Friday, July 23 MLB Series System Picks
1. (gmA) TB (-145) to win 1 unit
2. (gmA) Cinci (-150) to win 1 unit
3. (Rec) Yanks RL (-115) risk 0.5 units
4. (Rec) Det (-105) to win 0.5 units
5. (Rec) Angels RL(-115) to win 1 unit
***Results from July 22***
1. Min (-170) to win 1.5 units-------------win
2. Det (-135) to win 2 units----------------win
3. Yanks RL (-145) to win 1 unit-----------win
4. SF (-125) to win 1 unit---------------win
5. LAD (-160) to win 1.5 units-----------------win
Total for July 22: 5-0, +7.0 units
***Notes***
Sweep! Been awhile since we had one. Good times. We should be positive for the week no matter what now. Let's see if we can tack on a few more units here over the weekend.
I've changed the way the plays are posted. From now on each play will be listed as Game A, B, C or recovery as indicated above. Read the post about the new MM system for explanation. You'll notice some very wimpy 1/2 unit plays. We'll have many of those until we build up our cushion again. Trust me, it will help us in the long run. The focus is on per series profits! We don't want to put ourselves in a position where we win a game on a series but lose money on that same series. For now, playing 1/2 units gives us the chance to exploit our stat that we win 2 games 87% of the time.
I've also changed the way the record is displayed below. Because we
are using a different mm strategy, I want to keep the 2nd half record
separate from the 1st half record. The other thing I will track is how
many units we save or lose due to playing the RL. The stat will
represent units saved on losses by playing the RL and units lost on 1
run wins where we play the RL. So far we have saved 1.1 units...we
saved 2.4 on losses on Minnesota on Monday and Tuesday and we lost 1.3
units on TB on Wednesday. Also, since our focus is on our per series
profit, let's keep a record of that as well. I'd like to see that
number be around 1 but we'll see how we do. It will fluctuate a lot
until we get more data. That should be made up for in the long run. I
think we should do very well for the 2nd half. We're off to a great
start with 15 units in our sights for the week.
****Record and Stats***
1st half SU record: 118-100, -18.7 units
1st half SERIES record: 103-9
-----------------------------------------
2nd half Per Series profit (through July 21): +1.06 units
Recovery bank balances (AL,NL,road): (-3.9, 0, 0)
Units saved on RL: +1.1 units (keeping record to verify if playing RL is worth it)
2nd half SU record: 17-7, +11.7 units
2nd half SERIES record (through July 22): 11-0
OVERALL Series Record (through July 22): 114-9
Good luck,
Leprechaun
. Pick ourselves up and
dust off after getting roughed up pretty bad. Good number of plays on
the board. Texas would be a play but we skip them due to the Seattle
losing streak. We'll pick them up if they lose the A game. Also, if
Detroit loses the early game, we'll play the B game for 2 units...I
might not have a chance to post it. We'll back off a little on things
but we are not giving up after one bad day. We've been through much
worse this season. Let's get a few of these units back for Tuesday.
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