BarrelledIn

Teams home down 0-2 have lines skewed in the first half vs the full game ALWAYS. Because of how they perform historically, and both books and bettors are aware. Go look at yesterday for example, genius.

1h and full game are also separate markets, with the former having lower limits that can fluctuate wildly by a few 4-5 figure bets, unlike fg

20 years? you don’t know sh I t about anything, crazy

Do you follow NBA playoff lines, at all? If you did, you wouldn't make this thread. There's no saving you, maybe someone else is nice enough to explain in depth 

I like your stuff here but think you are too rigid in some of your thinking, such as here. The value in the team down 0-2 at home is psychological, emotional, follows the ebbs and flows of human nature being in a desperate situation, while the team leading is comfortable/complacent.

The value is not derived from some numerical magic from covering a spread or not in the previous game. What difference does it make if they covered by .5 in game 2 and still lost by 9? That's nonsense, really. You could say you prefer to be a team after they lose by 30, vs lose a heartbreaking buzzer beater, that doesn't apply.

You've been sports betting since at least 2014 and ask this question. Quit now, seriously 

lol

fade everything OP says and retire

Completely worthless ESPN tier shortsighted analysis. Everything you post is bland garbage hindsight. Do you watch the NBA or live moment by moment? Bucks easy tomorrow , 2-2 series. Great fade material OP 

Germany ML bronze medal game 

Germany is deeper with more NBA talent and more motivated to get their first ever Olympic medal. They played horrible vs France, which is good, cause you'll get a solid max effort here in a bounceback in a game they really care about. 

Serbia's wad is on 0.00% playing one of the best games from an outmanned team ever seen vs probably the most talented team ever assembled. THey had the biggest international win likely ever in their pocket and they choked. Now, they have a lightning quick 36 hour turnaround to play a consolation prize game. That's a truly obscene turnaround to get up again after being physically and emotionally destroyed. 

I looked up about 5 sports articles online and every pick is on Serbia. Every square in the world is on Serbia. Line is inflated and +111 is a steal, a joke. Germany is the better team top to bottom and should be favored. 

This is a pretty close comparison to the bronze medal game in 2021 when Australia beat Slovenia as an underdog with every square taking the superstar Doncic. Easy money on Aus super motivated to get their first medal and they did 

You're welcome 

@Ganda

Euros 10-14

Belgium-Slovakia BTS and over 2.5 @+130

Belgium-Slovakia over 2.5,3 @ +105

Belgium-Slovakia over 3 @ +120

L.Trossard to score @ +210

R.Lukaku to score @ +100

Belgium TT over 1.5 @ +175 live at HT

This game will make or break my 1st week. 

lol LMAO oh my god great picks fin square . Make sure to vote Macron or whatever globalist candidate and prep the next round of immigrants to replace you 

@Seahawks14

 HAHAHAHAHAHA

@Ganda

 Globalism lost.

Good shitt mane

i saw those odds were crazy skewed around 63’ -110 was ridiculous odds at that point with mountains of square Belgium money

American s first time watching soccer LMAO

"favorite win lol" 

"favorite win because favorite team better than bad team lol" 

That is the level of soccer betting analysis here lol. DiamondJack at least provides some write ups but it's all square surface level crap like above 

Here's a pick for you

Slovakia +121 at halftime because the odds are skewed from square money, dogs are now barking now after Ukraine lost, globalist teams like Belgium are incoherent garbage unless front running 

You have Stephen A Smith level foresight and analysis only being able to react to what you last saw. Please shut up like you are speaking something profound 

@AnthonyStarks

 Where's this dumbfuk boomer at?

Every square in the world has pounded Denver as free money, including nearly this entire forum. Threads like "What is the case for the wolves, I'm genuinely curious". lmao. 

70% of betting public 

Every media retard

We have officially hit critical mass in hype after 3 perfect blowout games from Denver. 

Squares will literally never learn, have 0 foresight, and simply bet GOOD TEAM LAST GAME WIN THIS GAME grug thinking like cattle 

What is certain: Minn comes out firing as a last stand at home in the first half, Den has a letdown after 3 perfect games, Minn gets a lift from Conley. Once things calm down in the 2nd half, it's possible Minn chokes and Den's championship grit shines through again, though Minn is still most likely to win the game just with the potential to choke. 

Minn first half -1.5 

As stated, Knicks are cooked facing historically heavy high intensity minutes and injuries. Their roster is TRASH. In order to win game 5, they need: great games from the big 3 + refs + Pacers below average game. Hart and Devencenzo are not those guys to keep relying on and they've hit the wall. They played way over their head all playoffs. Needing them to come up with 25 points a game each is a joke, but that's basically what they need.

Brunson's 40 pt games are long gone now, barely functional. Remember that Brunson is a fraud even when healthy. Now he is a hobbled fraud who physically cannot perform on top of being mentally fried. Maybe he gets a mental boost at home, but this is the most telling stat you need to hear how DONE he is. From gm4: 

Brunson went 0-of-5 from 3. He missed on ALL eight of his jump shots. Six of those misses fell short

You basically need him to score 40 points to win this game and he literally cannot even get lift to hit a jump shot. 

This line is objectively incorrect and certain to go down. How does it go from -6 to +2.5? OKC in the same road/home goes -5 to +1.5. Pacers should be PK at worst based on this, which is what Bookmaker opened at. This line is near 100% certain to drop to 1.5/1. 

Not a GOY but Pacers again at +122/2.5 is a laughable line - insane value 

The knocks today literally have the worst playoff roster ever constructed unless they have multiple career games every game

just fucking lol

The magic is over. Auto fade every single game until this biggest fraud team is gone

lol

LMAO

Weird line movement and lots of squares here on the pacers, don’t worry. 75% of public bets on knicks