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2018-19 EPL, Ligue 1, Serie A, Bundesliga & La Liga Picks

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Legend
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Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 41060
Posted: #151
SAT OCT 6th

97. Crystal Palace to DRAW @ 2.22/+122 (EPL) Pinny 2 Units
98. Burnley ML @ 2.15/+115 (EPL) Pinny 2 Units
99. Watford ML @ 2.12/+112 (EPL) Marathon 2 Units
100. Hannover ML @ 2.50/+150 (GER) Bet365 2 Units
101. Roma -1 @ 2.21/+121 (ITA) Marathon 1 Unit
102. Getafe -1 @ 2.33/+133 (SPA) Marathon 2 Units

I have been having internet problems today as my signal keeps dropping so no time for any write ups until my provider fixes the issue. Good Luck
 
Legend
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Posted: #152
FRI OCT 19th Bundesliga

103. Eintracht Frankfurt -1 @ 2.33/+133 (5Dimes) 1 Unit

The home side Frankfurt have won 3 in a row scoring 10 GF while the away side Dusseldorf have lost 3 in a row while managing to score only one goal. The last head to head meeting between them Frankfurt won 3-1. Frankfurt sit in 7th spot in the table where as Dusseldorf are second last. All the numbers point to a decisive home win.
 
Legend
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Posted: #153
SAT OCT 20th EPL

104. Bournemouth ML @ 2.08/+108 (5Dimes) 2 Units

Bournemouth have had a great start to the season sitting in 6th spot with 16 points. The visiting Saints are in 16th spot on only 5 points. Southampton have lost 2 straight lague games and have failed to score a single goal. Bournemouth at home have not lost since April to Man U. I have to back the home side in form at plus money.
 
Legend
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Posted: #154
SAT OCT 20th EPL

105. Cardiff/Fulham to DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Great value here between 2 struggling sides as 20th hosts 17th in the table. Out of the past 5 head to head meetings 3 have ended level and with the EPL still only at 20% for draws this season I'm backing this matchup as the most likely to end tied.
 
Legend
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Posted: #155
SAT OCT 20th Bundesliga

106. Nurnberg +0.5 @ 2.04/+104 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

I don't get the love for the visitors Hoffenheim here in this encounter. Hoffenhiem have lost 3 straight at home and sit in 13th place in the table. They also have a Champions league matchup coming up midweek where they need a result versus Lyon. The home side Nurnberg have won 3 of their past 5 and are in 12th place. The last head to head meeting Nurnberg won 4-0. This could easily end up as a draw as well so good value on the double chance.
 
Legend
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Posted: #156
SAT OCT 20th Bundesliga

107. Leipzig ML @ 2.27/+127 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

I'm liking the visitors here to get a win versus a wounded home side. Augsburg have only won 1 out of their last five games and will be missing key attackers Gregoritch, Schieber, Koo and Ji Dong-won. That leaves Finnbogson by himself to try to get any goals. Leipzig have won 4 in a row coming into his game and sit in 2nd spot in the Bundesliga.
 
Legend
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Posted: #157
SAT OCT 20th La Liga

108. Valencia -1 @ 2.00/+100 (Bet365) 2 Units

The away side Leganes have lost all 4 of their away games and sit in a relegation spot (18th) in the table. Valencia have only lost 2 games in all competitions this season. Head to head Valencia have won all 6 meetings.The last time Leganes played in Valencia they lost 3-0 and I'm expecting a similar result.
 
Legend
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Posted: #158
SUN OCT 21th Ligue 1

109. Saint Etienne ML @ 2.22/+122 (Marathon) 1 Unit
110. Saint Etienne OVER 2.5 @ 2.09/+109 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

Saint Etienne are in 5tth spot in the table with a 4W 1D home record. The visitors are in 11th spot and have a 1W 6L 2D away record this season. Both sides have had 4 of their past 6 games end over 2.5 goals and average a combined 2.73 goals per game this season. The last meeting in Saint Etienne ended 2-2. I'm expecting a 2-1 result so to have both wagers at pls money even if one hits I see a profit.
 
Legend
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Posted: #159
SUN OCT 21th Bundesliga

111. Hertha Berlin ML @ 1.88/-113 (Marathon) 2 Units
112. Hertha Berlin OVER 2.5 @ 2.16/+116 (Marathon) 2 Units

Another instance of 5th place hosting 11th place. The visitors Freiburg have only won 1 league game away from home since X-Mas of 2017. Hertha Berlin have won 6 straight home games. Freiburg are also missing 8 players to injury that is a quarter of their squad. Both sides have had 3 of their last 5 games go over 2.5 goals and average a combined 2.93 goals per game
 
Rookie
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Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 837
Posted: #160

Hi DJ what do you think of Dortmund ML (@1.81) and the over 3 (@2.00). Some trends in favor of the over:

Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches against Borussia Dortmund in all competitions

Borussia Dortmund have scored at least 4 goals in their last 3matches

Borussia Dortmund have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches against Stuttgart in all competitions.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Borussia Dortmund's last 3 games

 

I am liking Dortmund to win, because they have been on fire lately and Stuttgart has been anything but on fire. 

 
Legend
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Posted: #161
SUN OCT 21th Serie A

113. Frosinone to DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (Marathon) 1 Unit
114. Bologna to DRAW @ 3.32/+232 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
115. Inter Milan to DRAW @ 3.41/+241 (5Dimes) 1 Unit

We have gone 20 straight league games without a draw in Italy dropping the average to 18% for the season. Out of Sundays card these 3 matches present the most likely to end level anything from a derby in Milan where 4 of the past 5 have ended level to a bottom of the table battle between Chievo and Atalanta. 1 hit equals a profit so hoping for 2
 
Legend
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Posted: #162
Quote Originally Posted by JVH1818:

Hi DJ what do you think of Dortmund ML (@1.81) and the over 3 (@2.00). Some trends in favor of the over:

Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches against Borussia Dortmund in all competitions

Borussia Dortmund have scored at least 4 goals in their last 3matches

Borussia Dortmund have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches against Stuttgart in all competitions.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Borussia Dortmund's last 3 games

 

I am liking Dortmund to win, because they have been on fire lately and Stuttgart has been anything but on fire. 


I like your reasoning and everything points to a 3-1 result for the away side...I just dont like the price for the over and the ML you can likely get better IN Game. Dortmund score the majority of their goals in the 2nd half
 
Legend
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Posted: #163
SUN OCT 21th Serie A

116. Chievo +0.5 @ 2.42/+142 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

Both of these teams pretty much suck. last season in Chievo they drew 1-1. Atalanta is in 17th spot and Chievo are in 20th. I figure home advantage is worth a draw as Chievo in the last 20 home games 5W 6D 8L. Atalanta since April have 1 away win. Doublr Chance would have been fairly prized at even money so its worth a punt at these odds.
 
Legend
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Posted: #164
MON OCT 22nd Serie A

117. Sampdoria ML @ 2.20/+120 (Bet365) 2 Units

Lets look at the numbers here, we have 5th spot Sampdoria with a +8 goal differential and the best defense in the league with only 4 GA hosting 8th place Sassuolo with a +1 goal differential and the 3rd worse defense in the league with 14 GA. Form wise we have the home side with back to back wins and the away side with back to back losses. Elo rank 1646-1624, Transfer value of 165-132 & S&Y internationals 16-14. On top of all this the books are giving me plus money...SOLD.
 
Legend
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Posted: #165
SAT OCT 27th La Liga & Bundesliga

118. Celta Vigo ML @ 2.22/+122 (Marathon) 2 Units
119. Levante ML @ 2.22/+122 (Marathon) 2 Units
120. Levante OVER 2.5 @ 2.10/+110 (Marathon) 1 Unit
121. Mainz UNDER 3 @ 2.05/+105 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
 
Legend
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Posted: #166
SUN OCT 28th Serie A

122. Sassuolo ML @ 1.91/-110 (WillHill) 2 Units
123. Genoa ML @ 2.11/+111 (5Dimes) 2 Units
 
Rookie
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Posts: 911
Posted: #167

Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:

SAT OCT 27th La Liga & Bundesliga118. Celta Vigo ML @ 2.22/+122 (Marathon) 2 Units119. Levante ML @ 2.22/+122 (Marathon) 2 Units120. Levante OVER 2.5 @ 2.10/+110 (Marathon) 1 Unit121. Mainz UNDER 3 @ 2.05/+105 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

 

GOod day to day. thankyou

 
Legend
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Posted: #168
SAT NOV 3rd Bundesliga & EPL

124. Cardiff/Leicester OVER 2.5 @ 2.09/+109 (Marathon) 2 Units
125. West Ham/Burnley OVER 2.5 @ 2.02/+102 (Marathon) 2 Units
126. Hertha Berlin +0.25 @ 1.97/-103 (Pinnacle) 3 Units
 
Rookie
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Posts: 823
Posted: #169
3 units fade is Golden with this one :)
 
Rookie
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Joined: May, 2016
Posts: 807
Posted: #170

Quote Originally Posted by murbani:

3 units fade is Golden with this one :)

I always wonder why covers have some dumbfxxk like you .You do nothing to the forum and all you do is bitxhing and rub it in when people lost . 

 
Legend
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Posted: #171
SUN NOV 4th Ligue 1

127. Montpellier/Marseille to DRAW @ 3.30/+230 (Marathon)
128. Montpellier UNDER 1.5 @ 3.40/+240 (Bet365)
 
Legend
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Posted: #172
FRI NOV 9th La liga

129. Levante ML @ 2.75/+175 (SPA) 2 Units
 
Rookie
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Posts: 911
Posted: #173

Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:

FRI NOV 9th La liga129. Levante ML @ 2.75/+175 (SPA) 2 Units

 

Anything for tomorrow? good luck!

 
Veteran
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Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 3153
Posted: #174
Quote Originally Posted by ykim49:

 

Anything for tomorrow? good luck!

This may sound arrogant but with all due respect, I imagine if he had any plays he would post them in here.

 
 
Legend
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Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 41060
Posted: #175
Hey Sorry Guys It is my Birthday today and I had no time to post.

Hoping for the best today. Much respect to all the veterans on this Remembrance Day.

Peace Always

SUN NOV 11th

130. Bordeaux ML @ 1.88/-112 (FRA) 3 Units Marathon
131. Nantes OVER 2.5 @ 2.14/+114 (FRA) 2 Units Pinnacle
132. Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 @ 2.07/+107 (GER) 1 Unit Pinnacle
133. Atalanta to DRAW @ 3.48/+248 (ITA) 2 Units Marathon
134. Chievo to DRAW @ 3.17/+217 (ITA) 2 Units Pinnacle
135. AC Milan OVER 2.5 @ 2.11/+111 (ITA) 1 Unit Pinnacle
136. Alaves ML @ 1.88/-112 (SPA) 3 Units Pinnacle
137. Real Madrid -1 @ 2.04/+104 (SPA) 1 Unit Marathon



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