huskerfan5b

@DeaconBlues2525

 If you haven't posted any picks in king of covers contest, does that typically mean you don't see any value versus vig on that particular day, or could you simply be busy and not had time to do a thorough cap?

It's currently -9 (-110) for Hard Rock Bet in Florida

I've been trying to tail mollydog picks (crushes the NCAAB King of Covers contest year after year). However, his or her lines are almost always significantly better for the side he or she wants than I can manage to get. Why is there such a large discrepancy? I thought you have to get the lines from covers.com?

@Sportacus

 Does your record for the season include ML bets or is the record only for point spread bets?

@rod_steel

 Where did you see suns 4.5 favs in game 5?

?

Is your Cowboys line -103 or +103?

I had Knicks +14...

The announcement about the Cavs sitting was made way before your 8:52 AM post. At what time did you log your Memphis +8 bet?

LOL. You told me to go back and verify your record. That's all I'm trying to do - follow up on what you told me to. I didn't think you would find it controversial to use some generic odds like the ones at sbrodds.com. I understand that everybody may get different odds at different sites, including locals, but the point of this exercise is to determine whether your picks are really useful to the public as a whole. You and your followers seem to think so; I question that. You said I'm lazy in an earlier post. Now that I'm willing to go back and spend two hours just adding everything up using some common sense markers, you won't accept that. Make up your mind.

he plays a lot of moneyline dogs.

As many of you have seen, there has been some back and forth between Wizerguy and me in his Week 14 thread. If I do the detailed analysis I just offered to him in his thread, I will post it here. I don't want to waste my time. I want him to accept what are fair parameters in advance.

WIZER, If you will accept now in this thread me calculating your units won based on the following premises, I will go ahead and spend the time to do it this week.

1. Regardless of the line you cite, using the most recent line stated at sbrodds based on the timestamp of your post.

2. In instances where you chose to buy juice, I will use 10 cent juice for all half points except from 6.5 to 7 and 7 to 7.5, I will use 15 cent juice and from 2.5 to 3 and from 3 to 3.5, I will use 25 cent juice.

If you accept these parameters, I will proceed and I am pretty sure your record will be proven to be a fraud.

This is a retarded answer from someone that poses in this forum like a sophisticated sports bettor. It has been proven with math that buying juice from 2.5 to 3 in NFL is dumb.

https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/bet-nfl-spread-2-5-buy-half-point-take-moneyline/

I didn't cherry pick anything. I specifically chose games where you did not buy any juice because I am not confident that you are truthful at what juice you are buying your inflated lines for. At one point last week shortly after you posted your picks, I wasn't able to get the line/juice you said you had on all three different sites that I use. Your interest here is clearly, for whatever reason, in inflating your record. It's VERY easy to attain 60-65% by mysteriously buying points. Also, it's worth noting that when you buy juice as high as -140 as you did on the Atlanta game this week, you need to be successful at a much higher percentage, so it's VERY DECEPTIVE and BORDERLINE FRAUDULENT, to reply to a poster it doesn't matter because you only pay the juice when you lose as you have replied to many posters over the course of the season. That is a comment that is to bereft of nuance and intelligence. Also, it neglects the fact that many posters use bankroll management systems, where they risk more on a larger favorite (e.g, they would risk 524 to win 476 for a favorite at -110, but they would only risk 512 to win 488 for a favorite at -105); that is a very sound bankroll strategy and your response neglects the fact that for those using that strategy, they IMMEDIATELY LOSE MORE MONEY BY BUYING MORE JUICE REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THEY WIN OR NOT.  I also mentioned that even for the simple ATS picks with no juice that for some of them, I looked through the ENTIRE line history on sbrodds.com and they were NEVER available at the line you cited.

Why don't you just a) cite your units won and b) cite the source of your line? All reputable posters do (a) and many do (b).  I will be happy to do (a) over the course of this week but I will also put BIG ASTERISKS on those lines that I think you MADE UP given the time you posted and the line history.

whats the juice on the rangers/devils under?

Thanks for inspiring me!

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=102358431