PepeFrog

Steelers won their Over last season when everyone expected an Under. Mike Tomlin knows how to win games.

Sharp post. Eagles are stacked on defense compared to their previous super bowl matchup.

There's stats and trends on both teams. Over looked the stats and trends that helped the Eagles win.

I been learning about the past stats, trends and history all week to a smarter and sharper sports bettor.

I found a pattern that AFC West teams in the super bowl are known for getting blown out. Chiefs, Broncos, Raiders and Chargers have been blown out over 21 points at one point. More blowouts than any other NFL division. AFC West teams are bad in the super bowl. AFC South teams are the worst in the regular season.

@Europa

I agree with start betting longshots. I looked up past history of super bowl odds. Longshot underdogs show up once every 5 years on average since 2000. The last longshot was Tom Brady's Bucs at +1800 preseason. 

Eagles defeated your bad betting trends. #1 jersey QB finally won super bowl. Eagles lost to Bucs and still won super bowl.

Did you noticed the pattern in those matchups? I may be the only one that noticed it when it comes to super bowl history. Those AFC West teams get dominated the most more than any other division in most super bowl games. Good to know when predicting blowouts. 

Nice win. While there were trends on the Chiefs side. I overlooked the trends on the Eagles side. I should have taken more seriously.

The Eagles money was between 70% to 80% a day after the conference games. It's now around 70% depending on which sportsbook.

https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/chiefs-win-on-these-betting-trends-103924001

I won 5 out of the last 6 super bowls. I'm on the Chiefs. 

I hope we all win on the Chiefs. 

Yep. You copied that from my thread. That #1 quarterback jersey trend I learned from you when the Chiefs faced the Eagles two super bowls ago. I gotta give you credit for that #1 jersey trend. Maybe big ego gets to the quarterback's head when they have a #1 jersey. Over confidence.

If this is a close 3 point game. Take alt line +3.5

Head coach Andy Reid after the bye week: 21-4
Eagles defensive coordinator Vic Fangio: 0-8 against Patrick Mahomes.
Patrick Mahomes is 15-0 in domed / closed roof stadiums.
White jersey has won 37 times .637 vs color jersey has won 21 times .362
No quarterback with #1 jersey won the super bowl.
Russell Wilson was the last quarterback to win the super bowl with 539 rushing yards.
There has never been a quarterback with over 539 rushing yards in the regular season to win the super bowl. Jalen Hurts has 630 rushing yards in the regular season.
80% of public money is on the Eagles.

Bet the Chiefs money line. 

If Chiefs win again it's going to because of Eagles dumb defensive coordinator.

Chiefs really do own the Eagles and your 49ers in the super bowl. Mahomes Chiefs is like Brady Patriots.

Here's another good trend that predicts super bowl winners and losers. Quarterbacks that has too many rush yards in the regular season won't win the super bowl. 

https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/can-a-qb-run-too-much-103919472

Bills just need home field in the playoffs to win games.

Mahomes is the Brady of right now. Winning most super bowls.