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2018-19 EPL, Ligue 1, Serie A, Bundesliga & La Liga Picks

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:

SAT EPL

20. Bournemouth to DRAW @ 3.60/+260 (WillHill) 1 Unit
21. Huddersfield to DRAW @ 3.10/+210 (WillHill) 1 Unit
22. Southampton to DRAW @ 3.30/+230 (WillHill) 1 Unit

Last season in the EPL 26% of matches ended level. This season after the first 2 rounds we have only had 3 draws or 15% of games ending level. I expect a regression toward the mean this weekend. If one draw hits we have a profit.

Great call...Had it on a $100 parlay to win $1500 ugggg that last second goal Liecester..so close!
 
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Posted: #52
SAT Serie A

32. AC Milan +1 @ 1.85/-117 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

I'm expecting a close game here as Ancelloti faces his Family club. The lack of ambition in Napoli could start to show cracks as the team failed to sign any big names as of yet to mount any title challenge this season.
 
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Posted: #53
SAT La Liga

33. Real Valladolid +2 @ 2.22/+122 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

Backing another promoted underdog in their home opener vs the mighty Barca. Valladolid actually won their last head to head meeting 1-0, I'm just hoping they don't get blown out at home where they are on a 7 game undefeated streak and in the past 15 have a record of 10W 4D 1L. Barcelona away from home last season in La Liga won 4 games by 3 or more. Won 7 games by 2 and won or tied/lost the rest 8 games. So odds wise I see a .22 value above even money of the likely 2 goal outcome.
 
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Posted: #54
SUN Bundesliga

34. Mainz to DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (Marathon) 1 Unit

It was a bad day for me in the Bundesliga on Saturday trying my luck in this one that looks way too close to call. So far we have only seen 1 draw in the opening round in a league that averages 27% where I backed the home side to win.
 
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Posted: #55
SUN La Liga

35. Sevilla ML @ 1.85/-117 (Marathon) 1 Unit

I love the numbers here where comparing the 2 sides. ELO Rank 1774-1748, Transfer Value 209-193. S7Y Internationals 11-7. Form wise Sevilla 4 wins out of the past 5 compared to the visitors Villareal 1 win out of their last 5. Head to head wise Villareal are winless in their last 2 vs Sevilla both home and away.
 
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Posted: #56

good job!!!!!

buddy do you have twitter????

 
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Posted: #57
MON La Liga

36. Levante OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (WillHill) 1 Unit

Last season Levante averaged 2.68 goals per game & Celta averaged 3.13. The last meeting was a 4-2 result for Celta. 3 of the past 4 head to head meeting ended over 2.5. So far very early in the new season La Liga only averages 2.27 gpg where as l;ast season the average was 2.695. Hoping for some goals.
 
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Posted: #58

Thank you DJ! Any Seria A insight today?

Gl!

 
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Posted: #59
eljmnz--- Sorry man I don't do Twitter
 
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Posted: #60
ykim--- Just leans...Cagliari & Frosinone to Draw & Genoa ML
 
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Posted: #61

Thank you :) Have a good one!!

 
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Posted: #62
MON EPL

37. Man U OVER 2.5 @ 2.08/+108 (Marathon) 1 Unit
38. Man U PK @ 1.84/-119 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Usually you never get a decent price on Man U at home but it looks like the fair weather birds have left the building and everyone sees doom and gloom for Mourinho. I'm expecting a bounce back performance. Spurs have lost the last 4 times they were in Manchester. The last head to head meeting was a 2-1 Victory for United in a FA Cup match.. Form wise both sides have had 4 of the past 5 games go over 2.5. Last season Spurs averaged 2.89 & United 2.53 goals per match. Both sides have plenty of talent that can find the back of the net.
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:

ykim--- Just leans...Cagliari & Frosinone to Draw & Genoa ML


Damn should have played my leans
 
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Posted: #64
MON La Liga

39. Athletic Club -1 @ 2.21/+121 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

Love the numbers here 220-30 in Transfer market value, 1703-1616 in ElO Rank, 6-2 in Senior & Youth Internationals on the squad. Form wise 6W 1L past 7 vs 4E 3L for the visitors. Huesca won their last game even though being outplayed they finished with 36% possession and zero corners. Athletic Club also won their opening fixture with 63% possession. I really feel we might see a blow out here.
 
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Posted: #65

Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:

Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:

ykim--- Just leans...Cagliari & Frosinone to Draw & Genoa ML
Damn should have played my leans
 
Hey DJ- THe Lean & insight that you gave me is 4/0 ! Anyway keep it up man!

 
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Posted: #66
Updated Record heading into Monday Aug 27

EPL             5-1-0   +683 Units
LaLiga        5-4-0   +187 Units
Serie A       3-2-1   +180 Units
Ligue 1       5-4-0   +157 Units
Bundesliga 0-5-0    -500 Units
 
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Posted: #67
FRI Bundesliga

40. Hannover +1 @ 1.97/-103 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

I'm backing the home underdog here that come into the match with an extra day of rest and good form 13 points out of their past 5 games. Dortmund have not won a league away game since February. The last time they met in Hannover, Dortmund lost 4-2 last season. Getting a goal on the Asian Handicap is great value.
 
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Posted: #68
When your team doesn't make any signings because they are that good 

#COYS!
 
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Posted: #69
FRI LaLiga

40. Getafe ML @ 1.81/-123 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Getafe have had 6 clean sheets in the past 7 games with only Real Madrid scoring 2 in Madrid. The visitors Valladolid are winless to start the season and have failed to score in their past 3 games. I was tempted to take the win to nil option at 2.60/+160 but decided to drink a tad of juice on the ML.
 
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Posted: #70
SAT Ligue 1

42. Dijon ML @ 1.95/-105 (WillHill) 1 Unit

This game is a home vs away play. The last 17 league games Caen manages only 1 win compared over the same time span 15 home games for Dijon only 2 loses. The last 2 games in Dijon ended up with 2-0 scorelines in favour of the home side. I had the game set at 1.80/-125 so any odds better than that equal value.
 
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Posted: #71
Getafe odds jumped up to 1.90 (bet365) and 1.95 on Marathon. Any news on why?
 
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Posted: #72
SAT Ligue 1

43. Nimes +2 @ 1.91/-110 (Bet365) 1 Unit

Once again backing the promoted home side playing the very public PSG side that offer negative value. In the past 40 games both home and away Nimes have not lost by more than 2 goals. They beat Marseille 3-1 in their opener and are undefeated in the past 5. PSG have not won by more than 2 goals versus anyone in the past 13 away games.
 
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Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by stephortless:

Getafe odds jumped up to 1.90 (bet365) and 1.95 on Marathon. Any news on why?


No idea I guess everyone expects a 0-0 type of game
 
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Posted: #74

BOL DJ. The Getafe play seems good to me. Lets hope they net at least one. an_cheers

 
 
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Posted: #75
SAT Bundesliga

44. Augsburg to DRAW @ 3.48/+248 (Marathon) 1 Unit
45. Nurnburg to DRAW @ 3.45/+245 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Draw hunting in Germany where in the 1st round only 1 game ended level. Out of the 9 games this weekend these 2 look like most likely to end tied. Hoping for at least one for a good return.
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