joebro24

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replied to Colts Titans in NFL Betting i like it, except i'd go w/ the under. And although the colts have a #1 ranked defense...i think w/ the Titans addition of king and the possibility of clowney playing along w/ adoree jackson, it'll give the colts offense enough issues. And w/ little offense from the colts, the titans running game will wear down their defense and open up a couple of big plays. Add in that's it's a divisional game against 1st year colts qb rivers, and i'll take tenny at home. Not sold on the colts juuuuust yet. This has a Tampa vs Nola feel....but i've been wrong before View Post \| View Thread	Alexg85	5	November 11, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting MIL -9 IF BOSTON COULDN'T GET UP AT HOME FOR A PIVOTAL GAME 5 WITH THE HOME CROWD, THEY'RE NOT DOING IT IN THIS CLOSE OUT GAME. IF ANYTHING, I THINK THEY PLAY MORE LOOSELY, WHICH AMOUNTS TO MORE POINTS. THE BUCKS ARE RIGHT WHERE THEY WANT TO BE, AT HOME AND ACCOMPLISHING THINGS NO OTHER BUCKS TEAM HAS. THEY'RE FOCUSED AND LOCKED IN. THERE'S NO PRESSURE ON THEM, AND IT'LL BE BUSINESS AS USUAL. ALSO LIKE THE OVER 218 BUT BOTH WOULD BE GREAT TEASERS. View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 08, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting PHI +6 (THE SIXERS ARE NOT WHO I THOUGHT THE WERE! IN MY DENNIS GREEN VOICE) PHI/TOR 211.5 OVER NUGGETS -4.5 DEN/POR 213 OVER HAVING A NICE LITTLE RUN...EXPECTING SOME REGRESSION BUT SCARED DON'T MAKE MONEY! SO I WILL TREAD LIGHTLY. GONNA RIDE WITH MY INITIAL THOUGHT AFTER THE HOU/GS GAME WARRIORS -6 OVER 220 HOU/GS MIL -9 View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 08, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting PHI +6 PHI/TOR 211.5 OVER NUGGETS -4.5 DEN/POR 213 OVER FULL SEND View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 07, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting MIL ML UNDER 220.5 ROCKETS ML 1 series up 3-1 betting whatever the over under is on next hou/warriors and def warriors ML. This one is going 7 bros. FULL SEND, bet View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 07, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting MIL ML ?? UNDER ?? Come on rockets View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 06, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting can't really count on an injury to happen but anything is possible and that would absolutely give the c's the advantage. View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 06, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting NO EXPERT HERE BUT...I'M FEELING THE BUCKS MORE THAN THE C'S THEY CAME OUT LIKE I EXPECTED LAST GAME AND STILL LOST. I THINK THAT WAS THEIR BEST SHOT AND THAT HAS A PSYCHOLOGICAL EFFECT SUBSEQUENTLY. BUCKS JUST SEEMED LIKE THEY WEREN'T READY GAME 1 AND THE C'S HAD A GOOD STRATEGY THAT MAY HAVE SURPRISED THEM. ANYWAY, ONLY WAY I SEE THEM WINNING IS WITH A GREAT DEFENSIVE GAME. UNDER 220.5 MIL ML I'LL THROW IN THE ROCKETS ML CAUTIOUSLY. BUT I BELIEVE ONE SERIES WILL GO UP 3-1! THE BEST ONE WITH THAT CHANCE BEING THE BUCKS! View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 06, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Sports Investing Philosophy 101... in College Basketball Beginner here. Good stuff View Post \| View Thread	smacksmiter	56	March 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic WK 10 in NFL Betting SEA -6 SEA/AZ OVER 41 BUFF/SAINTS UNDER 46 DEN +8 DAL/FALCONS UNDER 50.5 View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	1	November 08, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Interesting stat for Thursday with a winning percentage rate that is unbelievable in NFL Betting Analysis was spot on! Didn't take the money line but I took the under! View Post \| View Thread	justliketoplay	28	September 15, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL Week Eleven in NFL Betting Good stuff as always, suuma! BOL, do you happen to know off the top of your head which way the money is flowing for TEN/IND? View Post \| View Thread	suuma	131	November 17, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to If Dallas is smart in NFL Betting Good input, guys. Objectively, playing it this way could benefit them. yes it will disrupt the flow of what they have going but it could just be more of a contingency plan more than anything. If DAK underperforms, give him a breather throw in romo and at the same time be able to compare them....apples to apples. as far as the game, definitely seems like a trap game. which is something I'm seeing all across the forum. are we over thinking it? I feel like in gambling, consistency is key. that's why we look at all the stats. dallas has been consistently winning, and pitt consistently inconsistent. Some people said last game was the trap game, but what we saw was a good team demolish a poor team. This won't be easy for them, but the have young studs going and the right mix of veterans which allow them to stay hungry, energetic but also aware of spots like these. i think our cognitive dissonance leads us to look for only the stats that justify our perception. just food for thought. i'm leaning dallas. maybe I'm zagging when i should be zigging...that's the beauty of this garbage! View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	14	November 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic If Dallas is smart in NFL Betting They would use both QB this game. I like what DAK'S done so give him the start but sprinkle in some Romo. They're different QB's and Romo is a much better passer. One more thing for the Defense to prepare for...that's always a good thing. Winning is the name of the game isn't it! Doesn't matter how you do it View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	14	November 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 7 opening lines, comments, plays, fantasy talk in NFL Betting my 2 cents on the pack vs. bears: Pack Offense: Everyone might be betting on the pack fixing their offense or whatever is wrong with them and that they will come alive. They are trending in the wrong direction and until they start trending the other way, i'll bet on them not to. I just don't think they have enough time to do it between sunday and thursday. 3rd game in 12 days (also the same for the bears) but the pack are hurting at key positions: rb (starks out, lacy hobbled w/ not much rest), wr adams w/ concussion i believe, cb another concussion problem. rodgers was pressured even less than the week before and looked worse. 28.6% vs. 13%. up to now their only productive offensive game (as far as what i've come to expect from rodgers and co) was against the lions worst ranked defense. Bears: I believe they come out more aggressive. both alshon and fox expressed frustration in their offensive efficiency and settling for field goals. a team at 1-5 w/ nothing to lose and everything to gain w/ an aggressive mindset can be a dangerous team. i think you can change your aggressiveness and take more chances. The pack offensive problems are a bit more complex. If the pack are hurting at the cb position and had trouble with beasly and butler, i think they have even more trouble w/ alshon and meredith. Defense: It's hard to prepare for a team in only 3 days but it really helps when you are familiar with them, and that happens here with a divisional game. we get a better game than expected. bears were ranked better in dvoa than the cowboys if that helps. packers offensive struggles coupled w/ injuries on defensive side, give the bears a better chance against the pack D. With that said, not as confident as i was about taking the boys at +4 but I'm making it a small play and buy 1/2 to take the bears +10. Just so to make my thursday interesting. BOL FELLAS!! View Post \| View Thread	FeedMeCappers	17	October 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Interesting take on how to bet NFL in NFL Betting I'm going to tail your colts pick AFN! New to this but i like your perspective and based on your thread, your picks have had success. Wont' knock it until i try it. BOL View Post \| View Thread	AFNfootballnerd	317	October 16, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL Week Six in NFL Betting Like i stated in my early post. Rodgers and that offense look off. He's had plenty of chances and failed to capitalize. with that said, they are only down 14 points at the moment. anything can happen but that +4 is looking View Post \| View Thread	suuma	119	October 16, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL Week Six in NFL Betting I appreciate those efficiency stats suuma! They definitely paint a clearer picture. One of the reasons i really like the forum is because of the feedback you get back. You're one of the main cappers i really like to read on when you do post! Keep doing you're thing and i hope you have a successful weekend! I locked it in already before i saw your feedback. BOL View Post \| View Thread	suuma	119	October 15, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL Week Six in NFL Betting Hi...new to this forum. Initially was led here because we have an office pick 'em league and was looking for some additional perspectives and insight. I know pick 'em and betting the spread is totally different but every bit of info helps. Only been on here for a couple of weeks but it's been useful overall, and only missed 2 games last week in our office league! But didn't win because someone got all games right except the buccs vs panthers . Really get a kick out of all the input and some of the nonsense. Especially when the next week comes and retrospect is in play. Anyway, that's the beauty of this. One game i've been looking at and reading about in particular is cowboys vs. packers. To start off, i like the cowboys +4 (not a habitual better either so you can take this with a grain of salt but who doesn't like and additional perspective? only close minded people). Pack offense still looking for rythm: Rodgers doesn't seem to be himself lately. I believe we like to reason and justify a lot of things going right/wrong based on past accomplishments. When the new season begins, you can't go off of what you accomplished last year. Just ask the panthers. The packer offense is ranked high in points per game, but are in the bottom half in yards/game and time of possession. They're not making big plays so maybe the've been getting good starting field position and/or generating a lot of turnovers. That seems off but i didn't look too much into it. Their defense is good but not great: I don't think they're generating many turnovers. something dak has kept low. You played sam bradford in his first game as a vikes w/ a few weeks of getting to know the playbook and that potent rush game. Just figured a great defense would feast on that. The jags, well they're the jags still until proven otherwise and bortles has started off slow. That's another potent rush game though. Played the lions with the 3rd most potent rush game (vikes, and jags ranked ahead) and managed to shred their 32nd ranked D according DVOA. Last, you played the giants. Which have had key injuries to their rbs (vereen, jennings) and first round cb. Coming off a road loss with injuries and an offense struggling in a vulnerable spot, i'd figure a rodgers led team coming off a bye would dismantle them in a primetime game at home. Cowboy run game: Linehan is creative and he'll try to establish the rush game but you don't run at a good rush defense, at least not every rush. you use your stud rb and beat them to the edge and use some screens. just going off of stats alone, rbs have had somewhat success catching against the pack. Cowboys D: The defense is playing better than on paper. DVOA gave them a low score against cinci, even though they clearly dominated in all phases. might have to do with them allowing to dink and dunk starting in early 3rd quarter. Wish I had a similar situation that would allow me to juxtapose: Oh 2014 week 6 going against a seahawks team that had an early bye week ranked high in dvoa in both offense and defense and to top it off playing them at the house of the 12th man. that's close enough. Crazy thing, same guys that started on the o-line that day, are starting this sunday. i believe zeke is an upgrade at rb and has gotten better by the week. 75-85 rush w/ td and 40-50 yards in passing game seems doable. enough to keep them honest. Don't tell me he's a rookie and it can't be done, i've witnessed it. Hard yes, but not impossible especially with how they're playing. Pack hasn't played a mobile qb, and another thing to prepare against always makes it more difficult. In that same year the cowboys defense was ranked worst going into that game and they also had a "cupcake" schedule up to that point. The line then was even bigger. just have a gut feeling.... P.S. where would you rather play? at seattle or at green bay? even left the revenge angle off...jk View Post \| View Thread	suuma	119	October 15, 2016 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to Colts Titans in NFL Betting i like it, except i'd go w/ the under. And although the colts have a #1 ranked defense...i think w/ the Titans addition of king and the possibility of clowney playing along w/ adoree jackson, it'll give the colts offense enough issues. And w/ little offense from the colts, the titans running game will wear down their defense and open up a couple of big plays. Add in that's it's a divisional game against 1st year colts qb rivers, and i'll take tenny at home. Not sold on the colts juuuuust yet. This has a Tampa vs Nola feel....but i've been wrong before View Post \| View Thread	Alexg85	5	November 11, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting MIL -9 IF BOSTON COULDN'T GET UP AT HOME FOR A PIVOTAL GAME 5 WITH THE HOME CROWD, THEY'RE NOT DOING IT IN THIS CLOSE OUT GAME. IF ANYTHING, I THINK THEY PLAY MORE LOOSELY, WHICH AMOUNTS TO MORE POINTS. THE BUCKS ARE RIGHT WHERE THEY WANT TO BE, AT HOME AND ACCOMPLISHING THINGS NO OTHER BUCKS TEAM HAS. THEY'RE FOCUSED AND LOCKED IN. THERE'S NO PRESSURE ON THEM, AND IT'LL BE BUSINESS AS USUAL. ALSO LIKE THE OVER 218 BUT BOTH WOULD BE GREAT TEASERS. View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 08, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting PHI +6 (THE SIXERS ARE NOT WHO I THOUGHT THE WERE! IN MY DENNIS GREEN VOICE) PHI/TOR 211.5 OVER NUGGETS -4.5 DEN/POR 213 OVER HAVING A NICE LITTLE RUN...EXPECTING SOME REGRESSION BUT SCARED DON'T MAKE MONEY! SO I WILL TREAD LIGHTLY. GONNA RIDE WITH MY INITIAL THOUGHT AFTER THE HOU/GS GAME WARRIORS -6 OVER 220 HOU/GS MIL -9 View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 08, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting PHI +6 PHI/TOR 211.5 OVER NUGGETS -4.5 DEN/POR 213 OVER FULL SEND View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 07, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting MIL ML UNDER 220.5 ROCKETS ML 1 series up 3-1 betting whatever the over under is on next hou/warriors and def warriors ML. This one is going 7 bros. FULL SEND, bet View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 07, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting MIL ML ?? UNDER ?? Come on rockets View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 06, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting can't really count on an injury to happen but anything is possible and that would absolutely give the c's the advantage. View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 06, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic FULL SEND, BROS in NBA Betting NO EXPERT HERE BUT...I'M FEELING THE BUCKS MORE THAN THE C'S THEY CAME OUT LIKE I EXPECTED LAST GAME AND STILL LOST. I THINK THAT WAS THEIR BEST SHOT AND THAT HAS A PSYCHOLOGICAL EFFECT SUBSEQUENTLY. BUCKS JUST SEEMED LIKE THEY WEREN'T READY GAME 1 AND THE C'S HAD A GOOD STRATEGY THAT MAY HAVE SURPRISED THEM. ANYWAY, ONLY WAY I SEE THEM WINNING IS WITH A GREAT DEFENSIVE GAME. UNDER 220.5 MIL ML I'LL THROW IN THE ROCKETS ML CAUTIOUSLY. BUT I BELIEVE ONE SERIES WILL GO UP 3-1! THE BEST ONE WITH THAT CHANCE BEING THE BUCKS! View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	9	May 06, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Sports Investing Philosophy 101... in College Basketball Beginner here. Good stuff View Post \| View Thread	smacksmiter	56	March 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic WK 10 in NFL Betting SEA -6 SEA/AZ OVER 41 BUFF/SAINTS UNDER 46 DEN +8 DAL/FALCONS UNDER 50.5 View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	1	November 08, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Interesting stat for Thursday with a winning percentage rate that is unbelievable in NFL Betting Analysis was spot on! Didn't take the money line but I took the under! View Post \| View Thread	justliketoplay	28	September 15, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL Week Eleven in NFL Betting Good stuff as always, suuma! BOL, do you happen to know off the top of your head which way the money is flowing for TEN/IND? View Post \| View Thread	suuma	131	November 17, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to If Dallas is smart in NFL Betting Good input, guys. Objectively, playing it this way could benefit them. yes it will disrupt the flow of what they have going but it could just be more of a contingency plan more than anything. If DAK underperforms, give him a breather throw in romo and at the same time be able to compare them....apples to apples. as far as the game, definitely seems like a trap game. which is something I'm seeing all across the forum. are we over thinking it? I feel like in gambling, consistency is key. that's why we look at all the stats. dallas has been consistently winning, and pitt consistently inconsistent. Some people said last game was the trap game, but what we saw was a good team demolish a poor team. This won't be easy for them, but the have young studs going and the right mix of veterans which allow them to stay hungry, energetic but also aware of spots like these. i think our cognitive dissonance leads us to look for only the stats that justify our perception. just food for thought. i'm leaning dallas. maybe I'm zagging when i should be zigging...that's the beauty of this garbage! View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	14	November 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic If Dallas is smart in NFL Betting They would use both QB this game. I like what DAK'S done so give him the start but sprinkle in some Romo. They're different QB's and Romo is a much better passer. One more thing for the Defense to prepare for...that's always a good thing. Winning is the name of the game isn't it! Doesn't matter how you do it View Post \| View Thread	joebro24	14	November 10, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 7 opening lines, comments, plays, fantasy talk in NFL Betting my 2 cents on the pack vs. bears: Pack Offense: Everyone might be betting on the pack fixing their offense or whatever is wrong with them and that they will come alive. They are trending in the wrong direction and until they start trending the other way, i'll bet on them not to. I just don't think they have enough time to do it between sunday and thursday. 3rd game in 12 days (also the same for the bears) but the pack are hurting at key positions: rb (starks out, lacy hobbled w/ not much rest), wr adams w/ concussion i believe, cb another concussion problem. rodgers was pressured even less than the week before and looked worse. 28.6% vs. 13%. up to now their only productive offensive game (as far as what i've come to expect from rodgers and co) was against the lions worst ranked defense. Bears: I believe they come out more aggressive. both alshon and fox expressed frustration in their offensive efficiency and settling for field goals. a team at 1-5 w/ nothing to lose and everything to gain w/ an aggressive mindset can be a dangerous team. i think you can change your aggressiveness and take more chances. The pack offensive problems are a bit more complex. If the pack are hurting at the cb position and had trouble with beasly and butler, i think they have even more trouble w/ alshon and meredith. Defense: It's hard to prepare for a team in only 3 days but it really helps when you are familiar with them, and that happens here with a divisional game. we get a better game than expected. bears were ranked better in dvoa than the cowboys if that helps. packers offensive struggles coupled w/ injuries on defensive side, give the bears a better chance against the pack D. With that said, not as confident as i was about taking the boys at +4 but I'm making it a small play and buy 1/2 to take the bears +10. Just so to make my thursday interesting. BOL FELLAS!! View Post \| View Thread	FeedMeCappers	17	October 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Interesting take on how to bet NFL in NFL Betting I'm going to tail your colts pick AFN! New to this but i like your perspective and based on your thread, your picks have had success. Wont' knock it until i try it. BOL View Post \| View Thread	AFNfootballnerd	317	October 16, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL Week Six in NFL Betting Like i stated in my early post. Rodgers and that offense look off. He's had plenty of chances and failed to capitalize. with that said, they are only down 14 points at the moment. anything can happen but that +4 is looking View Post \| View Thread	suuma	119	October 16, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL Week Six in NFL Betting I appreciate those efficiency stats suuma! They definitely paint a clearer picture. One of the reasons i really like the forum is because of the feedback you get back. You're one of the main cappers i really like to read on when you do post! Keep doing you're thing and i hope you have a successful weekend! I locked it in already before i saw your feedback. BOL View Post \| View Thread	suuma	119	October 15, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL Week Six in NFL Betting Hi...new to this forum. Initially was led here because we have an office pick 'em league and was looking for some additional perspectives and insight. I know pick 'em and betting the spread is totally different but every bit of info helps. Only been on here for a couple of weeks but it's been useful overall, and only missed 2 games last week in our office league! But didn't win because someone got all games right except the buccs vs panthers . Really get a kick out of all the input and some of the nonsense. Especially when the next week comes and retrospect is in play. Anyway, that's the beauty of this. One game i've been looking at and reading about in particular is cowboys vs. packers. To start off, i like the cowboys +4 (not a habitual better either so you can take this with a grain of salt but who doesn't like and additional perspective? only close minded people). Pack offense still looking for rythm: Rodgers doesn't seem to be himself lately. I believe we like to reason and justify a lot of things going right/wrong based on past accomplishments. When the new season begins, you can't go off of what you accomplished last year. Just ask the panthers. The packer offense is ranked high in points per game, but are in the bottom half in yards/game and time of possession. They're not making big plays so maybe the've been getting good starting field position and/or generating a lot of turnovers. That seems off but i didn't look too much into it. Their defense is good but not great: I don't think they're generating many turnovers. something dak has kept low. You played sam bradford in his first game as a vikes w/ a few weeks of getting to know the playbook and that potent rush game. Just figured a great defense would feast on that. The jags, well they're the jags still until proven otherwise and bortles has started off slow. That's another potent rush game though. Played the lions with the 3rd most potent rush game (vikes, and jags ranked ahead) and managed to shred their 32nd ranked D according DVOA. Last, you played the giants. Which have had key injuries to their rbs (vereen, jennings) and first round cb. Coming off a road loss with injuries and an offense struggling in a vulnerable spot, i'd figure a rodgers led team coming off a bye would dismantle them in a primetime game at home. Cowboy run game: Linehan is creative and he'll try to establish the rush game but you don't run at a good rush defense, at least not every rush. you use your stud rb and beat them to the edge and use some screens. just going off of stats alone, rbs have had somewhat success catching against the pack. Cowboys D: The defense is playing better than on paper. DVOA gave them a low score against cinci, even though they clearly dominated in all phases. might have to do with them allowing to dink and dunk starting in early 3rd quarter. Wish I had a similar situation that would allow me to juxtapose: Oh 2014 week 6 going against a seahawks team that had an early bye week ranked high in dvoa in both offense and defense and to top it off playing them at the house of the 12th man. that's close enough. Crazy thing, same guys that started on the o-line that day, are starting this sunday. i believe zeke is an upgrade at rb and has gotten better by the week. 75-85 rush w/ td and 40-50 yards in passing game seems doable. enough to keep them honest. Don't tell me he's a rookie and it can't be done, i've witnessed it. Hard yes, but not impossible especially with how they're playing. Pack hasn't played a mobile qb, and another thing to prepare against always makes it more difficult. In that same year the cowboys defense was ranked worst going into that game and they also had a "cupcake" schedule up to that point. The line then was even bigger. just have a gut feeling.... P.S. where would you rather play? at seattle or at green bay? even left the revenge angle off...jk View Post \| View Thread	suuma	119	October 15, 2016 View Post \| View Thread

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