Rush51

[Quote: Originally Posted by spottie2935]To win the Division: Chargers @ +275  Broncos @ +375 These are better prices than to to the Chiefs under wins.  The risk is how much do the Chiefs regress.  I omitted the Raiders @20-1 no need for this one.[/Quote]

IMHO, I don't think you're being compensated enough on either one of those.. Then you have the "sophomore jinx" w/ Bo Nix in DEN.   You often see it with 2nd year QBs because DC's get a better handle on first year QB's tendencies.  CJ Stroud is the most recent example.    Not a dramatic drop-off with him... but a drop-off nonetheless.  Expect the same from Bo Nix. 

@Indigo999

 This is great info..  Thanks again for posting.  

MIN is already degraded significantly by the books from a 14-win season ; I'm not sure the value on this one, particularly w/ A. Rogers hanging out there to "maybe" displace JJ for one season ?   Even w/ JJ at the helm at QB, this one looks priced about right. 

Out of all these you mentioned,  I probably like the Under on the Rams the most.    A deeper look also shows a -19 point differential last year, despite a 10-7 record.. Consistent with a team that "over-exceeded" expectations based on their +/- point differential.    There has been a lot of flux w/ the NFC West this offseason, particularly with SF & SEA, so that my explain why the 'books are hanging w/ 10 wins for LAR.  But they lost an important piece as well with Cooper Cupp.  This still looks like the best play.  

GL on those plays Indigo !   

He is one of the best players in MLB history,  but I'm just the messenger ;

https://www.si.com/fannation/mlb/fastball/history/mike-trout-passed-hall-of-famer-harold-baines-on-the-all-time-home-runs-list-this-weekend-with-two-homers-on-saturday

It's amazing how much admiration Trout still gets... 

@TJZags598

 When we look back at his career, I think he will get in the HOF based on his statistics primarily in the first half of his career... 

[Quote: Originally Posted by TxRangers]@Rush51  You said you hope the angels can trade trout at the deadline to a contender? Well, one small problem, no one wants Trout on their team for obvious reasons. If he was on the dodgers, he would strike out with the runners on base to end the game just like he did in the WBC a few years ago. Nobody wants this dude. He has 400 strikeouts in the past 5 seasons. And that's not 5 full seasons!! Anyways, thank you for your post, you are a true Angels fan, good luck to you[/Quote]

I disagree... I think those 2 teams in particular would take a chance to find some former glory in Trout.  And  It wouldn't surprise me if a team w a winning culture and atmosphere could get Trout out of his downward trajectory. .  Again,  PHI and NYY are prime candidates IMO.   

@TxRangers

I wish you'd kept the thread alive from last year when you first introduced this topic.  As a lifelong Angels Fan that watches a ton of their games, you'll recall I agreed with a lot you had to say.... And as an Angels Fan, it's atrocious to see what Trout has become.  His average his awful, he strikes out a ton, and his HRs are usually meaningless HRs.  You've already mentioned a lot of this..   He wasn't always this kind of a batter, but this is what he has become.  He can't hit for average, and he strikes out waaaay to much.  It's been this way for at least the last 5 years, it seems.  I'm not sure if Pujols's retirement years ago put pressure on him to be the HR hitter, but whatever Trout's doing is not working.     I actually think he'll stay healthy this year with the move to Right Field taking less of a toll on his body.  This will reveal to all just how poorly of a hitter he has become over a full season. 

**  I can only hope that the Angels trade Trout to a contender at the trade deadline.  I think the NYY and PHI are two organizations that would not hesitate.  I just wonder how much the LAA can get for Trout in a trade.. 

Also, when we look back at Trout's career when it's all said and done,  I think it will be punctuated by a great first half of a career w/ his MVPs and runner up-candidacies, and a significant drop-off in production in the latter half of his career..  even when he was healthy..  

@Raiders22

 Thanks for sharing, Raiders.. 

We saw some explosive returns today, including those quantum computing companies you mentioned,... and SMH & NVDA.  

The 90 day pause is something Bill Ackman just said on Monday,  too. 

Yeah, I would say Trump " blinked " .  It's one thing for the stock market to go upside down, (and that was/is bad enough),  but then the bond markets started to go sideways.  

Agreed... And I don't even think this will end up winning.  Tariffs help "maybe" 5% of the population's workforce... at the expense of hurting everyone else.  We are all Consumers.     It's Not a very wise strategy, but Trump appears to be going to the ends of the earth to help the autoworkers, steelworkers who voted for him in the Rust Belt and Western PA.  At Trump's Tariff roll last week  at the White House, I saw lots of hard hats, bright vests, and Trump even had one of these guys speak at the podium, too.  I applaud his appreciation for wanting to help these workers, but this is not the way forward....   

... No, not really.  The last part isn't true, but are we really that far from this ?

The rhetoric is getting absurd.   

China says , "It will fight to the End !"...  Trump just responded , "We will fight to the Death !! "" 

This trade ended up being a real 'stinker.'  I sold out of the F position last Friday @ $9.28.  What I find remarkable is that I was able to get out of thing with only a -11.5% loss, considering the tariff war Trump has started.  I had thought there would be headwinds on this trade w/ Tariffs, but what was anticipated as a headwind turned into a Cat-5 Hurricane.  The thesis changed, so have I....    In any event, I used the proceeds to buy ETN, which I mentioned in the other thread (What's on your Stock Shopping List).  

@yanks21x

 I would second what Raiders has already said..  Very sound advice all around..  

Me, personally, I keep a small amount of cash on hand (around 5%) to prepare for moments like these.  I deploy the money on corrections and bear market drops (-10%, -20%)...    So, this means a couple of things.  One, I could go long stretches w/ that money sitting in money market or short-term bonds, and Two, I have already deployed a good amount of this 5% stake in the stock market this past week, because corrections have already occurred on S&P 500, and corrections and bear markets have already occurred on my small-cap & mid-cap index funds...  But keep in mind, with this strategy I implement, I would most certainly make more money on that 5% if I had just "bought and hold" the whole time in stocks, and right it out... 

But Investing can be very psychological and emotional... you want to avoid the temptation to sell on market drops like we're experiencing.  My strategy flips that notion on its head, takes out the emotion, .....  even if it's only a small percentage of my overall portfolio that I'm buying on large market drops.  

Hey MUGG,   ARTDB and I were talking about INTC and IBM just a few weeks ago.. here are my comments; 

"" Speaking of "old tech",  I took a small flier on INTC a few months ago.  This one is much more risky ( than IBM) , but I feel it has much more upward potential if they can get bought out or form a partnership (TSMC & AVGO have been interested suitors), or if they can now get things right on a new vision (AI ?) with their new CEO.  This company has been like a rudderless ship ever since they (rightly) fired Gelsinger last year, who really mismanaged the company.  This is a turnaround story for sure fraught w/ risk."" 

@kcblitzkrieg

@wallstreetcappers

I would say pay more attention to the message than the messenger (Ackman).  The point is that a lot of company CEOs and those that handle money likely feel the same. 

MUGG, that should pay off nicely in the long-term. 

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/07/trump-is-losing-the-confidence-of-business-leaders-bill-ackman-says.html

As someone else who voted for Trump,  Bill Ackman is echoing what I've been thinking and saying here on Covers..

" this is 100% self- inflicted" 

" Trump is losing the confidence of the business leaders " ( i.e. uncertainty is the enemy of growth)

And finally,..

" this isn't what we voted for " 

@Raiders22

 Thank you... I will take a look at it..