beertapper

Good luck, dis!

Dis!  It is great to hear from you!!  when you had written about checking into hospice I thought that was it, the final o2.50.

Look forward to reading your posts again…keep on rocking!

Venezuela v Peru

Liking Venezuela again.  Team hasn't played since last Sunday and Soteldo joined the squad midweek.  He'll be a big boost to their attack.

Venezuela PK @ 2.35

adding this early: 

Venezuela v Ecuador, sunday. 

Venezuela +0.75,

a little on the 1x2 also at 5.75(!)

similar to barneybeans, i'm thinking Venezuela has got a better chance than odds imply. 

nice +1.5 on Scotland. 

i'm also liking Venezuela in their next match also...provided the same keeper plays.  this team has overcome a ton of adversity so far, and who knows, maybe the stars align for them on sunday to get a win

Argentina v Uruguay:  over 2.00

The game may have Messi, Cavani, Suarez, and Aguero playing at the same time.  Not sure about a result but it feels like both teams can find the net here, and we get a playable total.

well, here's a classic South American game, two penalty shouts, one awarded.  then a string of yellows and red card for bolivia, oh and 8+ minutes of 1st half stoppage. 

can't say it's not dull...

Thanks for all the analysis and write ups...I remember your World Cup posts and those were great too.

Something I noticed about Spain....Adama Traore was on the bench but didn’t play.  That guy is very difficult to defend and maybe he could have broke the deadlock had he subbed on.  Maybe he sees some action next game?  I would have put him on but I’m also not the manager of Spain haha...

Yeah, I could see the game ending 2-0 but the total is reflecting that too...it’s at 2.25.  I’d probably take the over as the game could hit 2-0 with 20-30 minutes to go.  

going to try to some props here;

anytime scorer Angel Romero @ 2.75, Miguel Almiron @ 4.3

assists: Miguel Almiron ov 0.5 @ 5.5

Paraguay v Bolivia:  the talisman for Bolivia, Martins, is out.  it's going to be a challenge for bolivia to score

Paraguay win to nil @ 2.0

the 1x2 price on paraguay is not great but playable in a parlay

Colombia v Ecuador:

the lineup for colombia has a few changes from their game played on Thursday vs Argentina.  ecuador dropped their last game vs peru and while that may explain why colombia are even money, i'm leaning towards a draw.  motivation is pretty neutral on this tourney for all sides, and both teams may be happy to start with a point.

draw @ 3.25

nice correct score hit... 

good analysis on the Bra/Ven game... 3-0

gl DJ...  copa kickoff in 30

Starting a thread here for this...

brazil v venezuela:  Unsure if the full severity of the health crisis hitting the Venezuelan camp is understood.  they are doing last minute call ups and one can only assume there will be poor communication and little to no familiarity amongst the starting xi.  a look at recent history between these two sides shows tight and competitive games, but that Venezuela is not going to be remotely like the one playing today. 

It's a question of how motivated Brazil are to be playing these games given the pandemic situation.  That said, a few things are worth a punt...

-Brazil to score a penalty @ 3.00

-Venezuela card handicap -1.5 @ 2.05

-Brazil -2.50 @ 1.9

Allo...allo

looking at Aston Villa +1.0, but waiting for lineups.  Kane has requested a transfer and that has to be a major distraction for the team.  Hoping to see Grealish start for Villa..

Santos 

doing good...how are you?? 

@DiamondJack

 i think maybe trainers get 10% of purse winnings (or maybe that's split with jockey), but there's pretty high overhead that eats into that (staff, vet costs, insurance etc).  plus these guys seldom get endorsements or any earn revenue outside of the track.