BarrelledIn

Germany ML bronze medal game 

Germany is deeper with more NBA talent and more motivated to get their first ever Olympic medal. They played horrible vs France, which is good, cause you'll get a solid max effort here in a bounceback in a game they really care about. 

Serbia's wad is on 0.00% playing one of the best games from an outmanned team ever seen vs probably the most talented team ever assembled. THey had the biggest international win likely ever in their pocket and they choked. Now, they have a lightning quick 36 hour turnaround to play a consolation prize game. That's a truly obscene turnaround to get up again after being physically and emotionally destroyed. 

I looked up about 5 sports articles online and every pick is on Serbia. Every square in the world is on Serbia. Line is inflated and +111 is a steal, a joke. Germany is the better team top to bottom and should be favored. 

This is a pretty close comparison to the bronze medal game in 2021 when Australia beat Slovenia as an underdog with every square taking the superstar Doncic. Easy money on Aus super motivated to get their first medal and they did 

You're welcome 

@Ganda

Euros 10-14

Belgium-Slovakia BTS and over 2.5 @+130

Belgium-Slovakia over 2.5,3 @ +105

Belgium-Slovakia over 3 @ +120

L.Trossard to score @ +210

R.Lukaku to score @ +100

Belgium TT over 1.5 @ +175 live at HT

This game will make or break my 1st week. 

lol LMAO oh my god great picks fin square . Make sure to vote Macron or whatever globalist candidate and prep the next round of immigrants to replace you 

@Seahawks14

 HAHAHAHAHAHA

@Ganda

 Globalism lost.

Good shitt mane

i saw those odds were crazy skewed around 63’ -110 was ridiculous odds at that point with mountains of square Belgium money

American s first time watching soccer LMAO

"favorite win lol" 

"favorite win because favorite team better than bad team lol" 

That is the level of soccer betting analysis here lol. DiamondJack at least provides some write ups but it's all square surface level crap like above 

Here's a pick for you

Slovakia +121 at halftime because the odds are skewed from square money, dogs are now barking now after Ukraine lost, globalist teams like Belgium are incoherent garbage unless front running 

You have Stephen A Smith level foresight and analysis only being able to react to what you last saw. Please shut up like you are speaking something profound 

@AnthonyStarks

 Where's this dumbfuk boomer at?

Every square in the world has pounded Denver as free money, including nearly this entire forum. Threads like "What is the case for the wolves, I'm genuinely curious". lmao. 

70% of betting public 

Every media retard

We have officially hit critical mass in hype after 3 perfect blowout games from Denver. 

Squares will literally never learn, have 0 foresight, and simply bet GOOD TEAM LAST GAME WIN THIS GAME grug thinking like cattle 

What is certain: Minn comes out firing as a last stand at home in the first half, Den has a letdown after 3 perfect games, Minn gets a lift from Conley. Once things calm down in the 2nd half, it's possible Minn chokes and Den's championship grit shines through again, though Minn is still most likely to win the game just with the potential to choke. 

Minn first half -1.5 

As stated, Knicks are cooked facing historically heavy high intensity minutes and injuries. Their roster is TRASH. In order to win game 5, they need: great games from the big 3 + refs + Pacers below average game. Hart and Devencenzo are not those guys to keep relying on and they've hit the wall. They played way over their head all playoffs. Needing them to come up with 25 points a game each is a joke, but that's basically what they need.

Brunson's 40 pt games are long gone now, barely functional. Remember that Brunson is a fraud even when healthy. Now he is a hobbled fraud who physically cannot perform on top of being mentally fried. Maybe he gets a mental boost at home, but this is the most telling stat you need to hear how DONE he is. From gm4: 

Brunson went 0-of-5 from 3. He missed on ALL eight of his jump shots. Six of those misses fell short

You basically need him to score 40 points to win this game and he literally cannot even get lift to hit a jump shot. 

This line is objectively incorrect and certain to go down. How does it go from -6 to +2.5? OKC in the same road/home goes -5 to +1.5. Pacers should be PK at worst based on this, which is what Bookmaker opened at. This line is near 100% certain to drop to 1.5/1. 

Not a GOY but Pacers again at +122/2.5 is a laughable line - insane value 

The knocks today literally have the worst playoff roster ever constructed unless they have multiple career games every game

just fucking lol

The magic is over. Auto fade every single game until this biggest fraud team is gone

lol

LMAO

Weird line movement and lots of squares here on the pacers, don’t worry. 75% of public bets on knicks 

Remember, I have the best writeups on this forum. Basically the only one who gives any insight whatsoever.

90% of threads go like this: 

-Cavs +8 today

Comments: 

No discussion on line movement, odds, any analysis or odds. 

Covers should be paying me yet I give it away for free out of generosity once in awhile 

I tell you the Mavs line was wrong and it lands exactly where it should have been, covering. Sunday, Pacers ambush the Knicks in a rout. 

It was a small miracle Knicks even kept game 3 close the entire way. Four starters/contributors injured + a hobbling Brunson + the emotional comeback gm2 + coming off a brutal series vs Sixers + starters overplaying every game. They should have got run off the court and showed true grit. It took a near perfect game with all time performances from Devenvenzo and a NOBODY like Alec Burks getting his first playoff mins and going 4-6 for 14 pts. Knicks bench outscored IND bench 24 to 14. The first 2 games it was IND winning the bench 92 to 15. Let that sink in. Knicks shot 52% from 3. All things that will regress big time in gm4. I repeat, a small miracle Knicks were even in the game. 

The knicks were visibly spent in the 4th Q. In the last 9:45 of the game they had two (2) buckets, both from Brunson. The big 3 guards especially are beyond overworked playing insane high intensity mins every single game. They stopped getting to loose balls, they had no lift on their shots, their energy was gone, and they blew a 9 point lead barely limping to the finish line in a close loss. Had that game continued another quarter, they lose by 20. 

The knicks would have been better served packing it in gm 3 and resting starters. The fact that every player went all in spells disaster. They are emotionally and physically on empty. It's really not healthy or sustainable for such an extremely limited team to come out and give 1000% game after game for 9 games in a row. Tomorrow, they hit the wall. 

The Knicks roster is actually dog shitt and they've coasted on grit vs a mentally weak Sixer team + refs + underperforming Pacers team + all time performances from just about every player. Pacers bench shows up, KNicks bench and 3p% regresses, Brunson and the big 3 guards hit a wall. They are so overdue for a true letdown game for a severely limited and outmatched team it's crazy. 

Knicks gm3 won bench pts by 10, won 3p%/FG%, FTs, even RBs, get all time performances from multiple players - 1000% effort game - and you still lose by 5. The Knicks need to play almost literally perfect in every category from every player while having the Pacers play suboptimally to even stay in the building. 

Haliburton """questionable"""? Less than a nothing burger. 

This line is way too low at -5.5. Objectively speaking, it should be around -7.5/8 like gm3. If the market had true foresight like me, it would be -10.5. Unload on -5.5 and alternative lines. 

Lands on 4 exactly where you’d except one of the worst lines of the year

if Luka has even half average game is a blowout. SGA small time disappears in 4th. Series a wrap

@gambling-devil

 Didn't you bet OKC in gm2? ESL retard

@gambling-devil

 Hey dummy. Books have posted shitt lines overrating injuries in 10+ games these playoffs. They made wolves 4.5 to 7.5 because of Gobert in gm2 and then they won by 30. This line moved because of a """questionable""" injury report posted a day early on a Friday afternoon. By tomorrow, this is guaranteed to go to 3.5/4

This opened at -3.5 +101 at pinnacle, -3.5/-110 at some american books, went down today because of injury report. MEANS NOTHING. Absolutely 100% this line closes at 3.5/4, which is still too low. 

This line doesn't make sense. It says there's a good chance Luka is won't play or is severely hobbled, he's fine as we saw. A bogus "questionable" injury report released earlier today means nothing. He just played his best/most efficient game of the playoffs on standard 41 mins. Besides, """injured""" and undervalued teams have been an ATS machine these playoffs and historically. 

The line for game 1 in OKC was 4, gm 2 +5. When you have lines in the 4-5 range on the road, they generally stay 4-5 when you swing back home (Pacers opening line today before Anunobdy was out, Knicks/Sixers series, Den/Minn, Suns/Bucks 2021, etc). So if the Mavs are +4.5 in OKC, they should be -4.5 at home saying this is basically an even series, and that's true as the pre-series odds were about -115/-105

Conclusion? This line is off by about 2-2.5 points.  

Now, factor that OKC has ZERO (0) playoff experience and were just cruising on a 5 game playoff winning streak to start their careers, now they get smacked for the first time in their life. A dweeb of a coach also with ZERO experience, on the road vs some seasoned killers and a champion (Kidd included) who've brought it together. 

Same Mavs formula from round 1 - embarrassing loss on road gm 1, statement game gm 2, come home game 3 cruise to a win. 

X-factor - Hardaway Jr off the bench has returned to top form after playing like shit coming off injury.

Continue to get contributions from PJ Wash and others - then you know Kyrie will have a fantastic game after a shitfest. 

Situationally or odds wise, this all points to Mavs. Line will close at -3.5/4 when Luka is confirmed. The line should be Mavs -5. Mavs in 6