he's tested, and he's smart with the ball. If MIA, and thats a big IF, gets out quickly then it's on Flaccos arm. Thats one thing that scares me.
All that said...BALT is my play. Too much D and thats what wins championships! Flacco needs to be a bus driver here and take care of the ball. Didn't BALT win the Superbowl with DILFER I think it's safe to say he's no Montana!!
Sorry for the long novel, don't do write-ups much and thought I'd give it a shot. Hope it doesn't work against me.
GL to all and your picks.
All trends aside...it seems like defense and running the ball is the magic formula so far. We all know what Balt. brings as an defensive unit. #2 with 261.1 ypg. MIA finished #15 with 329 ypg. EDGE to BALT.
As for running the rock, MIA has Ricky and Ronnie, BALT has "What cha talking about Willis" McGahee and McClain (the Mc brothers). BALT averaged 148.5 rypg, MIA 118.6. I like the BALT. duo here, solely because BALT is so tough against the run.
EDGE to BALT.
Now to the field generals...the QB's. Rookie Flacco vs. Chad "Ty" Pennington. Flacco has been impressive in his first year. But as we saw with Ryan and ATL, hard for rookie QB's to win in the playoffs. It's hard why you ask? I say it's experience! The playoffs are a different ballgame. Guys are pumped, the game is a little faster, and the stakes are higher. Porter will be in Flaccos face all day as MIA stacks the box and forces BALT to throw. Gotta give the EDGE TO MIA. Chad has been around the block, he's tested, and he's smart with the ball. If MIA, and thats a big IF, gets out quickly then it's on Flaccos arm. Thats one thing that scares me.
All that said...BALT is my play. Too much D and thats what wins championships! Flacco needs to be a bus driver here and take care of the ball. Didn't BALT win the Superbowl with DILFER I think it's safe to say he's no Montana!!
Sorry for the long novel, don't do write-ups much and thought I'd give it a shot. Hope it doesn't work against me.
GL to all and your picks.
I think Baltimore has a better defense, but Miami's Pennington has a better QB rating. The ATS favors Baltimore. I believe in return match.
Stats, trends, etc goes out the window. It is WIN OR GO HOME.
WHO WINS?
BALTIMORE -3 & OVER again
I think Baltimore has a better defense, but Miami's Pennington has a better QB rating. The ATS favors Baltimore. I believe in return match.
Stats, trends, etc goes out the window. It is WIN OR GO HOME.
WHO WINS?
BALTIMORE -3 & OVER again
Riding Baltimore and the Over 38 in this game, only thing i am worried about is the home-field advantage for Miami. Line has been pounded down quite a bit over the last few days, was fortunate enough to get on it last night before it moved even further. Good luck everyone
Riding Baltimore and the Over 38 in this game, only thing i am worried about is the home-field advantage for Miami. Line has been pounded down quite a bit over the last few days, was fortunate enough to get on it last night before it moved even further. Good luck everyone
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