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Quote Originally Posted by Wildcats08: What does Colts going 14-2 have to do with this game? Last year is last year. After the Raiders lost in the Super Bowl would you have called a 4-12 year the following year? uhhh, the Colts have won at least 12 games for SEVEN straight years. this fact cannot be compared to any Raiders team. And they are what? 15-1 vs the Texans? Jeff Saturday's possible absence is the only reason to not take the Colts. Could be enough to mess up communication for fast moving offense. Game is very close recently...let's find other games that don't figure to be so close to wager our precious $$ on.. |
Wildcats08 | 17 |
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not just 14-2, but 14-0 before resting starters. |
Wildcats08 | 17 |
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Quote Originally Posted by mafioso: did you also know that the kc chiefs have gone under the total 21 years in a row their 1st home game of the season? Iv been betting the under 13 years in a row, I may not do it this season but I surely will not bet the over until it goes over. Following hte logic of its gotta end some time could have cost me 10 or more winners in a row. Dont beleive it? Go ahead and research it 21 years in a row Looks good to me. How do you keep a big passing offense from scoring? Keep them off the field. Who had the 2nd most rushing yards this preseason? KC with 150 a game. Thomas Jones had 1,400 yards last season. When Jamal Charles took over 1st team duties from Larry Johnson in week 10 last year, he subsequently rushed for 968 yards...yes, in six games. And Dexter McCluster is just fun to watch. No Vincent Jackson? I see a close, Under game... |
luckythirteen | 53 |
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This game has been close lately:
Ind 35 @ Hou 27 (Ind -3) Ind 31 @ Hou 27 (Ind -3) Ind 30 @ Hou 24 (Ind -6.5) And it's gone over for 5 straight years. We're all waiting for Hou to "make their move" and finally get over the Ind hump and compete for the division. Problem is, Ind still has Manning, Wayne, Freeney, Mathis, B. Sanders, and that's why they go to the Superbowl and Hou doesn't. Hou is maybe a playoff team? maybe? Ind definitely is. 11 or 12 wins for how many straight years? I think of it this way. If Hou wins, it will be surprising. "Oh, they finally did it!" If Ind wins, it will be "same old same old." I'd rather bet on "same old" over "surprising, finally!" |
luckythirteen | 53 |
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Cin (+4.5) @ NE
Cin's numbers last year... runD: 7th, passD: 10th, runO: 9th. These are legit numbers. Their passO sucked, but with pro bowl QB and WRs, shouldn't we expect a comeback? They swept Pit and Bal. That means they are not a mediocre team, but a very good one. This number started everywhere at Cin (+6) and has settled at (+4.5). That means money has come in on Cin. Anyone on Cin with this one?.. |
corbett | 17 |
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Quote Originally Posted by MNFLoser: Baltimore @Baltimore Pittsburgh @Pittsburgh @Green Bay They were 6-0 in their division...Only CINCI and INDY swept their division. Division games are the most important. Winning them all says a lot about what they do when well prepared. Their division had 3 playoff worthy teams. No small feat. Where are the JETS? ALL IN WEEKS 1-3. Haven't done 2 craps since they no longer could sneak up on anyone. My point is, these wins were all in first half of season. I'd feel better about the Bengals if they could have won at least one of these: @Oak, @Min, @SD. Playing well 8 weeks ago and prior doesn't do much for me now...especially against number 1 Defense and Rush Offense..
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corbett | 10 |
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Check out Bengals ATS record since beating Pit in week 10. It's 1-6 with only win @ SD covering +6.5 SU loss. Unimpressive wins at home vs Cle, Det, and KC, all ATS losses. Then SU losses on road @ Oak, MIn, SD, NYJ (don't even need to count this one).
The Jets don't have great Quality wins last half of season either, but at least their ATS record is a respectable 5-3 in this same time span. I want to bet Bengals because of home field and Quarterback experience, but these are some rough numbers...thoughts?..
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corbett | 10 |
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Almost 80% of public on NYG and the line has moved DOWN at BookMaker and BetUs from 9 to 8.5. 3rd Straight road game for NYG. They might be the best team in the league, but they have no reason to get up for this one. There is a reason why the line is going down.. |
corbett | 17 |
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Quote Originally Posted by cambyspree99: so u dont know much about kc and ur taking them? people said giants would be hungover this week against tbay after the dallas win and they won 24-0. scary thing was they could of played better. now u have a kc team who got destroyed by the eagles and ravens, and lost to a pathetic raider team at home and only scoring 9 pts are gonna cover against the giants. chiefs have no offense whatsoever and there best receiver and main offensive thread is banged up. giants roll again BookMaker and BetUs have now moved it down to 8.5. With the Giants getting the most public support of any side this week, why do you suppose the line is moving DOWN...?
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corbett | 8 |
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replied to
Can someone PLEASE Make a Case For Me Taking The Dolphins +1 This Sunday??
in NFL Betting
Lots of injuries in Buf D backfield. McKelvin out. Whitner Doubtful. Mcgee and Scott questionable. These are starters folks. It's not like they picked up Henne off the street. They've been developing him since they drafted him last year. No time like this weekend to kick start that passing game with Ginn, Bess, Camarillo, Fasano.
I see Miami D exposing those new starters/rookies on Buf OL.
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DiverRon | 15 |
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Ten @ Jax (+3)
Most seem to be on Ten on this one. Can they lose again? If their rookie punt returner had not fumbled twice, would they have lost to NYJ? I was looking at Jax rushing stats this year and I don't see anyone getting carries besides MJD. Who do they have behind him? And can he carry the load all game/year? I'm not exactly a believer in aging Kerry Collins, but this is still a pretty good and pissed off 0-3 team with a great coach. NYG @ KC (+9) The public is pounding NYG (79% acc. to covers) and yet the line has only inched to 9.5 in only three places. I'm waiting for it to go over 10, then taking KC. Toward the beginning of NYG 10-2 ATS run to start last season, their two ATS losses were to Cin at home and Cle on the road, a 14-35 SU loss as -9 favorites in week six. That's two not-so-good-at-the-time non-conference opponents. I'm not saying KC will beat them, but this is NYG 3rd straight road game and there's no reason for them to be up for it after a big prime time win at Dal, then an easy shut-out of lowly TB. I really don't know much about KC, but I bet they will be up for competing with one of the best teams in the league on their home turf.
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corbett | 8 |
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Sometimes it's a trap and sometimes it's over-thinking it.
The browns ended last season 0-6 ATS, with scoring totals of 6, 6, 9, 10, 0, and 0. Now they are 0-3 ATS with totals of 20, 6, and 3. They look to me like the worst offensive team in the league. Look at the difference a really good coach makes (Singletary, Ryan) vs a bad coach (Mangini). He has no fire, no punch, I don't see his players getting behind him.
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zzitoo75 | 22 |
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Can someone tell me why Cin isn't favored by more in this one. Road division favorite problems?
It seems to me that Cle is fast becoming one of the top 3 worst teams in the league. I don't see their offense doing anything against an underrated Cin Defense.
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corbett | 2 |
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Most seem to like Bal in this spot. Some books have the line at -3 with even juice, implying it could go to -2.5.
(1) SD OL injuries are the biggest issue here for me. But Ngata is Questionable, which may even it up a bit, but still big SD disadvantage. (2) I actually prefer Sproles over LT. Seems like I haven't seen LT have a good game in a year and a half. Sproles is a better home run hitter, and the way you beat a good defense is with 2 or 3 big plays. (3) I know its not West to East coast, but travel across the country to an unfamiliar place is worth an extra half point for me. In the last 5 years Bal has come all the way to the west coast only two times (regular season), both in 2007. A 14-32 loss to SD, and a 6-27 loss to Sea. I know totally different teams now, but both were ATS losses. (4) Turnovers could be big, and based on my secret magic crystal ball, I think SD will get them.
Interesting question, if this game was at Bal, what would the line be? Bal -3? Even? I'll be taking SD in this one, but I don't really know why. |
corbett | 3 |
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NE opened -6.5 @ NYJ, which has now gone to -3.5, -4 in most places. Thing is, 65% of public is on NE. All the “sharp” money on NYJ then? I like NYJ in this spot, but I don’t want to join the mass over-reaction to respective surprising week 1 performances. NYJ seems to have the right kind of team to beat NE…time of possession/run game, good defense with a new nasty attitude… Who can convince me to stay away from this one? |
corbett | 7 |
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Can anyone tell me why this line hasn't climbed more? Opened at Cle +3 to +3.5 or +4 in various places. Covers has 77% of the public on Min. Shouldn't we then expect it to move up like Dal @ TB and and SD @ Oak?
"Sharp" $ on Cle? I've got a couple reasons to stay away from Min on this one: (1) Mangini knows Favre from last year. (2) Cle (surprisingly) had 23 interceptions last year. Pretty high for a not very good team. And as we know, Mr. 40 years old is prone to throwing ints. Any insight?
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corbett | 9 |
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