GTRandy

Just my opinion but you’d be crazy if you didn’t try to middle with Arizona +8.5 for around $3-5k 

all jags need to do is match the titans record for the next 2 weeks and the week 18 matchup is for the afc south. (7-10 or more likely 8-9 record will win the afc south) 

That’s false Brodie; jaguars just need to match the titans record for the next 2 weeks. If titans beat both dallas and houston and jaguars lose to jets tonight then yeah the jags are done. But now without tannehill it’s highly unlikely they beat both Texans and cowboys. I’m actually smelling an upset this week vs Texans… could be way wrong on that of course, but would think the cowboys handle them next week and jaguars handle their business with extra rest vs Texans. 

A healthy SF beats anyone in the NFC comfortably not named Dallas. Dallas and SF teams are built almost identical, great pass rush and lean on running game. That one will come down to who coaches better/has the better gameplan if they meet in the playoffs. 

Giants Vikings I think has to be an over spot, with both teams nearing 28-30 points. Giants have 0 healthy players on their roster than cover Justin Jefferson even if you combine 2 players from their roster. Wink Martingdale is a great DC but Jettas is too good. 

Not fixed but are outcomes rigged for spreads and totals? 100%

definitely possible and of course that’s a scenario for jets to lose, but Saleh will pound the jaguars in trenches on both sides of the ball. I don’t think Zach will be asked to do much tomorrow night. 

If Minshew loses to Dallas on Saturday he or Hurts will beat the Saints. Eagles roster is loaded they can beat the saints quite good with an average QB performance. 

You probably never want to middle yourself but jags will beat both the Texans and titans and win the division. They will lose to the jets tomorrow night though. 

For the following jotted down notes reasons I made my bet already for Thursday night as NY Jets -1.5, I know short favs at home are dangerous and I could have gotten jets ML -105/110 yesterday but after doing my game research I bet them -1.5 before/if the number gets to -2.5/-3/-3.5 which is where I think the line should be.

Feel free to critique any of these points:

Quinnen Williams their best defensive player and Lamarcus Joyner will likely be back

Rain all game, jets have better defense and better rushing defense

Jaguars just lost their best o -lineman and most key oline position at LT

2 other starting o-lineman are banged up and questionable

2 starting D-lineman including Travon Walker already ruled out for jaguars

James Robinson revenge game if he plays and knight is out; Michael Carter and Ty Johnson more than enough to run all over jags

Trevor Lawrence toe injury and questionable in a game he will need his feet to plant in the rain

Jets coming off 3 losses

Jaguars coming off a crazy comeback win vs the cowboys that everyone saw

Jaguars can still win division if they beat Texans next week and titans in final week, because titans will lose to Dallas next week or maybe even texans this week

Zach Wilson just bought his entire o-line electric scooters

Jets are missing 2 backup WRs but expect Corey Davis back to go with Garrett Wilson & Elijah Moore (passing game won’t matter much or be deciding factor in the rain)

Typical Short Thursday week game, jags riding high off a win and banged up all over; jets desperately need a win

= smash spot for the J-E-T-S jetsjetsjets

Hope y’all enjoyed the jumbled down notes. Go Jets (no I’m not a Jets fan)

I was thinking the same but D’Anthony Melton can’t miss 

The only supporting stats I see for Memphis without Ja is the crew chief referee has a 26-7 ATS record for the home team, and of course the Memphis home record 

I’ve been watching the warriors very closely this past week; they have 0 defense without Draymond Green. They barely got by the nuggets who are heavily banged up and had no rest at all playing 6 in 8. Klay is NOT getting into form, and Curry is also NOT in form. Like I said his shot is on for maybe a 5-6 minute stretch of a game. The warriors best player right now is Jordan Poole. Bucks can score 140 tonight. 

If you’re gonna BR a game don’t take a favorite. Look for a good dog play

Bumping this up so more can see that’s my confidence level.. bucks are -2 now which is still a gift 

Line is way off Bucks @ Warriors… bucks should be -6.5 at least; warriors had to catch more Jordan Poole magic to beat Denver who were playing 4 games in 5 nights and 6 games in 8 nights and without Wil Barton and that dismantled roster. 

Klay Thompson should come off the bench right now but he’s starting and taking 20 shots a game. Curry’s shot is on for maybe 5-6 minutes of the game. They have 0 chance of stopping Giannis, and then there’s Jrue Holliday and Middleton and Portis to deal with unlike washed Aaron Gordon and I guess decent Monte Morris. 

If you want to get paid take Bucks -1 right now before that moves to -3/-4; even then it’s favorable. 

He should be starting over trash a** Wiggins. Honestly, Poole is the best/most consistent player on the warriors right now 

Does this clown finally get booted from the league next year? His defense gave him 9 sacks and he can’t win lol 

The refs tried to let Alabama win by 20, but they couldn’t hit a shot or a free throw to save their life. Lucky to win outright with all the refs help. 

Agree, I locked in -3 -120 sunday night.