NCAA Football -6 game chase 3480-1 since 1980

Covers had Vandy over 49.5

Final score 48-3

I had Vandy at 51 through the Station Casinos. That is where I will most likely bet so I went with that. Would be easy to take the lower total that Covers had, but it wouldn't be a true test for how I would bet. Where does covers get their lines? Just curious. Since I'm in Vegas, I use my local lines.

Ready for week 5, here are the lines I have right now, I will shop for lines in Vegas on Friday for Staurday's games:

Game 2:  Cincy 45.5 over

Game 3: TCU 54.5 over, Oregon St 60 over, Wash 48.5 over, Texas A&M 64 over. Oklahoma and Vandy DNP stay on game 3 next week.

Game 4: Boise St 52 under, Tulane 55 under, Utah St 52.5 under. Miss St DNP this week and stays on game 4 next week.

BTW for the NFL we'd be down to 3 teams on game 4 (unders) Dallas, AZ, Seattle. Or should we chase overs? See below.

Did some back testing for the past 5 seasons and found if you did a 6 game chase just like for the NCAAF one, but used all OVERS the system went 160-0 with only 3 teams going to a game 6. In 2009 Washington pushed in week 1 then finally got an over in week 7, Washington in 2007 pushed in week 1, had a week 4 bye and went over in week 7, Tenn in 2007 had a bye in week 4 and went over for the first time in week 7.  

Week 5 results: 4 wins, 4 losses, 3 DNP. 7 teams left!

Cincy, Oregon St, Texas A&M, Utah St (under) all won

Oklahoma, Vandy DNP - game 3 next week

TCU, Washington loss - game 4 next week

Miss St DNP - game 4 next week

Boise St, Tulane loss - game 5 next week

I used $10 as a unit. Game 1 bet $11 to win $10. If they went to game 2 bet $27.50 to win $25, game 3 is $55 to win $50, game 4 is $115.50 to win $105. With those in mind, would have laid out $902 in week 1, $1100 in week 2, $1177 in week 3, $1116.50 in week 4, $594 in week 5. Was up $673.50 after week 4. Week 5 was a $111 loss, so up $562.50 total.

Ready for week 6. There are 7 teams left.

Game 3: Vandy 44 over, Oklahoma 57.5 over ($55 to win $50 ea)

Game 4: TCU 42 under, Washington 65.5 under, Miss St. 46.5 under ($115.50 to win $105 ea)

Game 5: Boise St. 47 under, Tulane 55 under ($242 to win $220 ea)

Week 6 results: 3 wins, 4 losses. 4 teams left!

Oklahoma (over) Miss St and Tulane (both under) all won

Vandy (over) lost goes to game 4 next week

TCU, Washington (both under) lost - game 5 next week

Boise St. (under) loss - game 6 next week (Yikes!)

Week 7 here we go. 4 teams left. Sure am glad I'm testing on here before actually laying money down. Would be kind of nervous with all these 4-6 game chases.

Game 4 - Vandy 41 under

Game 5 - TCU 68.5 under, Washington 55 under

Game 6 (final game): Boise State 57.5 under

Split this week going 2-2 but still a profit since the game 6 team won.

Game 4 - Vandy 41 under

Game 5 - TCU 68.5 under      Washington 55 under

Game 6 (final game): Boise State 57.5 under

Vandy goes to game 5, TCU to the dreaded game 6. I probably would have stopped after week 4 when I was up 67.35 units, or after week 5 up 56.25 units. With the big win by Boise St., up 73.1 units but two big bets for next week. I'll track them for the systems sake but I would have bought my wife the wine fridge she wants and pocketed the rest a while ago.   

Dan, are you going to bet over NE/SEA?

Yes, Vandy is Vanderbilt. They were on game 3 last week, so we were still betting the OVER.

Since 2007, every team has had at least 1 over in their first 6 games (a push would extend to game 7. Seattle is the last team remaining so they system would say yes. I'm just tracking, not placing any real $$. If you do, good luck, I hope it goes over.

Seattle OVER. That makes the NFL 6 run over chase 192-0 since 2007.

Interesting question, never really thought about it as it didn't come up this year. I'm assuming in your scenario team A and B are playing each other. I think you have it backwards because the system calls for betting the OVER in the first 3 games then the under. In any case I would place 2 bets, with the larger bet on Team A obviously. I would also try to find a difference in the line between books. A 1.5 to 2 point difference might not seem like much but you could hit both bets.