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Quote Originally Posted by balls34: I'm gonna play these strictly for the humor in the write up. Love it! We are gonna do so much winning We're going to win so much that we get tired of winning! ![]() |
BigPlayAK | 9 |
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Longwood +35 -101 for 0.5 units
Taking Longwood for a number of reasons. I calculated a spread of +31.5 based on kenpom, so some value unless I'm doing the math wrong lol. This is a fade of the public and Pederson16 who has been cold recently. The sharper books' lines are skewed towards Longwood. Finally I just don't think a top-10 rated Creighton will be 100% motivated to face one of the worst teams in the nation. However, this is a relatively weak fade so only 0.5 units. BOL everyone! ![]() |
RJ89 | 4 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BkDegen: So he says after the game 5 mins in ![]() I got my bet in just a minute before the game started and posted when it was tied. The game could still go the other way. I just read the write-up and it made me feel the opposite way. Regardless of who wins it is very irresponsible money management IMO. No reason to ever bet 10x as much on a single play than on a typical play. |
pederson16 | 2191 |
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Minnesota has been absolutely terrible 3Q this year.
Toronto -3.5 -105 ![]() |
RJ89 | 1 |
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I'm fading and taking Iowa +6. The efficiency numbers actually point to an accurate spread, this game means more to Iowa, and there is strong RLM on them.
One of us will win. |
pederson16 | 2191 |
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Quote Originally Posted by FLORIDIAN: Question for Mr. Pederson or anyone here. I've slowly grinded to +$1,000 in my account. How much do you recommend betting per game when you hit +$1,000? I want to stay disciplined and not get greedy. Long season. Today I bet $60 per game. Should I go higher?Also, thanks for the picks and run you are on Mr. Pederson. I check it out daily. Typically, you don't want to bet more than 1-3% on a single play. If you think about it if you keep betting 6% on each play, all it takes is an 0-5 day and you lose 30% of your bankroll. Everyone has bad days and you don't want to lose too much. Also if you are betting high volume you want to be closer to 1% even less. I'm doing the same thing your doing man, I got up to $1800 and back to $1400, it's a grind, BOL.
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pederson16 | 2191 |
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Yes it used to always be very slow on my computer and freeze up every 30 seconds or so.
Now I use Brave browser, which automatically blocks most ads and trackers. Covers and a lot of other websites work faster for me now. Here is a link: https://brave.com/downloads.html ![]() |
searchwarrant | 15 |
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Great job recently man!
![]() Just curious, but I was wandering if you have any long time records? Is baseball your only sport? BOL tonight ![]() |
BountyHunter13 | 10 |
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cj380 | 4 |
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BOL tomorrow BoB!
![]() Random question, are you playing the POD's at the same amount as the regular plays or do you put more on them?
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BirdsOnBat | 34 |
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BOL tomorrow BoB!
![]() Just curious, but I noticed that it seems that you have been taking a lot of road teams lately. I was just wandering if you tend to find more value in road teams or if you feel this is a coincidence from just the past few days. |
BirdsOnBat | 52 |
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Key,
Any thoughts on Price at -111 tomorrow? It feels like a trap, but I still like it with the way Oakland has been struggling against lefties and how awful their bullpen has been. ![]() |
KeyElement | 45 |
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BOL today.
![]() As a Rays fan, I like the Oakland pick, but I think there might be a bit more value on the F5 line. The Rays bullpen has been doing much better recently while the A's has been pretty bad all year. ![]() |
BirdsOnBat | 28 |
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BOL today
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BirdsOnBat | 28 |
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Quote Originally Posted by RAID187: he's asking that question because 5dimes currently has the cardinals at -130 The line was -105 about 30 minutes ago, then it moved quickly to -130. |
BirdsOnBat | 28 |
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Quote Originally Posted by indiansrock: rJ89 this is no time for a voice of reason. ![]() Ok lol ![]() BOL tomorrow then
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indiansrock | 23 |
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Bro, if you feel you suck, you don't have to be playing every day.
I went on a bad run about a week ago and now I'm taking a break. I waste too much time on this stuff anyways, and it is difficult to put the time into capping when you work full-time as I do. If you keep playing, I recommend getting a better book, 5dimes has better lines available for all those games. BOL the rest of the year
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indiansrock | 23 |
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The Twins really sticks out to me. I know they have the worse pitcher, but their lineup has been on fire recently and Detroit's has been kind of flat.
The Cubs might be a good play. The Mets can't hit, and the Cubs are better against lefty's. I'm also leaning towards either the Cards or Cards TT over. |
VegasVandal | 44 |
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Adding SD +138 .. 0.9 to win 1.24
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RJ89 | 5 |
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Monday: 0-4 -2.3 units
Tuesday picks: Minny +135 .. 0.9 u Cin/Atl Over 8 -105 .. to win 1 u System plays: Philly +145 .. 0.45 u Cleveland -110 .. to win 0.5 u Atl +131 .. 0.45 u |
RJ89 | 5 |
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