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A conference a day (NCAAF results using Morrison's NFL system)

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Posted: #126
Been in and out most of the day.  Flipped on the tube and see three of the early games looking very good!!!  Auburn is a crazy game.  Hope you played that game a little more and did not get alarmed when the line jumped from 3.5 to 6.5 before game time.  I just made another small bet before the game started on Auburn +6.5. 

North Carolina State [A] wins
Auburn [A] has this one locked up
Missouri [A] looking good, still a half to go.

Looking at 3-0 going into the late games. 
 
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Posted: #127
this thread......   Keep it up!
 
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Posted: #128
Quote Originally Posted by kevin2565:

Kinda shaky about making that Nevada B bet. There quarterback is pretty sick and against a team like Hawaii. 

But then again the systems been rock solid so far why question it now.


Yeah i meant bet on hawaii sorry if I confused anyone. Glad I made that bet. Great weekend guys 5-1

Lets get our NFL C bet tomorrow
 
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Posted: #129
Quote Originally Posted by KMang:

this thread......   Keep it up!


YES I AGREE
 
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Posted: #130
Thanks to everyone on the kangy choo choo train!!  LOL!! 

Was a phenomenal day!  Went 5-1 on the day!!

Hawai'i +28 [B] - Wins
Auburn +3.5 [A] - Wins
Missouri ML [A] - Wins
North Carolina State +9.5 [A] - Wins
UCLA +10 [A] - Wins
Western Kentucky +11 or +13.5 [A] -  Loses (at least I didn't have to worry about what to do with this one!!)  Dang Hilltoppers could not finish 'em off!! 


for everyone!!


Totals so far this year
Individual.... 15-6
Series........ 15-0 (1 pending)

 
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Posted: #131
Western Kent.......Jeezus.....terrible D....terrible  terrible
 
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Posted: #132
Great day!! goin 5-1  been watching these plays for a couple weeks now  very impressive  bet themsingle aand in a parlay    just about had it         any picks for NFL using this system??????
 
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Posted: #133
Fred, check elsewhere in this forum for those picks.  I just took the NFL system and molded it for college (w/ filters).  The NFL system appears to hold its own without needing the filters due to parity.
 
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Posted: #134

BOOOYAAA !!!!!!   i will take that to the bank every week, kangy if you would please add uab  to the win colum from our first week of plays it was a winner also,  my bad i forgot to post it..

Fred check out on3 thread on nfl system, its also undefeated!!

Kangy check this out on nfl on3 trying a twist if a team is above 500 instead of waiting on the 3rd loss before starting a series, play game three as A game. we have missed about 8 or 9 (they have all covered before going to the C game)  plays waiting on game 3 to be a loser. giants and bears were the plays today, giants lost bears won. now B game for nyg. sorry to talk nfl on your thread but thought you might like info, im going to try and and backtest some of this  for ncaa maybe it will help us make some moooolaa!!!!    

 
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Posted: #135
Crane, thanks.  I was late posting the plays that week.  This was a Thursday night game.  Yes, it was a winner, but the game had already been played by the time I had posted that week's plays (10/1), so I just omitted it.  
 
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Posted: #136
wondering if this type of system could be applied elsewhere....such as college hoops?
 
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Posted: #137
What are the plays for this week? This system rules. Thanks.
 
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Posted: #138
Thanks Mikey!  Hope it continues to bring in the dough! 

This week I found four plays.  We are catching some poor teams at home this week and a decent road team with a chance to win outright!!


Here are the Week 10 plays...


COLORADO STATE ML [A] @ UNLV - normal play, may jump up as game time approaches.  If the line flips the other way, wait until game time and grab the + points.

SAN JOSE STATE +14 [A] vs. Nevada - normal play.  May want to catch this at 14.5 or higher.

TULANE +7 [A] vs. UTEP - filtered play with the 5 game under .500 and 75-pt SU rule, warrants a play on this team.  This one scares me a bit, but try to catch 7.5 line or higher.  If the line drops, buy to +7.

WESTERN KENTUCKY +24.5 [B] vs. Troy - last game between these two was close, let's see if it is close again.


Week 11 plays

NEW MEXICO STATE [A] @ Hawaii - IDLE THIS WEEK


Filtered teams to watch for next week:

Kansas - a regression team, therefore we filter it for this week and watch this team for next week. 

Rice - Meets the 5 game below .500 and 75-point SU losses criteria.  The system filters do not warrant a play on this team this week.  Will need to watch again for next week.


Good luck to all!  Let's grab the loot and celebrate another winning week. 

 
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Posted: #139
Quote Originally Posted by usakangy:

Thanks Mikey!  Hope it continues to bring in the dough! 

This week I found four plays.  We are catching some poor teams at home this week and a decent road team with a chance to win outright!!


Here are the Week 10 plays...


COLORADO STATE ML [A] @ UNLV - normal play, may jump up as game time approaches.  If the line flips the other way, wait until game time and grab the + points.

SAN JOSE STATE +14 [A] vs. Nevada - normal play.  May want to catch this at 14.5 or higher.

TULANE +7 [A] vs. UTEP - filtered play with the 5 game under .500 and 75-pt SU rule, warrants a play on this team.  This one scares me a bit, but try to catch 7.5 line or higher.  If the line drops, buy to +7.

WESTERN KENTUCKY +24.5 [B] vs. Troy - last game between these two was close, let's see if it is close again.


Week 11 plays

NEW MEXICO STATE [A] @ Hawaii - IDLE THIS WEEK


Filtered teams to watch for next week:

Kansas - a regression team, therefore we filter it for this week and watch this team for next week. 

Rice - Meets the 5 game below .500 and 75-point SU losses criteria.  The system filters do not warrant a play on this team this week.  Will need to watch again for next week.


Good luck to all!  Let's grab the loot and celebrate another winning week. 



Did I ever tell you that you are my hero!?
 
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Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by kevin2565:



Did I ever tell you that you are my hero!?
Yes, in your post!  All I need is a red cape!! 
 
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Posted: #141
if i decide to jump in this week, do i play western kentucky as game A against troy even though according to the system it is already game B?
 
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Posted: #142
Quote Originally Posted by rm2673:

if i decide to jump in this week, do i play western kentucky as game A against troy even though according to the system it is already game B?


Yeah I would
 
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Posted: #143
would this work for the NBA as well?
 
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Posted: #144
I have some general questions on the Labourchere method. Hopefully kangy or someone can answer these.

1. How do we determine how many lines we play with? Is it up to us or does it depend on the number of games I will be wagering on? What is the benefit of having multiple lines?

2. Is there a rule that dictates what game we put on which line? Can I put 2 games on one line and none the second line?

3. Assuming I am doing 2 lines:
X:  10-10-10-10-10
Y:  10-10-10-10-10

and I win 3 wagers straight I would get this:
X: 10
Y: 10-10-10
Would I say that I cleared line 1?
Do I have to clear both lines to move up a level relative to my BR or are they independent?

How much should I move up from one level to next?

 
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Posted: #145
I suppose you have an exit strategy for the end of the season coming up?
I mean like not starting any new series with less then 3 weeks left in the regular season I would assume, right?
If you stated it before - my bad just too lazy this late to look back
   I know......... excuses.......
...........................
 
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Posted: #146
Been following this thread...

Thanks for posting
 
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Posted: #147
rm2673:  This will not work exactly with NBA.  The best I have seen is if you take a 4 game SU and ATS but I am still in the testing phases of that and not using it this year. 

This is for another thread, but basically I would play 3 lines.  Say your bankroll is $1000, use lines like this:
25-25-25-25
25-25-25-25
25-25-25-25

30% gain when you clear all three lines.  On a loss for a game, distribute the losses and add to the last number... example losing 50.  We distribute 17 across and add to the last number.
25-25-25-42
25-25-25-42
25-25-25-42

On a series loss, distribute amongst all three lines and add an extra entry:
25-25-25-42-30
25-25-25-42-30
25-25-25-42-30

If one line gets shorter than the others, I go after the longer line first. (next bet to win 55)
25-25-30
25-25-25-42-30-30
30

As an added bonus, when you lose 50 to make 40, you can distribute the 40 across the three lines (17 on each) and I like to add 1 or 2 to that number, so that I pick up additional dollars at the end.


Montana:   My exit strategy is when a team has less than three games left, play about half the size and use labby if you aren't already.  We get just as many wins in the last three games as we do losses of one or two, so play wisely.


 
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Posted: #148
Quote Originally Posted by hard8:

Been following this thread...

Thanks for posting
Thanks for checking!  Good luck! 
 
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Posted: #149
When you clear all labby lines, you SHOULD be close to 30% increase.  Therefore, after ALL lines are cleared, increase the lines 20-30%.  30's might become 35's or 40s.  Live by the 72% rule.  When you clear the lines about 2.5 times, you have doubled your money.  Clear all lines 5 times and quadruple your money..... etc.
 
 
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Posted: #150
72% rule is this....  If you increased your stake 10% every day for about 7.2 days, you will have doubled your money...

Day 1... Start $100, add 10%, finish $110
Day 2... Start $110, add 10%, finish $121
Day 3... Start $121, add 10%, finish $133
Day 4... Start $133, add 10%, finish $146
Day 5... Start $146, add 10%, finish $161
Day 6... Start $161, add 10%, finish $177
Day 7... Start $177, add 10%, finish $194
Day 8... Start $194, add 10%, finish $213 

It is actually after 7.2 days, your $100, becomes $200. 

So conservative money management would be just gain 1% on your bankroll every day for 365 days... (doubling every 72 days)... If you did that, you would have multiplied your roll by over 5x.  (365/72)

Do this again, at the end of your second year, your $100 bankroll is now $2500 (25x)

After the third year, it is now $12500 (125x), you get the drift.....

Looking good to a lot of people, yes?
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