WORLD CUP 2022 Preview & Picks Thread

Looking forward to your one of a kind draw hunting. 

Best of Luck DJ 

Canada v Croatia

28. Total Cards OVER  4  @ 1.90/-111 (1u) Bet365

I don't know what to expect from Canada or Croatia in this second round so I'm staying away from playing a side or total and waiting for in game opportunities. The one angle I love is the card prop. If there is one thing for sure in this world cup is that you do not want referee Andres Matonte from Argentina to be in charge of your games. The guy is a mad man and averages more yellow and red cards then any other ref in the tournament. Yellows 5.6 per match. Reds in 57% of his games. Add to that fact that Canada's coach needlessly pisses of the Croatians with his comments, this will get heated.

LEAN

Total Cards OVER 4.5 @ 2.20/+120  Bet365

Germany v Spain

29. FT DRAW @ 3.52/+252 (1u) Marathon

Germany were handed a life line with Japan losing their game versus Costa Rica. Spain already have 3 points in their pocket and will most likely play not to lose here. Both of these football giants now should be able to advance knowing their final group game will be very much winnable. Spain is to good to lose here and Germany can;t afford to lose so I'm on the draw.

LEAN

CS 1-1 @ 6.40/+540  Unibet

@wolfeman3

Cameroon v Serbia

30. Serbia ML @ 1.81/-123 (2u) Unibet

31. A. Mitrovic anytime goalscorer @ 2.30/+130 (1u) Bet365

32. D. Vlahovic anytime goalscorer @ 2.30/+130 (1u) Bet365

Once again backing the better team in this fixture. Outside of their opening game loss to Brazil Serbia were undefeated in 6. Cameroon go into this match now winless in their past 5 after losing to Switzerland. I rate the Swiss and Serbia almost the same so when I becked The Swiss on the ML versus Cameroon I will do the same and fade Cameroon here.

Mitrovic has been really hot lately with 17 goals scored in his past 20 games for club and country. As has Vlahovic who has scored 5 goals in his last 10. I think one of these if not both put one into the net on Monday.

LEAN

NONE

Korea v Ghana

33. South Korea PK @ 1.78/-128 (1u) Pinnacle

I'm backing the draw no bet here as Korea really impressed me versus a much superior opponent in Uruguay getting a point there. Ghana lost their opener to Portugal and looked vulnerable conceding 3 goals. South Korea beat Cameroon back in September 1-0 an opponent similar to Ghana. I expect Korea to go all out for a win here as their last match opponent is Portugal. I also think their talisman Son scores their first goal here.

LEAN

Son Heung-Min to score anytime @ 2.75/+175 Bet365

Brazil v Switzerland

34. Switzerland +1.25 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle

Brazil will be without injured Neymar and Danilo. Brazil beat Serbia 2-0 in their opener, The Swiss are a much better side defensively then Serbia. The last meeting between these sides at the last world cup ended in a 1-1 draw. The 2 meetings prior to that, the Swiss win 1-0 in 2013 & Brazil wins 2-1 in 2006. Brazil is overvalued here and getting the goal plus a quarter is value. Brazil have lowly Cameroon on tap that they should dismantle with ease. Staying healthy in this compact world cup will be key for Brazil so a draw here or a 1-0 result for Brazil is the most likely outcome.

LEAN

HT Result DRAW @ 2.43/+143 Unibet

DJ—nice work with that Spain draw!

@docpj72

@DiamondJack

 The DiamondEqualizer baby!!! Great call DJ!

@Ildjarn

 just waiting for the K/O rounds to warm up the draw machine

DJ, that 1-1 Spain vs Germany was amazing!

@PortelaTips

 not many people like draws that's why you get the value in backing them

Yes indeed.  Value. 

Portugal v Uruguay

35. Uruguay +0.5 @ 1.88/-119 (1u) Bet365

The last time these sides met was at the last world cup back in 2018 when Uruguay got the better of Portugal winning 2-1. Portugal looked weak at the back in their opening game versus Ghana conceding 2 goals. Portugal now have a key injury concern as Danilo broke his ribs in training and now will be replaced by 39 year old Pepe. I'm expecting a cautious approach to the game as both sides will play not to lose. Portugal is over valued here at evens as I would have them priced at around +130. Even though I'm backing Portugal to go on a run in this world cup, there is too much value to pass up with Uruguay in this match.

LEAN

FT Result DRAW @ 3.38/+238 Pinnacle

Qatar v Netherlands

36. Netherlands -2 @ 2.07/+107 (1u) Bet365

37. M. Depay anytime goalscorer 2.12/+112 (1u) Unibet

Qatar was able to buy the tournament but it looks like they could not buy a result. Now they face the group favourites in what in all aspects should be a mauling. Th Dutch need to win to guarantee first place and avoid most likely England in the round of 16. Memphis Depay should start for the first time and I think he will feast on this Qatari team that has nothing to play for except pride. Before going down with injury he was my golden boot pick. I expect that if he is healthy he scores.

LEAN

Total Goals Over 3.5 @ 2.35/+135 Unibet

Senegal v Ecuador

38. FT Result DRAW @ 3.22/+222 (1u) Bet365

Ecuador just need a single point to advance out of this group. Draws have been their specialty with 6 of the past 9 games ending level. Ecuador has also been very good defensively registering 7 clean sheets in their past 8 games with only Holland getting one goal against them. Senegal beat up on a poor Qatar side but lost to the Netherlands and were not able to score. Once again without Sadio Mane I can't back this side to advance.

LEAN

HT/FT Result DRAW/DRAW @ 4.33/+333 Unibet

Adding

Senegal v Ecuador 

39. Total Cards OVER 4.5 @ 1.88/-114 (1u) Bet365

Forgot that Ecuador are the dirtiest at the show and this game means something

.

USA v Iran

40. Total Goals Under 2 @ 2.17/+117 (1u) Pinnacle

If there is anything that Carlos Queiros is good at its parking the bus. Iran's manager is defence first oriented. A draw gets them through so they will sit back and try to counter. I expect the United States to have more possession of the ball. I expect a very nervous cagey encounter. The card prop is set too high in my opinion at 5.5, but I might like it in game for the second half depending on the circumstances. 1-0 final for the United States seems likely.

LEAN

CS USA 1-0 @ 6.50/+550 Bet365

Wales v England

NO PLAYS

I don't have any plays here as Wales is hoping to win and praying the USA/Iran game ends in a draw. Depending on what is going on at half time this is a game I'm betting in play. Both teams are in poor form as Wales is winless in their past 7 games and England have only 1 win in their past 8. The past 6 head to head games have all been won by England. In those 6 games Wales only scored 1 goal.

LEAN

Total Goals Under 2.5 @ 1.88/-114 Marathon

CS USA 1-0!  
 DJ the Great!

Running late this morning

Denmark v Australia

41. Denmark win to Nil @ 2.40/+140 (1u) Unibet

France v Tunisia

42. Half with most goals 2nd @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365

@wolfeman3