Brady2Gronk

@bluecompass

Or the old crew with mark jackson 

@bluecompass

 She’s great what are you talking about? They need Jeff van gundy, not jj reddick

Mavs are on the same trajectory as the last series vs LAC, and I think it continues. I think OKC wins game 5, though. They played tough the last two games even though their offense has been inconsistent.

Mavs have the best tandem of two players, but the talent of OKC’s starting lineup, along with the decent three off the bench (joe is a sharpshooter,) and someone who can truly takeover with sga seems like it will be too much for Dallas here soon. 

The big two, Dallas’ experience and Jason Kidd are huge factors, and the Mavs are hungry; the Thunder just seem too electric for them..

Some teams are just hard hats. The Knicks are too steady for the pacers to win multiple games in a row. If the pacers cover, it’ll be a sweat 

Maybe the Knicks game is too, but I’m glued to the Knicks and bias but getting 5.5 with that team (plus they’re already used to anunoby being out and tyrese could be hurt) seems like the play. 

I’ve been glued to the nuggets too and thank goodness they didn’t lose me three straight. Still, this series has had a close game and a blowout by each. Twolves are hungry but the reigning champs just showed out in your arena. Tough game. 

@NutinButtLove

Lol. They’ve both been excellent coaches so far in their tenures, especially ty lue. His superstar roster makes him seem like he is getting carried (like the perception spoelstra used to have,) but he has a plan A, B and C every night because of the potential serious injuries/load managements he has to deal with. Leonard can carry anyone, but he doesn’t. Harden and PG are so dependent on rhythm….

On the flip side, Dallas is big man-averse and Kidd really has to find ways to utilize two ball dominant guards (and no one else consistently) on a nightly basis. 

So I agree with op, but not the baseless comments people get tethered to.

I think miller and Turner by decision carry awesome value, too. Only ones im opposite is the jiri, but im not leaning the other dude by much. I don’t see a ton of value on zhang, but I’m definitely game for the “not go the distance” in that fight; some sneaky value on the other Asian chick by KO, or decision

With you on most of these! Lopes is so good. Hope we don’t get burned cause only -140/-150 is bananas to me. Deveison, Turner, lopes, with Jim miller would be such a sweet start

volk, moreno and yair lost so not sure on this take

@Buffalobob89074

Everyone loves to talk about narratives when they are often times, contradictory. Chiefs whoop Miami and then win impressively at red hot buffalo. The following week they’re +3.5 against Baltimore. With your logic, that line was screaming Chiefs too. I’d argue the same situation in the Bills game. 

The only narrative is there is no narrative against Mahomes, he just wins. 

Poole is an elite (open) shooter with a nice handle so I think that’s where the disconnect lies with him. He probably thinks he starts on any other team too, but he is Jordan clarkson 2.0

This entire game feels like a “no bet.”

O/U: Hard not to reflect off the Warriors Grizzlies series last year. First game of the series was fireworks but the second game was more of a playoff type feel, not even getting to 210 points. That was more on the Grizzlies slowing the game down than the Warriors. The Warriors usually are fine getting into a shootout with anybody, plus Monk isn’t scoring 32 again. Saying that, Warriors had success in the half court offense getting easy shots in the paint until they got three happy. This makes me feel like the game is going under 240 (which is a ridiculous playoff number,) but I’m not sure the Warriors have road defense and the Kings took 98 FG attempts and 32 FTs. That’s an insane pace. No bet.

Spread: Not a lot of data here outside of the warriors abysmal road record. Playoffs are different, but it’s been an issue all year.  I have this strange feeling that the Kings go up 2-0 and the Warriors win the series 4-2. No bet.

Takeaway: Warriors odds will probably go up to -300 for the series if they win tonight, but you’d get some great odds betting them to win the series if they lost tonight. That might be a play. 

No bets here, figured I’d share my thoughts. 

@paletta007

 Not to nitpick but Holloways last two wins were more than solid..

Fight 1 was a great fight. Could've went either way the entire time. Fight 2 was a worse decision than sterling/yan fight 2 but still a great fight. This alone should dictate a coinflip, but I can't see Holloway losing this fight unless Volkanovski gets a finish. The kattar fight was the fight right after the two volkanovski fights and it was an absolute clinic. That was Holloway's best fight and then he won his next fight by unanimous decision as well.

Holloway/Volkanovski 1 and 2 were great fights, Holloway has to win this fight due to an awful decision, and Holloway has only gotten better since. What am I missing?

@StumpTownStu

Only x's and o's that have mattered have been curry, and bostons ability/inability to shoot 3s. Game is 50/50 like the last five

It's not a question of if...Boston at some point will try and turn this into a 3pt contest. They shot 10% in the first half and were down 12 in game 5. They make eight straight threes in the 3rd and guess who takes the lead? They've done this over and over again since the milwaukee series. Every boston game is 50/50 because of this factor...they are so streaky. 

I bet GS heavy before the playoffs started and I was all over the -150 before the finals started. Realized at some point in between game 1 and game 2 that I'm going to be really lucky if I win those. Boston is not overrated. They were the unlucky team who had to play Brooklyn first round and they swept them. Then they knockoff the defending champs and then the gritty 1 seed. I dont see why they cant knock off the best (maybe 2nd best) team as well.

Something about road games in these Boston series tells me Game 5 could seriously go either way and it feels like the warriors left it all out there Friday...

I feel like that +650 should have gone your way with Malkoun

Usually don't bet prelims but Allen's line jumped up for a reason. He is an animal. He faught Kyle Daukus a couple years ago and that was one of the most relentless fights I've watched. He has been great ever since. Not huge on Garcia but I think he has a stylistic advantage and think he beats the newcomer.

Also, pairing both gets 1/1 odds. Far more confident in Allen but I like the odds here. 

@dustmiester

This was my thoughts going into game 1. Not only that celtics are overrated, but warriors were clearly the best team. Not sure anymore